Is $10,000 enough to lay on the son of a meth dealer???
BeatTheJerk
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
08-19-07
31794
#2
"The Big Voice" I am the most interesting man in the world. I don't always tell the truth, but when I do. I still prefer to lie !
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pavyracer
SBR Aristocracy
04-12-07
82840
#3
I would bet $1,000 on +300 fading him before I lay 10 dimes to win 3.
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big joe 1212
SBR Posting Legend
06-01-08
19380
#4
Joba?
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pattymayo
SBR Posting Legend
05-19-09
10221
#5
It's not -300 for Joba, it's -300 because the Yanks won 8 straight and are the hottest team in the league right now. Plus their playing the lowly Orioles.. I haven't seen the line yet but I'm sure there's gonna be GREAT value in Baltimore.
As big a Yankee fan as I am, I'm pretty sure they lose tomorrow. They NEVER sweep the Orioles, gotta give Baltimore one outta three
I envision Joba doing well, giving up two-three runs, but the Yankee bats will be silenced and Joba never goes past the sixth inning, Yanks bullpen will show that despite the win streak, the bullpen still sucks and blow it (except Mo of course)
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Dank_Fire
SBR MVP
05-13-09
2274
#6
im sure there is better games on the board
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j0hnnyv
SBR MVP
01-06-09
3620
#7
they are going against adam eaton too he blows. id lay -1000
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pattymayo
SBR Posting Legend
05-19-09
10221
#8
theres never a bet safe enough IMO to lay 1000 to win 300
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milwaukee mike
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
08-22-07
26914
#9
actually it's 900 to win 300 but who's counting?
and if i gave you orlando right now +20 would you lay 1000 to win 300? i sure as hell would. don't let the fact that it's a big number scare you off IF the risk/reward is good.
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TheLock
SBR Posting Legend
04-06-08
14427
#10
He's -300 mostly because of all the square Metropolitan money going on him.
You're officially a square if you lay -300 on the Yankees no matter who they're playing.
I don't care if they're playing the ******* Bad News Bears.
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Tsoprano
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
04-14-08
26374
#11
Originally posted by pattymayo
It's not -300 for Joba, it's -300 because the Yanks won 8 straight and are the hottest team in the league right now. Plus their playing the lowly Orioles]
Exactly. People act like the lines revolve 100% around the starting pitcher. The Yankees are thriving from all angles right now.
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Bluehorseshoe
SBR Posting Legend
07-13-06
15006
#12
Originally posted by milwaukee mike
actually it's 900 to win 300 but who's counting?
And where did I say otherwise?
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Bluehorseshoe
SBR Posting Legend
07-13-06
15006
#13
Originally posted by Tsoprano
Exactly. People act like the lines revolve 100% around the starting pitcher. The Yankees are thriving from all angles right now.
You can't say that when the line is -300.
If it was Hughes pitching tomorrow, is it anywhere near the same number?
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BadBeatBodog
SBR MVP
06-05-08
1006
#14
Originally posted by Bluehorseshoe
You can't say that when the line is -300.
If it was Hughes pitching tomorrow, is it anywhere near the same number?
You realize this argument makes no sense, right? ERA under four versus ERA over seven.... Of course the odds are going to change if Hughes was pitching instead of Chamberlain. That doesn't mean SP is the only factor in the odds.
This line has so much more to do with it being THE MUTHAFUKIN YANKEEZ with a MUTHAFUKIN HUGE WINNING STREAK going against the terrible Orioles. People love to bet on the Yankees. Eff the Orioles they're irrelevant................
"Things happen for a reason, they say, but I say there's a reason things happen"
"Not everybody talks, but everybody lies / Not everybody lives, but everybody dies"
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Bluehorseshoe
SBR Posting Legend
07-13-06
15006
#15
Originally posted by BadBeatBodog
You realize this argument makes no sense, right? ERA under four versus ERA over seven.... Of course the odds are going to change if Hughes was pitching instead of Chamberlain. That doesn't mean SP is the only factor in the odds.
This line has so much more to do with it being THE MUTHAFUKIN YANKEEZ with a MUTHAFUKIN HUGE WINNING STREAK going against the terrible Orioles. People love to bet on the Yankees. Eff the Orioles they're irrelevant................
And what would the line be with Phil Hughes pitching???
