Lucky1's NFL 2016 thread

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  • franklee168
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 03-06-11
    • 5544

    #211
    You'll be even by the end of the season for the NFL Lucky! Keep on grinding.
    Comment
    • Lucky1g
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 12-10-10
      • 5973

      #212
      ***Top Rated***Bills ML(+110)
      ***Top Rated***Eagles+3 (-120)

      jags+3.5
      Bears+8
      Browns+4.5
      Texans+7 (-120)

      Comment
      • Lucky1g
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 12-10-10
        • 5973

        #213

        ***top rated***Rams+5

        Cowboys-3 (-130)
        Comment
        • Lucky1g
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 12-10-10
          • 5973

          #214

          pats-6
          Pats & Ravens OVER 45
          Comment
          • Lucky1g
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 12-10-10
            • 5973

            #215
            preseason 7-2 78% +4.8units
            sides 4-1
            totals 3-1
            ***top rated plays 0-0 (2 unit)
            Buffalo bills games 1-0.

            Updated: this is just embarassing....don't know what to say. I suck at NFL this year and my bookie is my biggest fan


            Regular Season 51-72-3 41% -34.7 Units

            sides 39-49-3
            totals 12-23

            ***top rated plays (2 units) 10-18
            "Circle the Wagon" plays
            (buffalo bills only) 3-7-1
            Comment
            • Lucky1g
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 12-10-10
              • 5973

              #216
              Still plugging away and why not? Best fade in forum for those anxiously awaiting my picks..lol, Been getting killed betting against the better team this year. The Rams are a total mess. How does that change tonight? Seahawks will be out to rebound off embarrasing loss. They are a different team at home. Very tough for a rookie QB. 38-13 Hawks roll...obviously slightly worried about backdoor late...but this shouldn't be a close contest by any means. We'll see good luck


              ***Top Rated***Seahawks-15

              Rams & Seahawks OVER 39
              Comment
              • Lucky1g
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 12-10-10
                • 5973

                #217
                Updated
                preseason 7-2 78% +4.8units
                sides 4-1
                totals 3-1
                ***top rated plays 0-0 (2 unit)
                Buffalo bills games 1-0.

                Updated: this is just embarassing....don't know what to say. I suck at NFL this year and my bookie is my biggest fan


                Regular Season 52-73-3 41% -33.8 Units

                sides 40-49-3
                totals 12-24

                ***top rated plays (2 units) 11-18
                "Circle the Wagon" plays
                (buffalo bills only) 3-7-1
                Comment
                • Lucky1g
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 12-10-10
                  • 5973

                  #218
                  SNF. Bad qbs tonight. Petty gained some confidence last week in west coast win. Moore is starting first game in NFL in 5 yrs and going on the road in divisional game as a favorite? Jets have better run D. Have to back the jets tonight. Seems like all public betting site list Miami as 75-80% favorite. This has been a really strange year for the "public" picks covering but from what I can tell I think public play finally gets beat. Jets win, 16-13

                  ***top rated***jets ML(+130)

                  Dolphins & Jets UNDER 38
                  Comment
                  • Lucky1g
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 12-10-10
                    • 5973

                    #219
                    Same shizit, different game. Public keeps crashing tickets, I sink deeper into the hole. NFL absolutely handing it to me this year

                    Updated
                    preseason 7-2 78% +4.8units
                    sides 4-1
                    totals 3-1
                    ***top rated plays 0-0 (2 unit)
                    Buffalo bills games 1-0.

                    Updated: this is just embarassing.... I suck at NFL this year and my bookie is my biggest fan


                    Regular Season 52-75-3 40% -36.9 Units

                    sides 40-50-3
                    totals 12-25

                    ***top rated plays (2 units) 11-19
                    "Circle the Wagon" plays
                    (buffalo bills only) 3-7-1
                    Comment
                    • Lucky1g
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 12-10-10
                      • 5973

                      #220
                      ***top rated***Lions & Giants OVER 41
                      Comment
                      • Lucky1g
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 12-10-10
                        • 5973

                        #221
                        ***top rated***Bears+5

                        Colts+5

                        Eagles+5

                        Bengals+4 (-130)
                        Comment
                        • Lucky1g
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 12-10-10
                          • 5973

                          #222

                          Saints+3

                          ***top rated***Broncos+3
                          Comment
                          • Lucky1g
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 12-10-10
                            • 5973

                            #223
                            preseason 7-2 78% +4.8units
                            sides 4-1
                            totals 3-1
                            ***top rated plays 0-0 (2 unit)
                            Buffalo bills games 1-0.

