SSK's NFL Thread

[ssk13809]

I truly don't understand the haters on this thread. I've followed the locks live and they have worked very well, what's the problem?

Come on, haters gonna hate. You think everyone here is to be friends and make money? No. Guys like D3 get jealous. Come on, just check my signature.

[falconticket]

Come on, haters gonna hate. You think everyone here is to be friends and make money? No. Guys like D3 get jealous. Come on, just check my signature.

Anyone who uses the term "lock" loses all respect immediately. There are no "locks". If you want people to take you seriously you should come up with a new name. Like "Best Play" or "Bestest Play" or "Jockstrap Play" or " Horsecollar tackle play of the day" or " get to screw the cheerleader play" or " Hard Cash Money Play of the Week" or " Sqizzees Easy money play of the day" or " Lucky Play of the Day" or " I hang out on the Patriots Sideline Play" or " I wish I had a Job Play" or "" I need a Drink Play" ( if I was old enough)"" or " Well you get the idea play".

[franklt]

Bengals +325? I disagree, but good luck

[The J-Dizzle]

Anyone who uses the term "lock" loses all respect immediately. There are no "locks". If you want people to take you seriously you should come up with a new name. Like "Best Play" or "Bestest Play" or "Jockstrap Play" or " Horsecollar tackle play of the day" or " get to screw the cheerleader play" or " Hard Cash Money Play of the Week" or " Sqizzees Easy money play of the day" or " Lucky Play of the Day" or " I hang out on the Patriots Sideline Play" or " I wish I had a Job Play" or "" I need a Drink Play" ( if I was old enough)"" or " Well you get the idea play".

I have to agree with this one. Why don't call it "play of the week" or something like that? Do it!

[The J-Dizzle]

Bengals ML? Don't you have Steelers-2 in a teaser?

[The J-Dizzle]

What about this bet? Longest touchdown in the game - Colts (-135) (Titans -105)

I like this one, it's like 13 quarters since Titans scored a offensive touchdown, and I think they will try to give the ball to CJ as much as possible. Atleast they don't have that long passing weapon either in Manning or a reciever like Wayne.

What are your thoughts about this one?

[Surtainly]

But then will there be a play of the week team? Lame. Lock team is way better.

[D3 Mighty Ducks]

What about this bet? Longest touchdown in the game - Colts (-135) (Titans -105)

I like this one, it's like 13 quarters since Titans scored a offensive touchdown, and I think they will try to give the ball to CJ as much as possible. Atleast they don't have that long passing weapon either in Manning or a reciever like Wayne.

What are your thoughts about this one?

Don't underestimate Rusty Smith to Randy Moss. Or the possibility of Johnson breaking out for a long rush for TD.

Other then that your bet should be good.

[falconticket]

Don't underestimate Rusty Smith to Randy Moss. Or the possibility of Johnson breaking out for a long rush for TD.

Other then that your bet should be good.

Read that Collins was starting.

[ssk13809]

I have to agree with this one. Why don't call it "play of the week" or something like that? Do it!

a) There might be more than 1 play
b) As someone else said, "Play of the Week Team"?
No

[ssk13809]

What about this bet? Longest touchdown in the game - Colts (-135) (Titans -105)

I like this one, it's like 13 quarters since Titans scored a offensive touchdown, and I think they will try to give the ball to CJ as much as possible. Atleast they don't have that long passing weapon either in Manning or a reciever like Wayne.

What are your thoughts about this one?

Plays like this involve too much luck. I don't play them. Though I'd say you probably win it.

[BetterBizness]

Plays like this involve too much luck. I don't play them. Though I'd say you probably win it.

What if a rookie QB was playing.. or ALL the Ten WR were hurt?

There can be value in those picks... problem is they are juiced too high on most sites as well... -135 is ALOT of juice...

[BetterBizness]

BetterBizness. Quit pm'ing me.

Why would I PM a stump? If I wanted a conversation with you I would just find you at the homeless shelter trying to bum smokes to bet with ... Don't ask me though, I don't smoke myself...

