Dexter's NFL 2011-2012

[AdaBarber]

Good call on the GB game. I took NO thinking would go wire to wire. They did but that was a poor call by Peyton at the end of the game. He should have went with the pass. That what had got them through the whole game. SMH.

[Dexter]

Monday 9/12:

(1u) patriots -6.5
(2u) broncos -3

[Dexter]

I like your Falcons play. I am starting to like Saint Louis +4. I think they can actually win this one. Fade the public. 7 out of 8 is on the Eagles. I think the line is a little inflated. Chris Long will be a major factor getting through the Eagles' porous o line. And Mike Vick likes to get over excited in big games. He makes mistakes when he is revved up for a game. And he will be revved up for this game and the so-called "Dream Team". The Eagles are not ready just yet.

Saint Louis +4

i actually projected my line on this game to be 7 - i was deciding whether there was value on the line or if a sucker bet is being dangled. im siding with the sucker bet angle thinking rams are the right play. look at a team like the pats (similar situation - great team on the road) but that line is about where it should be and is going up. that will be 8 by monday night, so i just jumped on 6.5.

[peterpan19]

GL this year as always

[Dexter]

.......

[fly fisher]

what are your thoughts on post 26 fly?

thx..

Wow, I truly have no idea, but I think it is very plausible to see Atlants over GB. I am not a pats fan so would love to see anyone upset them and then see the NFC win.

My aggies came through for me again. Sorry I didn't post but the line came out so late and I was tailgating before the game. When I saw USU at -13.5, I jumped all over it. I expected them to win by 17, but didn't expect the blowout. I am happy with the win though especially after sitting through the auburn loss. needless to say I am very pleased with Auburn's win today.

[fly fisher]

i am on the falcons and chargers with you. good luck to all of us tomorrow.

[AdaBarber]

Week 1 Cuts:

Buffalo +5.5
Rams +4
Vikings +9
Jets -4.5

Good Picking fellas! Let's do this Dex!

[Dexter]

Here are this seasons auto plays:

A1: Fade any team who won the Monday night game and plays the following Sunday (3u minimum). Tweaked from 2010's A1. 8-9 last year.

changing A1 to a 2u minimum.

[Dexter]

conflict of interest tonight.

jets for 1u but i have romo, jones and bryant on my fantasy team

[Dexter]

cle -3 @ indy next week? i have my projected line at indy -5.5.

[fly fisher]

I had Jets -4.5 but luckily played the Live line and kept taking Jets ML, first at -135, then -120, then took it again at Jets +160, probably not smart, but covered my original bet and a few bucks more.

[Dexter]

I had Jets -4.5 but luckily played the Live line and kept taking Jets ML, first at -135, then -120, then took it again at Jets +160, probably not smart, but covered my original bet and a few bucks more.

i never use the term lock, but the Jets Moneyline was a lock last night. they were not losing that game at home on 9/11. wish i had the balls to play it...

[HoLLYWooDBRaH]

BOL!

[atofsu32111]

Dexter do you like under in oakland game?

[Dexter]

Dexter do you like under in oakland game?

no real opinion....why you leaning under?

62 and 73 pts were scored in last years games. dont think oak or den improved all that much on defense. pretty much same offenses....campbell now the qb for oak, but hes no worse then what they had last year

[david09]

Good Luck this year Bro.Dexter.

[Dexter]

Sunday 9/18:

(3u) panthers +10.5 (A4)
(1u) lions -8.5
(1u) over texans 47.5
(1u) cowboys -3

[AdaBarber]

I am leaning Panthers but I try to limit my games to 3 on Sundays.

I already booked these:

Colts +1.5
Bengals +4.5

Leaning Bears

[Dexter]

I am leaning Panthers but I try to limit my games to 3 on Sundays.

I already booked these:

Colts +1.5
Bengals +4.5

Leaning Bears

totally agree on the colts. false favorite big time.

not so sure about the bengals and bears - both the broncos and saints are home and dont wanna drop 0-2.

[Dexter]

Week 1: 4-5 (-2.6u)

[suicidekings]

not so sure about the bengals and bears - both the broncos and saints are home and dont wanna drop 0-2.

