Dexter's NFL 2011-2012

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  • ebbearsfb1
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 12-07-08
    • 18815

    #211
    Good luck dex... I swear everything over I'm on is nothing but fgs... teams get scaried in the red zone
    Comment
    • suicidekings
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 03-23-09
      • 9962

      #212
      Originally posted by Dexter
      (1u) bears -130
      I'm rethinking my position on this game. I might join you on the Bears. Minnesota is another team that hasn't been tested at all by any decent opponents and their numbers are inflated. McNabb might have some success, but it will be short yardage plays only. The Bears style of D is built to frustrate and smother teams that don't have the big play capability. AP can only run the ball so much and I have to think the Bears have been seething all week since the loss to the Lions.
      Comment
      • StackinGreen
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 10-09-10
        • 12140

        #213
        Playing the Vikings in that game was like not playing the Packers every week. Both = stupid.
        Comment
        • StackinGreen
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 10-09-10
          • 12140

          #214
          70% this year, 85% last year.

          I make it rain, game's the same, kiiiiid.
          Comment
          • Dexter
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 12-24-08
            • 25829

            #215
            ................
            Comment
            • AdaBarber
              SBR MVP
              • 12-05-08
              • 4424

              #216
              Dex what are your thoughts on the Jets? I just think they are all around better than the sorry ass Dolphins. Matt Moore at QB? Brandon Lloyd on the block and a cancer in the locker room. Coach on the hot seat! No running game. Jets have to bounce back after their slow start. I know the Dolphins always play them well and are pretty competitive on the road. I just don't see the Dolphins hanging in there. I see the Jets winning by 10. It is some money coming in on the Fins. I just think that is because of the perception the Jets have made for themselves and the little spat that the receivers have been making. I think this one goes the Jets way all the way. And they are healthy. The Dolphins have to run on the Jets and I don't see it happening. NE ran on them but that was an aberration.
              Comment
              • AdaBarber
                SBR MVP
                • 12-05-08
                • 4424

                #217
                Jets -7
                Comment
                • Dexter
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 12-24-08
                  • 25829

                  #218
                  Originally posted by AdaBarber
                  Dex what are your thoughts on the Jets? I just think they are all around better than the sorry ass Dolphins. Matt Moore at QB? Brandon Lloyd on the block and a cancer in the locker room. Coach on the hot seat! No running game. Jets have to bounce back after their slow start. I know the Dolphins always play them well and are pretty competitive on the road. I just don't see the Dolphins hanging in there. I see the Jets winning by 10. It is some money coming in on the Fins. I just think that is because of the perception the Jets have made for themselves and the little spat that the receivers have been making. I think this one goes the Jets way all the way. And they are healthy. The Dolphins have to run on the Jets and I don't see it happening. NE ran on them but that was an aberration.
                  back at home, i fully expect them to right the ship after an ugly 3 game road trip. the dolphins have won the last few visits to NJ, but that was a much more physical dolphins team centered around the run. this team is centered around reggie bush which is comical. throw in a new qb for the dolphins, and i see this one as similar to when the jets layed 8 over jags a few weeks ago.
                  Comment
                  • AdaBarber
                    SBR MVP
                    • 12-05-08
                    • 4424

                    #219
                    Originally posted by Dexter
                    back at home, i fully expect them to right the ship after an ugly 3 game road trip. the dolphins have won the last few visits to NJ, but that was a much more physical dolphins team centered around the run. this team is centered around reggie bush which is comical. throw in a new qb for the dolphins, and i see this one as similar to when the jets layed 8 over jags a few weeks ago.
                    Comment
                    • Dexter
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 12-24-08
                      • 25829

                      #220
                      Sunday 10/23:

                      (5u) titans -3 (A5)
                      (1u) falcons +3.5
                      Comment
                      • cgars1
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 01-18-09
                        • 657

                        #221
                        Dexter how's it hangin my friend? I'm baaaaaaack baby! Let's go J...E....T....S!!!!!
                        Comment
                        • Dexter
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 12-24-08
                          • 25829

