How do you guys see the College Football playoff shaking out?

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  • Big Bear
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 11-01-11
    • 43253

    #1
    How do you guys see the College Football playoff shaking out?
    the way I see it


    Bama vs Oklahoma

    The Ohio State vs Clemson


    can anyone see Georgia or LSU sneaking past Bama?
  • juicername
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 10-14-15
    • 6906

    #2
    Wow, is it Jan 1, 2020 already? I must've hibernated longer than I thought.
    Comment
    • Big Bear
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 11-01-11
      • 43253

      #3
      Originally posted by juicername
      Wow, is it Jan 1, 2020 already? I must've hibernated longer than I thought.

      Sup Juicer

      who are you picking for your final 4?
      Comment
      • BigdaddyQH
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 07-13-09
        • 19530

        #4
        Georgia is finished. No chance. LSU can get there if either Ohio State or Oklahoma go into the tank and lose a couple of games. There is no way a 1 loss team who does not play in their championship game will jump another 1 loss team who is a power 5 conference champion.
        Comment
        • juicername
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 10-14-15
          • 6906

          #5
          Originally posted by Big Bear
          Sup Juicer

          who are you picking for your final 4?
          South Carolina for sure, other than that it's wide open.
          Comment
          • Big Bear
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 11-01-11
            • 43253

            #6
            Originally posted by BigdaddyQH
            Georgia is finished. No chance. LSU can get there if either Ohio State or Oklahoma go into the tank and lose a couple of games. There is no way a 1 loss team who does not play in their championship game will jump another 1 loss team who is a power 5 conference champion.
            in your opinion who has the best defense out of Oklahoma, Alabama, and Clemson?
            Comment
            • Big Bear
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 11-01-11
              • 43253

              #7
              Originally posted by BigdaddyQH
              Georgia is finished. No chance. LSU can get there if either Ohio State or Oklahoma go into the tank and lose a couple of games. There is no way a 1 loss team who does not play in their championship game will jump another 1 loss team who is a power 5 conference champion.
              how is Georgia finished?
              Comment
              • BigdaddyQH
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 07-13-09
                • 19530

                #8
                Georgia MUST defeat LSU to get into the title game. Their offense has gone from good, to average in their past 6 games. They are only averaging 21.5 ppg in their final 6 games. LSU's offense is much better, and has played much tougher competition. Georgia did not play the #1 team on the road and win. Georgia does not have the Heisman Trophy winner on their team. Georgia's loss came against an under .500 team in South Carolina (4-7) at home. That is a terrible loss.
                Comment
                • RM Logic
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 12-09-13
                  • 847

                  #9
                  LSU can lose to Georgia and they are still in. OSU can lose to Michigan and win the B1G title game and they are still in. If LSU wins I think Bama gets in over Utah.
                  Comment
                  • 2daBank
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 01-26-09
                    • 88966

                    #10
                    Originally posted by RM Logic
                    LSU can lose to Georgia and they are still in. OSU can lose to Michigan and win the B1G title game and they are still in. If LSU wins I think Bama gets in over Utah.
                    I think you right (assuming bama wins iron bowl) but i think it sucks. It’s a shame ducks losing hurts Utah.

                    On another note what I would find fascinating is if minny beats Wisconsin then beats osu for big 10 champ. I don’t think they going to but it would be a awesome scenario to see what happens! Surly they would have to put gophers in,, and if everyone assumption correct that LSU could lose to Uga and still get in then why wouldn’t osu still have a case? Osu resume is just as good as LSU and they stack up favorably in every metric, certainly couldn’t call that a bad loss., im so rooting for this to happen! It be madness!! Lol
                    Comment
                    • jjgold
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 07-20-05
                      • 388179

                      #11
                      Utah much better than Bama especially with Bama QB out

                      Bama beat nobody
                      Comment
                      • RM Logic
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 12-09-13
                        • 847

                        #12
                        Originally posted by jjgold
                        Utah much better than Bama especially with Bama QB out

                        Bama beat nobody
                        Seriously? Bama has like 9-10 players that will be drafted in the first 2 rounds of the NFL. Even with a backup QB they would beat Utah easily.
                        Comment
                        • 2daBank
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 01-26-09
                          • 88966

