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Hey john do u think bucc will cover the spread cause im capture at bucc -10 (5*)
Parly bucc -10 + under 40 1/2 (5*).
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IllyPhilly[DOC]
SBR MVP
07-18-10
2512
#737
Yo i love your pick Bucs + Under
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TLMR9
SBR Rookie
10-25-10
22
#738
Any play tonight john?
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John Ryan
SBR MVP
11-20-10
2428
#739
Originally posted by Don Giovanni
Nice calls this week John, Oakland let you down, but you still made out nicely
I sincerely appreciate the thanks here on the thread from all of you. Makes me want to work even harder!!!
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John Ryan
SBR MVP
11-20-10
2428
#740
Originally posted by IllyPhilly[DOC]
Yo i love your pick Bucs + Under
Now, how in the world do you know that? laugh
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tommyminh
SBR High Roller
03-19-09
208
#741
I just ask u how do u think, it i didnt it yet till at 8 tonight
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John Ryan
SBR MVP
11-20-10
2428
#742
Yes, I like the 'under' play tonight for a 5* play.
So, play 'UNDER' Bucs/Colts 40 1/2 as I see it at Bodog, William Hill.
Some of you have expressed teaser lines.. So, on a seven point teaser, I like the 'under' 47 1/2 and Bucs -3 for a no more than a 1* amount. The teaser is an optional wager of course, but worth some consideration. In fact, I think you could even hedge up a bit and tease the 'over' down to 33 1/2 and the Bucs -3.
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drew2
SBR MVP
10-05-10
1047
#743
john any pick for tonight?
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tommyminh
SBR High Roller
03-19-09
208
#744
John do u think bucc will cover the game by -10 ?
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drew2
SBR MVP
10-05-10
1047
#745
Originally posted by John Ryan
Yes, I like the 'under' play tonight for a 5* play.
So, play 'UNDER' Bucs/Colts 40 1/2 as I see it at Bodog, William Hill.
Some of you have expressed teaser lines.. So, on a seven point teaser, I like the 'under' 47 1/2 and Bucs -3 for a no more than a 1* amount. The teaser is an optional wager of course, but worth some consideration. In fact, I think you could even hedge up a bit and tease the 'over' down to 33 1/2 and the Bucs -3.
I have under 40 john
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jjaycuny
SBR MVP
07-01-11
1618
#746
John, I can buy the total up to 40.5 -130, you think that's too much juice to lay?
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John Ryan
SBR MVP
11-20-10
2428
#747
Ok, make that a 6 point teaser line.. shows how long it has been since I studied these, but check this out. TB is 57-9 against a teaser line (+28.5 Units) when they score 22 to 28 points since 1992.
For those of you, who like to play fior the first half line consider this system that has gone 27-6 ATS for 82% winners since 2000. Play on favorites of 2 to 6 points using the first half line after allowing 30 or less rushing yards last game. Just some extras to dabble in tonight. Of course, these are 'minor' bets and should not exceed a 1 to 2* amount. The focus here is the 5* 'UNDER' play.
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tommyminh
SBR High Roller
03-19-09
208
#748
Cost most of the game i saw they play they havent lost no more than 3 or 4 point and tonight bucc give away 10 point kindda alot. How do u think john my super nature money cappture
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ouman101
SBR MVP
12-02-09
2815
#749
Originally posted by John Ryan
Ok, make that a 6 point teaser line.. shows how long it has been since I studied these, but check this out. TB is 57-9 against a teaser line (+28.5 Units) when they score 22 to 28 points since 1992.
For those of you, who like to play fior the first half line consider this system that has gone 27-6 ATS for 82% winners since 2000. Play on favorites of 2 to 6 points using the first half line after allowing 30 or less rushing yards last game. Just some extras to dabble in tonight. Of course, these are 'minor' bets and should not exceed a 1 to 2* amount. The focus here is the 5* 'UNDER' play.
John, since the first half line is -7, are you still liking this as a small play? Obviously, would have liked the -6.5 better, but I'm too late
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vividjohn45
SBR Hall of Famer
11-21-10
6331
#750
ty. for the Under plAY, GL TONITE JOHN ur the very best man.
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jbizzle
SBR High Roller
12-22-09
226
#751
john how would you feel about an under 32 currently?
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jbizzle
SBR High Roller
12-22-09
226
#752
Saw your pick late, but just saw colts over 10.5 at +100 live had to take it.
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ouman101
SBR MVP
12-02-09
2815
#753
Shitty loss...love those obvious run situations, and the D gives up a 40 yard run. Damn near every TD was a big play
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jbizzle
SBR High Roller
12-22-09
226
#754
really liking the phillies tomorrow. I'm thinking of chase betting the phillies to win atleast another game, what do you think john?
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Nostalgia
SBR Rookie
10-04-11
3
#755
Hey John, I've seen you mention stats about % of public action on some of the games. I was wondering where you get this info.
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ghislaine
SBR MVP
11-14-10
1131
#756
have not yet had a chance to place any bets on Your picks, but looking forward to it
looks like You are getting paid !!
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John Ryan
SBR MVP
11-20-10
2428
#757
Originally posted by Nostalgia
Hey John, I've seen you mention stats about % of public action on some of the games. I was wondering where you get this info.
seven different resources. That way I have a very meaningful sample size and I know that is not an aberration due to location or demographics. Thanks
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K2daL
SBR Sharp
01-14-10
290
#758
Which team are on your radar & will shit the bed this week? Also, Can you elaborate further reasoning why you think Buffalo has more value vs. the Eagles?