Only PM involved between us was from you crying that the mods saw one of your loser posts...

Stump, have you said ANYTHING relevant about football in this thread?

[dugdogg]

im not defending SSK but why are any of you clowning on his picks...no one cares what you think...this is a thread for his picks...if you want to comment on something else relevant cool...but no one cares about you're stupid posts about his bengals ML pick...

thats what he posted either tail or fade. no one's asking for your pick suggestions either

[BetterBizness]

im not defending SSK but why are any of you clowning on his picks...no one cares what you think...this is a thread for his picks...if you want to comment on something else relevant cool...but no one cares about you're stupid posts about his bengals ML pick...

thats what he posted either tail or fade. no one's asking for your pick suggestions either

Because Dug... that's what an internet forum is for... to talk sheit about everything and everyone...

Should have seen this place before it cleaned up... This is nothing... i give it to SSk though... he has been able to handle the pressure so far...

This thread was on the verge of collapse this week if New England didn't Crush... The REAL haters are just waiting to come out if/when ssk struggles...

But he hasn't so it's all good... and thankfully he made me fire my fade team... FN idiots!

[dugdogg]

BetterBiz...you crack me up...i follow DG's NHL thread and you JUST posted the same thing i said pretty much...now you're speaking to the contrary??

[BetterBizness]

BetterBiz...you crack me up...i follow DG's NHL thread and you JUST posted the same thing i said pretty much...now you're speaking to the contrary??

No I agree with you... But if you see the context of the two different threads... SSK has ALOT more riding on having good weeks then DG... But you see what happens when a respected SBR Capper like DG struggles... Everyone questions him and the thread becomes a sheit show... Here is ssk has a bad week, this thread will get alot more haters then a few donkeys on DG's... ssk has called everyone out on this site because of his attention seeking methods ... Would you walk into Lyons and Lakerboys NBA thread and call them losers?

If you're comparing DG and SSK's threads in the same sentence... You really don't understand the context of the two... This thread was a pure joke just a few short weeks ago... Just to make this thread half way respectable ssk has had to tone down alot of his sheit and shinanigans, and continue to make winning picks... .the only one that has no clue here right now is ssk's BFF and current bodyguard "stump"

If you read this ENTIRE thread (sadly I have), and his other shut down one (sadly I have to)... then you realize ...

a) anyone that reads both threads cover to cover has no life (but will laugh... alot)
b) that at this moment... this thread actually has more then just entertainment value....

All I said in DG's thread was that its one thing to lay off one of his picks... But the guy that said "that wasn't the play" was stupid, because it was the play...

[BetterBizness]

Anyhow... any more football stuff ssk.. give more reasons as to Indy... I fired my fade team, but they as they left and and storming out the doors they were screaming... "DO NOT TAKE INDY!!!"

WTF... I don't know what to do now... I mean I just fired them... Is Indy THAT easy? Have you talked to Payton? Are you going to.. what's the scoop?

[Tree Rollins]

What if a rookie QB was playing.. or ALL the Ten WR were hurt? There can be value in those picks... problem is they are juiced too high on most sites as well... -135 is ALOT of juice...

Once again, you really don't know what you're talking about. you aren't betting on who is going to throw a longer pass, rusty smith or peyton manning. What you're betting is whether Chris Johnson will break a big run. Johnson is 2nd in runs both over 40 yards and over 20 yards,and is going against one of the worst rush defenses in the football. And Peyton hasn't exactly been playing lights out lately. plus tennesee is decent at cornerback. A rusty and still possibly injured Kerry Collins at qb might actually increase the probability of CJ breaking one, because tennessee is going to be heavily committed to the run. They are going to run and run and run some more, no matter what. It doesn't matter how many you put in the box, it's not like CJ doesn't see that every week anyway and against better defenses on top of that. So to whomever asked the originial question, if you're making a play on this, the play is actually tennessee imo.