                          #13
                          Originally posted by RM Logic
                          Seriously? Bama has like 9-10 players that will be drafted in the first 2 rounds of the NFL. Even with a backup QB they would beat Utah easily.
                          By your logic they shouldn’t even play the season. Just pick the teams you like on paper.
                          Comment
                          • gojetsgomoxies
                            SBR MVP
                            • 09-04-12
                            • 4222

                            #14
                            Originally posted by RM Logic
                            Seriously? Bama has like 9-10 players that will be drafted in the first 2 rounds of the NFL. Even with a backup QB they would beat Utah easily.
                            i ultimately agree with you.......... but i've seen Utah in person recently and that defense is really formidable....... we might be wrong on alabama beating utah easily.... and this is probably utah's one shot as QB/TB combo graduate. some stud defenders too..... basically utah defense = behemoths up front and tons of good smaller players out back. not as big a focus on LB's as others teams.
                            Comment
                            • gojetsgomoxies
                              SBR MVP
                              • 09-04-12
                              • 4222

                              #15
                              so we are basically down to:

                              ohio state/clemson/LSU/4th.......... can they all survive a loss?........ i'm thinking yes, other than clemson (who won't lose anyway)

                              4th team = 2nd SEC (georgia, alabama), utah, oklahoma............. love to see utah in there, but if alabama beats auburn, i think they beat utah for 4th (and georgia might be alabama for 4th too).

                              EDIT: minnesota too if they beat wisconsin/ohio state back-to-back
                              Comment
                              • Big Bear
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 11-01-11
                                • 43253

                                #16
                                what if Ohio State loses to Michigan but beats Minnesota in the Big 10 championship?

                                would they get in over Bama or nah?
                                Comment
                                • gojetsgomoxies
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 09-04-12
                                  • 4222

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Big Bear
                                  what if Ohio State loses to Michigan but beats Minnesota in the Big 10 championship?
                                  would they get in over Bama or nah?
                                  i've seen expert opinion that was very confident that OHS can survive a loss....
                                  Comment
                                  • 2daBank
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 01-26-09
                                    • 88966

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Big Bear
                                    what if Ohio State loses to Michigan but beats Minnesota in the Big 10 championship?

                                    would they get in over Bama or nah?
                                    Pretty sure yes. It be a travesty if not.
                                    Comment
                                    • gojetsgomoxies
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 09-04-12
                                      • 4222

                                      #19
                                      a bit of work and odds are all over the place with different sites, but oddshark had an article on odds so i assume they know how to filter it properly. anyway, this was what they have for national champ.

                                      ohio state 2 to 1
                                      LSU 5 to 2
                                      clem 3 to 1
                                      georgia 8 to 1
                                      alabama 10 to 1
                                      ok 16 to 1
                                      utah 25 to 1
                                      min 100 to 1
                                      baylor 150 to 1
                                      cin 250 to 1 (this one has no chance but it's there)
                                      Comment
                                      • 2daBank
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 01-26-09
                                        • 88966

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by gojetsgomoxies
                                        i've seen expert opinion that was very confident that OHS can survive a loss....
                                        They should be able to but that why I find the gophers scenario the most fascinating cause they would have to put minny in if they win out imo. Yet osu still very deserving! I so want craziness. It dumb not to be enough teams to include every conf champion then a couple wild cards. If you want a real champ anyways. So far they haven’t managed that, they have just continued pitting the teams they think are best vs one another:,
                                        Comment
                                        • ArunSh
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 09-24-07
                                          • 6802

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by gojetsgomoxies
                                          a bit of work and odds are all over the place with different sites, but oddshark had an article on odds so i assume they know how to filter it properly. anyway, this was what they have for national champ.

                                          ohio state 2 to 1
                                          LSU 5 to 2
                                          clem 3 to 1
                                          georgia 8 to 1
                                          alabama 10 to 1
                                          ok 16 to 1
                                          utah 25 to 1
                                          min 100 to 1
                                          baylor 150 to 1
                                          cin 250 to 1 (this one has no chance but it's there)
                                          So they see to think Georgia is favored to get the 4th spot over Alabama currently? Dunno. Surely if Georgia loses to LSU, Alabama would get in over them though?
                                          Comment
                                          • 2daBank
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 01-26-09
                                            • 88966

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by ArunSh
                                            So they see to think Georgia is favored to get the 4th spot over Alabama currently? Dunno. Surely if Georgia loses to LSU, Alabama would get in over them though?
                                            Maybe they think utes jump bama and just have no chance to win the natty. That seems reasonable to me. Uga controls their destiny, bama doesn’t.
                                            Comment
                                            • packerd_00
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 05-22-13
                                              • 17820

