Dollars2Donuts Daily NBA, NHL and NFL wagers

**Coreos** · 12-03-13, 11:42 PM

I'm in the same position. I have both TOR & Over and the middle is looking penetrating sweet for both. Not sure what to do - your sense tonight is a lot better than mine right now.

**Coreos** · 12-03-13, 11:45 PM

That 15 pt middle is so hard to overlook. Maybe for a small amount?

**Dollars2Donuts** · 12-03-13, 11:46 PM

Lol. you went with TO after all eh? It has been a tough night, so I am going to hold off....let it come naturally and not press to make up for it...even though I really think it is about as good a spot as any. GS can just put up so many point so quickly.....and no way Amir and Nowak hit so well in the second half. Derozan and Gay weren't even the biggest components of this lead. Me = going to stick

**Coreos** · 12-03-13, 11:48 PM

Originally posted by Dollars2Donuts

Lol. you went with TO after all eh? It has been a tough night, so I am going to hold off....let it come naturally and not press to make up for it...even though I really think it is about as good a spot as any. GS can just put up so many point so quickly.....and no way Amir and Nowak hit so well in the second half. Derozan and Gay weren't even the biggest components of this lead. Me = going to stick

Yeah, I thought about it and thought "D2D knows his shit"

. Man, so tempted right now.

Edit: Went ahead and hedged $50 on both GS (-9) & Under (102.5). That's the degen in me.

**iWin** · 12-04-13, 12:33 AM

Oh my goodness this Warriors game. Really exciting to watch, but I hope we cover.

**Coreos** · 12-04-13, 12:38 AM

C'mon Toronto, hold them off!

**vancapper** · 12-04-13, 12:48 AM

OMG TORONTO unbelievable.

**fitguy67** · 12-04-13, 12:53 AM

did the raptors leave the building...and donate their gear to a local hi-school team halfway thru the 4th

outscored 42-15 in the 4th...to give up a huge lead AND the 7.5 they were spotted...all in the last 6 minutes...

i absolutely loathe basketball in general, the NBA in particular

**iWin** · 12-04-13, 12:54 AM

Oh wow.

**malish** · 12-04-13, 12:57 AM

Toronto are you f***ing kidding me!?

**iWin** · 12-04-13, 12:58 AM

Unreal

**vancapper** · 12-04-13, 12:58 AM

wholey smoking, unbelievable!

**Coreos** · 12-04-13, 12:59 AM

God damn that was a bad beat. Motherfukking unbelievable. Toronto has ****** me again.

**fitguy67** · 12-04-13, 12:59 AM

did the raptors leave the building...and donate their gear to a local hi-school team halfway thru the 4th

outscored 42-15 in the 4th...to give up a huge lead AND the 7.5 they were spotted...all in the last 6 minutes...

i absolutely loathe basketball in general, the NBA in particular (i had already sworn off totals and negative spreads...prefer baccarat...now add in positive spreads as well...now down to the occasional well-chosen dog-ML and 2-team fave-ML-parlay)

Where amazing happens, indeed!!!

**vancapper** · 12-04-13, 01:03 AM

and anaheim loses in the SO.

**fitguy67** · 12-04-13, 01:06 AM

ANAheim better freaking win the shootout to take away some of the crap taste left by that basketball (seemingly-choreographed) meltdown...

faaaaak....i hate NBA with such a passion...will never waste another minute of my life watching that choreographed shit ever since the Spurs awarded the NBA championship they had just won in 6 games to the Heat...by blowing a 5 point lead with just 35 seconds on the clock...that any college-tourney team could have closed out easily

NBA smells like fish to me...i'm going to start betting it as "sports entertainment"...using plausible "story arcs" etc...just like freaking WWE!!!

**Coreos** · 12-04-13, 01:17 AM

Originally posted by fitguy67

did the raptors leave the building...and donate their gear to a local hi-school team halfway thru the 4th

outscored 42-15 in the 4th...to give up a huge lead AND the 7.5 they were spotted...all in the last 6 minutes...

i absolutely loathe basketball in general, the NBA in particular (i had already sworn off totals and negative spreads...prefer baccarat...now add in positive spreads as well...now down to the occasional well-chosen dog-ML and 2-team fave-ML-parlay)

Where amazing happens, indeed!!!

Between TOR and losing PHI 2H bet to a 3 pt shot in 2OT with .2 seconds left , this has been a shit day.