[Tree Rollins]

No I agree with you... But if you see the context of the two different threads... SSK has ALOT more riding on having good weeks then DG... But you see what happens when a respected SBR Capper like DG struggles... Everyone questions him and the thread becomes a sheit show... Here is ssk has a bad week, this thread will get alot more haters then a few donkeys on DG's... ssk has called everyone out on this site because of his attention seeking methods ... Would you walk into Lyons and Lakerboys NBA thread and call them losers?

If you're comparing DG and SSK's threads in the same sentence... You really don't understand the context of the two... This thread was a pure joke just a few short weeks ago... Just to make this thread half way respectable ssk has had to tone down alot of his sheit and shinanigans, and continue to make winning picks... .the only one that has no clue here right now is ssk's BFF and current bodyguard "stump"

If you read this ENTIRE thread (sadly I have), and his other shut down one (sadly I have to)... then you realize ...

a) anyone that reads both threads cover to cover has no life (but will laugh... alot)
b) that at this moment... this thread actually has more then just entertainment value....

All I said in DG's thread was that its one thing to lay off one of his picks... But the guy that said "that wasn't the play" was stupid, because it was the play...

Wow. That was awesome. Informative AND entertaining! Can you do more thread vs. thread comparisons for us? Break down pacos thread vs. d3's. THat would be riveting. Thanks in advance!

[ssk13809]

im not defending SSK but why are any of you clowning on his picks...no one cares what you think...this is a thread for his picks...if you want to comment on something else relevant cool...but no one cares about you're stupid posts about his bengals ML pick...

thats what he posted either tail or fade. no one's asking for your pick suggestions either

I don't actually mind discussing my picks as long as the discussion remains about football. But the haters coming in with nothing to support themselves and leaving negative comments, yeah those are just a waste.


Nonetheless, the Bengals ML play is actually a slightly more complex play. From a pure ML play standpoint, it is not worth it. However, I considered hedging my teaser a little bit, and that is why I made this play. So the ML value + Hedging both combined made me make this play. Any of those alone and I would not make this Bengals play.

So in summary, if you aren't playing my NO/PITT teaser, don't bother with the CIN ML play either.

[ssk13809]

Anyhow... any more football stuff ssk.. give more reasons as to Indy... I fired my fade team, but they as they left and and storming out the doors they were screaming... "DO NOT TAKE INDY!!!"

WTF... I don't know what to do now... I mean I just fired them... Is Indy THAT easy? Have you talked to Payton? Are you going to.. what's the scoop?

2 Words should sum up why to take the Colts


Peyton Manning



I know last game was a fluke (you don't understand that), and Manning and the Colts will bounce back this week with a win. Unfortunately I can't meet Manning before the game, but I'll have a little talk letting him know that he is a LOCK pick of mine. We'll also try to solve his interception problems on the phone.

[ssk13809]

I also don't mind haters that much. To be honest the only reason I care at all is because of the mods. Otherwise, I couldn't care at all.



Why? Well because it just makes the haters look pathetic. Here I am 70+% ATS, 100% Locks, 130+% profit, and so on, and people are hating? That's all I do at that, laugh.

And considering I can't stop winning and won't stop winning, I welcome the hate. Just keep it limited before the Mods see it.

[ssk13809]

Also I've been getting a lot of PMs requesting me to change my ATS record from 13-5 to 12-4. Why? Everyone is saying the 2 "Chase ATS" plays I made, shouldn't count towards my record, because those were not really my "ATS" plays that I really like, but more like Chase ATS Plays. There is a difference obviously, one I actually like, and the other I pick because I'm down.


I'll take those PMs into consideration. They won't affect my overall unit count obviously, because a loss is a loss and a profit is a profit, no matter what.

[BetterBizness]

2 Words should sum up why to take the Colts


Peyton Manning



I know last game was a fluke (you don't understand that), and Manning and the Colts will bounce back this week with a win. Unfortunately I can't meet Manning before the game, but I'll have a little talk letting him know that he is a LOCK pick of mine. We'll also try to solve his interception problems on the phone.

k standard 50 point play at +3? I am going rogue here.. no fade team.. just pure overvalue in Ind in my opinion... You're playing with my points anyhow...