The Saints are my favourite play of the week. Bears coming off a big win in their home opener and the Saints playing extremely well but being outmatched by GB. All that preseason preparation, you know Brees is pissed. Cutler will be sacked no less than 3 times and Chicago is going to have a hard time in New Orleans.

[Love The Action]

The Saints are my favourite play of the week. Bears coming off a big win in their home opener and the Saints playing extremely well but being outmatched by GB. All that preseason preparation, you know Brees is pissed. Cutler will be sacked no less than 3 times and Chicago is going to have a hard time in New Orleans.

Don't forget that in addition to a let down spot off the big win, the Bears are also in a look-ahead spot because the Packers are up in the following week. As you mention, Cutler will be in danger on Sunday. The complexity of the Saints blitz scheme will cause trouble and and I am told that Lance Louis is most likely out of action for Sunday. This means that Spencer will have to play out of position or they have to switch some guys around. Either way, I agree, Cutler is in trouble.

I lean Saints, although I would like to get -6. However, my even bigger lean and one which I will most likely play, is the under. I think this total is a bit of an overreaction to the opening week scorefest with these two teams and across the league. I have this one at 44 and if I can get 48, I'm all over the under. I expect both defenses to bend but not break and the amount of special teams TD's and defensive TD's cannot continue at such a high rate.

Good luck everyone

[Dexter]

speaking of let down spots i see a letdown for the jets vs the lesser jags. that was a very emotional game for the jets and i honestly dont think they win had it not been for the stage the game was on. thats a big number to cover but i want 10.5. living in ny i should be able to get that by sunday. on the flip side, dallas really played well on the road in that spot. they should roll in sf.

[StackinGreen]

It should be an interesting Week 2.

[Dexter]

It should be an interesting Week 2.

i thought you were going to start a thread and share your plays this season?

[Stevedore]

speaking of let down spots i see a letdown for the jets vs the lesser jags. that was a very emotional game for the jets and i honestly dont think they win had it not been for the stage the game was on. thats a big number to cover but i want 10.5. living in ny i should be able to get that by sunday. on the flip side, dallas really played well on the road in that spot. they should roll in sf.

[Stevedore]

Don't forget that in addition to a let down spot off the big win, the Bears are also in a look-ahead spot because the Packers are up in the following week. As you mention, Cutler will be in danger on Sunday. The complexity of the Saints blitz scheme will cause trouble and and I am told that Lance Louis is most likely out of action for Sunday. This means that Spencer will have to play out of position or they have to switch some guys around. Either way, I agree, Cutler is in trouble.

I lean Saints, although I would like to get -6. However, my even bigger lean and one which I will most likely play, is the under. I think this total is a bit of an overreaction to the opening week scorefest with these two teams and across the league. I have this one at 44 and if I can get 48, I'm all over the under. I expect both defenses to bend but not break and the amount of special teams TD's and defensive TD's cannot continue at such a high rate.

Good luck everyone

Agree with you 100%

[Dexter]

(2u) bills -3 (A1)
(2u) chargers +7 (A1)

[AdaBarber]

totally agree on the colts. false favorite big time.

not so sure about the bengals and bears - both the broncos and saints are home and dont wanna drop 0-2.

Denver is banged up. No Moreno, Dumervil, Lloyd, and just pure unrest in Denver with there quarterbacking situation. I figure Cincy can still hang in there with Dalton out or a little banged up. Bears always play the Saints tough. I figure Saints win by 4. Just a lean right now though.

[Dexter]

Sunday 9/18: (3u) panthers +10.5 (A4) (1u) lions -8.5 (1u) over texans 47.5 (1u) cowboys -3

(2u) bills -3 (A1) (2u) chargers +7 (A1)

(1u) falcons +2.5
(1u) giants -6

[StackinGreen]

I don't bet [big] the first two weeks. As a result, there is nothing worth playing to put my rep on the line.

[AdaBarber]

Dex, what up? Happy picking my friend. I just dropped by to give you my final card. I wish you well.

Bucs +2.5
Raiders +4
Redskins -3.5
Bengals +4.5
Colts +1.5
Giants -6.5

[StackinGreen]

Dexter, just wondering, why Falcons tonight?

[Dexter]

Dexter, just wondering, why Falcons tonight?

i heard they are going to unleash 3 pitbulls on Vick during pregame intros......inside info right there!