2020 Election. The State by State Odds and MATH

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  • RudyRuetigger
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 08-24-10
    • 65086

    #2696
    Originally posted by KVB
    I'm just saying that the "efficiency" of these markets, ridiculously high vig aside, is not set in stone, and it never was, because of what the market information is based upon.

    It will never be efficient, mostly because of the propaganda laden media, which I don't see changing anytime soon.

    It would do a lot people good to remember that,and to also remember why the line exists to begin with. I'm not going to argue any of this or why the line is there, it's like talking to those guys that see final score end on the line, or close to it, and they call the line "sharp" because of it. It's a fundamental issue.
    have you even posted 1 single bet?


    it is easy to "win" when you have both sides
    Comment
    • King Mayan
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 09-22-10
      • 21326

      #2697
      Rudy take a shot and a xanax
      Comment
      • RudyRuetigger
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 08-24-10
        • 65086

        #2698
        Originally posted by King Mayan
        Rudy take a shot and a xanax
        xanax in


        Ill take the shot at you


















        but you are so short it went over your head


        next time stand on your TIP TOES
        Comment
        • frankieunits2685
          SBR MVP
          • 11-19-17
          • 3575

          #2699
          Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
          have you even posted 1 single bet?

          it is easy to "win" when you have both sides
          lmaooo
          Comment
          • King Mayan
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 09-22-10
            • 21326

            #2700
            Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
            xanax in


            Ill take the shot at you


















            but you are so short it went over your head


            next time stand on your TIP TOES
            Rudy This midget would pummel your drunk ass.
            Comment
            • Judge Crater
              SBR MVP
              • 10-05-20
              • 2024

              #2701
              Florida Betfair
              Biden +140
              Trump _143
              Comment
              • RudyRuetigger
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 08-24-10
                • 65086

                #2702
                Originally posted by King Mayan
                Rudy This midget would pummel your drunk ass.
                im not gay, but ill keep that in mind incase i change my mind
                Comment
                • KVB
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 05-29-14
                  • 74817

                  #2703
                  LMAO Rudy's triggered. I have nothing to do with the political positions, nothing.

                  But yes, I have posted several props that I have accumulated.



                  You guys have fun in here.
                  Comment
                  • RudyRuetigger
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 08-24-10
                    • 65086

                    #2704
                    Originally posted by KVB
                    LMAO Rudy's triggered.
                    just show what you have posted that is useful politically


                    ive posted many numbers regarding voter turnout through the week and most of it today updating the odds


                    do you have anything useful posted?


                    i missed it
                    Comment
                    • JohnGalt2341
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 12-31-09
                      • 9138

                      #2705
                      Anyone like any of these below from BetOnline? I like that +275 myself.



                      Percentage of Popular Vote for Joe Biden

                      05:00 PM

                      Biden to get 52.50% to 54.99%
                      +185

                      Biden to get 50.00% to 52.49%
                      +275

                      Biden to get 47.50% to 49.99%
                      +325

                      Biden to get 55.00% or more
                      +350

                      Biden to get 47.49% or less
                      +450


                      Comment
                      • homie1975
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 12-24-13
                        • 15442

                        #2706
                        Originally posted by JohnGalt2341
                        Anyone like any of these below from BetOnline? I like that +275 myself.



                        Percentage of Popular Vote for Joe Biden

                        05:00 PM

                        Biden to get 52.50% to 54.99%
                        +185

                        Biden to get 50.00% to 52.49%
                        +275

                        Biden to get 47.50% to 49.99%
                        +325

                        Biden to get 55.00% or more
                        +350

                        Biden to get 47.49% or less
                        +450


                        These two look good but obviously if you bet both of them and the first one hits you still lose $15 LOL

                        Percentage of Popular Vote for Joe Biden

                        05:00 PM

                        Biden to get 52.50% to 54.99%
                        +185

                        Biden to get 50.00% to 52.49%
                        +275
                        Comment
                        • thomorino
                          Restricted User
                          • 06-01-17
                          • 45842

                          #2707
                          Kvb talking bullshit and not posting any picks because he’s a coward - no surprise.

