1. 10-12-11 04:01 PM #71
    lakerboy
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    Quote Originally Posted by zsr View Post
    Or when buffalo wins, the "sharps" will come back and cry like they did when the giants got rolled by seattle..

    seattle was the sharp side in the giants game last week.
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  2. 10-12-11 04:02 PM #72
    zsr
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    Quote Originally Posted by k13 View Post
    Nah, the only time I would "cry" is that Giants/Arizona game. Otherwise you go with your play, win, lose, go to the next one. Long term game.
    I wonder why more people here dont share this approach..People get on tilt way to much and then throw away there entire bankroll.
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  3. 10-12-11 04:05 PM #73
    DrStale
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    Seeing over 70% on the Bills and the line is moving toward the Giants...
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  4. 10-12-11 04:09 PM #74
    k13
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    Quote Originally Posted by zsr View Post
    I wonder why more people here dont share this approach..People get on tilt way to much and then throw away there entire bankroll.
    Reminds of the people who deposit $50 into poker then sit down at the $1/2 nl table.
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  5. 10-12-11 04:15 PM #75
    obamaismyuncle
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    Quote Originally Posted by pavyracer View Post
    Then why aren't they -14 if it's the best play on the board?
    yea you're right...the best plays on the board are the biggest favorites
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  6. 10-12-11 04:16 PM #76
    k13
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    NFL public plays without a sharp line move are 10-34
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  7. 10-12-11 04:18 PM #77
    TheCentaur
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    This seems like a perfect example of the linesmakers stubbornly clinging to their original power rankings
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  8. 10-12-11 04:19 PM #78
    zsr
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    Quote Originally Posted by k13 View Post
    NFL public plays without a sharp line move are 10-34
    Are all those wins just the lions and the pack? Thats a crazy stat
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  9. 10-12-11 04:30 PM #79
    Goat Milk
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    seems like a fair line to me. game could go either way.
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  10. 10-12-11 04:42 PM #80
    pavyracer
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    Quote Originally Posted by cant call it View Post
    The Giants are -3 to get people like you to take buffalo.
    Then when the Giants win you will come back here and call BS on officiating or some players name's fault for them(buffalo) not winning.
    No if the Buffalo line was +3.5 -120 the public would pound Buffalo. But when the line is -3 all juiced up to -130 the books are begging you to take -3 Giants. Giants is the public bet here. Not Buffalo. Buffalo is the sharp play.
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  11. 10-12-11 04:51 PM #81
    No coincidences
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    Quote Originally Posted by pavyracer View Post
    No if the Buffalo line was +3.5 -120 the public would pound Buffalo. But when the line is -3 all juiced up to -130 the books are begging you to take -3 Giants. Giants is the public bet here. Not Buffalo. Buffalo is the sharp play.
    Again, where are you seeing this? Link?

    I can all but guarantee you the Bills are going to get hammered by the public both ML and spread. Haven't looked at the numbers, but I'd love for you to prove me wrong here.
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  12. 10-12-11 04:54 PM #82
    lakerboy
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    Again, where are you seeing this? Link?

    I can all but guarantee you the Bills are going to get hammered by the public both ML and spread. Haven't looked at the numbers, but I'd love for you to prove me wrong here.

    He cant and wont. Pavy has his own way of coming up with who is on who. Obviously the public would bet on a bills team that just beat the eagles and bet against a giants team that just lost at home to the seahags.
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  13. 10-12-11 04:57 PM #83
    No coincidences
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    Quote Originally Posted by lakerboy View Post
    He cant and wont. Pavy has his own way of coming up with who is on who. Obviously the public would bet on a bills team that just beat the eagles and bet against a giants team that just lost at home to the seahags.
    I'd be willing to bet Bills are the most popular dog play on the board this week.
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  14. 10-12-11 05:05 PM #84
    obamaismyuncle
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    Buffalo is the better team and will win.
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  15. 10-12-11 05:10 PM #85
    chopperocker
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    the line itself SCREAMS BUF +3 or pass......
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  16. 10-12-11 05:11 PM #86
    lakerboy
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    I'd be willing to bet Bills are the most popular dog play on the board this week.
    I see 70% on buffalo
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  17. 10-12-11 05:12 PM #87
    loopydude11
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    I guarantee a Giants win!!!
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  18. 10-12-11 05:24 PM #88
    onlooker
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    Sharp or square, Bills ML for me.

    Continue thread.
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  19. 10-12-11 05:49 PM #89
    Stevedore
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    This game is set up on a tee for the Giants. Both have byes next week, but the Giants are coming off a loss and need to win, while Buffalo had a big win over the Eagles last week. This is Cincy all over again for Buffalo except the Giants are even better, perfect setup for the G-men.
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  20. 10-12-11 05:51 PM #90
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by k13 View Post
    Because they are going to win. Best play on the board.
    agreed.
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  21. 10-12-11 06:09 PM #91
    BettingWizard
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    both will finish within one win of each other, I'm not seeing the "fishy" line here
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  22. 10-12-11 06:10 PM #92
    TehSharp
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    I have the Bills +3
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  23. 10-12-11 07:09 PM #93
    veeds1690
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    Quote Originally Posted by Stevedore View Post
    This game is set up on a tee for the Giants. Both have byes next week, but the Giants are coming off a loss and need to win, while Buffalo had a big win over the Eagles last week. This is Cincy all over again for Buffalo except the Giants are even better, perfect setup for the G-men.
    This.
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  24. 10-12-11 09:34 PM #94
    StackinGreen
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    Quote Originally Posted by k13 View Post
    NFL public plays without a sharp line move are 10-34
    Who determines the "sharp" line move?

    "Sharp" is the silliest, most overused term on this board and in the game in general.
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  25. 10-12-11 09:55 PM #95
    k13
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    Quote Originally Posted by StackinGreen View Post
    Who determines the "sharp" line move?

    "Sharp" is the silliest, most overused term on this board and in the game in general.
    That's a good question. I have my own criteria.

    But in truth it's an impossible answer.
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  26. 10-12-11 11:10 PM #96
    hitman09
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    Best play on the board should be Rams ML
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  27. 10-13-11 01:10 AM #97
    GunShard
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    No play for me.
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  28. 10-16-11 04:05 PM #98
    k13
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    Quote Originally Posted by k13 View Post
    Because they are going to win. Best play on the board.
    Is your question answered?

    But you see why I wanted the ML.

    Shit is fixed.
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  29. 10-16-11 04:27 PM #99
    loopydude11
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    the Giants were -3 because that was the perfect line
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  30. 10-16-11 04:38 PM #100
    BettingWizard
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    yep 100 posts about a line that was not even that special to begin with
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