2020 Election. The State by State Odds and MATH

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  • rm18
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 09-20-05
    • 22291

    #2626

    [COLOR=var(--components-events-specialsBar-color)]Tue, Nov 03 21:00

    [COLOR=var(--components-marketBtn-label-color)]Donald Trump[/COLOR][COLOR=var(--components-marketBtn-color)]+141[/COLOR][COLOR=var(--components-marketBtn-label-color)]Joe Biden[/COLOR][COLOR=var(--components-marketBtn-color)]-166[/COLOR]

    [/COLOR]
    [COLOR=var(--components-collapse-primary-title-color)]
    [/COLOR]
    Pinnacle is down to -166 also
    Comment
    • Judge Crater
      SBR MVP
      • 10-05-20
      • 2024

      #2627
      Trump Steam

      Betfair
      Biden -179
      Trump + 172
      Comment
      • RoyBacon
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 09-21-05
        • 37074

        #2628
        Steaming back up for Biden. .18 gain in an hour.
        Comment
        • RoyBacon
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 09-21-05
          • 37074

          #2629
          Trump started 11/08/2016 at +400 at 7PM and was +1100 by 8PM.

          90 minutes later he was -270.

          Don't fall in love with the screen. Careful to think a drifting line is really a "move".
          Comment
          • RudyRuetigger
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 08-24-10
            • 65086

            #2630
            Originally posted by RoyBacon
            Trump started 11/08/2016 at +400 at 7PM and was +1100 by 8PM.

            90 minutes later he was -270.

            Don't fall in love with the screen. Careful to think a drifting line is really a "move".
            yea, i got fukked on The Decision by Lebron

            Comment
            • Judge Crater
              SBR MVP
              • 10-05-20
              • 2024

              #2631
              Yea

              Biden -184
              Trump +182

              Originally posted by RoyBacon
              Steaming back up for Biden. .18 gain in an hour.
              Comment
              • Brooklyn Dick
                SBR MVP
                • 09-12-08
                • 1067

                #2632
                Pinnacle now and they take 100k on this, Was -171 short time ago.

                Wed, Nov/04
                2020 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION USA

                2020 Presidential Election Winner(see rules)?
                Election
                02:00 AM 5001 Donald Trump +175 Risk
                To Win
                5002 Joe Biden -199
                Comment
                • BigJay
                  SBR MVP
                  • 01-14-12
                  • 3485

                  #2633
                  Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
                  yea, i got fukked on The Decision by Lebron

                  Maybe after all is said and done today Trump will take his talents to South Florida too.
                  Comment
                  • RoyBacon
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 09-21-05
                    • 37074

                    #2634
                    In '16 exit polling favored Dems. Again, republicans just would not say.

                    That's how the line went to Trump +1100 even though he was actually winning.

                    You wouldn't think lightning would strike twice in the same spot but let's see.
                    Last edited by RoyBacon; 11-03-20, 09:06 AM.
                    Comment
                    • RudyRuetigger
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 08-24-10
                      • 65086

                      #2635
                      there is a site just like predictit.org that i saw on ad for (legal usa political sites)

                      I think it is market in the name


                      does anyone know any sites like predictit.org?


                      just want to check their numbers as well
                      Comment
                      • homie1975
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 12-24-13
                        • 15442

                        #2636
                        Originally posted by BigdaddyQH
                        If it goes to Court or to the House, Biden has NO chance.
                        Trump campaign has pursued 6 cases in PA court against that state's voting process and they have lost all 6.
                        Comment
                        • Judge Crater
                          SBR MVP
                          • 10-05-20
                          • 2024

                          #2637
                          Saw this online (what to watch)

                          MI—WI—PA*In 2016, Trump won each by < 1%*Crucial, but results may be delayed

                          AZ—FL—NC*Should have results Election Night

                          MN—NV*Clinton won in 2016

                          IA—GA—OH—TX*Bad sign for Trump if he loses ANY of these


                          Wow, Trumps call into Fox & Friends was really weird. When asked what was different here in 2020 vs. this day in 2016 Trump said "Fox is different". Trump sounded very depressed, maybe just tired I guess. Funny listening to the Fox anchors defending the network. Don't take my word on it, just listen to it.
                          Last edited by Judge Crater; 11-03-20, 09:17 AM.
                          Comment
                          • BigJay
                            SBR MVP
                            • 01-14-12
                            • 3485

