My first day at SBR........

**alamo** · 03-08-13, 07:09 AM

Good luck with the plays buddy. Sorry we got off on the wrong foot. My bad.

**Gingerbread** · 03-08-13, 09:04 AM

Please keep posting your plays. I've been silently watching your picks the past few days and think you're doing a very solid job. You pick your spots well and I've been impressed with your WBC capping. I don't think anyone could've seen the Netherlands were THAT good. But, I was with you on Chinese Taipei, Japan, and the DR recently...all were plays that had good value, especially the DR considering the line closed at -185 with my book before the first pitch. Couldn't pull the trigger on Cuba last night though...just felt like there was too much juice. I'll start giving more input if that helps as I'm big on capping baseball/NCAAB and it seems you do a pretty solid job across the board at weighting your bets properly when you see a good spot which is what it's all about. Hope you don't think I'm some ghost account because I'm not a "SBR pro" and randomly coming out of the woodworks, just another guy who looks for quality input from anyone who has some to offer (which is hard as shit to find on this site). Ignore the haters because they will always be here. Hope you decide to keep posting, but if not good luck and I'll be looking forward to when/if you come back.

**Dollars2Donuts** · 03-08-13, 09:53 AM

Easy Peasy.....

CT made this way closer than it should have been....and in fact were 1 strike from winning it....Japan is still shaky and their prospects going forward are now in serious doubt....

Oh well, 1-1 and no money won or lost....let's get 'em the rest of the day....picks will be up in an hour or so.

**Dollars2Donuts** · 03-08-13, 10:40 AM

NBA:

167392670-1	3/8/13 10:39am	$106.00	$100.00	Pending	3/8/13 7:05pm Reduced Basketball 801 Indiana Pacers -9 -106* <SMALL>vs</SMALL> Orlando Magic
167392670-2	3/8/13 10:39am	$50.50	$50.00	Pending	3/8/13 7:35pm Reduced Basketball 808 Brooklyn Nets -6 -101* <SMALL>vs</SMALL> Washington Wizards
167392670-3	3/8/13 10:39am	$106.00	$100.00	Pending	3/8/13 8:05pm Reduced Basketball 815 Philadelphia 76ers/Miami Heat Under 194 -106*
167392670-4	3/8/13 10:39am	$107.00	$100.00	Pending	3/8/13 8:35pm Reduced Basketball 817 Portland Trailblazers/San Antonio Spurs Under 202 -107*
167392670-5	3/8/13 10:39am	$105.00	$100.00	Pending	3/8/13 10:05pm Reduced Basketball 820 Sacramento Kings -7 -105* <SMALL>vs</SMALL> Phoenix Suns
167392670-6	3/8/13 10:39am	$52.50	$50.00	Pending	3/8/13 10:35pm Reduced Basketball 823 Houston Rockets +2 -105* <SMALL>vs</SMALL> Golden State Warriors
Totals:		$527.00	$500.00

**Dollars2Donuts** · 03-08-13, 10:42 AM

NHL:

167392769-1	3/8/13 10:41am	$175.00	$100.00	Pending	3/8/13 7:05pm Reduced Hockey 2 New York Rangers -175* <SMALL>vs</SMALL> Ottawa Senators
167392769-2	3/8/13 10:41am	$55.50	$50.00	Pending	3/8/13 7:05pm Reduced Hockey 1 Ottawa Senators/New York Rangers Under 5 -111*
167392769-3	3/8/13 10:41am	$114.00	$100.00	Pending	3/8/13 7:35pm Reduced Hockey 3 Winnipeg Jets -114* <SMALL>vs</SMALL> Florida Panthers
167392769-4	3/8/13 10:41am	$135.00	$100.00	Pending	3/8/13 9:05pm Reduced Hockey 7 Chicago Blackhawks -135* <SMALL>vs</SMALL> Colorado Avalanche
167392769-5	3/8/13 10:41am	$64.50	$50.00	Pending	3/8/13 10:35pm Reduced Hockey 9 Calgary Flames/Anaheim Ducks Under 5½ -129*

**Dollars2Donuts** · 03-08-13, 10:44 AM

At this point I do NOT have a POD. While there are a lot of games at this point nothing is striking me as anything with amazing +EV. I will do some work later today and see if I can find a larger edge.

