Originally <a href='/showthread.php?p=16531828'>posted</a> on 10/26/2012:
I empathize with ur frustration when it comes to marketing, and i dont play IC's plays, but i'd argue that your math is wrong....
The chance of a 60 percent capper (id argue he's 55) having such a losing streak AT A SPECIFIC TIME is probably 1 in 1000 or whatever u stated, but the chance he will hv a losing streak of such proportion at some point over 1000s of picks and many uears is very high....well over 50 percent....
Its like the difference between looking at a teams losing streak after the fact and predicting it bf....2 very different things
I empathize with ur frustration when it comes to marketing, and i dont play IC's plays, but i'd argue that your math is wrong....
The chance of a 60 percent capper (id argue he's 55) having such a losing streak AT A SPECIFIC TIME is probably 1 in 1000 or whatever u stated, but the chance he will hv a losing streak of such proportion at some point over 1000s of picks and many uears is very high....well over 50 percent....
Its like the difference between looking at a teams losing streak after the fact and predicting it bf....2 very different things