                            #2638
                            Originally posted by Judge Crater
                            Saw this online (what to watch)

                            MI—WI—PA*In 2016, Trump won each by < 1%*Crucial, but results may be delayed

                            AZ—FL—NC*Should have results Election Night

                            MN—NV*Clinton won in 2016

                            IA—GA—OH—TX*Bad sign for Trump if he loses ANY of these


                            Wow, Trumps call into Fox & Friends was really weird. When asked what was different here in 2020 vs. this day in 2016 Trump said "Fox is different". Trump sounded very depressed, maybe just tired I guess. Funny listening to the Fox anchors defending the network. Don't take my word on it, just listen to it.
                            You have a link to the interview Judge?
                            Comment
                            • Judge Crater
                              SBR MVP
                              • 10-05-20
                              • 2024

                              #2639


                              Originally posted by BigJay
                              You have a link to the interview Judge?
                              Comment
                              • RudyRuetigger
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 08-24-10
                                • 65086

                                #2640
                                someone is updating florida voters here (obviously click the combined totals tab)..not the VOTE count, the VOTERS count


                                Comment
                                • RudyRuetigger
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 08-24-10
                                  • 65086

                                  #2641
                                  Georgia county has all voting machines down

                                  Comment
                                  • Chi_archie
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 07-22-08
                                    • 63165

                                    #2642
                                    Florida has a ton of non two party affliated voters and i'm sure tons of their previously Dem seniors will be voting Trump, so the don't get crucified for protecting their home when a mob of antifa breaks the gates to their retirement village
                                    Comment
                                    • Judge Crater
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 10-05-20
                                      • 2024

                                      #2643
                                      Looks like a good Trump day in Florida, though I was thinking who's demographic is up to vote at 5:30 AM. Dems have a lead, Repubs storming back, will be interesting.

                                      Pinellas and Hillsborough County 2-1 Republican's voting so far today, good early omen for Trump
                                      Last edited by Judge Crater; 11-03-20, 09:59 AM.
                                      Comment
                                      • Auto Donk
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 09-03-13
                                        • 43559

                                        #2644
                                        Comment
                                        • thetrinity
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 01-25-11
                                          • 22430

                                          #2645
                                          Florida isn’t gonna be that close
                                          Comment
                                          • Auto Donk
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 09-03-13
                                            • 43559

                                            #2646
                                            my wife is from Fla........ biden has no chance there.......

                                            latino vote is going to split about 50-50; miami dade isn't a biden stronghold; not even close -- and, the rednecks are coming out in force, far more so than in 2016....

                                            biden has no chance in fla......


                                            people in fla, like those in texas, fukkin' hate joe biden..........
                                            Comment
                                            • Judge Crater
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 10-05-20
                                              • 2024

                                              #2647
                                              Even though the polling says Biden, I think the republicans will keep it close or even win. They always overperform in Florida.

                                              Originally posted by thetrinity
                                              Florida isn’t gonna be that close
                                              Comment
                                              • vitterd
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 09-14-17
                                                • 58460

                                                #2648
                                                Auto Donk is always wrong. This guy Covid predictions were so bad it was embarrassing. Anyone taking his posts seriously should kill themselves.
                                                Comment
                                                • RudyRuetigger
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 08-24-10
                                                  • 65086

                                                  #2649
                                                  Florida has always been for Trump


                                                  and the numbers say 2.5-3%
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Unrivaled
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 10-24-11
                                                    • 6685

                                                    #2650
                                                    Biden back to -225 favorite to win.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • deltgen
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 12-31-10
                                                      • 865

                                                      #2651
                                                      Originally posted by JohnGalt2341
                                                      Check out this Prop at BetOnline. Take the after December 1st. That's a steal at +225. I would take anything over +100 on this. I wish they had bigger limits though. They are only $25 limit on this but hey, if they are offering a free $56 I'll take it.

                                                      On which day will the loser concede the election?