D2D

**Jayvegas420** · 03-08-13, 01:44 PM

What about the Lakers?

**Dollars2Donuts** · 03-08-13, 05:36 PM

Originally posted by Jayvegas420

What about the Lakers?

The Lakers have been money for me all season, but 7.5 points is too much to give here. The Raptors are playing loose now that they are pretty much out of it and they will want to make their one trip to LA this year count. I expect a good showing from the Raps, but I am only 60% sure they will cover with the +7.5....this makes the edge too thin to bet.

If you HAVE TO bet this game, the Raptors are the better side to be on.

**Dollars2Donuts** · 03-08-13, 06:03 PM

Ok, an added play.....I am not going to call this the POD, BUT it is close.....I may lay another $200 on the ML if it swing back in our favour. I am sorry I am late on this play guys.....we could have had 2 or even 2.5 this morning.....

167443449-1

3/8/13 5:59pm

$257.50

$250.00

Pending

3/8/13 9:30pm Reduced Basketball 876 Murray State +1 -103* vs Eastern Kentucky

Remember, this is not yet my POD, so let's call it a half a major play.....but we may bump it depending on the line.

**kuru** · 03-08-13, 06:17 PM

Hello D2D, How about OKC over 55 in first half against Bobcats. I believe this should be a good one. Want to know your thoughts on this and will lock the play.

**Dollars2Donuts** · 03-08-13, 06:41 PM

Originally posted by kuru

Hello D2D, How about OKC over 55 in first half against Bobcats. I believe this should be a good one. Want to know your thoughts on this and will lock the play.

Not sold. I avoid first half plays.....all of your info is out the window......2nd half plays can be killer if you are watching the game.....but first half, no matter what anyone else will tell you, are a guess imo.

**Coreos** · 03-08-13, 06:48 PM

Originally posted by Dollars2Donuts

Not sold. I avoid first half plays.....all of your info is out the window......2nd half plays can be killer if you are watching the game.....but first half, no matter what anyone else will tell you, are a guess imo.

This is so true, coin toss.

**kuru** · 03-08-13, 06:55 PM

Originally posted by Dollars2Donuts

Not sold. I avoid first half plays.....all of your info is out the window......2nd half plays can be killer if you are watching the game.....but first half, no matter what anyone else will tell you, are a guess imo.

Okay cool. I will stay out of it... Thanks D2D for your thoughts., Today I'm all in on your plays......

Good luck to all...

**Dollars2Donuts** · 03-08-13, 06:56 PM

Originally posted by Dollars2Donuts

Ok, an added play.....I am not going to call this the POD, BUT it is close.....I may lay another $200 on the ML if it swing back in our favour. I am sorry I am late on this play guys.....we could have had 2 or even 2.5 this morning.....

167443449-1

3/8/13 5:59pm

$257.50

$250.00

Pending

3/8/13 9:30pm Reduced Basketball 876 Murray State +1 -103* vs Eastern Kentucky

Remember, this is not yet my POD, so let's call it a half a major play.....but we may bump it depending on the line.

Ok, guys, we got some air here. This is NOW the POD.....book it and let's see what happens. Murray State is going to look for revenge in this game, it is at home, they are getting 1-1.5 points AND they could be the better team even if their record doesn't indicate that (the were 18 point favourites the last time they played each other). This basically means that our night rests on this game.....so, go Murray State!

Added:

167451852-1	3/8/13 6:51pm	$157.50	$150.00		Pending	3/8/13 9:30pm Reduced Basketball 876 Murray State +1½ -105* <SMALL>vs</SMALL> Eastern Kentucky
167451852-2	3/8/13 6:51pm	$150.00	$165.00		Pending	3/8/13 9:30pm Reduced Basketball 876 Murray State +110* <SMALL>vs</SMALL> Eastern Kentucky

**Gingerbread** · 03-08-13, 07:08 PM

Hey, D2D any thoughts on Mexico vs USA tonight? Basically a must win for Mexico with Gallardo on the mound and Italy pounding Canada today. US lineup/bullpen is stacked this year though compounded with Romo and company unavailable in the bullpen down the stretch could hurt Mexico a lot especially if Gallardo struggles. Feel like USA ML -290 might be the play even though it's a lot of juice in a spot like this usually, still undecided. Wanted to get your angle.

