The Pub is gonna Kill on Sides this week!

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  • Robust
    SBR MVP
    • 09-13-08
    • 3254

    #1
    The Pub is gonna Kill on Sides this week!
    been looking at the numbers and did my usual prelim picks..

    out of 6, 4 are faves, while 2 are dogs..

    In leans.. 3 are faves and 1 is a dog..

    wtf is going on with Vegas? they fuckin with our minds?? or am I due for a shitty ass day (been hitting ~80 for 3 weeks, then 70% this past week)..

    Serious posts only please.. this is no joke.. if my way of picking holds up, a shitload of faves will cover...

    Robust
  • Robust
    SBR MVP
    • 09-13-08
    • 3254

    #2
    thoughts?

    Robust
    Comment
    • piecemaker
      SBR High Roller
      • 10-14-10
      • 110

      #3
      its hard to elaborate without actually knowing which faves and dogs you are picking
      Comment
      • ClimbSomeRocks
        SBR MVP
        • 11-04-09
        • 1081

        #4
        What about last week? Saints, Colts, Patriots all favorites that covered quite easily
        Comment
        • icancount2one
          SBR MVP
          • 01-05-10
          • 1507

          #5
          Yeah, i've been trying to pick more dogs lately, but this week literally all my picks are faves.
          Walter forgot... when you're desperate's when you got no choice.
          Comment
          • CrimsonQueen
            SBR MVP
            • 08-12-09
            • 1068

            #6
            I've got 2 dogs and 2 faves... and a lean on yet another dog.
            Comment
            • Robust
              SBR MVP
              • 09-13-08
              • 3254

              #7
              Originally posted by piecemaker
              its hard to elaborate without actually knowing which faves and dogs you are picking
              alright.. just this disclaimer: These are PRELIM!! not plays.. will let ya know the plays fri or saturday..

              Hou
              CAr
              Atl
              KC
              Phi
              GB
              Pit

              and leans
              Buf
              Min
              NYJ
              NE
              NYG

              and as you can see, I have 2 extra in there.. stricktly PRELIM!! Car is already looking terrible and might switch to NO..

              Robust
              Comment
              • RJ89
                SBR Sharp
                • 09-03-09
                • 363

                #8
                In the TB/ Atl game and the Phil/ Ind game, the public is all over the dogs, especially after the Bucs and Colts wins last week..

                Atlanta looks like a really strong play to me.
                Comment
                • GiveMeaBJ
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 09-08-09
                  • 8449

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Robust
                  alright.. just this disclaimer: These are PRELIM!! not plays.. will let ya know the plays fri or saturday..

                  Hou L
                  CAr W
                  Atl W
                  KC W
                  Phi L
                  GB L
                  Pit L

                  and leans
                  Buf W
                  Min W
                  NYJ L
                  NE L
                  NYG L

                  and as you can see, I have 2 extra in there.. stricktly PRELIM!! Car is already looking terrible and might switch to NO..

                  Robust
                  My leans.
                  Comment
                  • RJ89
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 09-03-09
                    • 363

                    #10
                    Haha.. BJ, except for Minny and SD and NYG (no opinion on that game), that's exactly how I'm leaning.. GL this week then..

                    Comment
                    • Robust
                      SBR MVP
                      • 09-13-08
                      • 3254

                      #11
                      Originally posted by RJ89
                      In the TB/ Atl game and the Phil/ Ind game, the public is all over the dogs, especially after the Bucs and Colts wins last week..

                      Atlanta looks like a really strong play to me.
                      how can the public be on the dogs? it isn't sunday..?

                      Robust
                      Comment
                      • RJ89
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 09-03-09
                        • 363

                        #12
                        I was just saying that a majority of the public are on the Bucs and the Colts..
                        Comment
                        • denn333
                          SBR MVP
                          • 09-16-05
                          • 1191

                          #13
                          also likin the colts.
                          Comment
                          • D3 Mighty Ducks
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 12-17-09
                            • 11939

                            #14
                            I'm having a feeling the games this week will spilt 50/50 between dogs and faves. There is a lot of tricky lines on the board for this week but thats the usual and is expected as the season progresses.

                            I'm on 2 unders already this week. Jets/Lions and Falcons/Bucs both under the total.
                            Comment
                            • sviking
                              SBR Hustler
                              • 10-27-10
                              • 98

                              #15
                              Originally posted by piecemaker
                              its hard to elaborate without actually knowing which faves and dogs you are picking
                              This
                              Comment
                              • Robust
                                SBR MVP
                                • 09-13-08
                                • 3254

                                #16
                                Originally posted by sviking
                                This
                                Originally posted by Robust
                                alright.. just this disclaimer: These are PRELIM!! not plays.. will let ya know the plays fri or saturday..