                            Updated: this is just embarassing.... I suck at NFL this year and my bookie is my biggest fan


                            Regular Season 56-77-4 42% -35.2 Units

                            sides 44-51-4
                            totals 12-26

                            ***top rated plays (2 units) 12-20
                            "Circle the Wagon" plays
                            (buffalo bills only) 3-7-1
                            Comment
                            • Lucky1g
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 12-10-10
                              • 5973

                              #224

                              ***top rated***panthers+7

                              redskins & panthers UNDER 52 (-130)
                              Comment
                              • Lucky1g
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 12-10-10
                                • 5973

                                #225
                                preseason 7-2 78% +4.8units
                                sides 4-1
                                totals 3-1
                                ***top rated plays 0-0 (2 unit)
                                Buffalo bills games 1-0

                                Regular Season 58-77-4 43% -32.2 Units

                                sides 45-51-4
                                totals 13-26

                                ***top rated plays (2 units) 13-20
                                "Circle the Wagon" plays
                                (buffalo bills only) 3-7-1
                                Comment
                                • Lucky1g
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 12-10-10
                                  • 5973

                                  #226
                                  ***top rated***Eagles ML (+120)
                                  Comment
                                  • Lucky1g
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 12-10-10
                                    • 5973

                                    #227
                                    Adding the total

                                    ​Giants & Eagles OVER 42
                                    Comment
                                    • Lucky1g
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 12-10-10
                                      • 5973

                                      #228
                                      Update: well, still plugging away. A bit of success lately...I can still go on a late season run. Keep working my way back to even which is sad, but considering the mess I was and am still in here in NFL, I'll take what I can get.

                                      preseason 7-2 78% +4.8units
                                      sides 4-1
                                      totals 3-1
                                      ***top rated plays 0-0 (2 unit)
                                      Buffalo bills games 1-0

                                      Regular Season 60-77-4 44% -28.8 Units

                                      sides 46-51-4
                                      totals 14-26

                                      ***top rated plays (2 units) 14-20
                                      "Circle the Wagon" plays
                                      (buffalo bills only) 3-7-1
                                      Comment
                                      • Lucky1g
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 12-10-10
                                        • 5973

                                        #229
                                        Dolphins & Bills UNDER 43 (-120)

                                        Vikings+7

                                        Colts+4 (-120)

                                        ***Top Rated***Jaguars+5
                                        couple quick reasons behind the play..I'm actually think the jags are highly motivated. Who doesn't want to win a football game for themselves, their families and there fans on Christmas Eve???. Most of these guys are playing for there jobs next season. They'll play hard. They haven't won at home this year or covered the spread! That's remarkable for a pro team not to be able,to beat the odds all season!. I've liked what I've seen out of Bortles this year. Kids tough. He's shown good leadership. He's got some playmakers at reciever. Titans riding high on win streak, lots of pressure to preform. I don't think they are a legitimate playoff team yet and I think try may play tight in crunch time knowing what's on the line. Titans have lost straight up last two trips to Jacksonville in 2014 & 2015. The second half of the game they played earlier this year the jags won 22-9...albeit after getting totally smoked in the first half. I think that second half helps build confidence and it carries over into this one...oh by the way...its late December matchup and 80% of bettors taking Titans. I'll go the other way and feel very comfortable doing it.

                                        i don't usually do write ups, I hope I'm right. just wanted to explain my logic and I happen to have the time today. Happy holidays All. Best of luck
                                        Comment
                                        • chabooky386
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 05-22-12
                                          • 1873

                                          #230
                                          Originally posted by Lucky1g
                                          Dolphins & Bills UNDER 43 (-120)

                                          Vikings+7

                                          Colts+4 (-120)

                                          ***Top Rated***Jaguars+5
                                          couple quick reasons behind the play..I'm actually think the jags are highly motivated. Who doesn't want to win a football game for themselves, their families and there fans on Christmas Eve???. Most of these guys are playing for there jobs next season. They'll play hard. They haven't won at home this year or covered the spread! That's remarkable for a pro team not to be able,to beat the odds all season!. I've liked what I've seen out of Bortles this year. Kids tough. He's shown good leadership. He's got some playmakers at reciever. Titans riding high on win streak, lots of pressure to preform. I don't think they are a legitimate playoff team yet and I think try may play tight in crunch time knowing what's on the line. Titans have lost straight up last two trips to Jacksonville in 2014 & 2015. The second half of the game they played earlier this year the jags won 22-9...albeit after getting totally smoked in the first half. I think that second half helps build confidence and it carries over into this one...oh by the way...its late December matchup and 80% of bettors taking Titans. I'll go the other way and feel very comfortable doing it.