**Dollars2Donuts** · 03-08-13, 07:17 PM

Originally posted by Gingerbread

Hey, D2D any thoughts on Mexico vs USA tonight? Basically a must win for Mexico with Gallardo on the mound and Italy pounding Canada today. US lineup/bullpen is stacked this year though compounded with Romo and company unavailable in the bullpen down the stretch could hurt Mexico a lot especially if Gallardo struggles. Feel like USA ML -290 might be the play even though it's a lot of juice in a spot like this usually, still undecided. Wanted to get your angle.

It is a NO PLAY for me.....too much doubt on the ML at -290 and cannot trust Mexico plus 1.5 runs to have a shot either. I think the early game (Canada) has actually thrown a monkey-wrench into capping this game as well.....when an early game like that happens.....well everything and anything can happen.

If I HAD to play the game I would be on USA -1.5 at -155

**Gingerbread** · 03-08-13, 07:22 PM

Originally posted by Dollars2Donuts

It is a NO PLAY for me.....too much doubt on the ML at -290 and cannot trust Mexico plus 1.5 runs to have a shot either. I think the early game (Canada) has actually thrown a monkey-wrench into capping this game as well.....when an early game like that happens.....well everything and anything can happen.

If I HAD to play the game I would be on USA -1.5 at -155

Yeah I agree. Italy really shook things up with their win this afternoon. I'm starting to lean on the Over. But yeah, this seems like a bad spot...game could definitely go in many different directions, and the ML juice is just absurd. Thanks for the input. Good luck on your POD.

**Bmorex5** · 03-08-13, 09:56 PM

d2d what do you think about the lakers game on the over 207

**fitguy67** · 03-08-13, 11:53 PM

Murray State

**Kpn** · 03-09-13, 12:37 AM

Jesus, D2D plays of the day are amazing, I'm still in shock that the Spurs lost today I placed them in a couple parlays as (what should have been) lock filler, wowzas. Looking forward to seeing what you have going for super Saturday D2D! Cheers from British Columbia!

**tto827** · 03-09-13, 02:27 AM

Check in D2D, we got some early games to figure out tomorrow.

**Dollars2Donuts** · 03-09-13, 02:27 AM

Originally posted by Kpn

Jesus, D2D plays of the day are amazing, I'm still in shock that the Spurs lost today I placed them in a couple parlays as (what should have been) lock filler, wowzas. Looking forward to seeing what you have going for super Saturday D2D! Cheers from British Columbia!

Funny KPN, I am in BC as well.........

**Dollars2Donuts** · 03-09-13, 02:28 AM

Originally posted by tto827

Check in D2D, we got some early games to figure out tomorrow.

Hey....I haven't looked, how was your day?

**tto827** · 03-09-13, 02:32 AM

Originally posted by Dollars2Donuts

Hey....I haven't looked, how was your day?

No bueno. Moving on and forgetting about it. Good call on Murray St

Duke might be my play of the millennium tomorrow. The better team rarely loses on the road in this series.

**Dollars2Donuts** · 03-09-13, 02:36 AM

Ok, we avoided a few traps, got some decent luck and overcame a couple of bad losses in the NHL where we were on faves on the ML.

For the day:

10-5-1

+ $492.00

Totals (29 documented days):

211-156-9 (.575)

+ $5548.59

Play of the Day:

8-2 (.800)

+ $2504.43

As a summary....for 11 days the POD is going well.....one regular loss and a teaser that didn't hit for us. I hope people jumped on again today......another solid day...and soon enough our bet size will be adjusted again as our bankroll grows.

**Dollars2Donuts** · 03-09-13, 02:41 AM

Originally posted by tto827

No bueno. Moving on and forgetting about it. Good call on Murray St

Duke might be my play of the millennium tomorrow. The better team rarely loses on the road in this series.

Sorry man......I hate to bet against anyone, but revenge is such a big deal in the NCAA and that game had a revenge play ALL over it. I am glad it was a smaller bet for you (I had $575 on it on three plays).

I have one solid play in the NBA....let's look at doing a teaser with Duke....I haven't capped that game....tell me more about your analysis.

