1. 10-11-16 06:37 PM #36
    OTL
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    Might as well take SF to win the series at +393, because if they survive tonight they are most likely advancing.
    You could hedge with a bet on Cubs ML, guaranteeing a small loss at worst.
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  2. 10-11-16 06:48 PM #37
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by OTL View Post
    Might as well take SF to win the series at +393, because if they survive tonight they are most likely advancing.
    You could hedge with a bet on Cubs ML, guaranteeing a small loss at worst.
    That is far from a given, Cubs would be around -165 in Game 5.
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  3. 10-11-16 06:59 PM #38
    OTL
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    That is far from a given, Cubs would be around -165 in Game 5.
    No need to hedge game 5 (if it goes 5). Cubs lose tonight and they are done.
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  4. 10-11-16 07:07 PM #39
    BaseballChaser
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    Quote Originally Posted by habitualwinning View Post
    This would be an epic collapse if it happens. The Cubs are my least favorite team in MLB as a fan, though they've been good to me this season as a bettor. It's a long shot right now but a Giants/Dodgers NLCS would be epic too. Fans would be getting knocked out in the parking lot and shit after the game. I just don't want to see the Nats in the NLCS. They lost their appeal to me when Stras went down. Baker is a horrible manager also. That guy has had so many talented, all star filled rosters and always finds a way to screw it up. Giants, Cubs, Reds, Nats. He's a career loser when it really counts. You could give him the 1927 Yankees and he wouldn't win the championship.
    I'm one of few of this opinion, but in the playoffs I don't think there are many collapses. Winning or losing 3 games in a row is not uncommon AT ALL.
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  5. 10-11-16 07:11 PM #40
    BaseballChaser
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    Quote Originally Posted by OTL View Post
    No need to hedge game 5 (if it goes 5). Cubs lose tonight and they are done.
    Lester could win game 5 with 1 run. We saw it before.

    And if you want to pick Giants to win the series. Bet them tonight. Then take amount risked + amount won and put them on Giants game 5. Will be a bigger payout
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  6. 10-11-16 07:18 PM #41
    TheLock
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    I'm on Giants tonight, too

    Consensus is on Cubs and market moving against Cubs.

    And I love home dogs
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  7. 10-11-16 07:18 PM #42
    OTL
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    Quote Originally Posted by BaseballChaser View Post
    Lester could win game 5 with 1 run. We saw it before.

    And if you want to pick Giants to win the series. Bet them tonight. Then take amount risked + amount won and put them on Giants game 5. Will be a bigger payout
    That results in a bigger loss if Giants lose tonight though. I prefer the safer play with hedging. Whatever you decide, lets win some money.
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  8. 10-11-16 08:22 PM #43
    habitualwinning
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    Quote Originally Posted by BaseballChaser View Post
    I'm one of few of this opinion, but in the playoffs I don't think there are many collapses. Winning or losing 3 games in a row is not uncommon AT ALL.
    You're right, it's not really a collapse. It's just holding serve for 2 home games and winning 1 road game. Or in other words just sweeping a 3 game series. Happens all the time. Only difference is the caliber of opponent and pitching since it's the playoffs but I get your point. It's mostly just media hype and haters that tout up the collapse. It's not uncommon at all for a MLB team to win or lose 3 in a row.
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  9. 10-11-16 09:14 PM #44
    unde0087
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    The crazy thing is you could have had Nats +1.5 at plus money

    Woops, wrong thread, carry on
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  10. 10-11-16 09:20 PM #45
    BaseballChaser
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    Quote Originally Posted by OTL View Post
    That results in a bigger loss if Giants lose tonight though. I prefer the safer play with hedging. Whatever you decide, lets win some money.
    I don't understand. Risk the same amount tonight as you would for the series bet. Still lose the same amount if they don't win the series. And win a little bit extra if they win the series (not much extra)
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  11. 10-11-16 09:21 PM #46
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    Quote Originally Posted by habitualwinning View Post
    You're right, it's not really a collapse. It's just holding serve for 2 home games and winning 1 road game. Or in other words just sweeping a 3 game series. Happens all the time. Only difference is the caliber of opponent and pitching since it's the playoffs but I get your point. It's mostly just media hype and haters that tout up the collapse. It's not uncommon at all for a MLB team to win or lose 3 in a row.
    Baseball is so penetrating unpredictable. Awful teams win a lot games. NBA is the sport that has collapses imo
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  12. 10-11-16 09:25 PM #47
    lakerboy
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    Giants series price going to look tasty on Thursday night.
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  13. 10-11-16 09:28 PM #48
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    Holy fukk.
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  14. 10-11-16 09:38 PM #49
    TheLock
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    Quote Originally Posted by TheLock View Post
    I'm on Giants tonight, too

    Consensus is on Cubs and market moving against Cubs.