                                              #23
                                              Hard to say,you expect a team in Oregon's position to knock the Sun Devil's block off,but they shit the bed. It's certainly possible one of these other top contenders blows their chances.
                                              Comment
                                              • 2daBank
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 01-26-09
                                                • 88966

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by packerd_00
                                                Hard to say,you expect a team in Oregon's position to knock the Sun Devil's block off,but they shit the bed. It's certainly possible one of these other top contenders blows their chances.
                                                I’m preying for anarchy!! I think gophers running the table would really Fukk shit up!!
                                                Comment
                                                • packerd_00
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 05-22-13
                                                  • 17820

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by 2daBank
                                                  I’m preying for anarchy!! I think gophers running the table would really Fukk shit up!!
                                                  You never know dude,could happen. Would love to see the odds on them making it.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • gojetsgomoxies
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 09-04-12
                                                    • 4222

                                                    #26
                                                    i think georgia would get in over alabama if they picked today. hard to say though, that's why conference championship games have been such a great addition. can you imagine the arguments if they didn't exist?

                                                    the big question is alabama getting in as 4th if georgia loses......... gonna be alot of controversy on that. of course, they have to beat auburn first.

                                                    all the candidates for 4th spot have a reasonable of losing a game the rest of the way...... so picking based on today is a bit of a futile exercise
                                                    Comment
                                                    • gojetsgomoxies
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 09-04-12
                                                      • 4222

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by packerd_00
                                                      You never know dude,could happen. Would love to see the odds on them making it.
                                                      40% x 15% or 10%......... = 4% to 6%........... of course, this assumes they get in with wins over W and OSU

                                                      EDIT, so it looks like this % is way too high.... teamrankings.com has it at 1%
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Richkas
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 02-03-08
                                                        • 19396

                                                        #28
                                                        Lsu...bet it now...it don't matter who else is going
                                                        Comment
                                                        • 2daBank
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 01-26-09
                                                          • 88966

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by Richkas
                                                          Lsu...bet it now...it don't matter who else is going
                                                          They not beating Clemson or osu. Defense is garbage, coach not very bright.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • gojetsgomoxies
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 09-04-12
                                                            • 4222

                                                            #30
                                                            here are team rankings % chance of winnning conference (non-betting so may not be efficient forecasts, but probably not way off)

                                                            bay 27%
                                                            ok 74%
                                                            ohs 88%
                                                            wisc 11%
                                                            minn 1%..... i would definitely take 100 to 1 (for fun, at least)
                                                            oregon 46%
                                                            utah 53%
                                                            georgia 46%
                                                            lsu 54%
                                                            Comment
                                                            • packerd_00
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 05-22-13
                                                              • 17820

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by gojetsgomoxies
                                                              40% x 15% or 10%......... = 4% to 6%........... of course, this assumes they get in with wins over W and OSU
                                                              Yeah I mean I've seen bigger Cinderella stories. Saw a 5000/1 team win.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • 2daBank
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 01-26-09
                                                                • 88966

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by gojetsgomoxies
                                                                40% x 15% or 10%......... = 4% to 6%........... of course, this assumes they get in with wins over W and OSU

                                                                EDIT, so it looks like this % is way too high.... teamrankings.com has it at 1%
                                                                I don’t see how they don’t get in if they beat wiscy and osu to win big 10? That would make this whole thing a total joke. They would have plenty more good wins than several teams being talked bout now (bama and utah), their only loss wasn’t bad at all, and they would win what I’d assume is ranked 2nd toughest conf at worst/.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • packerd_00
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 05-22-13
                                                                  • 17820

                                                                  #33
                                                                  I agree with Bank,if they can pull that off they deserve a spot.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • 2daBank
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 01-26-09
                                                                    • 88966

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by packerd_00
                                                                    I agree with Bank,if they can pull that off they deserve a spot.
                                                                    I don’t think they will but I’d love to see it, mostly cause wanna see this thing turned on its head. Lol
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • packerd_00
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 05-22-13
                                                                      • 17820

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by 2daBank
                                                                      I don’t think they will but I’d love to see it, mostly cause wanna see this thing turned on its head. Lol
                                                                      I'm always up for a flip of the script. We always see the same old teams in this tournament. Would be good to see a team like Minnesota or Utah get in for a change.
                                                                      Comment
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