The line is moving in favour of Bucks, now it's -5.
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BURRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRPPPPPPPPPPPPPPp ppppppppppppopp!!!!!!!
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All good...I understand that.....Chnia doesn't win there 1 out of 100.....in fact they NEVER win that game......their odds were 0%.
That may be hard to believe....but take Netherlands upsetting the Dominican in the past and then times that upset by 1000.....
China had two hits.....the Cubans left a dozen guys on base and STILL won 12-0....this could have/should have/would have NEVER been in doubt.....China versus Cuba there would be like taking the Green Bay Packers and putting them up against the top high school competition in the country. Most of those guys are kids and have never seen international competiton....let alone good competition.
At the same time....I understand how you feel.....Comment -
Quote:Hello D2D, what are your thoughts on Bucks(Home) -4.5 against Jazz, with Al Jefferson not playing and Millsap time-time decision. Do you see any value here....
I do NOT see +EV here. At -3, -4, -5, or any other number. Too many 'funny' circumstances that I am not comfortable with....
GL with the game.Comment -
No additional picks until overnight tonight in the WBC. Sorry to anyone waiting....just not a fan of the majority of the games or of the lines....Comment -
dis muthafucka is killin itComment -
Well, I hope somebody else jumped on my 5 team teaser.....in the last two days we have hit both, so 10 for 10 on our last 10 teasers bets.
For the day:
4-1
+ $437.50
Totals (25 documented days):
181-137-6
+ $3545.76
Play of the Day (NO PLAY FOR TODAY):
4-1
+ $761Comment -
109-108.......
This is why I didn't play the game. Bucks were up 14 in the 4th and almost gave the game away.....the Bucks are playing nervous....I am not saying I knew it would be a loss, BUT I did like the other side better (I had Utah +10 on my 5 team teaset that cashed).
Keep asking questions.....and I hope my answer above helped you avoid this game.Comment -
You liking taipei to win tonigh against korea or you skipping itComment -
Sorry guys, the WBC cupboard is bare....no picks for tonight.
D2D
Tomorrow may be another light day.....I am liking one UNDER in the NHL, plus one NBA game ATS.....this is so weird.....as you know I am a 8-25 plays per day kid of guy (as you will see with 324 documented picks in 25 days!!).....yesterday didn't feel right and neither does tomorrow, so lets just keep it to the best of the best.
I will update when reduced juice wagers come out on 5dimes tomorrow.....and hopefully by then I have put together a proper day of wagers.Last edited by Dollars2Donuts; 03-05-13, 01:45 AM.Comment -
This is one of those games where the line was screaming out the right side. Books were begging for Bucks action at -4.5, knowing that a lot of people would bite due to Utah's recent struggles, all of the injury uncertainty, and Milwaukee's little surge as of late. Entertaining game, but glad I stayed away.
Oh, and nice day by the way
Last edited by StevenSuarez; 03-05-13, 01:45 AM.Comment -
I was going to skip it....but the more I think about it, the more I like Korea. They are a GREAT team, with great pitching and a history of success (WBC and Olympics). The BIGGEST reason I like Korea is that CT advances as long as they don't lose by more than 4......and that hurts teams chances of winning straight up.166843619-1 3/5/13 2:24am $50.00 $55.00 Pending 3/5/13 6:30am World Classic Baseball 974 Korea +110* <SMALL>vs</SMALL> Chinese Taipei (Fixed Price)
They are going to be sooooo concerned with not losing by 'too many' that I think the will lose a close one....but I bet Korea even gives them a scare with a 2 or 3 run victory......Comment -
What do you think of a parlay of: Brazil ML + Korea +1.5?Comment -
Honestly, I would drop the +1.5 and go SU....but yes, I like that play....watch though, Brazil's odds are dropping like a stone right now as all of the public money is going there. You will notice that I am sticking with my one bet.
