150 Day Analysis of College Football and Basketball and NFL and NBA

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • usma1992
    SBR MVP
    • 08-02-11
    • 1614

    #1
    150 Day Analysis of College Football and Basketball and NFL and NBA
    If you have followed me before, I have been working on my program for about 15 years... Each Year I refine it and it gets better. So let's kick off the season.

    I have four rules for football

    1. I don't take OT into account. Some will argue that this isn't fair. I can't model for additional time. What ever the score dictates in regular time is what I use for wins losses.
    2. College backup QBs are a no go and I toss the games out. It would help if you see a game that my system picks and I didn't catch that the QB got hurt. Let me know.
    3. I toss Over bets if it is Windy or raining.
    4. I don't bet until Week 4 for NFL and College Football.

    With that being said... I ran my program for College and NFL anyway just for fun.

    College Week 1
    NCAAF 2026Week1 STARTS WEEK 4 MACKTHETEACH.COM
    Time AWAY TEAM PROJ AWAY SCORE HOME TEAM PROJ HOME SCORE TOTAL VEGAS SPREAD VEGAS O/U SPREAD BET O/U BET
    7:30 PM SMU #VALUE! Florida St ##### ###### 2.5 55 #VALUE! #VALUE!
    7:30 PM Rutgers 26 Boston College 34 60 -3.5 54.5 HOME MINUS*
    8:00 PM Missouri #VALUE! Kansas ##### ###### 6.5 49.5 #VALUE! #VALUE!
    12:00 PM Oregon 37 Oklahoma St 26 63 21.5 57.5 HOME PLUS*
    12:00 PM Oklahoma 14 Michigan 0 14 6 43.5 UNDER
    12:00 PM App State #VALUE! E Carolina ##### ###### -8 56 #VALUE! #VALUE!
    12:00 PM Wake Forest #VALUE! Purdue ##### ###### 4 50.5 #VALUE! #VALUE!
    12:00 PM Old Dominion #VALUE! Virginia Tech ##### ###### -17.5 51 #VALUE! #VALUE!
    12:00 PM Penn St #VALUE! Temple ##### ###### 23 50 #VALUE! #VALUE!
    12:00 PM Arizona St #VALUE! Texas A&M ##### ###### -14.5 52 #VALUE! #VALUE!
    12:00 PM S Florida #VALUE! Army ##### ###### -3.5 48 #VALUE! #VALUE!
    12:00 PM Washington St #VALUE! Kansas St ##### ###### -17.5 50.5 #VALUE! #VALUE!
    12:45 PM W Kentucky #VALUE! Georgia ##### ###### -40 54.5 #VALUE! #VALUE!
    3:30 PM Utah St #VALUE! Washington ##### ###### -26.5 56 #VALUE! #VALUE!
    3:30 PM Arizona #VALUE! BYU ##### ###### -7.5 50.5 #VALUE! #VALUE!
    3:30 PM UCF #VALUE! Pittsburgh ##### ###### -7.5 57.5 #VALUE! #VALUE!
    3:30 PM California #VALUE! Syracuse ##### ###### -3 56.5 #VALUE! #VALUE!
    3:30 PM Maryland #VALUE! UConn ##### ###### 11.5 53.5 #VALUE! #VALUE!
    3:30 PM UTEP 14 Texas St 27 41 -1 64.5 UNDER*
    3:30 PM Duke 28 Illinois 7 35 -6.5 53.5
    3:30 PM E Michigan 13 Michigan St 40 53 -17 50.5
    3:30 PM UL Monroe 18 UAB 52 70 -11.5 55.5
    3:30 PM Mississippi St #VALUE! Minnesota ##### ###### 1.5 55.5 #VALUE! #VALUE!
    3:30 PM Alabama #VALUE! Kentucky ##### ###### 10 48.5 #VALUE! #VALUE!
    3:30 PM Rice #VALUE! Notre Dame ##### ###### -44.5 55 #VALUE! #VALUE!
    3:45 PM UNLV 33 N Texas 17 50 4.5 57
    4:15 PM Delaware #VALUE! Vanderbilt ##### ###### -20.5 54 #VALUE! #VALUE!
    6:00 PM Memphis 28 Boise St 24 52 -7.5 55.5 AWAY PLUS*
    6:00 PM Buffalo #VALUE! Florida Intl ##### ###### -10.5 47.5 #VALUE! #VALUE!
    6:00 PM Jacksonville St 16 Ohio 23 39 -3 51.5 HOME MINUS* UNDER*
    7:00 PM S Alabama #VALUE! Tulane ##### ###### -9.5 50.5 #VALUE! #VALUE!
    7:00 PM Tulsa 18 Sam Houston 22 40 13.5 51.5 HOME PLUS UNDER
    7:00 PM Bowling Green #VALUE! Nebraska ##### ###### -30 51.5 #VALUE! #VALUE!
    7:00 PM Tennessee #VALUE! Georgia Tech ##### ###### 12.5 55 #VALUE! #VALUE!
    7:00 PM Middle Tenn #VALUE! Marshall ##### ###### -14 56.5 #VALUE! #VALUE!
    7:00 PM Georgia St #VALUE! Kennesaw St ##### ###### -8 52 #VALUE! #VALUE!
    7:15 PM San Diego St #VALUE! UCLA ##### ###### -11 53.5 #VALUE! #VALUE!
    7:30 PM Georgia So #VALUE! Clemson ##### ###### -20.5 55 #VALUE! #VALUE!
    7:30 PM Navy #VALUE! Florida Atlantic ##### ###### 5.5 59.5 #VALUE! #VALUE!
    7:30 PM Iowa St #VALUE! Iowa ##### ###### -15 41 #VALUE! #VALUE!
    7:30 PM Southern Miss #VALUE! Auburn ##### ###### -31.5 53 #VALUE! #VALUE!
    7:30 PM Louisiana Tech #VALUE! LSU ##### ###### -35 55.5 #VALUE! #VALUE!
    7:30 PM Ohio St 40 Texas 26 66 -1 48.5 AWAY PLUS*
    7:30 PM Texas Tech #VALUE! Oregon St ##### ###### 26.5 51 #VALUE! #VALUE!
    7:45 PM Charlotte #VALUE! Mississippi ##### ###### -47.5 61.5 #VALUE! #VALUE!
    10:00 PM North Dakota State #VALUE! Air Force ##### ###### ####### ###### #VALUE! #VALUE!
    10:15 PM Arkansas #VALUE! Utah ##### ###### -12.5 57 #VALUE! #VALUE!
    10:30 PM Sacramento State 25 Fresno St 2 27 -18 45 AWAY PLUS*
    11:00 PM UL Monroe 0 USC 59 59 -31.5 60.5
    12:00 AM New Mexico St 25 Hawai'i 38 63 -9.5 50.5
    Click image for larger version