**frugalgambler** · 12-04-13, 01:34 AM

Rough day again, mainly in NHL. I am yet to see a reasonably successful NHL capper over the past two years (well, I saw one last year but he was from Sweden so I guess you have to grow up with that sport). So f.ck NHL. NBA is a whole other story. Good luck D2D.

**Jayvegas420** · 12-04-13, 02:08 AM

It's remarkable how many games the Raptors have played in where they have 15 point quarters.
Nov. 1st - 15 point 1/4 vs. Atl
Nov. 8th - 13 point 1/4 vs. Ind
Nov. 11th - 13 point 1/4 vs. Hou
Nov. 15th - 15 point 1/4 vs. Chi
Nov. 17th - 15 point 1/4 vs. Por
Nov. 20th - 15 point 1/4 vs. Phi
Nov 22nd - 15 point 1/4 vs. Was
Nov. 29th - 13 point 1/4 vs. Mia (Mia scored 12 points in that 4th 1/4)

....And that's just in the month of Nov.
Nearly 1/2 of those low scoring quarters were the dreaded 4th 1/4's.
The Raptors have always been an unpredictable & unreliable team. I know this because I am a Reverse Homer!
I was at the Portland game when the Raps came back in the 4th 1/4 from a 17 point deficit to force OT. They are capable of making unbelievable runs in the 4th 1/4 but, are more prone to scoring droughts in the 4th. I am disappointed that D2D lost because of this but, I can't say I am surprised.

Glad I was at work when this game was on, would have been tough to watch!

**Bettahs** · 12-04-13, 02:15 AM

Past 20 or so days I've been hitting NHL at 67%, NBA at 60%.

Parlays have killed me though, countless times I hit 3/4, 2/3 and such. Oh and Shootouts have also done some damage to my percentages, I'd guess around 5-10 % easy.

Thinking about joining Pinnacle, anyone got feedback? Or can say first hand they had a good experience?

**frugalgambler** · 12-04-13, 02:22 AM

Bettahs, percentages do not matter; ROI or units won is the best gauge of success or failure, especially in hockey where you rarely get a -110 line.

**snark** · 12-04-13, 12:00 PM

Even with the Tor melt down, still a winning NBA night. Where in Europe are you located?

**Russian Rocket** · 12-04-13, 12:10 PM

Originally posted by frugalgambler

Bettahs, percentages do not matter; ROI or units won is the best gauge of success or failure, especially in hockey where you rarely get a -110 line.

exactly...-110 line in hockey might come up once in every 100 games or so

**onemoregoal** · 12-04-13, 02:09 PM

Just commenting to keep track of thread... good luck d2d.

**Smoke** · 12-04-13, 02:47 PM

Bump

**RollinDo** · 12-04-13, 03:01 PM

Originally posted by fitguy67

ANAheim better freaking win the shootout to take away some of the crap taste left by that basketball (seemingly-choreographed) meltdown...

faaaaak....i hate NBA with such a passion...will never waste another minute of my life watching that choreographed shit ever since the Spurs awarded the NBA championship they had just won in 6 games to the Heat...by blowing a 5 point lead with just 35 seconds on the clock...that any college-tourney team could have closed out easily

NBA smells like fish to me...i'm going to start betting it as "sports entertainment"...using plausible "story arcs" etc...just like freaking WWE!!!

Sorry to hear about how you got knocked around last night. I had the Warriors ML in a Parlay and was so shocked to see they pulled it out...even more shocking was to see that my hedge of Toronto (+8) LOST!!!
Last time I saw the score was in the 3rd Q and Toronto had a 20+ lead...
So I pretty much broke even after Toronto lost...then I had Anaheim (ML) and of course, every time I pick them they lose!!! 3 times I've picked them this year and EVERY TIME, they lost in a shootout. Unbelievable!!!
Will be a long time before I take Anaheim...but watch - they'll probably win the division and kill my bet on the Sharks (+155) to win it.

**cburland10** · 12-04-13, 06:00 PM

Pics up soon? Good luck to everyone today

**Dollars2Donuts** · 12-04-13, 06:28 PM

Hey boys, sorry about the late picks. Last night was a little gross at 5-9, but we had some sick losses (Raptors being 24.5 points up at the half, a couple of OT losses in the NHL, etc.) It could easily have gone the other way. Anyway, on to tonight!

