Clemson v. Alabama - Pick

[RM Logic]

Alabama usually starts off these games slow so I think the 1st half under 30 might come into play.I think Clemson will try to run and will be conservative with Lawrence. Im hoping this happens again then pound the 2nd half over.

[dmncnlou]

What's so great about Clemson's defense?! For 2 years all you heard was how their entire ad line was NFL ready YET Quinnen Williams comes out of nowhere and has a higher draft grade than any of their linemen and won the award for best D lineman! I got this game 36-24. Tide

[DJK]

The way I see it, if Bama is that much better than Clemson and they are going win and cover the game, then the books would have made the Bama ML very expensive for people to take.

Instead, the Bama ML has dropped from the opening of -220 to pretty much -205.

It's still early and it can go back up, but if it doesn't and goes down any further then Bama is screwed.

If it goes back up and goes up higher than -220, then I'm screwed.

I'm praying it falls below -200 which then I'm totally set.

Just saying.

[DJK]

In my opinion, Bovada.lv probably has the most square bettors.

They have Bama ML so low at -200 (and the lowest of them all), they made it irresistible for the square bettors to take.

[Slipknot26]

Don't know , alot of Clemson D hype , they're good but Bama has talent at the skill position everywhere .

Expect simple RB swing passes a lot to offset the D Line , just like a running play , Bama did it 5-6 times vs Oklahoma to open up 1 on 1 with space for Jacobs , D and N Harris when yards was needed .
Yet Bama props overall , app 400+ total yards taking into account player props with Jacobs missing from them .

Tua O 276.5 passing yards
Like over simply because RB swing passes will get yardage, you get 1 breakaway , could he 20,30+ yards on it alone . They used many times vs Oklahoma and don't expect it to change vs Clemson .

Lawrence O 220.5
Either way , if Bama up , he should get this , if not , that doesn't bode well . But he will get some no matter what , I expect he goes after Surtain . If they're down , may get some easy yards later too .

DHarris O 49.5 rushing
Don't like this one expect it to go under honestly

I like N Harris O 45.5 rushing
Like Najee best of all them
#3 RB yet can take punishment due to his size and can easily break 1 with his speed , expect he gets more chances than D Harris anyway even though D Harris has avg nearly 6 YPC for his career at Bama .
He will take most of the running load attempts , Jacobs will be in for short yardage and passing plays , haven't seen any props on J Jacobs though .

[thomorino]

Don't know , alot of Clemson D hype , they're good but Bama has talent at the skill position everywhere .

Expect simple RB swing passes a lot to offset the D Line , just like a running play , Bama did it 5-6 times vs Oklahoma to open up 1 on 1 with space for Jacobs , D and N Harris when yards was needed .
Yet Bama props overall , app 400+ total yards taking into account player props with Jacobs missing from them .

Tua O 276.5 passing yards
Like over simply because RB swing passes will get yardage, you get 1 breakaway , could he 20,30+ yards on it alone . They used many times vs Oklahoma and don't expect it to change vs Clemson .

Lawrence O 220.5
Either way , if Bama up , he should get this , if not , that doesn't bode well . But he will get some no matter what , I expect he goes after Surtain . If they're down , may get some easy yards later too .

DHarris O 49.5 rushing
Don't like this one expect it to go under honestly

I like N Harris O 45.5 rushing
Like Najee best of all them
#3 RB yet can take punishment due to his size and can easily break 1 with his speed , expect he gets more chances than D Harris anyway even though D Harris has avg nearly 6 YPC for his career at Bama .
He will take most of the running load attempts , Jacobs will be in for short yardage and passing plays , haven't seen any props on J Jacobs though .

I'm not getting any prop bets in this game eon Alabama because I think their is a good chance it's a blowout and Alabama goes conservative in the 2nd half, I do think Jacobs props will be interesting,. he's their most complete back.

[Slipknot26]

Jacobs is a badass .
Youngster came from living in hotels , cars , he first arrived at Bama and slept on the floor because he was use to it .
He's a complete back that would rather hit than juke someone , just like the pass vs Sooners .
I do expect him to be used and do well just no props I've found yet . Great hands and overall RB

[thomorino]

Jacobs is a badass .
Youngster came from living in hotels , cars , he first arrived at Bama and slept on the floor because he was use to it .
He's a complete back that would rather hit than juke someone , just like the pass vs Sooners .
I do expect him to be used and do well just no props I've found yet . Great hands and overall RB

Yeah he was a 3 star recruit who didn't even get recruited in state.