I would rather you throw the $$$ on the O/U, under 7 in the Korea game and parlay THAT with the Korea +1.5.....I am thinking 4-2 Korea final.Comment -
Ok, I am thinking that this is my POD for today:
166857434-1 3/5/13 11:47am $50.00 $78.50 Pending 3 Team Teaser (ties win) T tw 6nfl 6½fb & 5bk Pending 3/5/13 9:35pm NBA Basketball 504 Oklahoma City Thunder -3½ -110* <SMALL>vs</SMALL> Los Angeles Lakers Pending 3/5/13 10:05pm NBA Basketball 505 Denver Nuggets pk -110* <SMALL>vs</SMALL> Sacramento Kings Pending 3/5/13 10:05pm NBA Basketball 505 Denver Nuggets/Sacramento Kings Over 218 -110* 166857434-2 3/5/13 11:47am $50.00 $43.48 Pending 2 Team Teaser (ties win) T tw 6nfl 6½fb & 5bk Pending 3/5/13 9:35pm NBA Basketball 504 Oklahoma City Thunder -3½ -110* <SMALL>vs</SMALL> Los Angeles Lakers Pending 3/5/13 10:05pm NBA Basketball 505 Denver Nuggets pk -110* <SMALL>vs</SMALL> Sacramento Kings 166857434-3 3/5/13 11:47am $50.00 $43.48 Pending 2 Team Teaser (ties win) T tw 6nfl 6½fb & 5bk Pending 3/5/13 9:35pm NBA Basketball 504 Oklahoma City Thunder -3½ -110* <SMALL>vs</SMALL> Los Angeles Lakers Pending 3/5/13 10:05pm NBA Basketball 505 Denver Nuggets/Sacramento Kings Over 218 -110* 166857434-4 3/5/13 11:47am $50.00 $43.48 Pending 2 Team Teaser (ties win) T tw 6nfl 6½fb & 5bk Pending 3/5/13 10:05pm NBA Basketball 505 Denver Nuggets pk -110* <SMALL>vs</SMALL> Sacramento Kings Pending 3/5/13 10:05pm NBA Basketball 505 Denver Nuggets/Sacramento Kings Over 218 -110*
I will be posting a few other things throughout the day, but I would highly recommend getting a few $$$ on this teaser. In my mind we are risking $106 to win $200.....I am sure that at least 2 of the three will happen, and I am thinking 60/40 that we close this out.....and at almost 2 to 1 I love this play.Comment -
Hey throw a few bucks on Radford +1.5Comment -
Good luck D2DComment -
Ok, here are our hockey picks for the day....remember $50 is like a 1 unit play....I like these games but none of them are big play games.
166869681-1 3/5/13 2:31pm $60.00 $50.00 Pending 3/5/13 7:05pm Reduced Hockey 51 Edmonton Oilers -120* <SMALL>vs</SMALL> Columbus Blue Jackets 166869681-2 3/5/13 2:31pm $50.00 $56.00 Pending 3/5/13 7:05pm Reduced Hockey 53 Tampa Bay Lightning +112* <SMALL>vs</SMALL> New Jersey Devils 166869681-3 3/5/13 2:31pm $70.50 $50.00 Pending 3/5/13 7:05pm Reduced Hockey 55 Boston Bruins/Washington Capitals Under 5½ -141* 166869681-4 3/5/13 2:31pm $50.00 $56.50 Pending 3/5/13 7:05pm Reduced Hockey 57 Buffalo Sabres +113* <SMALL>vs</SMALL> Carolina Hurricanes 166869681-5 3/5/13 2:31pm $71.00 $50.00 Pending 3/5/13 7:35pm Reduced Hockey 61 Philadelphia Flyers/New York Rangers Under 5½ -142* 166869681-6 3/5/13 2:31pm $85.50 $50.00 Pending 3/5/13 8:35pm Reduced Hockey 68 Chicago Blackhawks -171* <SMALL>vs</SMALL> Minnesota Wild Comment -
This is our only play in the NBA today (aside from our teaser action). I know many of you 'cappers don't like negative ML plays, but Denver wins this game 8 times out of 10 minimum.....creating +EV of 13 points. There is no way SAC interior defense will stop the Nuggets and Gallinari is getting healthier by the day and is going to look to make up for 14 points is his last two contests. Sacramento will be jacking threes up all game to try and keep up, so the over, even though it is at 223.5 is also a consideration (though I am calling it a NO PLAY for me).166870119-1 3/5/13 2:36pm $185.00 $100.00 Pending 3/5/13 10:05pm Reduced Basketball 505 Denver Nuggets -185* <SMALL>vs</SMALL> Sacramento Kings
Good Luck e1Comment -
Hello B2B,
In the above teasers, if atleast one team doesn't cover the spread(Thunder -3.5,Denver PK, Den/Sac Over 219), we are like loosing 3 teasers. So, we end up in loss. To close in profits, all these spreads should be covered.
