2020 Election. The State by State Odds and MATH

RudyRuetigger · 11-02-20, 05:48 PM

Originally posted by ByeShea

First, tell vitt to go upstairs for dinner.

Second, Scott Rasmussen is not RasmussenReports ... Scott himself is a Democratic pollster. Here's an article he wrote (posted today) about Trump trouble - citing a tie in Iowa ... about the same time this article posted, that Iowa poll was updated to Trump +8, pulling the GOP candidate with him.

Biden is getting SMOKED right now. Florida Dem operatives are already infighting.

judgecrater might be d2bets other brother

thomorino · 11-02-20, 05:50 PM

2 new polls today both showing Trump ahead in Pennsylvania

DwightShrute · 11-02-20, 05:51 PM

RudyRuetigger · 11-02-20, 05:52 PM

Originally posted by thomorino

2 new polls today both showing Trump ahead in Pennsylvania

which polls

Auto Donk · 11-02-20, 05:54 PM

my pole for one.....

woke up with morning wood pointing straight toward philly.......

navyblue81 · 11-02-20, 05:55 PM

Originally posted by Judge Crater

Scott Rasmussen FINAL: Biden 51% Trump 44%...

You got your numbers wrong.
Rasmussen has it 48-47. But what doesn’t make sense is they gave Trumps approval at 52%. So 5% that approve of him are going to vote for the man with dementia? Yeah, makes sense lol

RoyBacon · 11-02-20, 05:57 PM

Originally posted by navyblue81

You got your numbers wrong.
Rasmussen has it 48-47. But what doesn’t make sense is they gave Trumps approval at 52%. So 5% that approve of him are going to vote for the man with dementia? Yeah, makes sense lol

Been tempted to throw a flyer on Will Trump win pop vote. But it isn't tempting enough. He could do it though.

ByeShea · 11-02-20, 05:59 PM

Originally posted by thomorino

2 new polls today both showing Trump ahead in Pennsylvania

Poisec · 11-02-20, 06:02 PM

The fact that the lines barely moved last 7 days show all this new poll results were already known by the market. Total money bet on Betfair always is the best information you need.

jt315 · 11-02-20, 06:03 PM

Originally posted by navyblue81

You got your numbers wrong.
Rasmussen has it 48-47. But what doesn’t make sense is they gave Trumps approval at 52%. So 5% that approve of him are going to vote for the man with dementia? Yeah, makes sense lol

Scott went his own way in 2013 . He is not associated with the Rasmussen poll we all know anymore .

Rasmussen leaves N.J. polling firm he founded

https://www.nj.com/politics/2013/08/rasmussen_leaves_nj_polling_firm_he_founded.html

Scott Rasmussen has left the polling firm he founded after a disagreement over business strategy, according to a report

ByeShea · 11-02-20, 06:04 PM

Originally posted by navyblue81

You got your numbers wrong.
Rasmussen has it 48-47. But what doesn’t make sense is they gave Trumps approval at 52%. So 5% that approve of him are going to vote for the man with dementia? Yeah, makes sense lol

Scott Rasmussen is not RasmussenReports. He founded the company but left it in 2013. If Scott himself did any work of value in 2016, we'd all know about it.

CWD · 11-02-20, 06:10 PM

vitterd · 11-02-20, 06:22 PM

Originally posted by CWD

No we don’t

RudyRuetigger · 11-02-20, 06:23 PM

doubt rkelly comes back in thread

https://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/players-talk/3608269-2020-election-state-state-odds-math-p72.html#post29846339

Gmen30 · 11-02-20, 06:24 PM

Galt make another video you fukkin freak

Gmen30 · 11-02-20, 06:24 PM

Originally posted by vitterd

No we don’t

But they do

RoyBacon · 11-02-20, 06:29 PM

Originally posted by vitterd

No we don’t

Your theme song buddy. It slipped away.

RudyRuetigger · 11-02-20, 06:31 PM

All democrats tomorrow night:

Judge Crater · 11-02-20, 06:35 PM

FLORIDA
Quinnipiac (B+): Biden +5
Ipsos (B-): Biden +4
Frederick (B/C): Biden +3
Morning Consult (B/C): Biden +6

Betfair

Biden +121
Trump -123

ARIZONA
Marist (A+): Tied
Data Orbital (A-): Biden +1
Ipsos (B-): Biden +3
Morning Consult (B/C): Biden +2

Betfair
Biden -123
Trump +122

Forget 2016, in politics the favorite usually wins

Article says that in the 2012 (Obama) election every states favorite won.

