2020 Election. The State by State Odds and MATH

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  • RoyBacon
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 09-21-05
    • 37074

    #2451
    Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
    i dont know, i saw 2.5 - 3% so that 3.1% is a little scary

    it just let me put shares on biden no but i only did like $5.60 just to test it out incase im doing something ass backwards


    and i have to be because why wouldnt you rather take no biden than yes trump anyway

    Yea it would blow to lose that bet getting a little cute.

    Betting Yes Trump or No Biden is the same.
    Comment
    • RudyRuetigger
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 08-24-10
      • 65086

      #2452
      well I deposited 500

      risked 472.39

      i think i shouldve been buying NO for biden instead of yes for trump on all of these if it works that way
      Comment
      • PromiseLand
        SBR MVP
        • 08-30-12
        • 2464

        #2453
        It's almost always cheaper to buy on the No side. These markets are capped at 5,000 max traders so once a market reaches that number, then nobody else is allowed to trade in there. The Florida GOP YES side has already hit that mark but the Florida Dem YES side hasn't yet. You getting a better bang for your buck anyway betting Dem No there since you can get 3-4c cheaper shares.
        Comment
        • RudyRuetigger
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 08-24-10
          • 65086

          #2454
          thanks bro


          i screwed up there
          Comment
          • Judge Crater
            SBR MVP
            • 10-05-20
            • 2024

            #2455
            Somebody bet 1 million pounds ($1,290,000)on Biden at Betfair

            Price now at
            Biden -200
            Trump +198
            Comment
            • vitterd
              Restricted User
              • 09-14-17
              • 58460

              #2456
              Originally posted by Judge Crater
              Somebody bet 1 million pounds ($1,290,000)on Biden at Betfair

              Price now at
              Biden -200
              Trump +198
              It’s very obvious Biden is gonna win. Dems have banked so many votes. Independents and non affiliated voters are going Biden. In order for Trump to win, he has to have historic Election Day turnout and Biden has to have a major disaster on Election Day. It’s not happening.....it’s a Biden win and it’s gonna be bigger than most think.
              Comment
              • jt315
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 11-12-11
                • 21698

                #2457
                New @trafalgar_group #2020Election#BattlegroundState#PApoll conducted 10/30-31 shows Trump maintaining a narrow lead &a few more unsure before Election Day:


                47.8%
                @realDonaldTrump


                45.9%
                @JoeBiden


                1.4 %
                @Jorgensen4POTUS


                1.2% Other


                3.7% Und. Report:
                https://thetrafalgargroup.org/news/pa-pres-1102/



                Comment
                • Auto Donk
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 09-03-13
                  • 43559

                  #2458
                  Originally posted by jt315
                  New @trafalgar_group #2020Election#BattlegroundState#PApoll conducted 10/30-31 shows Trump maintaining a narrow lead &a few more unsure before Election Day:


                  47.8%
                  @realDonaldTrump


                  45.9%
                  @JoeBiden


                  1.4 %
                  @Jorgensen4POTUS


                  1.2% Other


                  3.7% Und. Report:
                  https://thetrafalgargroup.org/news/pa-pres-1102/



                  it is over........

                  just saw dem talking points being circulated; they're going to claim trump's win is a "red mirage" and that the vote is illegitimate....

                  they know they are on the cusp of losing big.....
                  Comment
                  • vitterd
                    Restricted User
                    • 09-14-17
                    • 58460

                    #2459
                    Tralfag!!! Lmao. They got exposed this week. Nobody counts them anymore.
                    Comment
                    • King Mayan
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 09-22-10
                      • 21326

                      #2460
                      Originally posted by DwightShrute
                      <blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="und" dir="ltr">���� <a rel="nofollow" href="https://t.co/SG6sHx9H5g">https://t.co/SG6sHx9H5g</a></p>&mdash; Midnight Rider���� Chump for Trump! (@m1dn7ghtrider) <a rel="nofollow" href="https://twitter.com/m1dn7ghtrider/status/1323263993402839040?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" >November 2, 2020</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
                      Fukken little kids need to make memes to feel better
                      Comment
                      • RudyRuetigger
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 08-24-10
                        • 65086

                        #2461
                        Originally posted by Auto Donk
                        it is over........