                                Hou
                                CAr
                                Atl
                                KC
                                Phi
                                GB
                                Pit

                                and leans
                                Buf
                                Min
                                NYJ
                                NE
                                NYG

                                and as you can see, I have 2 extra in there.. stricktly PRELIM!! Car is already looking terrible and might switch to NO..

                                Robust
                                gotta read

                                Robust
                                Comment
                                • Robust
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 09-13-08
                                  • 3254

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by RJ89
                                  I was just saying that a majority of the public are on the Bucs and the Colts..
                                  again.. and sorry for being a stickler.. but read post #11 (this is important info for newbies.. so they know when someone says the public came in, they know it was gameday.. not before.. and this makes reading lines less stressful.. you know sharp money moved the lines early.. and you can tail if you wish)

                                  the public comes in on SUNDAY.. early bets are by sharps and some squares, but not PUBLIC.. public bets on game day.. and yes, they are squares too.. (now, yes , sharps come in on game day too.. but you will notice when the line starts moving.. then backwards to where it was.. sharps sent it backwards..)

                                  Now if you mean you have the feeling that the public will be on the bucs and colts, then i disagree on TB... I believe the public will be on Atl in that one.. of course, i could be wrong.. but that is what I hear locally..

                                  best of luck to you bro!

                                  Robust
                                  Comment
                                  • Robust
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 09-13-08
                                    • 3254

                                    #18
                                    As promised, my final picks for sunday. Haven't posted them all in the same thread for weeks and have been hitting at a real high percentage. lets hope I don't jinx it

                                    Chi -2.5
                                    SD -2.5
                                    NYJ -4
                                    Balt -5
                                    NE -4.5
                                    NYG -6.5
                                    Oak -3
                                    Phi -3
                                    (only posted faves to prove the threads point.. got 2 dogs I like, but they shall remain unknown )

                                    Risky:
                                    Pit -4.5 (but should cover)

                                    Some of those line are stale as I am posting from notes.. but a .5 move would not make me change sides on those posted.

                                    Now for the totals (for fun, do not play these.. just testing my handi skillz as I always suck on sides)
                                    NYJ/DET O
                                    MIA/Bal O
                                    NE/CLE U
                                    NYG/SEA O
                                    DAL/GB O
                                    Pit/Cin U

                                    No points posted so you don't know what numbers I liked so you can't tail (trust me, you don't want to). But to preserve a bit of braggin' rights should they do well, I will take the worst Total since the lines opened (/ego to ID: guy wants to brag if he does well.. leave him alone ) this means a line opener of 35 that went to 37 and I am on the O, then it is over 37.

                                    Good Luck To All!!

                                    Robust
                                    Comment
                                    • iMxth3xbossx5000
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 11-11-09
                                      • 4983

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Robust
                                      alright.. just this disclaimer: These are PRELIM!! not plays.. will let ya know the plays fri or saturday..

                                      Hou
                                      CAr
                                      Atl
                                      KC
                                      Phi
                                      GB
                                      Pit

                                      and leans
                                      Buf
                                      Min
                                      NYJ
                                      NE
                                      NYG

                                      and as you can see, I have 2 extra in there.. stricktly PRELIM!! Car is already looking terrible and might switch to NO..

                                      Robust
                                      I love the Philadelphia pick more then any other play on the board tomorrow. Honestly, I'm thinking of just going all out on that one. I can feel that one winning with near certainty so thats 1 favorite I could vouch for you.. Between Atlanta/Tampa Bay the line is to high for me to play this game but I do like Atlanta in this spot. I'm staying away from this one to be cautious, but yes I do feel they will win in double digits. Personally the only other play I disagree on is Houston, as I would have chose San Diego in this spot. Another no play for me there.
                                      Comment
                                      • Robust
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 09-13-08
                                        • 3254

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by iMxth3xbossx5000
                                        I love the Philadelphia pick more then any other play on the board tomorrow. Honestly, I'm thinking of just going all out on that one. I can feel that one winning with near certainty so thats 1 favorite I could vouch for you.. Between Atlanta/Tampa Bay the line is to high for me to play this game but I do like Atlanta in this spot. I'm staying away from this one to be cautious, but yes I do feel they will win in double digits. Personally the only other play I disagree on is Houston, as I would have chose San Diego in this spot. Another no play for me there.
                                        updated picks posted above your thread

                                        Robust
                                        Comment
                                        • Robust
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 09-13-08
                                          • 3254

                                          #21
                                          bump

                                          Robust
                                          Comment
                                          • Robust
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 09-13-08
                                            • 3254

                                            #22
                                            horrible week! faves are winning, but not covering.. DOH!

                                            4-3-1 on sides and 1-2-1 on totals so far with pit left and 2 totals..

                                            and none of the parlays hit..

                                            f\*\*k me!!

                                            on to next week.. this one is a bust!! no more posting my picks all in one thread.. I got the jinx going again

                                            Robust
                                            Comment
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