    And I love home dogs

    Good texture so far, boys.
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  15. 10-11-16 09:39 PM #50
    lakerboy
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    Licking my chops for game 5. I will double dip on giants. Cueto is a live dog vs Lester who will get raped vs this giant team that now has bats going.

    Can already see Posey with big homer.
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  16. 10-11-16 09:45 PM #51
    TheLock
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    Let's not start sucking each other's *%*#€ just yet. It's only the 6th inning.

    LONG way to go, boysssssss.
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  17. 10-11-16 10:01 PM #52
    OTL
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    Quote Originally Posted by BaseballChaser View Post
    I don't understand. Risk the same amount tonight as you would for the series bet. Still lose the same amount if they don't win the series. And win a little bit extra if they win the series (not much extra)
    What I mean is that if I risked $100 on the series at +380 and hedged to win $100 on Cubs ML tonight at -121, the worst I can lose tonight is $21.

    If I had instead bet the Giants ML at +113 tonight to risk $100 and the Giants lose the game, I lose $100.
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  18. 10-11-16 10:27 PM #53
    MickeyMan
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    Quote Originally Posted by OTL View Post
    What I mean is that if I risked $100 on the series at +380 and hedged to win $100 on Cubs ML tonight at -121, the worst I can lose tonight is $21.

    If I had instead bet the Giants ML at +113 tonight to risk $100 and the Giants lose the game, I lose $100.
    What happens to your genius idea when Cubs lose tonight but win game 5? Can you add that up for me??

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  19. 10-11-16 10:28 PM #54
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    OTL you really crack me up
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  20. 10-11-16 10:30 PM #55
    MickeyMan
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    You want to bet a series price, and before a game has even been played you are hedging

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  21. 10-11-16 10:31 PM #56
    OTL
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    Quote Originally Posted by MickeyMan View Post
    OTL you really crack me up
    Do you over post anything helpful or intelligent on this board, or do you just troll people?
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  22. 10-11-16 10:32 PM #57
    MickeyMan
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    Quote Originally Posted by OTL View Post
    Do you over post anything helpful or intelligent on this board, or do you just troll people?
    Did you read what you wrote? Your line of thinking is sooo off the mark.
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  23. 10-11-16 10:38 PM #58
    Plaza23
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    If you are holding a +380 ticket on a deciding game that will likely be -130 Cubs, I'd hedge.

    260 to win 200 on the Cubs. Now you are guaranteed of winning either $120 or $100.
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  24. 10-11-16 10:52 PM #59
    afgballer56
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    unreal by the cubs
    crazy drama
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  25. 10-11-16 10:55 PM #60
    unde0087
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  26. 10-11-16 10:56 PM #61
    jtoler
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    dang those pesky cubs
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  27. 10-11-16 10:59 PM #62
    funnyb25
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    Laker will get these 10 lost units back tomorrow
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  28. 10-11-16 11:01 PM #63
    d2bets
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    1 blown away
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  29. 10-11-16 11:03 PM #64
    d2bets
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    2 blown away.
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  30. 10-11-16 11:06 PM #65
    d2bets
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    3 blown away.

    By bye Giants. That's called elimination.

    Where did all the premature Giant ejaculators run off to?
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  31. 10-11-16 11:06 PM #66
    unde0087
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    Quote Originally Posted by lakerboy View Post
    Licking my chops for game 5. I will double dip on giants. Cueto is a live dog vs Lester who will get raped vs this giant team that now has bats going.

    Can already see Posey with big homer.
    Talk about counting the chickens before they hatch
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  32. 10-11-16 11:09 PM #67
    RavensFan2k3
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    Quote Originally Posted by lakerboy View Post
    Licking my chops for game 5. I will double dip on giants. Cueto is a live dog vs Lester who will get raped vs this giant team that now has bats going.

    Can already see Posey with big homer.
    Welp
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  33. 10-11-16 11:10 PM #68
    cashmoneyholla
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    d2d what's it like to be a born loser ? You must be on suicide watch everyday following a steamy shit team like the cubs since comming out of your moms twat? Tough loss for giants fans. But 3 chips in 6 years will help them sleep tonight
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  34. 10-11-16 11:11 PM #69
    d2bets
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    Quote Originally Posted by cashmoneyholla View Post
    d2d what's it like to be a born loser ? You must be on suicide watch everyday following a steamy shit team like the cubs since comming out of your moms twat? Tough loss for giants fans. But 3 chips in 6 years will help them sleep tonight
    Whatever helps you sleep.

    Fly The W.
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  35. 10-11-16 11:12 PM #70
    Philmill
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    cubs where do for alittle run.. after the giants layed it down for a few innings.... winner winner chicken dinner!!
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