The Official 2017 CFL Thread : Nominated Post

[KVB]

Originally <a href='https://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/showthread.php?p=27129040'>posted</a> on 08/05/2017:

...Similar to the late 2nd half cover with Toronto last night being a sign the market is changing direction (the very next game in the rotation was an upset and the game after that the underdog), we saw the same mechanism at work with the Total tonight...

Well there we go, the signals were solid and the Total came in at 45 points, killing the 10 point tease. This may not have been a huge earn while you learn week, but I’m happy with the way some principles I was highlighting beforehand played out. A lot can be gathered from the last couple of days of posts.

...As discussed, that Winnipeg game was a major market turn and the sharp forecast being on the right as opposed to the others gives that result a little more weight when wondering whether we’ve seen settlement.

Sure, we could still see another upset, the market was stretched, but another successful upset for the sharp forecast is another story...

...that won’t outweigh the need for the sharp forecast to fail against the moneyline...

...I think the result is that it’s more about it not being the Saskatchewan winner...

BC played a good game, but I think everyone will agree the story on the field is how it wasn’t Saskatchewan. In 10 drives, they punted 7 times and had 3 turnovers. Once again the market situation plays itself out on the field.

But if you were late to the party, trying to get a piece of “Not Saskatchewan” or the UNDER in the second half, it didn’t work out so well. The final 2 point conversion for Saskatchewan’s 15 point run during the last 3 minutes of the game served to push the 2^nd half Total bet and give Saskatchewan -1 the 2^nd half cover.

It’s not what they bring…