Bears are desperate, this is a revenge game, GB been bad on the road...
Take the home team on the ML.
Comment
PAULYPOKER
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
12-06-08
36581
#37
Originally posted by PAULYPOKER
Green Bay$523,520 Chicago$24,282
Half million$ more on G-Bay and the line is in a coma
Bears are gonna pull a miracle come Sunday just you wait and see........
Green Bay$601,794.00 Chicago$30,030.00
.67 mil difference,STOP
Comment
PAULYPOKER
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
12-06-08
36581
#38
The line movement is clinically brain dead,
time to pull plug I guess.................
Comment
sweethook
SBR Posting Legend
11-21-07
12667
#39
dam , somethings up
Comment
Stevedore
SBR MVP
11-10-10
1218
#40
Originally posted by PAULYPOKER
The line movement is clinically brain dead,
time to pull plug I guess.................
Who wants to tail Cutler and his 16 int's against GB since 09? I guess you do!
Comment
lakerboy
SBR Aristocracy
04-02-09
94379
#41
It took ages for a ml to come out, the line is spot on. It was -3 in the nfc title game as well two years ago. Sure the bears could win but let's be real the bears are just awful right now. They need 3 special teams td's to win.
Comment
PAULYPOKER
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
12-06-08
36581
#42
Originally posted by lakerboy
It took ages for a ml to come out, the line is spot on. It was -3 in the nfc title game as well two years ago. Sure the bears could win but let's be real the bears are just awful right now. They need 3 special teams td's to win.
The line was spot on when released but it should of moved to at least -6,5 by now.............
Comment
PAULYPOKER
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
12-06-08
36581
#43
Originally posted by Stevedore
Who wants to tail Cutler and his 16 int's against GB since 09? I guess you do!
Do you think the books are gonna hand over a half mil out for free ?
Do you even understand how line adjustment manipulates the market?
Comment
Tommy Blingshyne
SBR Wise Guy
12-11-12
821
#44
Originally posted by PAULYPOKER
Do you think the books are gonna hand over a half mil out for free ?
Do you even understand how line adjustment manipulates the market?
doesnt this imply some kind of fix then? i mean, the game still has to be played by the players, not the bookies...its def. very odd that the line hasnt moved and could certainly result in a public burial but line movement aside, is it not reasonable to favor the pack in this game?
Comment
Tommy Blingshyne
SBR Wise Guy
12-11-12
821
#45
just seems like the bears are trending down while the pack is trending up, both teams are banged up but the bears look more banged up, the packers own the bears in this series in recent years, cutler struggles against the pack and hes "injured" himself this week, both teams need this win equally...whats the big secret the public isnt aware of?
Comment
k13
SBR Posting Legend
07-16-10
18104
#46
-1 now....
Comment
gasto
SBR Sharp
12-30-11
330
#47
Thats kind of silly asking if the game is fixed. Off course all the games are fixed to a certain extent. Every night heavy favorites in NBA or NFL inexplicably fail to cover a given spread. What most of us forget is we are betting against ATS unless you are on main line. Especially in NBA , heavy favorites do lost very often thus blowing away ATS and all teasers.
The other night, some thought Philly will stand up to Cinci, look at the way they lost. Not even amateurs would give away 3 scores in 3 minutes. The evidence is there for all to see. The best course of action is to stay away when it looks too good to be true. Books need to balance action, so assuming that is correct, why would they not be moving line to +10 etc unless they have some inside info as to what will really happen.
Games like this , usually end very bad. Once a while a GB may win, but thats once a while. Oklohoma was winning by over 20 at half time yesterday, spread was -13, only won by 10. The other night, spread was -12 won by 6 or so. Only scored 34 points in a half vs a bad team NO. This betting is a business, eventually money flows have a huge impact on what transpires on the field. People need to get paid.
Comment
PAULYPOKER
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
12-06-08
36581
#48
Originally posted by PAULYPOKER
Green Bay$601,794.00 Chicago$30,030.00
.67 mil difference,STOP
Originally posted by k13
-1 now....
Meanwhile the gap continues to grow
Green Bay$678,027.00 Chicago$36,572.00
Manipulation 101................
Comment
gasto
SBR Sharp
12-30-11
330
#49
Something is fishy. Line moving in opposite direction. Seems there is more to lose for books by making line more favorable to GB pickers.
Or maybe, it will be a blowout, Bears lose and take down any Chicago Bears teasers. Maybe reverse logic at work. Either way, no logical reason for the line move. Chicago, home of the wise guys.
Comment
konck
SBR Posting Legend
10-17-06
12554
#50
A few sundays ago Caro and *** Newtown it was 420k to 20k Caro being the 20k they covered
Comment
wantitall4moi
SBR MVP
04-17-10
3063
#51
You guys put way too much emphasis on make believe 'information'
Comment
billysink
Restricted User
03-29-09
5172
#52
Lotta folk here blindly betting on some unverified numbers. I give these consensus numbers and most others absolutely zero credence, which is what they deserve.
Comment
No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#53
Originally posted by PAULYPOKER
Meanwhile the gap continues to grow
Green Bay$678,027.00 Chicago$36,572.00
Manipulation 101................
Again, where are these numbers coming from?