                        just saw dem talking points being circulated; they're going to claim trump's win is a "red mirage" and that the vote is illegitimate....

                        they know they are on the cusp of losing big.....
                        harris county texas has drive thru voting?


                        wtf is this shit


                        and texas supreme court just upheld it?
                        Comment
                        • vitterd
                          Restricted User
                          • 09-14-17
                          • 58460

                          #2462
                          Originally posted by King Mayan
                          Fukken little kids need to make memes to feel better
                          Lmao. Yup
                          Comment
                          • RudyRuetigger
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 08-24-10
                            • 65086

                            #2463
                            Comment
                            • RoyBacon
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 09-21-05
                              • 37074

                              #2464
                              Originally posted by vitterd
                              Lmao. Yup

                              You would love Harris county. Generations of welfare rats.
                              Comment
                              • Judge Crater
                                SBR MVP
                                • 10-05-20
                                • 2024

                                #2465
                                I predict Republicans will overperform tomorrow and still lose convincingly.

                                I think I will bet balance on Trump in Wyoming, Alabama, and Biden in Delaware. Only concern is picking states that will grade fast.
                                Comment
                                • RudyRuetigger
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 08-24-10
                                  • 65086

                                  #2466
                                  Originally posted by Judge Crater

                                  I think I will bet balance on Trump in Wyoming, Alabama, and Biden in Delaware.

                                  so basically you are pulling an Otter type play?
                                  Comment
                                  • Judge Crater
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 10-05-20
                                    • 2024

                                    #2467
                                    What is an Otter type play?
                                    Comment
                                    • RudyRuetigger
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 08-24-10
                                      • 65086

                                      #2468
                                      Originally posted by Judge Crater
                                      What is an Otter type play?
                                      -600 or more

                                      Comment
                                      • RudyRuetigger
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 08-24-10
                                        • 65086

                                        #2469
                                        I kinda think that is a good strategy BTW

                                        I mean you dont have things like turnovers for a crazy ass result


                                        Maybe weather, but not as much this year


                                        If you have the money to bet 94cents to win 6cents, why not load up on these for sure republican states
                                        Comment
                                        • jt315
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 11-12-11
                                          • 21698

                                          #2470
                                          Originally posted by Auto Donk
                                          it is over........

                                          just saw dem talking points being circulated; they're going to claim trump's win is a "red mirage" and that the vote is illegitimate....

                                          they know they are on the cusp of losing big.....

                                          Yep ! Sounds like they don’t have too much confidence in the polls and their brain dead candidate .


                                          Scheming scumbags .



                                          Jen O’Malley Dillon, the campaign manager for Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden, said that “under no scenario will Donald Trump be declared victor on election night.”


                                          Ms Dillon made the comments during a livestream the campaign hosted on Monday.


                                          The stream outlined election security issues, Mr Biden’s various pathways to victory on Tuesday, and emphasised Mr Trump’s forecasted intention to declare himself the victor of the election before all the ballots have been counted.




                                          Comment
                                          • RudyRuetigger
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 08-24-10
                                            • 65086

                                            #2471
                                            alot of work for biden


                                            Comment
                                            • RoyBacon
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 09-21-05
                                              • 37074

                                              #2472
                                              Originally posted by Judge Crater
                                              I predict Republicans will overperform tomorrow and still lose convincingly.

                                              I think I will bet balance on Trump in Wyoming, Alabama, and Biden in Delaware. Only concern is picking states that will grade fast.
                                              Look at the midterms. Republicans over performed in battleground areas but under performed in blue areas.

                                              I think we see more of the same. But I could see Biden winning every close state. It is a possibility.
                                              Comment
                                              • homie1975
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 12-24-13
                                                • 15442

                                                #2473
                                                Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
                                                alot of work for biden


                                                ME MI MN WI go Biden.

                                                PA is where this election gets decided............ in court.
                                                Comment
                                                • RudyRuetigger
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 08-24-10
                                                  • 65086

                                                  #2474
                                                  just bet my last $4.10 on GOP to win by 30-59 at 10:1



                                                  Ive risked all 500 i deposited at that site so I am done unless i pound more beers and deposit more



                                                  Good luck


                                                  Comment
                                                  • GunShard
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 03-05-10
                                                    • 10026

                                                    #2475
                                                    Originally posted by homie1975
                                                    ME MI MN WI go Biden.

