Well this has taken me a lot of time to figure out, the EASY play looks like the under to me, but i am avoiding that for what i feel is the BEST play and that is....
CINCINNATI +2 1/2
Cincy is undefeated at home, and couple that with USF not being all that good on the road and in the cold and you have a home dog with an excellent chance of an outright win.
Also helps that USF's top RBs are both out!
UC has won three of the past four games against USF, which has yet to win in two previous tries at Nippert Stadium.
This is a medium sized play for me, but still something solid enough to stand firmly behind
GOOD LUCK!!!