Just a moment...

https://betting.betfair.com/politics/us-politics/2020-election-odds-and-analysis-in-politics-the-favourite-usually-wins-021120-171.html

DwightShrute · 11-02-20, 06:36 PM

2020 Election Odds: One European Sportsbook Has Taken Nearly $400 Million in Presidential Election Bets … So Far

https://www.actionnetwork.com/politics/2020-election-odds-trump-vs-biden-presidential-race-sportsbook-rovell?fbclid=IwAR1YCn3zy6tDyR9ZVp3LAUDHk3-ENRDxRhi8O6Axry3zEa3dcq5jA9m4IaM

Itsamazing777 · 11-02-20, 06:41 PM

Originally posted by Gmen30

But they do

Mi an pa are locks for trump.
the people who live there have spoken
the lines are off

hostile takeover · 11-02-20, 06:41 PM

I'm sure this has been brought up. But anybody (myself included) who bets on the election may have money tied up for quite some time.

There is zero chance anyone is going down without a fight that lasts weeks.

CWD · 11-02-20, 06:50 PM

RoyBacon · 11-02-20, 06:54 PM

What the fvvk is that lime green rag on his neck??? Is he some kind of muslim?

thomorino · 11-02-20, 07:07 PM

realclearpolitics.com

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/

2 new polls from trafalgar and susquena showing trump ahead in pennsylvania

trafalgar was one of the few to get 2016 right too

vitterd · 11-02-20, 07:09 PM

Originally posted by Itsamazing777

Mi an pa are locks for trump.
the people who live there have spoken
the lines are off

Lmao. Your last prediction lost by 30 points. Why should we believe this one?

teecee · 11-02-20, 07:13 PM

Originally posted by RoyBacon

What the fvvk is that lime green rag on his neck??? Is he some kind of muslim?

Are you being serious?

JohnGalt2341 · 11-02-20, 07:16 PM

Originally posted by thomorino

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/

2 new polls from trafalgar and susquena showing trump ahead in pennsylvania

trafalgar was one of the few to get 2016 right too

Pennsylvania: Trump vs. Biden	Susquehanna*	Biden 48, Trump 49	Trump +1
Pennsylvania: Trump vs. Biden	NBC News/Marist	Biden 51, Trump 46	Biden +5
Pennsylvania: Trump vs. Biden	Trafalgar Group (R)*	Biden 46, Trump 48	Trump +2
Pennsylvania: Trump vs. Biden	Monmouth*	Biden 51, Trump 44	Biden +7
Pennsylvania: Trump vs. Biden	Rasmussen Reports	Biden 50, Trump 47	Biden +3

DwightShrute · 11-02-20, 07:28 PM

Mystery British businessman bets $5million on Donald Trump winning the US presidential election in 'largest political wager ever made

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8907577/Mystery-British-businessman-bets-5million-Donald-Trump-winning-presidential-election.html

homie1975 · 11-02-20, 07:33 PM

Originally posted by Itsamazing777

Mi an pa are locks for trump.
the people who live there have spoken
the lines are off

MI goes Biden.
PA a virtual toss up. It goes to court

Fishhead · 11-02-20, 07:36 PM

Wow, appears TRUMP is gonna win

BigdaddyQH · 11-02-20, 07:39 PM

Originally posted by eidolon

Looks solid. I would say the biggest ifs are Arizona, Pennsylvania, and North Carolina.

I'm sure others would want to throw in Ohio and Iowa.

The problem is this. Can you name a State on that map where Biden is not a lock to win?

RoyBacon · 11-02-20, 07:41 PM

Originally posted by teecee

Are you being serious?

No. LOL

King Mayan · 11-02-20, 07:43 PM

Originally posted by Fishhead

Wow, appears TRUMP is gonna win

thomorino · 11-02-20, 07:45 PM

Originally posted by homie1975

MI goes Biden.
PA a virtual toss up. It goes to court

People hate Whitmer and are sick of the lockdowns, I see Trump being more likely to win Pennsylvania.