                                                    PA is where this election gets decided............ in court.
                                                    True. Those states control the outcome of this election.

                                                    This video interviews working people that depended on fracking in PA. Biden said he was taking away jobs from fracking is why Trump deserves to win PA:
                                                    Comment
                                                    • King Mayan
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 09-22-10
                                                      • 21326

                                                      #2476
                                                      Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
                                                      alot of work for biden


                                                      rudy drunk again
                                                      Comment
                                                      • vitterd
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 09-14-17
                                                        • 58460

                                                        #2477
                                                        Originally posted by King Mayan
                                                        rudy drunk again
                                                        The real election court battle will be sbr posters trying to collect from Rudy after all his election bets go down in flames.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • King Mayan
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 09-22-10
                                                          • 21326

                                                          #2478
                                                          he will be hiding like Putin’s bitch behind a fence.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • rkelly110
                                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                            • 10-05-09
                                                            • 39691

                                                            #2479
                                                            Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
                                                            just bet my last $4.10 on GOP to win by 30-59 at 10:1



                                                            Ive risked all 500 i deposited at that site so I am done unless i pound more beers and deposit more



                                                            Good luck


                                                            $4.10? Don't know where you bet, but the minimum at my book is $5.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • eidolon
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 01-02-08
                                                              • 9531

                                                              #2480
                                                              Originally posted by RoyBacon
                                                              No need to even predict Dems will claim they were cheated when they lose. It's a given.

                                                              They ain't boarding up businesses all over the country because they are scared of Trump supporters.

                                                              They already did in 2016. Hillary voters donated I think it was over $5 million dollars to look into voter fraud for a couple states after the election.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • asiagambler
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 07-23-17
                                                                • 6831

                                                                #2481
                                                                result from 50 states, District of Columbia not included
                                                                2901 Biden wins more states -115
                                                                2902 Trump wins more state - Tie -105
                                                                Is this free money ?
                                                                Last edited by asiagambler; 11-02-20, 03:08 PM.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • thomorino
                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                  • 06-01-17
                                                                  • 45842

                                                                  #2482
                                                                  Biden doesn't realize that the message he's sending with theses 10 person rallies, always wearing a mask, and praising Fauci, is that he will shut the country down again.

                                                                  The middle class can't afford another shutdown and that combined with his dumb comments on fracking are crushing him in rural Pennsylvania.

                                                                  I see Trump winning a close race in Pennsylvania as the most likely outcome.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • vitterd
                                                                    Restricted User
                                                                    • 09-14-17
                                                                    • 58460

                                                                    #2483
                                                                    Originally posted by thomorino
                                                                    Biden doesn't realize that the message he's sending with theses 10 person rallies, always wearing a mask, and praising Fauci, is that he will shut the country down again.

                                                                    The middle class can't afford another shutdown and that combined with his dumb comments on fracking are crushing him in rural Pennsylvania.

                                                                    I see Trump winning a close race in Pennsylvania as the most likely outcome.
                                                                    Fire Fauci is not a great message from trump considering that Fauci is trusted way more than trump. The Trumpvirus has hurt Trump....he was gonna lose anyway but this was the nail.

                                                                    normal people are appalled this idiot is holding super spreader rallies during the height of a pandemic. It’s really unbelievable
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • RudyRuetigger
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 08-24-10
                                                                      • 65086

                                                                      #2484
                                                                      Originally posted by King Mayan
                                                                      rudy drunk again
                                                                      which states are wrong?
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • RudyRuetigger
                                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                                        • 08-24-10
                                                                        • 65086

                                                                        #2485
                                                                        Originally posted by rkelly110
                                                                        $4.10? Don't know where you bet, but the minimum at my book is $5.
                                                                        predictit.org


                                                                        pay attention to the thread instead of the headlines dumbass


                                                                        i just created a new account and put $500 in it


                                                                        i bet all republican states and had 4.11 left over to bet

                                                                        4.10 went to 10:1 odds there

                                                                        fukkin clown show democrat
                                                                        Comment
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