                          Republicans are turning out in big numbers over Republicans in Florida even in democratic counties.
                          Comment
                          • thomorino
                            Restricted User
                            • 06-01-17
                            • 45842

                            #2708
                            Kvb afraid to post a single pick as usual, just trying to lecture and talk down to every one when he’s full of shit as usual.
                            Comment
                            • RoyBacon
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 09-21-05
                              • 37074

                              #2709
                              FL, TX, OH are such easy money.

                              I'm worried about the Midwest and even AZ. But I'm not at all worried about the south.
                              Comment
                              • d2bets
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 08-10-05
                                • 39990

                                #2710
                                Originally posted by RoyBacon
                                FL, TX, OH are such easy money.

                                I'm worried about the Midwest and even AZ. But I'm not at all worried about the south.
                                You should be.
                                Comment
                                • jt315
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 11-12-11
                                  • 21698

                                  #2711
                                  Originally posted by d2bets
                                  You should be.
                                  When Florida is called and Trump wins for fun we know who’s gonna be worried .
                                  Comment
                                  • The Kraken
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 12-25-11
                                    • 28917

                                    #2712
                                    Originally posted by RoyBacon
                                    FL, TX, OH are such easy money.

                                    I'm worried about the Midwest and even AZ. But I'm not at all worried about the south.
                                    100%

                                    I laugh every time someone says Texas is in play. Not even close
                                    Comment
                                    • ByeShea
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 06-30-08
                                      • 8037

                                      #2713
                                      Originally posted by RoyBacon
                                      even AZ.
                                      Arizona is shaping up to be as big a slam as FL.

                                      Trump turnout is huge in Maricopa, easily biggest county in the state.

                                      -

                                      Btw guys, Trump was never the underdog in this election. A puny and crooked system of polling just said he was - and is failing harder today than in 2016.

                                      SHOCKER.
                                      Comment
                                      • ace7550
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 05-08-15
                                        • 3729

                                        #2714
                                        Originally posted by JohnGalt2341
                                        Anyone like any of these below from BetOnline? I like that +275 myself.



                                        Percentage of Popular Vote for Joe Biden

                                        05:00 PM

                                        Biden to get 52.50% to 54.99%
                                        +185

                                        Biden to get 50.00% to 52.49%
                                        +275

                                        Biden to get 47.50% to 49.99%
                                        +325

                                        Biden to get 55.00% or more
                                        +350

                                        Biden to get 47.49% or less
                                        +450


                                        Yep that +275 is good value. Interestingly you can hedge the top three against each other and be sure of profit as long as Biden gets 47.5 - 54.99% of the vote. I think it is extremely likely he will be in that range.
                                        Comment
                                        • RudyRuetigger
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 08-24-10
                                          • 65086

                                          #2715
                                          any useful insight from kvb yet?


                                          how about retard or kingmayan?



                                          why would i keep showing numbers here?
                                          Comment
                                          • vitterd
                                            Restricted User
                                            • 09-14-17
                                            • 58460

                                            #2716
                                            Originally posted by ByeShea
                                            Arizona is shaping up to be as big a slam as FL.

                                            Trump turnout is huge in Maricopa, easily biggest county in the state.

                                            -

                                            Btw guys, Trump was never the underdog in this election. A puny and crooked system of polling just said he was - and is failing harder today than in 2016.

                                            SHOCKER.
                                            Lmao. This guy again.
                                            Comment
                                            • Itsamazing777
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 11-14-12
                                              • 12602

                                              #2717
                                              Originally posted by vitterd
                                              Lmao. This guy again.
                                              Its over
                                              youll be gone
                                              Comment
                                              • KVB
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 05-29-14
                                                • 74817

                                                #2718
                                                Comment
                                                • Mike Huntertz
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 08-19-09
                                                  • 11203

                                                  #2719
                                                  Originally posted by ace7550
                                                  Yep that +275 is good value. Interestingly you can hedge the top three against each other and be sure of profit as long as Biden gets 47.5 - 54.99% of the vote. I think it is extremely likely he will be in that range.
                                                  "IF" the polls are somewhat correct Biden could get 55%+
                                                  Comment
                                                  • ace7550
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 05-08-15
                                                    • 3729

                                                    #2720
                                                    Originally posted by Mike Huntertz
                                                    "IF" the polls are somewhat correct Biden could get 55%+
                                                    It's not impossible but I find it highly unlikely.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • vitterd
                                                      Restricted User
                                                      • 09-14-17
                                                      • 58460

                                                      #2721
                                                      Originally posted by Itsamazing777
                                                      Its over
                                                      youll be gone
                                                      Thalib says hello!! Get prepared for your disappearance!!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • romecloneout
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 02-06-11
                                                        • 2243

                                                        #2722
                                                        Originally posted by KVB

                                                        Hey kev

                                                        Why did it take you 2 months to go pro after your membership expired??