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John Ryan
SBR MVP
11-20-10
2428
#759
Tuesday is normally a quiet day for our NFl thread, but I have done a nice article to get us started. Check out it out and let me know what you think.
I can tell you right now I like Houston quite a bit. The Eagles line blew me a way that Buffalo is still given NO respect being installed as 3 point dog and Philadelphia with their mountain of troubles is still the public's Dream Team. I wonder what the line adjustment will be if the Eagles lose and go to 0-4? In the beginning of the season this line would have been Eagles 9 or 10 so there has been an adjustment, but not near where i think the these teams respective levels of play are right now. Until the Eagles get an offensive line that can run block and can protect Vick, which may take at least one draft, the Eagles are going to struggle. Add to it, one of the worst game coaches in the past 10 seasons that some how gave away a 20 point lead and you end up with an 8-8 record 'Dream Team'.
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K2daL
SBR Sharp
01-14-10
290
#760
Thanks John. Aaron Foster is the real deal or perhaps because of the aging Steelers D makes him look better than he actually is & that remines to be seen this week when they face Oklands which have a decent run defense. Having said that loosing Andre Johnson this weekend will hurt their reliable passing game and perhaps eliminate one of their deep threats.
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Nostalgia
SBR Rookie
10-04-11
3
#761
Originally posted by John Ryan
seven different resources. That way I have a very meaningful sample size and I know that is not an aberration due to location or demographics. Thanks
Ah, very cool.
Also, wondering if you like a moneyline bet on buffalo. Or just ATS?
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tommyminh
SBR High Roller
03-19-09
208
#762
Hey john do u own any threat about college ? If u do can i tail u ?
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suitor
SBR Rookie
10-15-09
27
#763
check VegasInsider! They have public betting trends on Hilton in Vegas and on sportsbook.com for the ML, O/U, and ATS
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DieselPrime
SBR Rookie
09-26-11
16
#764
Originally posted by tommyminh
Hey john do u own any threat about college ? If u do can i tail u ?
Leaning strongly towards Carolina and the Jets this week.
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Jay2k1civic
SBR High Roller
11-07-10
236
#766
the jets?.......lol...GL with that
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PickMeAwinner
SBR High Roller
09-21-11
120
#767
Im gonna have to take the points with the Raiders + 5.5 vs Houston. The media made it look like beating Pitt last week was the best thing that ever happened to them. Seriously we all kno that the Steelers shit their bed. Not one time but a few times already. 1st game with the Ravens was a joke, everyone expected it to be a close one being a division game and all. That right there was a hint to everyone. Then they went on to play 2 of the worst teams in the NFL, Seahawks and the Colts. In the away game with the Colt they struggled to win. With that said and done a second home game for Houston maybe a recipe for diaster. Oakland to me is a team to me is up and coming. They faceed the Patriots week with a lost. The Pats did changed their game up with a lil bit with more Rush plays. Everyone know that penalties hurt the Raiders bad every game, with the help of Hue Jackson Im betting that the Raiders can bounce back. I did learn a few things from my man John Ryan, I think Houston is gonna under-mind Oakland and play real soft. Keep in mind that with Andre Johnson outta the mix changes it big time. Yes, Foster is back and the Raider will prepared for that unlike the game with NE. Personally I think Houston played far inferior teams compared to Oakland cause I do credit them for giving a fight with the BILLS, JETS, and the PATS. Im gonna keep it short. What going to hurt Houston is Oakland running game. Oakland offensive is pretty solid, special teams are a threat. Look for the Raiders to gains a few 1st downs every time they get the ball and at least get 3 pts with the Beast Janokowski or going all the way with their many weapons of mass destruction. LOL
Yes, I have a college thread up now.. Cal against Oregon. I like Cal plus the 24 points against oregon tomorrow night. Thanks
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John Ryan
SBR MVP
11-20-10
2428
#770
Originally posted by PickMeAwinner
Im gonna have to take the points with the Raiders + 5.5 vs Houston. The media made it look like beating Pitt last week was the best thing that ever happened to them. Seriously we all kno that the Steelers shit their bed. Not one time but a few times already. 1st game with the Ravens was a joke, everyone expected it to be a close one being a division game and all. That right there was a hint to everyone. Then they went on to play 2 of the worst teams in the NFL, Seahawks and the Colts. In the away game with the Colt they struggled to win. With that said and done a second home game for Houston maybe a recipe for diaster. Oakland to me is a team to me is up and coming. They faceed the Patriots week with a lost. The Pats did changed their game up with a lil bit with more Rush plays. Everyone know that penalties hurt the Raiders bad every game, with the help of Hue Jackson Im betting that the Raiders can bounce back. I did learn a few things from my man John Ryan, I think Houston is gonna under-mind Oakland and play real soft. Keep in mind that with Andre Johnson outta the mix changes it big time. Yes, Foster is back and the Raider will prepared for that unlike the game with NE. Personally I think Houston played far inferior teams compared to Oakland cause I do credit them for giving a fight with the BILLS, JETS, and the PATS. Im gonna keep it short. What going to hurt Houston is Oakland running game. Oakland offensive is pretty solid, special teams are a threat. Look for the Raiders to gains a few 1st downs every time they get the ball and at least get 3 pts with the Beast Janokowski or going all the way with their many weapons of mass destruction. LOL
Great input and well thought out. I will show you my research on Houston tomorrow and I am not trying to sway you, but I think it is worth the look. Houston will be graded at least a 5* play here on the thread.