Video :Tutorial No Juice When You Win

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  • MoMoneyMoVaughn
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 05-08-14
    • 14988

    #71
    Originally posted by Plaza23
    I use sportsdatabase.com to look up in play scenarios on baseball.

    The Royals are 85-5 the last two seasons when leading by > 1 run after the 5th inning.

    The Royals are 101-8 when leading by at least 3 runs at any point in a game.

    So if I have those types of situations come up where the win probability is more than 90%, as long as the juice is less than -900 I can play it and feel good.

    The easiest way to play baseball is bet teams live that have great bullpens, or bet teams early that get a 3 or 4 run lead. Usually 5Dimes will put out something like -650 if a team gets a 3 or 4 run lead in say the 2nd or 3rd inning. But the actual probability of that team winning is far greater - like 90%+.

    I only use this live betting method for baseball. Basketball, especially NBA, is stupid to be live unless you are just hunting better prices on the underdogs. There are so many runs in an NBA game that you could probably just trade live and make some dough. But just taking a team that gets a lead in the 2nd Q and thinking they'll hold that lead the entire game is dumb. I wouldn't recommend that.

    But baseball it works for me.

    Ah I gotcha. I did not realize you meant the Royals.

    I was looking at a game involving two teams with garbage bull pens and using Expected Win%
    Comment
    • jjgold
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 07-20-05
      • 388179

      #72
      If the team is -575 and you think they have a very good chance to win you must make the wager and lay $575 to win $100
      Comment
      • manny24
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 10-22-07
        • 20046

        #73
        let the losers pay your juice and just focus on winning
        Comment
        • Smoke
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 10-09-09
          • 48111

          #74
          Manniest knew mama smoke make eveeything OK
          Comment
          • LEOLEO
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 02-13-13
            • 664

            #75
            primo, lays the juice
            all day
            everygoddamn day
            @#!@!
            Comment
            • manny24
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 10-22-07
              • 20046

              #76
              Primo is one of my favorite new posters
              Comment
              • Smoke
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 10-09-09
                • 48111

                #77
                Thanks manniest
                #mamasmoke
                Comment
                • RubberKettle
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 12-28-09
                  • 6421

                  #78
                  Did Brock Landers make this tutorial?
                  Comment
                  • b1slickguy
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 11-24-11
                    • 11959

                    #79
                    Comment
                    • Big Bear
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 11-01-11
                      • 43253

                      #80
                      we laying the juice today coach?
                      Comment
                      • jjgold
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 07-20-05
                        • 388179

                        #81
                        I might have too

                        Its a tough card
                        Comment
                        • Big Bear
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 11-01-11
                          • 43253

                          #82
                          Originally posted by jjgold
                          JJ where was this man, you never told us

                          looks nice
                          Comment
                          • jjgold
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 07-20-05
                            • 388179

                            #83
                            Reno
                            Comment
                            • Al Masters
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 04-29-06
                              • 6940

                              #84
                              Originally posted by MoMoneyMoVaughn
                              Fish Head



                              Fishead spoted at slot machines recently..way to beat em Fishy.


                              Comment
                              • jjgold
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 07-20-05
                                • 388179

                                #85
                                What maniacs when a guy goes berserk… There are so many unstable people in the world today I think Waymore then years ago and I don't know the reason
                                Comment
                                • Big Bear
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 11-01-11
                                  • 43253

                                  #86
                                  Originally posted by jjgold
                                  What maniacs when a guy goes berserk… There are so many unstable people in the world today I think Waymore then years ago and I don't know the reason
                                  "Not having Money" is the ruler of all evil.
                                  Comment
                                  • jjgold
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 07-20-05
                                    • 388179

                                    #87
                                    Bear yes

                                    We had a few kids here embezzle points
                                    Comment
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