                          #222
                          Originally posted by cgars1
                          Dexter how's it hangin my friend? I'm baaaaaaack baby! Let's go J...E....T....S!!!!!
                          heya buddy.....good to see you back
                          Comment
                          • Dexter
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 12-24-08
                            • 25829

                            #223
                            what a fishy line pitt -3.5 next week at zona. the steelers have looked bad on the road and have the pats the following week. this line should be pitt -7
                            Comment
                            • djpremier36
                              SBR MVP
                              • 12-11-08
                              • 3479

                              #224
                              Love the Titans play Dexter! CJ2K finally goes off and Hasselbeck carves up the Texans D. I'm still deciding on how big to go.

                              Also doesn't hurt that Greek is hanging -3.5.

                              BOL!
                              Comment
                              • Dexter
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 12-24-08
                                • 25829

                                #225
                                friggin over ne/dal couldnt hit...i def would have went bigger on the bears and jets if i had money to play with
                                Comment
                                • Dexter
                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                  • 12-24-08
                                  • 25829

                                  #226
                                  Originally posted by Dexter
                                  Week 5: 2-6 (-9.15u)

                                  A1: 1-0
                                  _________________
                                  YTD: 18-20 (-4.15u)

                                  A1: 2-2
                                  A3: 1-0
                                  A4: 2-1
                                  Week 6: 4-2 (-4.45u)

                                  A1: 1-0
                                  ___________________
                                  YTD: 22-22 (-8.6u)

                                  A1: 3-2
                                  A3: 1-0
                                  A4: 2-1
                                  Comment
                                  • ram1502
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 12-26-08
                                    • 822

                                    #227
                                    Originally posted by Dexter
                                    what a fishy line pitt -3.5 next week at zona. the steelers have looked bad on the road and have the pats the following week. this line should be pitt -7
                                    Was just Lookin at this myself dex... Actually seeing some shops opened up at -4 and quickly jumped to -3.5. I wonder if this early move had anything to do with the uncertainty of mophead's status? Which Tomlin said today he should be "good to go"....
                                    Comment
                                    • StackinGreen
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 10-09-10
                                      • 12140

                                      #228
                                      You're on to something

                                      Originally posted by ram1502
                                      Was just Lookin at this myself dex... Actually seeing some shops opened up at -4 and quickly jumped to -3.5. I wonder if this early move had anything to do with the uncertainty of mophead's status? Which Tomlin said today he should be "good to go"....
                                      Ram, I like your thinking. The uncertainty has more to do with the fact that this just IS NOT the same Pittsburgh team. Go back and look at how they've struggled on the road and even at home (who've they beat?). Now you fly to Arizona who comes off the bye? I've seen a lot of posts on Pitt being a "lock" at this price but these boys are playing with fire (and are amateurs). If I'm on any side, it's Arizona but I won't be. Why?

                                      I've got a better play. The total. Give me the OVER 41.5.
                                      Comment
                                      • cgars1
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 01-18-09
                                        • 657

                                        #229
                                        I'm on the early titans play as well -2.5 -120
                                        Comment
                                        • StackinGreen
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 10-09-10
                                          • 12140

                                          #230
                                          Yep, Green Bay -9 and the Pit/Ari OVER 41.5. Lock'em.
                                          Comment
                                          • Exxpresso
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 08-29-10
                                            • 279

                                            #231
                                            Hey dexter, do you think Cardinals ML will be a good bet for sunday ?
                                            Comment
                                            • Dexter
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 12-24-08
                                              • 25829

                                              #232
                                              Originally posted by StackinGreen
                                              Yep, Green Bay -9 and the Pit/Ari OVER 41.5. Lock'em.
                                              nope. on the vikings this week and the jags as well. will wait for joe public to drive to 10.5/11

                                              sports gambling is not as easy as picking the packers every week. lol
                                              Comment
                                              • Dexter
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 12-24-08
                                                • 25829

                                                #233
                                                Originally posted by Exxpresso
                                                Hey dexter, do you think Cardinals ML will be a good bet for sunday ?
                                                nah - see value on the steelers at that line, but obviously some big money came in on arizona early.

