Saturday's P.E.P Thread

Minkus · 06-20-09, 02:29 PM

Originally posted by dreamjob

opened at 7.5 now its at 8 with around 58% on the over

It has to be cause of the wind......Just like this cubs game, ALOT of balls to the outfield...

This over has to be taken into consideration

TheIntegrityKid · 06-20-09, 02:31 PM

Yeah... Cubs over hit... but... let's get some picks in... we don't have too much time...

Minkus · 06-20-09, 02:31 PM

Originally posted by Razz_Donkey

Lets see if we can agree on MIL. Lots of support for it, here's some more for the last five games:

BA SLG BUL WHIP IP
Brewers: .308 .557 1.592 20.1
Tigers: .255 .485 1.543 16.2

Tigers are throwing a rook against Bush... even the line movement suggests MIL.

TIK, I'm with you on the other games. I don't like the Mets in this spot and KC looks valuable but risky. STL appears to be on a tear once again, and KC might be cooling down. Books in Vegas are getting hit by the public betting the Mets (86%) but they have calmly moved the line to near even money. I say we side with the books here and jump on the Rays.

no input. When betting with a first time starter pitching, is like flipping a coin....I just cant do it...This kid could be an allstar who knows

dreamjob · 06-20-09, 02:31 PM

The line makes a similar move in the Tor/was game. The public is all over toronto 85%. Dare I say we bet the nats

Minkus · 06-20-09, 02:32 PM

Personally

Royals over 8

I like also mets over 4 first 5...but im going to not touch it...

Minkus · 06-20-09, 02:33 PM

Originally posted by dreamjob

The line makes a similar move in the Tor/was game. The public is all over toronto 85%. Dare I say we bet the nats

Ill never bet the nats unless lannan is pitching, personally...but that just me

OB 2138 · 06-20-09, 02:33 PM

Dave Bush is a fvckin bush..but they'll win today.

dreamjob · 06-20-09, 02:34 PM

Originally posted by Minkus

Ill never bet the nats unless lannan is pitching, personally...but that just me

I have NEVER bet the nats

TheIntegrityKid · 06-20-09, 02:35 PM

Mil and Royals Over then??? Can we lock those 2 up?? Or atleast Mil???

dreamjob · 06-20-09, 02:36 PM

Originally posted by TheIntegrityKid

Mil and Royals Over then??? Can we lock those 2 up?? Or atleast Mil???

I like both.

paco · 06-20-09, 02:36 PM

I have card -1.5, mil -1.5, and mets -1.5

dreamjob · 06-20-09, 02:37 PM

Originally posted by paco

I have card -1.5, mil -1.5, and mets -1.5

All runlines, high risk high reward

LIKE IT!!!

TheIntegrityKid · 06-20-09, 02:37 PM

Okay... what else do you guys wanna add???

Razz_Donkey · 06-20-09, 02:38 PM

Originally posted by dreamjob

I have NEVER bet the nats

Lol, remember boys, I was on them yesterday, I'm too faint of heart to take them 2 days in a row.

Yes TIK, you have my vote for MIL, and I'll defer to Minkus here with the over in STL/KC. Public is split on that one but its still going up so thats a good sign for us.

paco · 06-20-09, 02:39 PM

Originally posted by dreamjob

All runlines, high risk high reward

LIKE IT!!!

very high reward if it hits

TheIntegrityKid · 06-20-09, 02:40 PM

Well have about 20 mins or so to get these picks in... Mil is a good pick, the KC over may be a good pick. Unless we wanna play them as a home dog...

OB 2138 · 06-20-09, 02:40 PM

Take the Jays..Gotta like the odds of the Nats not winning 4 in a row.

Razz_Donkey · 06-20-09, 02:40 PM

If we can decide on one more 4:00 game we will have ourselves an early warm up parlay...

Minkus · 06-20-09, 02:40 PM

royals def over...wind 13pmh AT the pitchers!

OB 2138 · 06-20-09, 02:41 PM

KC over? Carpenter is a beast.

dreamjob · 06-20-09, 02:42 PM

Originally posted by OB 2138

Take the Jays..Gotta like the odds of the Nats not winning 4 in a row.

Yeah me too. The nats for the first time this season have won 3 in a row. I like the odds that they are not winning 4.

Minkus · 06-20-09, 02:43 PM

like i said razz, i have no comment on the brewers play, but ill support the brewers if i had to choose -110 first 5

Minkus · 06-20-09, 02:43 PM

Originally posted by OB 2138

KC over? Carpenter is a beast.

Is he a beats with 13MPH winds blowing at his face????

TheIntegrityKid · 06-20-09, 02:45 PM

I like Carpenter as well...but the over looks tasty in this one...if not the home dog itself...

Minkus · 06-20-09, 02:46 PM

i just booked

royals/cardinals over 8 straight
brewers first 5 straight

TheIntegrityKid · 06-20-09, 02:47 PM

We should prob take KC as a home dog... Cleanup hitter actually projects a Royals victory...

Why not a 4 teamer? Mil, Tor, Kc, Kc over???

I know that's a lil big, but they all look so tasty!

Razz_Donkey · 06-20-09, 02:47 PM

You guys know where I stand, I've been all over the Rays here, but most of you guys like the Mets. It wouldn't surprise me either way, but I'm in the habit of fading the public more than fading the books... Its what I said yesterday about TOR/WAS, and its what I said about BAL/NYM the day before that. I've never known books to give out free lunches, which is what everyone seems to think the Mets are...

dreamjob · 06-20-09, 02:48 PM

brewers opened as a dog now a favorite

TheIntegrityKid · 06-20-09, 02:49 PM

Yeah, I'd love the Rays today, but I can avoid them for this...

dreamjob · 06-20-09, 02:49 PM

I'll take TB as well. I bet on those bastards last night and they lost. Time to get it back.

TheIntegrityKid · 06-20-09, 02:49 PM

So what are we gonna do???

Mil
Kc Over

nice lil 2 teamer as our first play of the day???

Minkus · 06-20-09, 02:49 PM

razz i like the rays as well i dont like the mets for today

Razz_Donkey · 06-20-09, 02:50 PM

Just caught this little update from a bookie in Vegas on twitter:

"Them squares really came in strong on them Mets so we got us a Sucker Fade. Also got us a slick bet on a Over and Under coming up soon."

"Go on and bet 1 whole unit on them Rays. Then bet 1 whole unit on the Over in the Cardinals and Royals game. Thats 959. And 971-972 Over."

TheIntegrityKid · 06-20-09, 02:50 PM

or

Mil
TB
Kc over....

Minkus · 06-20-09, 02:50 PM

This is what i suggest for the parlay

Royals over 8
Brewers
Rays