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BadBeatBodog
SBR MVP
06-05-08
1006
#16
That's impossible for me to answer and irrelevant.
"Things happen for a reason, they say, but I say there's a reason things happen"
"Not everybody talks, but everybody lies / Not everybody lives, but everybody dies"
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Bluehorseshoe
SBR Posting Legend
07-13-06
15006
#17
Originally posted by BadBeatBodog
That's impossible for me to answer and irrelevant.
BS it's irrelevant. Hughes is -180, -200 the most!!!
You can't make a blanket statement about a team being that high priced just because they're hot. Not with a number that high.
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Shortstop
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
01-02-09
27281
#18
MLB lines are based on starting pitchers. Blue is correct here.
Would the line be -300 if the Yanks brought up a kid from A ball to start? I don't think so.
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Bluehorseshoe
SBR Posting Legend
07-13-06
15006
#19
Originally posted by Shortstop
MLB lines are based on starting pitchers. Blue is correct here.
Would the line be -300 if the Yanks brought up a kid from A ball to start? I don't think so.
Exactly. Thank you voice of reason.
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crisp
SBR MVP
06-02-08
1377
#20
i wouldn't bet against THE MUTHAFUKIN YANKEEZ with their MUTHAFUKIN HUGE WINNING STREAK because they can win MUTHAFUKIN 26 MUTHAFUKIN GAMES IN A MUTHAFUKIN ROW LIKE THE MUTHAFUKIN ROCKIES DID 2 MUTHAFUKIN YEARS AGO.
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danrman
SBR MVP
08-30-08
2696
#21
take balt
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jjgold
SBR Aristocracy
07-20-05
388179
#22
We are taking Balt
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darrell74
SBR Posting Legend
04-16-07
14648
#23
NYY -1 1/2
Why not?
Yanks are killing the ball
Jacking all kinds of homers
Do a Yankee run line/ -2 1/2 if you can get it.
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milwaukee mike
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
08-22-07
26914
#24
gl either way on this one.
matchbook has -274, i actually don't think it's as outrageous as some here.
i think there's a 73% chance the yankees win this game if you go listed pitchers.
"the trend is your friend"
until it turns of course lol
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Bluehorseshoe
SBR Posting Legend
07-13-06
15006
#25
Originally posted by jjgold
We are taking Balt
I would never bet against a win streak in baseball.
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jjgold
SBR Aristocracy
07-20-05
388179
#26
I know but -300 is hard to take
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pattymayo
SBR Posting Legend
05-19-09
10221
#27
take Baltimore. They will win today
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Crayzee
SBR MVP
10-27-06
4945
#28
Originally posted by pattymayo
theres never a bet safe enough IMO to lay 1000 to win 300
idiots who went all in on cavs ml found that out eh?
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Casperwaits
SBR Hall of Famer
08-25-06
5042
#29
Every time the Yankees are big favorites, they tens to keep the game close and low scoring. This game wil make both sides sweat it out till the 8th or 9th when the Yankees will win on a Damon dink hit or a passed ball by an Orioles pitcher. Yankees 4-2 final score.
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jjgold
SBR Aristocracy
07-20-05
388179
#30
Too much pressure betting a game like this, if they lose your down 3 units
No way
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AgainstAllOdds
SBR Hall of Famer
02-24-08
6053
#31
Lets see how many people get buried today betting the Orioles because they see "Value" in the line.
Originally posted by SBR_John
AAO = good dude. Buying you a drink in Vegas buddy.
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jsmithj88
SBR MVP
12-27-08
3591
#32
adam eaton stinks, the yankees could be up 7-0 b4 he gets pulled from the game
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darrell74
SBR Posting Legend
04-16-07
14648
#33
I got 4.3 units to win 3 units
NYY -1 1/2
I saw too much value in a run line
We'll see
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Casperwaits
SBR Hall of Famer
08-25-06
5042
#34
I am on the UNDER 10.5 +102
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pavyracer
SBR Aristocracy
04-12-07
82840
#35
Here is what you need to consider for the -300 to have value. If this matchup is played 5 times will the Yankees win 4 times? Because if it is played 4 times and the Yankees win 3 it's a push. If the Yankees win 4 out of 5 times means they will win 130 games this year. Do you think the Yankees will win 130 games this year? Then betting a -300 fav in MLB has no value.