Comment
billysink
Restricted User
03-29-09
5172
#54
Here from the gospel of SBR lines and SBR consensus.
Indy @ Houston has moved a full three points now at some books.The game has taken absolutely no money from a bunch of 50 dollar bettors according to SBR consensus figures. There hasn't been enough money played to move an earthworm on a fukkin sidewalk let alone a line. Again according to SBR consensus.
Load of fukkin bunk.
Comment
SmittyZ28
SBR MVP
09-04-12
1469
#55
How can it be this one-sided and the line has dropped to 2.5? Been eyeing this game all week, I know the bears need a win but Mathews is coming back, Cutler is banged up not like it will make a difference in his crappy play, but how is there NOT value in taking the Pack -2.5? Feeling very square on this game and wanting to pull the trigger on a GB bet. Really thought this line would move to 3.5-4.5 and I would be on the bears. I see huge value in Pack -2.5...thoughts?
Comment
GiveMeaBJ
SBR Hall of Famer
09-08-09
8449
#56
This game is a crapfest ill probably throw some on chicago at home because im an action junkie.
Comment
billysink
Restricted User
03-29-09
5172
#57
Originally posted by SmittyZ28
How can it be this one-sided and the line has dropped to 2.5? Been eyeing this game all week, I know the bears need a win but Mathews is coming back, Cutler is banged up not like it will make a difference in his crappy play, but how is there NOT value in taking the Pack -2.5? Feeling very square on this game and wanting to pull the trigger on a GB bet. Really thought this line would move to 3.5-4.5 and I would be on the bears. I see huge value in Pack -2.5...thoughts?
Unless you have a birdseye view of how the money moved and for what reason, don't give it a second thought. There are so many reasons money winds up where it does that joe blow will never know or understand and there is much more money unaccounted for in the general consensus drivel than is represented.
Handicap the game, determine if the number at present represents value, play, pass or wait. Pretty simple. Don't fall into the "let's turn this into rocket science even though we have never seen a fukkin rocket" category.
Comment
rainman416
SBR MVP
09-20-12
1248
#58
I was liking GB here before I learned that Clay matthews is almost a definite start.. now that he's back, and the line on B365 has dropped to GB-2.5 I have to jump on. Not going to read into the amount of money on each side.. that sounds scary but doesn't mean that GB will play softer or that CHI will play harder.. simply that Vegas will lose short term money if GB wins.. happened before.. easily going to happen again tomorrow..
GB-2.5 @-110 for me
Comment
rainman416
SBR MVP
09-20-12
1248
#59
I'm guessing the consensus numbers represent the money on the Spread.. probably heavy on GB because everyone who is on the Bears is taking the ML. Makes sense right?
Comment
brumbies
SBR MVP
02-21-09
1489
#60
is this what they call reverse line movement?
Comment
PAULYPOKER
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
12-06-08
36581
#61
Originally posted by PAULYPOKER
Meanwhile the gap continues to grow
Green Bay$678,027.00 Chicago$36,572.00
Manipulation 101................
Green Bay$990,032 Chicago$197,382
Over 3 quarters of a mil. difference..........................
Comment
PAULYPOKER
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
12-06-08
36581
#62
Inching closer an closer to that Million Dollar difference
Green Bay$1,079,060.00 Chicago$246,716.00
This is coming from just one book you know,
Now imagine the money difference industry/worldwide
Comment
naslax13
SBR MVP
01-03-11
1220
#63
The key to this game is that clay mathews isn't healthy and woodson is out. Forte and Bush will have a field day and marshall will have holes. Should be a good one, I think bears win outright.
Comment
SteelRain
SBR MVP
03-13-12
2806
#64
go bears
Comment
Ron29301
SBR MVP
12-27-11
2311
#65
Originally posted by naslax13
The key to this game is that clay mathews isn't healthy and woodson is out. Forte and Bush will have a field day and marshall will have holes. Should be a good one, I think bears win outright.
So what your saying is that Green Bay has no Def or Offensive powerhouse players to rely on? Or even match up against the players you mentioned.
Comment
PAULYPOKER
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
12-06-08
36581
#66
Green Bay$206,329.00 Chicago$105,918.00
WTF! SBR!
SBR exposed for knowingly conspiring with 5 dimes to feed public false fraudulent numbers....................
Comment
zola
SBR Sharp
09-11-12
367
#67
Originally posted by PAULYPOKER
Green Bay$206,329.00 Chicago$105,918.00
WTF! SBR!
SBR exposed for knowingly conspiring with 5 dimes to feed public false fraudulent numbers....................
So you're saying its not as 1 sides as your originally thought?
Comment
PAULYPOKER
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
12-06-08
36581
#68
Originally posted by PAULYPOKER
Inching closer an closer to that Million Dollar difference
Green Bay$1,079,060.00 Chicago$246,716.00
This is coming from just one book you know,
Now imagine the money difference industry/worldwide
Originally posted by PAULYPOKER
Green Bay$206,329.00 Chicago$105,918.00
WTF! SBR!
SBR exposed for knowingly conspiring with 5 dimes to feed public false fraudulent numbers....................
Originally posted by zola
So you're saying its not as 1 sides as your originally thought?