[ssk13809]

Also, I spoke to my Teaser Team. And let me say, the early excellent start is no fluke for this strong group.


The only thing I regret is not having a Teaser Team before. I didn't know how easy teasers were myself. So far my teasers are hitting at 71% with avg. odds of +140. That's an incredible rate. When I asked my teaser team if they can continue the success, they thought so. Overall, my teasers are projected long-term to hit at 70+% with avg. odds of +100. So right now, they are over performing, but the high rate of 70+% on about avg odds of +100 should continue. This is better than an ATS 70%+ long-term rate for those wondering.



I already have 2 teasers. I'll have some more at before the end of the week. And just so we get this straight, and people start thinking I don't do anything and my teams do everything. I supply ALL the ML and ATS picks for all my teams. There is no real ML or ATS teams here, I am those teams. I supply the picks and my teams do the rest.

[ssk13809]

k standard 50 point play at +3? I am going rogue here.. no fade team.. just pure overvalue in Ind in my opinion... You're playing with my points anyhow...

Ok so you want to put 50 points on Titans +3 against me?


Ok deal

[Tree Rollins]

Only thing that worries me about Colts game is CJ just running buck fuking wild all over them. Like Arian Foster in week 1, 200+ yards or something. Their run D is bad enough to let it happen.

I'll still take Colts though. I have a feeling Peyton has had himself locked in a film room since sunday night.

[dugdogg]

why hasn't the line moved from 3 when 97%+ of the money is on the colts?? that's what scares me...it's a trap...the oddsmakers know the titans are covering this and keeping the line will bring in more sucker money...that's the only explanation...why else hasn't the line moved?? there's tons of money on one side...it makes no sense

[ssk13809]

why hasn't the line moved from 3 when 97%+ of the money is on the colts?? that's what scares me...it's a trap...the oddsmakers know the titans are covering this and keeping the line will bring in more sucker money...that's the only explanation...why else hasn't the line moved?? there's tons of money on one side...it makes no sense

No worries

Colts might seem like your "Las Vegas Trap" game. However, in a battle between SSK's LOCK vs. Las Vegas's Trap, the LOCK wins. This occurred earlier this year on CAR @ STL (Rams -3, Trap? But also my LOCK), and the Rams won easily. So don't worry about the "Trap" here.

[ssk13809]

Only thing that worries me about Colts game is CJ just running buck fuking wild all over them. Like Arian Foster in week 1, 200+ yards or something. Their run D is bad enough to let it happen.

I'll still take Colts though. I have a feeling Peyton has had himself locked in a film room since sunday night.

Come on that was Week 1. Also they didn't prepare for Arian Foster like it was "Arian Foster". Their 2nd meeting they were much better prepared for that and did better. But I agree their run defense still sucks. But so does the run defense of the Jaguars and Texans, they also beat the Titans.


Granted their is a possibility Titans may score and go off, but I still like the Colts. Manning is too good. And he will do what it takes to win.

[ssk13809]

Adding a bet

3 Team Teaser (10 points)
Colts +7
Ravens +7
Browns +11
Risk 15 to Win 12.5




This is also a good teaser if your book allows 10 point teasers. All 3 of these teams should win SU.

Colts we know will win for sure.
Browns out of their 12 games, have only loss by more than 10 points once. And that was a while ago against a strong Steelers team. They are playing much better now. And they have faced teams like Steelers, Ravens, Saints, Tampa, and the Falcons on the road. Yet all season have lost by 10+ only once. Besides, with Hills against that weak Bills rush defense, they should win SU a anyways.

Ravens? Also should win SU. They also haven't lost by 6 or more all year. I don't expect defense-less Houston to come in and do anything to them. Ravens should move the ball at ease, and get some stops with their strong defense.





More great teasers will be posted later.

[ChileCheese]

You get laid this weekend?

[dugdogg]

my book allows 10 pt teasers but a tie is a loss...those two games at +7 could tie (lose) for me

[ssk13809]

You get laid this weekend?

This weekend? Try Monday after the big NE win.