                                                      08:00 AM

                                                      November 4th. 2020
                                                      +225

                                                      December 1st. 2020 or later
                                                      [COLOR=#FFFFFF !important]+225


                                                      November 3rd. 2020
                                                      +275

                                                      November 5th. 2020
                                                      +600

                                                      November 6th. 2020
                                                      +900

                                                      November 7th. 2020
                                                      +1000

                                                      November 8th. 2020
                                                      +1200

                                                      November 9th. 2020
                                                      +1600

                                                      November 10th. 2020
                                                      +2000

                                                      November 11th. 2020
                                                      +2200

                                                      November 12th. 2020
                                                      +2200

                                                      November 13th. 2020
                                                      +2200

                                                      November 14th. 2020
                                                      +2500

                                                      November 15th. 2020
                                                      +2500

                                                      November 16th. 2020
                                                      +2800

                                                      November 17th. 2020
                                                      +3300

                                                      November 18th. 2020
                                                      +3300

                                                      November 19th. 2020
                                                      +4000

                                                      November 20th. 2020
                                                      +5000

                                                      November 21st. 2020
                                                      +5000

                                                      November 22nd. 2020
                                                      +5000

                                                      November 23rd. 2020
                                                      +5000

                                                      November 24th. 2020
                                                      +5000

                                                      November 25th. 2020
                                                      +5000

                                                      November 26th. 2020
                                                      +5000

                                                      November 27th. 2020
                                                      +5000

                                                      November 28th. 2020
                                                      +5000

                                                      November 29th. 2020
                                                      +5000

                                                      November 30th. 2020
                                                      +5000


                                                      [/COLOR]
                                                      In other words, here in SBR Forum land, what this vote is: On which day will we never hear from vitterd again?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • vitterd
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 09-14-17
                                                        • 58460

                                                        #2652
                                                        Originally posted by deltgen
                                                        In other words, here in SBR Forum land, what this vote is: On which day will we never hear from vitterd again?
                                                        I think I know you. But not under the deltgen name. Coward
                                                        Comment
                                                        • RudyRuetigger
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 08-24-10
                                                          • 65086

                                                          #2653
                                                          Originally posted by deltgen
                                                          In other words, here in SBR Forum land, what this vote is: On which day will we never hear from vitterd again?
                                                          Originally posted by vitterd
                                                          I think I know you. But not under the deltgen name. Coward
                                                          yes, you call him Daddy in real life
                                                          Comment
                                                          • vitterd
                                                            Restricted User
                                                            • 09-14-17
                                                            • 58460

                                                            #2654
                                                            Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
                                                            yes, you call him Daddy in real life
                                                            You should just be worrying about paying your massive debts after today.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • navyblue81
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 11-29-13
                                                              • 4143

                                                              #2655
                                                              Originally posted by Unrivaled
                                                              Biden back to -225 favorite to win.
                                                              Bovada has it -165. Was -200 yesterday. So it's come down. Different books have different prices. Dare I use this term, but a lot of "fake news" out there today with this candidate doing good in this state and vice versa.

                                                              I do like the Trump to win Nevada odds at +265. I think he has potential to pull an upset there based on latest polling. Looking at also playing Biden to win Arizona at -115. Also think Trump to win Georgia at -280 is good. Polls there seem to show him starting to pull away a bit. That state's not going to flip, especially with Fla. probably going for Trump.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • RudyRuetigger
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 08-24-10
                                                                • 65086

                                                                #2656
                                                                republicans are now UP 26k voters in florida
                                                                Comment
                                                                • vitterd
                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                  • 09-14-17
                                                                  • 58460

                                                                  #2657
                                                                  Where is jt315?

                                                                  Stress of no Vitterd must have caused him to die. RIP fat boy!!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • navyblue81
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 11-29-13
                                                                    • 4143

                                                                    #2658
                                                                    Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
                                                                    republicans are now UP 26k voters in florida
                                                                    It would be so weird if Trump won Florida but lost the White House. A republican has not won Florida and lost an election since 1960 in a two-way race (Bush I being the exception in a 3-way race). But it's 2020. Anything goes, and the way Arizona has gone more blue, that could be the state that I'd be most worried about for Trump that could cost him. Trump could pull an upset in Nevada and offset Arizona some. Latest poll had Trump ahead in NV.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Auto Donk
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 09-03-13
                                                                      • 43559

                                                                      #2659
                                                                      early reports are trump is burying biden across the east in the key states; idiot biden scared pussies like bitcherd into staying home........

                                                                      stupid mother fukker (biden, too)......

                                                                      so long bitcherd, we won't miss your stupid broke, unverified, non-sbr pro ass.......

                                                                      adios, bitch!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Judge Crater
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 10-05-20
                                                                        • 2024

                                                                        #2660
                                                                        Biden back up

                                                                        Betfair
                                                                        Biden -204
                                                                        Trump +200
                                                                        Comment
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