Name:	image.png
Views:	1
Size:	56.3 KB
ID:	29947426

    I first run projected numbers than I have algorithms that choose the bets. There are a lot of #VALUE! because one or more of the teams in the game have not an FBS team. Statistics against FCS teams don't count. Again, I don't bet until week 4

    MACKTHETEACH
  • usma1992
    SBR MVP
    • 08-02-11
    • 1614

    #2
    NFL WEEK 1... I can't emphasize enough. I DON'T BET UNTIL WEEK 4. Week 1 is based on last years stats. I am posting just to see how it does.
    NFL 2026Week1 O/U& SPREADS No Bets Until Week 3 or 4
    Time AWAY TEAM PROJ AWAY SCORE HOME TEAM PROJ HOME SCORE PROJ TOTAL VEGAS SPREAD VEGAS O/U SPREAD BET O/U BET
    8:20 PM NEWENGLAND 21 SEATTLE 23 44 -3.5 44.5
    8:35 PM SANFRANCISCO 23 LARAMS 28 51 -4 48.5
    1:00 PM CLEVELAND 15 JACKSONVILLE 25 40 -7 40.5
    1:00 PM TAMPABAY 20 CINCINNATI 24 44 -3.5 51.5
    1:00 PM BALTIMORE 19 INDIANAPOLIS 23 42 3 48 Home Plus 3*
    1:00 PM ATLANTA 20 PITTSBURGH 19 39 -3 42
    1:00 PM BUFFALO 26 HOUSTON 23 49 1 44.5
    1:00 PM CHICAGO 27 CAROLINA 17 44 2.5 47
    1:00 PM NYJETS 16 TENNESSEE 16 32 -2.5 39.5 Under 3*
    1:00 PM NEWORLEANS 18 DETROIT 26 44 -7 49.5
    4:05 PM ARIZONA 20 LACHARGERS 22 42 -10 46.5 Away Plus 5*
    4:25 PM MIAMI 17 LASVEGAS 13 30 -4 40.5
    4:25 PM WASHINGTON 18 PHILADELPHIA 20 38 -4 47
    4:25 PM GREENBAY 20 MINNESOTA 16 36 -1.5 45
    8:20 PM DALLAS 28 NYGIANTS 20 48 3 48.5 Away Minus 5*
    8:15 PM DENVER 23 KANSASCITY 20 43 -2.5 43
    Click image for larger version

Name:	image.png
Views:	0
Size:	64.2 KB
ID:	29947428
    MACKTHETEACH
    Comment
    Search
    Collapse
    Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
    Collapse
    Working...