214301944-1	12/4/13 6:26pm	$105.00	$100.00	Pending	12/4/13 7:05pm Reduced Basketball 701 Denver Nuggets/Cleveland Cavaliers Over 201½ -105*
214301944-2	12/4/13 6:26pm	$52.50	$50.00	Pending	12/4/13 8:05pm Reduced Basketball 705 Phoenix Suns +10 -105* <small>vs</small> Houston Rockets
214301944-3	12/4/13 6:26pm	$104.00	$100.00	Pending	12/4/13 8:05pm Reduced Basketball 705 Phoenix Suns/Houston Rockets Over 212 -104*
214301944-4	12/4/13 6:26pm	$53.00	$50.00	Pending	12/4/13 8:05pm Reduced Basketball 708 New Orleans Pelicans -2½ -106* <small>vs</small> Dallas Mavericks
214301944-5	12/4/13 6:26pm	$105.00	$100.00	Pending	12/4/13 8:05pm Reduced Basketball 709 Detroit Pistons -4½ -105* <small>vs</small> Milwaukee Bucks
214301944-6	12/4/13 6:26pm	$105.00	$100.00	Pending	12/4/13 9:05pm Reduced Basketball 711 Indiana Pacers/Utah Jazz Under 186 -105*
214301944-7	12/4/13 6:26pm	$170.00	$100.00	Pending	12/4/13 9:35pm Reduced Basketball 713 San Antonio Spurs -170* <small>vs</small> Minnesota Timberwolves
214301944-8	12/4/13 6:26pm	$53.00	$50.00	Pending	12/4/13 10:05pm Reduced Basketball 715 Oklahoma City Thunder +2½ -106* <small>vs</small> Portland Trailblazers
214301944-9	12/4/13 6:26pm	$105.00	$100.00	Pending	12/4/13 10:05pm Reduced Basketball 715 Oklahoma City Thunder/Portland Trailblazers Under 205 -105*
214301944-10	12/4/13 6:26pm	$110.00	$100.00	Pending	12/4/13 7:05pm Reduced Hockey 2 New Jersey Devils -110* <small>vs</small> Montreal Canadiens
214301944-11	12/4/13 6:26pm	$137.00	$100.00	Pending	12/4/13 8:05pm Reduced Hockey 4 Detroit Red Wings -137* <small>vs</small> Philadelphia Flyers
214301944-12	12/4/13 6:26pm	$50.00	$60.00	Pending	12/4/13 10:05pm Reduced Hockey 6 Calgary Flames +120* <small>vs</small> Phoenix Coyotes

**cburland10** · 12-04-13, 06:36 PM

I was thinking about doing Coyotes Calgary over 5... WHat are your thoughts on that? NHL isn't my best but I know that Coyotes can break out and that Calgary has atrocious defense/goalie combination..

**High3rEl3m3nt** · 12-04-13, 06:39 PM

Gl, d2d, on the spurs (-4). Here's to both of us cashing

**CatHawk** · 12-04-13, 07:20 PM

Originally posted by cburland10

I was thinking about doing Coyotes Calgary over 5... WHat are your thoughts on that? NHL isn't my best but I know that Coyotes can break out and that Calgary has atrocious defense/goalie combination..

PHX lets up a lot of goals to the tune of 3.11 GAA. The desert dogs also let up a terrible 34.5 shots a game.

Goalie who has faced the most shots to date this year?? Mike Smith.

Calgary has the same problems. An abysmal 3.54 GAA.

That OVER might be safe here...

**Coreos** · 12-04-13, 07:21 PM

Liking the BB totals, especially the under on the Jazz and think the Suns should be good for 1H if not whole game.

**CatHawk** · 12-04-13, 07:23 PM

Man... I can't f*kking believe that shootout the Ducks lost. Took 17 shooters to score... Had the Ducks so that was a tough one.

**CatHawk** · 12-04-13, 07:26 PM

Trailing on Jazz game under and Devils SU. Might hop on a couple more later. See how the games go... Thnx D2D!

**Dollars2Donuts** · 12-04-13, 07:36 PM

Originally posted by CatHawk

PHX lets up a lot of goals to the tune of 3.11 GAA. The desert dogs also let up a terrible 34.5 shots a game.

Goalie who has faced the most shots to date this year?? Mike Smith.

Calgary has the same problems. An abysmal 3.54 GAA.

That OVER might be safe here...

I do not want to jinx this, but generally when you have a matchup like this.....the opposite happens. It is a no play for me, but if I had to bet I go under.....probably a 2-1 or 3-1 final.