                                                their defense is still legit. check out their defense since game 1 at balt.
                                                Comment
                                                • YOUNGBUCK
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 12-16-10
                                                  • 6510

                                                  #234
                                                  Originally posted by Dexter
                                                  what a fishy line pitt -3.5 next week at zona. the steelers have looked bad on the road and have the pats the following week. this line should be pitt -7
                                                  Same fishy line as the game where they got screwed against the giants
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Smogs
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 12-31-08
                                                    • 4173

                                                    #235
                                                    Agree on the vikes Dex with ya, but i also like the Cards, the steelers can defend the pass but rush wise, they struggle to stop the chains moving
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Dave ATS
                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                      • 10-15-09
                                                      • 104

                                                      #236
                                                      I do agree, the 3.5 gives pause for thought. New England next week and Arizona off the bye..., recipe for a field goal game. I'd take the Steelers on the ML but would be nervous giving more than going past the 3. Go after the total.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • StackinGreen
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 10-09-10
                                                        • 12140

                                                        #237
                                                        Originally posted by Dexter
                                                        nope. on the vikings this week and the jags as well. will wait for joe public to drive to 10.5/11

                                                        sports gambling is not as easy as picking the packers every week. lol
                                                        It's amazing that people don't understand how good the Packers really are. They'll wait until they're 8-1 on the year ATS until they start to realize.

                                                        Dex, sports gambling isn't simple, you're right. Recognizing things other people don't , however, at times is more simple than others like to believe ... which is why I keep getting paid.

                                                        You don't remember when New England covered 14 in a row or 18 of 21? Was sports gambling "simple" then? Or were "sharps" just consistently stubborn?

                                                        My pockets say the latter.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Dexter
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 12-24-08
                                                          • 25829

                                                          #238
                                                          Originally posted by StackinGreen
                                                          It's amazing that people don't understand how good the Packers really are. They'll wait until they're 8-1 on the year ATS until they start to realize.

                                                          Dex, sports gambling isn't simple, you're right. Recognizing things other people don't , however, at times is more simple than others like to believe ... which is why I keep getting paid.

                                                          You don't remember when New England covered 14 in a row or 18 of 21? Was sports gambling "simple" then? Or were "sharps" just consistently stubborn?

                                                          My pockets say the latter.
                                                          im just messing with ya - get that green!$
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Dexter
                                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                            • 12-24-08
                                                            • 25829

                                                            #239
                                                            Originally posted by Dexter
                                                            Sunday 10/23:

                                                            (5u) titans -3 (A5)
                                                            (1u) falcons +3.5
                                                            (1u) chiefs +4
                                                            (1.5u) saints -13.5
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Exxpresso
                                                              SBR Sharp
                                                              • 08-29-10
                                                              • 279

                                                              #240
                                                              Hey dexter, I like your Chiefs pick, what do you think about Chiefs ML at plus money ?
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Dexter
                                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                • 12-24-08
                                                                • 25829

                                                                #241
                                                                Originally posted by Exxpresso
                                                                Hey dexter, I like your Chiefs pick, what do you think about Chiefs ML at plus money ?
                                                                yes - i actually wanted palmer to play. was wondering why the line was dropping again. carson palmer should not be moving lines.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • AdaBarber
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 12-05-08
                                                                  • 4424

                                                                  #242
                                                                  What up Dex? Here are my plays. I see you like the Saints. I hope they never win a damn game. Last week they cost me on a 6 teamer and I had their ML! And I rarely play parlays. So with that:

                                                                  Colts +14
                                                                  Redskins +2.5
                                                                  Cardinals +4
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Pin Fish
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 11-28-08
                                                                    • 1295

                                                                    #243
                                                                    the raiders line is dropping because I elieve janikwski is out
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Dexter
                                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                      • 12-24-08
                                                                      • 25829

                                                                      #244
                                                                      (2u) chargers +1 (A1)
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • fly fisher
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 01-25-10
                                                                        • 2587

                                                                        #245
                                                                        good luck today dex, I am with you on all of these except I am sticking with the Raiders. good luck on the rest though
                                                                        Comment
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