How come we are risking $106. Here, we are risking $200 for $208. Lets say if Den/Sac Over 219 doesn't cover. We will end up winning only 1 teaser which gives us 94$ (including the risked amount) means loss of 106$
Now, I got ur point while i'm typing this message. we are risking this 106$ for the 200$.
Gotcha.. You are awesome man....
Good Luck...Comment -
Long first dayComment -
OK, for later tonight at the WBC:
166978597-1 3/5/13 11:04pm $132.00 $80.00 Pending 3/6/13 5:00am World Classic Baseball 921 Japan +1½ -165* <SMALL>vs</SMALL> Cuba (Fixed Price) 166978597-2 3/5/13 11:04pm $50.00 $55.00 Pending 3/6/13 5:00am World Classic Baseball 921 Japan +110* <SMALL>vs</SMALL> Cuba (Fixed Price) 166978597-3 3/5/13 11:04pm $50.00 $57.50 Pending 3/6/13 5:00am World Classic Baseball 921 Japan/Cuba Over 7½ +115* (Fixed Price)
Wilber Perez was not originally even an invite to the 45 mn tryout roster for Team Cuba. At 38 years old he has no international competition under his belt, and while he has pitched very well the last two years, this Japanese team may pick him apart with their perfect technique. I know everybody is on Cuba here, but I think the value is definitely with Japan. They are playing at home, they are starting a pitcher with TONS of international experience....AND....Cuba's manager has already said the thing that they are most excited about is moving on to the next round (they have it clinched).
I feel great about Japan +1.5 runs, I feel good about Japan SU and I am not so sure about the O/U....I think I may have let my heart creep into it, hoping to an exciting 5-4 game.
Sorry about hockey tonight....2-4 is never a good night.....and the picks in the NBA are still alive, but don't look as good as I would have hoped at this point.
GL
Wilber PerezComment -
Got two live bets in on Bodog, live betting.....
Mar 05, 2013 07:47:31 PM Live Betting #287516316
Live Moneyline
1st Period 11:59
San Jose Sharks at Vancouver Canucks
"Canucks" +115 Mar 05/13@07:00pWeb CA$ 50.00 CA$ 57.50
Mar 05, 2013 07:48:05 PM Live Betting #287516341
Live 2nd Period Over/Under (1.5)
2nd Period 20:00
San Jose Sharks at Vancouver Canucks
"Over 1.5" -111 Mar 05/13@07:00p
Outcome: Win
Date settled: Mar 05, 2013 08:27:54 PMWeb CA$ 50.00 CA$ 45.04 Comment -
Ok, the night isn't over, but I just wanted to clarify something....
When using TEASERS in my stats, I count the entire teaser as a wager. If we hit 5 for 5 that counts as a 1-0, or as a win. If we pick 4/5 on a single teaser it is a LOSS, if we go 4/5 on a combo teaser that counts as a no-play or a push as those are generally break even bets.
If anyone has issues with my math or the way I am grading wagers, please let me know. If anyone wants pics or screen shots, and they are an established SBR pro, I will consider that. At this point I hope I can help some people with their choices, and establish myself as somebody that is serious about capping. You will NEVER hear about a jinx thread or a reversal or anything...and I will always try to answer all questions and to the best of my ability.Comment -
And congrats to anyone that played my teaser again tonight....we are 3 for our lst 3, hitting 13 straight teaser plays....and 5-1 since I starting posting teasers and teaser combos.
I will post my end of the day summary in an hour or so.
D2DComment -
Ok, today's summary:
For the day:
5-4
+ $218.50
Totals (26 documented days):
186-141-6
+ $3764.26
Play of the Day:
5-1
+ $970.00
Good luck in the WBC tonight if anyone is on it.Comment -
Thx for the teasers today d2d u got me out of a jam tonight man appreciate all the picks and help lately you have any WBC picks to get me back on the green side for tonight thx a lot again Man U been on point!!!Comment
