Notre Dame/Alabama Smartest Bet

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  • Seaweed
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 01-19-12
    • 26318

    #1
    Notre Dame/Alabama Smartest Bet
    FIRST HALF OVER 20.5

    This is the sharpest bet on the board for tomorrow's game.

    I simulated the first half with all the information and it outputted 24 points in the first half. That's a 3 point cushion.

    Good luck.
  • PhillyFlyers
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 09-27-11
    • 8245

    #2
    Holy shit, pound the under.
    Comment
    • Seaweed
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 01-19-12
      • 26318

      #3
      Originally posted by PhillyFlyers
      Holy shit, pound the under.

      Comment
      • darrell74
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 04-16-07
        • 14648

        #4
        Comment
        • Domestic
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 02-10-09
          • 6323

          #5
          Could not bring myself to bet an over in a Notre Dame game, could end up being a field goal fest.
          Comment
          • Seaweed
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 01-19-12
            • 26318

            #6
            Originally posted by Domestic
            Could not bring myself to bet an over in a Notre Dame game, could end up being a field goal fest.
            Notre Dame could have 3 points at half and still go over. Simulations are usually accurate, especially if it's 3 points above the spread. With most of the public on the under, it is too beautiful to pass up.
            Comment
            • Domestic
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 02-10-09
              • 6323

              #7
              Originally posted by Seaweed
              Notre Dame could have 3 points at half and still go over. Simulations are usually accurate, especially if it's 3 points above the spread. With most of the public on the under, it is too beautiful to pass up.
              That kind of scenario is fine with me, I took Alabama at the spread. Hopefully we can both cash tomorrow/tonight.
              Comment
              • shaunovery
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 11-15-07
                • 18143

                #8
                This could be a 13-10 sort of game take the under
                Comment
                • GoldGlove
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 08-10-12
                  • 383

                  #9
                  Under it is
                  Comment
                  • The Giant
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 01-21-12
                    • 21480

                    #10
                    If this is the smartest bet, I would hate to see what the least intelligent bet is.

                    If this play loses, Seaweed, I might have to put you on a weeklong posting restriction. You need to clear your head.
                    Comment
                    • Iwinyourmoney
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 04-18-07
                      • 18368

                      #11
                      3 point cushion on a total represents a sharp play???


                      Sharp cushions on totals are 8 or more.

                      Just like your redskins super playoff play write up....horrible.

                      Seaweed nation down to its final few followers, the rest have gone broke quicker then betislands
                      Comment
                      • jayc88
                        Restricted User
                        • 12-30-07
                        • 6785

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Iwinyourmoney
                        3 point cushion on a total represents a sharp play???


                        Sharp cushions on totals are 8 or more.

                        Just like your redskins super playoff play write up....horrible.

                        Seaweed nation down to its final few followers, the rest have gone broke quicker then betislands
                        8 points difference on a 1st half total lol
                        Comment
                        • GoldGlove
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 08-10-12
                          • 383

                          #13
                          Originally posted by jayc88
                          8 points difference on a 1st half total lol
                          you have to read between the lines. if 8 pts difference is considered a "sharp cushion", then a 1st H bet, NO MATTER WHICH ONE, can't be considered sharp.
                          Comment
                          • GunShard
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 03-05-10
                            • 10031

                            #14
                            I have the 41.5 Under for the game. Also teased down in a teaser.
                            Comment
                            • Iwinyourmoney
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 04-18-07
                              • 18368

                              #15
                              Originally posted by jayc88
                              8 points difference on a 1st half total lol
                              meant for a whole game obviously. The point I was trying to make is what someone caps as 3 point cushion doesn't make shit sharp, it just makes it a play
                              Comment
                              • RG3ING
                                SBR MVP
                                • 09-14-12
                                • 1622

                                #16
                                Bama will cover it alone prolly 17-21 pts in 1st half ? Is do the Irish score
                                Comment
                                • Iwinyourmoney
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 04-18-07
                                  • 18368

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by GoldGlove
                                  you have to read between the lines. if 8 pts difference is considered a "sharp cushion", then a 1st H bet, NO MATTER WHICH ONE, can't be considered sharp.
                                  Guy has a gold glove for a fukin reason.