[Slipknot26]

I'm not getting any prop bets in this game eon Alabama because I think their is a good chance it's a blowout and Alabama goes conservative in the 2nd half, I do think Jacobs props will be interesting,. he's their most complete back.

Understand , was just using with the Clemson D talk , that's a lot of yards that books expect Bama to get .
I would think everyone playing unders on props if Clemson D is that good .

[Slipknot26]

Yeah he was a 3 star recruit who didn't even get recruited in state.

Yep and the best back while having to compete with the 2015 and 2017 #1 RB recruits .
I expect he leaves early , he deserves it . Had a tough life and time for him to get paid .

[DJK]

Just saw this. The odd of winning my CFP bet just got better if that's true since it only means the public loves Bama by large.

https://twitter.com/DavidPurdum

National Championship line is down to as low as Alabama -5. At @SuperBookUSA, 64 percent of the bets, 73 percent of the money on the point spread is on the Crimson Tide.

[DJK]

Just saw this. The odd of winning my CFP bet just got better if that's true since it only means the public loves Bama by large.

https://twitter.com/DavidPurdum

National Championship line is down to as low as Alabama -5. At @SuperBookUSA, 64 percent of the bets, 73 percent of the money on the point spread is on the Crimson Tide.

If I didn't know any better, the books are on Clemson and they want people to keep on betting on Alabama.

They aren't lowering the line on Bama to -4.5 to balance the action. They are lowering so more people will bet on Bama.

[Slipknot26]

I'm not changing anyone's nor changing mine but do you really believe some of the things you type ? Actually I don't want to , my bet is the only bet that matters to me .
So it lowered , so you got a Lock ?
Bet more then .
It's like you're trying to tell yourself it's right that you bet Clemson +6 . It could be but don't buy into that BS books put out , they don't care what any gambler thinks .
Lot of thinking over a bet already locked in isn't it ?

[RiverDog21]

I'm not getting any prop bets in this game eon Alabama because I think their is a good chance it's a blowout and Alabama goes conservative in the 2nd half, I do think Jacobs props will be interesting,. he's their most complete back.

A blowout? That is absurd. Bama will lose straight up and I hope anybody who is stupid enough to predict them to blow Clemson absolutely loses their ass on the game because they deserve it!

[thomorino]

A blowout? That is absurd. Bama will lose straight up and I hope anybody who is stupid enough to predict them to blow Clemson absolutely loses their ass on the game because they deserve it!

Fuk off

[AshinKusher]

Trust in Tua. Gonna be Lei day at Levi. Defense about even gonna come down to QB play. Go with the champ

[ikid2groove415]

Clemson got the defense 2 stop Tua - not saying they will - must pressure and hit him - can’t sit back - Georgia had success vs Tua

[thomorino]

I'm adding largest lead in the game over 15.5 points.

[kufan11]

Not one to split hairs but ppl bashing clemson D, bama also gave up 30+ to arkansas who won 0 games in conference this year and 21 to Tennesee and 17 to the Citadel. Alabama also has their only true experienced edge rusher left Christian Miller listed as questionable with a pulled hammy. So i could see Clemson putting up some points.

[kufan11]

On Saturday, Nick Saban commented on Miller's status. “Christian Miller is questionable for the game. He hasn’t been able to do a lot in practice," Saban said. "We’ll sort of see what he can do today and sort of further evaluate his circumstance and see if he can be effective enough to contribute in a game."Obviously, it’s an opportunity for someone else. We’ve lost a significant number of players at that position, starting with Terrell Lewis, Chris Allen, now Christian Miller, which was a position that we thought was somewhere we had a significant amount of depth."

[KingHawkins]

Don't know , alot of Clemson D hype , they're good but Bama has talent at the skill position everywhere .

Expect simple RB swing passes a lot to offset the D Line , just like a running play , Bama did it 5-6 times vs Oklahoma to open up 1 on 1 with space for Jacobs , D and N Harris when yards was needed .
Yet Bama props overall , app 400+ total yards taking into account player props with Jacobs missing from them .