**tto827** · 03-09-13, 02:52 AM

Duke has lost once since 07-08 at UNC. And that was 08-09 when North Carolina cut down the nets at the end of the year. The road teams in this series do surprisingly well, and I don't think anyone would argue that Duke is not the superior team here. I'm a Duke homer, but this line is just absurd.

**Dollars2Donuts** · 03-09-13, 02:59 AM

Originally posted by Dollars2Donuts

The Lakers have been money for me all season, but 7.5 points is too much to give here. The Raptors are playing loose now that they are pretty much out of it and they will want to make their one trip to LA this year count. I expect a good showing from the Raps, but I am only 60% sure they will cover with the +7.5....this makes the edge too thin to bet.

If you HAVE TO bet this game, the Raptors are the better side to be on.

Damn, somebodies on fire....

**Dollars2Donuts** · 03-09-13, 03:12 AM

Her first day on the road....

**Dollars2Donuts** · 03-09-13, 03:27 AM

Here we go.....weeeeeee.....

167561645-1

3/9/13 3:23am

$232.50

$150.00

Pending

3/9/13 5:00am World Classic Baseball 982 Cuba -1½ -155* vs Chinese Taipei (Fixed Price)

**Dollars2Donuts** · 03-09-13, 03:30 AM

167561739-1	3/9/13 3:29am	$50.00	$75.00	Pending	3 Team Teaser (ties push) T tp 6½nfl 7fb & 5½bk
				Pending	3/9/13 9:00pm College Basketball 629 Duke +7½ -110* <SMALL>vs</SMALL> North Carolina
				Pending	3/9/13 7:05pm NBA Basketball 502 Atlanta Hawks +2½ -110* <SMALL>vs</SMALL> Brooklyn Nets
				Pending	3/9/13 9:05pm NBA Basketball 512 Denver Nuggets -9½ -110* <SMALL>vs</SMALL> Minnesota Timberwolves
167561739-2	3/9/13 3:30am	$50.00	$41.67	Pending	2 Team Teaser (ties push) T tp 6½nfl 7fb & 5½bk
				Pending	3/9/13 9:00pm College Basketball 629 Duke +7½ -110* <SMALL>vs</SMALL> North Carolina
				Pending	3/9/13 7:05pm NBA Basketball 502 Atlanta Hawks +2½ -110* <SMALL>vs</SMALL> Brooklyn Nets
167561739-3	3/9/13 3:30am	$50.00	$41.67	Pending	2 Team Teaser (ties push) T tp 6½nfl 7fb & 5½bk
				Pending	3/9/13 9:00pm College Basketball 629 Duke +7½ -110* <SMALL>vs</SMALL> North Carolina
				Pending	3/9/13 9:05pm NBA Basketball 512 Denver Nuggets -9½ -110* <SMALL>vs</SMALL> Minnesota Timberwolves
167561739-4	3/9/13 3:30am	$50.00	$41.67	Pending	2 Team Teaser (ties push) T tp 6½nfl 7fb & 5½bk
				Pending	3/9/13 7:05pm NBA Basketball 502 Atlanta Hawks +2½ -110* <SMALL>vs</SMALL> Brooklyn Nets
				Pending	3/9/13 9:05pm NBA Basketball 512 Denver Nuggets -9½ -110* <SMALL>vs</SMALL> Minnesota Timberwolves

**Dollars2Donuts** · 03-09-13, 05:38 AM

Originally posted by Bmorex5

d2d what do you think about the lakers game on the over 207

Sorry I did not see this in time...hope it went the right way for you.....

**Fishscale** · 03-09-13, 05:58 AM

Holy shit your on fire, I missed the Cuba play.

**Jayvegas420** · 03-09-13, 08:48 AM

Stay away from the over/unders and focus on your spreads.
You pick teams much better than over/unders.
nice hits last night.
I hope Duke pulls this through for you but, I am staying away from it.

**Dollars2Donuts** · 03-09-13, 01:02 PM

Originally posted by Jayvegas420

Stay away from the over/unders and focus on your spreads.
You pick teams much better than over/unders.
nice hits last night.
I hope Duke pulls this through for you but, I am staying away from it.

Thanks man, not a lot of $ on Duke and they re only in a teaser....so +5.5 points.

Traditionally I am a better O/U guy than even on the spreads....but since the All-Star Weekend everything has been backwards. My guess is that 70% of games have been the over since the break.....and it seems to be messing me up.