                                  Sharp
                                  Comment
                                  • ChalkyDog
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 10-02-11
                                    • 9598

                                    #18
                                    Couldn't imagine betting all games where I find at least a 3pt "cushion".

                                    Good luck, man!

                                    I feel these guys will start out slow, but nothing concrete to base that on.
                                    Comment
                                    • Seaweed
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 01-19-12
                                      • 26318

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by ChalkyDog
                                      Couldn't imagine betting all games where I find at least a 3pt "cushion".

                                      Good luck, man!

                                      I feel these guys will start out slow, but nothing concrete to base that on.
                                      Comment
                                      • EaglesPhan36
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 12-06-06
                                        • 71662

                                        #20
                                        Only way this would have a shot IMO is turnovers deep inside opposition territory or for scores, otherwise this shapes up at least on paper like a carbon copy of 'Bama-LSU from last year. I'd expect 17 points tops in the 1st half.
                                        Comment
                                        • TheBetBuysDanK
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 10-15-09
                                          • 1998

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                                          Only way this would have a shot IMO is turnovers deep inside opposition territory or for scores, otherwise this shapes up at least on paper like a carbon copy of 'Bama-LSU from last year. I'd expect 17 points tops in the 1st half.
                                          Comment
                                          • Seaweed
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 01-19-12
                                            • 26318

                                            #22
                                            Everybody on the board and their sister are on the under. Should tell you enough
                                            Comment
                                            • Axis
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 01-08-09
                                              • 1255

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by Seaweed
                                              Everybody on the board and their sister are on the under. Should tell you enough
                                              It tells me that the public does win from time to time...ask Vegas how the NFL weekend went for them.
                                              Comment
                                              • Seaweed
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 01-19-12
                                                • 26318

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by Axis
                                                It tells me that the public does win from time to time...ask Vegas how the NFL weekend went for them.
                                                Which is why they will make it back tonight
                                                Comment
                                                • Vegas39
                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                  • 09-22-11
                                                  • 30686

                                                  #25
                                                  Under for sure now
                                                  Comment
                                                  • SEAHAWKHARRY
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 11-29-07
                                                    • 26068

                                                    #26
                                                    Im on over 20 even though Seaweed is wrong alot lately....but I see 24-27 points scored 1st half
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Seaweed
                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                      • 01-19-12
                                                      • 26318

                                                      #27




                                                      Check the score total
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Seaweed
                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                        • 01-19-12
                                                        • 26318

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by SEAHAWKHARRY
                                                        Im on over 20 even though Seaweed is wrong alot lately....but I see 24-27 points scored 1st half
                                                        Comment
                                                        • pinnacle420
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 10-01-12
                                                          • 6254

                                                          #29
                                                          the play is nd plus 10.5!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! bama aint shit!!!! aint the same bama team as years before they cant pass for shit and they cant defend a moblie qb.... i think the irish shock the betting public tonight with a complete burial!!!!! i hope manti breaks aj's knees... oh ya F UCK SABIN TOO
                                                          Comment
                                                          • elchristo
                                                            SBR Hustler
                                                            • 12-23-12
                                                            • 65

                                                            #30
                                                            right now i got in a parlay nd at +20, over 31 and under 51 what do you guys think of that
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Marigold HD
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 09-03-07
                                                              • 5053

                                                              #31
                                                              Under is the play.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Seaweed
                                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                • 01-19-12
                                                                • 26318

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by Marigold HD
                                                                Under is the play.

                                                                Over.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Seaweed
                                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                  • 01-19-12
                                                                  • 26318

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Congratulations Seaweed Nation and all the faithful who followed our play. This was easy as projected and was the smartest play on the board.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • SportsPedagogy
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 02-13-11
                                                                    • 3691

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Seaweed
                                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                      • 01-19-12
                                                                      • 26318

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by SportsPedagogy
                                                                      If this play lost the thread would be 7 pages. The lack of appreciation saddens me.
                                                                      Comment
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