Tua O 276.5 passing yards
Like over simply because RB swing passes will get yardage, you get 1 breakaway , could he 20,30+ yards on it alone . They used many times vs Oklahoma and don't expect it to change vs Clemson .

Lawrence O 220.5
Either way , if Bama up , he should get this , if not , that doesn't bode well . But he will get some no matter what , I expect he goes after Surtain . If they're down , may get some easy yards later too .

DHarris O 49.5 rushing
Don't like this one expect it to go under honestly

I like N Harris O 45.5 rushing
Like Najee best of all them
#3 RB yet can take punishment due to his size and can easily break 1 with his speed , expect he gets more chances than D Harris anyway even though D Harris has avg nearly 6 YPC for his career at Bama .
He will take most of the running load attempts , Jacobs will be in for short yardage and passing plays , haven't seen any props on J Jacobs though .

Numbers have moved quite a bit from your post a few days ago. Lawrence up to 265.5 area, I am thinking to go under there. Tua up to just under 300. Any thoughts? N. Harris down to 39.5, may tail you on the over there.

[ByeShea]

Clemson ML, enjoy the game but no tears if they lose.

[Slipknot26]

Numbers have moved quite a bit from your post a few days ago. Lawrence up to 265.5 area, I am thinking to go under there. Tua up to just under 300. Any thoughts? N. Harris down to 39.5, may tail you on the over there.

Got in on N Harris O 36.5 ( 2.5 units)

Other Irv Smith O 30.5 ysrds receiving ( 1 unit)
Irv can break loose vs the Tigers LB , 2 catches should get 30+

I laid off the rest but Tua is getting 50+ yards off swing passes , expect 7-10 tonight to offset the Clemson D Line . It'll be close
Other WR could hit but like Irv better , best TE we've had and great hands .
Najee getting 70+ tonight

[Cuse0323]

Almost time to do this.

[HockeyRocks]

Roll Tide -5...

[KiDBaZkiT]

One of the highlights of the college football playoff for many coaches has been the coaches film room.

According to a report this morning, ESPN has decided to scrap the segment and bring in a bunch of other TV personalities for a “MNF Film Room.”

It was pathetic listening to all the guys that lost sit there and critique the guys coaching was clown shoes. Yes, shoes.

[Slipknot26]

Najee with 33
Irv with 29
Let's fukkin go

[Da Manster!]

well, I took Clemson (+6)...not only do I think they will cover but they have a good chance to win the game outright...as Cuse said, they have just as much talent as Alabama does...remember, ND was supposed to have a "great" O-line also and the Tigers front four basically raped and sodomized them the whole game...if they can do the same thing to Alabama's O-line by getting consistent pressure with their front 4 and dropping 7 back in coverage, it will be a long night for Tua and the Crimson Tide...even without Dexter Lawrence, the Tigers go 6-7 deep on their D-line and can constantly rotate players, stay fresh, and don't miss a beat...all I can say is may the best team win!..(or at least cover the spread...)

[thomorino]

Alabama is going up and down the field, that horrible false start penalty at the goaline and then kicking out of bounds turned momentum.

[Da Manster!]

Alabama is going up and down the field, that horrible false start penalty at the goaline and then kicking out of bounds turned momentum.

going up and down the field don't mean jack shit if you can't put points on the board and turn the ball over 2 times in the first half...

[navyblue81]

Alabama is going up and down the field, that horrible false start penalty at the goaline and then kicking out of bounds turned momentum.

Not sure you noticed, but so is Clemson. And unlike Bama, they're finishing drives. It appears you were way off on your prediction, bud.

[DJK]

going up and down the field don't mean jack shit if you can't put points on the board and turn the ball over 2 times in the first half...

^^^ This ^^^

[thomorino]

Not sure you noticed, but so is Clemson. And unlike Bama, they're finishing drives. It appears you were way off on your prediction, bud.

Fuk off

[DJK]

Not sure you noticed, but so is Clemson. And unlike Bama, they're finishing drives. It appears you were way off on your prediction, bud.

^^^ and THIS ^^^

[thomorino]

If you're going for it on 4th than run on 3rd and 6, bama's coaching has been horrible.