                                                        Big bad kvb couldn't get 100 bucks together to go pro so he had to beg posters to give him the points

                                                        Unreal cant make this shit up
                                                        Comment
                                                        • pavyracer
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 04-12-07
                                                          • 82480

                                                          #2723
                                                          Originally posted by ByeShea
                                                          Arizona is shaping up to be as big a slam as FL.

                                                          Trump turnout is huge in Maricopa, easily biggest county in the state.

                                                          -

                                                          Btw guys, Trump was never the underdog in this election. A puny and crooked system of polling just said he was - and is failing harder today than in 2016.

                                                          SHOCKER.
                                                          Are you sure big turnout helps Trump and not Biden?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • vitterd
                                                            Restricted User
                                                            • 09-14-17
                                                            • 58460

                                                            #2724
                                                            Originally posted by pavyracer
                                                            Are you sure big turnout helps Trump and not Biden?
                                                            He’s not even sure where his ass is.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • dlowilly
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 11-09-16
                                                              • 13862

                                                              #2725
                                                              Originally posted by romecloneout
                                                              Hey kev

                                                              Why did it take you 2 months to go pro after your membership expired??

                                                              Big bad kvb couldn't get 100 bucks together to go pro so he had to beg posters to give him the points

                                                              Unreal cant make this shit up
                                                              The pro status shame is right up there with the "I know you are but what am I?" insult.

                                                              Bragging about $100 you have to spend so you can make $200 in a year LOL. Ever think it's not that they don't have $100, it just isn't a pressing issue with some posters?
                                                              Comment
                                                              • RoyBacon
                                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                • 09-21-05
                                                                • 37074

                                                                #2726
                                                                Originally posted by vitterd
                                                                He’s not even sure where his ass is.
                                                                Well you never had a problem finding a guy's ass.... jus sayin

                                                                The big turnout today probably helps Trump. The big turnout for mail ins obviously didn't.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • KVB
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 05-29-14
                                                                  • 74817

                                                                  #2727
                                                                  Originally posted by dlowilly
                                                                  The pro status shame is right up there with the "I know you are but what am I?" insult.

                                                                  Bragging about $100 you have to spend so you can make $200 in a year LOL. Ever think it's not that they don't have $100, it just isn't a pressing issue with some posters?
                                                                  Guy has no clue what he's talking about, you know he makes shit up all the time.

                                                                  SBR says he's obsessed with me, my kids say he's both jealous and intimidated based on his use of "big bad kvb"

                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • romecloneout
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 02-06-11
                                                                    • 2243

                                                                    #2728
                                                                    Originally posted by KVB
                                                                    Guy has no clue what he's talking about, you know he makes shit up all the time.

                                                                    SBR says he's obsessed with me, my kids say he's both jealous and intimidated based on his use of "big bad kvb"

                                                                    Kev

                                                                    It has to be brutal being you

                                                                    Knowing everytime you make a post and hit submit that you know I am lurking and that at any moment I can make everything you tried to pose as and work for can be destroyed

                                                                    That fuxks with your head and you cant take it....probably the reason for all the drug use

                                                                    So just remember after you hit submit.......I'm here
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Itsamazing777
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 11-14-12
                                                                      • 12602

                                                                      #2729
                                                                      trump up 58 to 40 in michigan as we speak...
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • KVB
                                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                                        • 05-29-14
                                                                        • 74817

                                                                        #2730
                                                                        Originally posted by romecloneout
                                                                        Kev

                                                                        It has to be brutal being you

                                                                        Knowing everytime you make a post and hit submit that you know I am lurking and that at any moment I can make everything you tried to pose as and work for can be destroyed

                                                                        That fuxks with your head and you cant take it....probably the reason for all the drug use

                                                                        So just remember after you hit submit.......I'm here
                                                                        What a weirdo. What does all of that even mean?

                                                                        I think he's confused me with someone else.

                                                                        Comment
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