Originally posted on 11/16/2012:

After seeing him get ass whooped by Serra on his last loss it's hard to lay -300 or more on him coming off an injury. People are talking Silva superfight when these guys still have to survive 5 rounds. It seems like every time big favs come back the line is too high. Fedor was -400? when he started his losing streak at about the same age after long layover.