                                          i don't usually do write ups, I hope I'm right. just wanted to explain my logic and I happen to have the time today. Happy holidays All. Best of luck
                                          Betting with your heart Lucky... Im sure everyone on every team wants a "win" on xmas eve... Not hating on your write up at all but, BOL Lucky! Happy Holidays to you and the family...
                                          Comment
                                          • mkracier
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 09-30-16
                                            • 185

                                            #231
                                            Lucky - love the picks as usual! Tough year in nfl but should bounce back next 2 weeks and playoffs. Do you do survivor at all or have any advice for someone who needs to take 3 teams this week ? Cheers!
                                            Comment
                                            • Lucky1g
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 12-10-10
                                              • 5973

                                              #232
                                              ​adding


                                              ***Top Rated***Falcons & Panthers UNDER 51
                                              Comment
                                              • Lucky1g
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 12-10-10
                                                • 5973

                                                #233
                                                I guess what I was trying to say is that for a 2-12 team and an interim head couch at the helm, conventional thinking would be that they don't have the motivation to go up against a team in thick of playoff hunt. I obviously don't have any true insight as to the teams moral. Could they have a severe case of the "fukk It's"? Sure...It really is all speculation on my part. I just think these guys have been really close in the games I've watched this year. Again, Bortles has shown poise and toughness and is a respected guy on this team. The Jags already made commitment to him for next year. He seems like a franchise guy they just need to build the team up around him. Blake needs to play well today but Titans secondary very pedestrian so I think the jags and the points is a great bet in this spot. Merry Christmas. Enjoy and all the best..
                                                Comment
                                                • hey buddy
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 02-26-10
                                                  • 362

                                                  #234
                                                  Best of luck. Happy holidays. Here's to good things from here on out
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Renegades
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 10-12-11
                                                    • 5290

                                                    #235
                                                    Bortles has actually been terrible all year- bottom 5 in qbr. Jax has had a sneaky good defense though. Although, their def strength is vs the pass so its not a great match up because tenn will run run run. Agreed that tenn is weak vs the pass and it should be even worse with McCourty out today. Playing the jags today is all about the situation. Jags got their ass kicked in the first match up so you would think pride would kick in...similar to phily on thurs. Divisional home dogs with nothing to play for vs playoff contenders can be very dangerous. GL
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Lucky1g
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 12-10-10
                                                      • 5973

                                                      #236
                                                      preseason 7-2 78% +4.8units
                                                      sides 4-1
                                                      totals 3-1
                                                      ***top rated plays 0-0 (2 unit)


                                                      Regular Season 62-80-4 44% -28.3 Units

                                                      sides 47-53-4
                                                      totals 15-27

                                                      ***top rated plays (2 units) 16-20
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Lucky1g
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 12-10-10
                                                        • 5973

                                                        #237
                                                        Ravens+6

                                                        Chiefs-3(-120)

                                                        merry christmas sbr
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Lucky1g
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 12-10-10
                                                          • 5973

                                                          #238
                                                          Upgraded and additional plays for Christmas Day

                                                          ***Top Rated***Ravens+6

                                                          Ravens & Steelers OVER 44.5

                                                          Chiefs-3(-120)

                                                          Broncos & Chiefs UNDER 38



                                                          ..and to all a good night..
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Renegades
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 10-12-11
                                                            • 5290

                                                            #239
                                                            Merry Christmas!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Lucky1g
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 12-10-10
                                                              • 5973

                                                              #240
                                                              3-1 +2.9


                                                              preseason 7-2 78% +4.8units

                                                              sides 4-1
                                                              totals 3-1
                                                              ***top rated plays 0-0 (2 unit)


                                                              Regular Season 65-81-4 45% -25.4 Units

                                                              sides 49-53-4
                                                              totals 16-28

                                                              ***top rated plays (2 units) 17-20
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Lucky1g
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 12-10-10
                                                                • 5973

                                                                #241
                                                                13-6 68% run since my seasons lowest point a little over a week ago. The real is difference is 6-1 on 2 unit plays. Good for +11.5 unit turnaround. That said, still down big. Will look to keep grinding back towards even...or even -10 units would feel like an accomplishment. Hopefully the worst is over in here.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Lucky1g
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 12-10-10
                                                                  • 5973

                                                                  #242
                                                                  MNF
                                                                  Lions+7(-120)

                                                                  Lions & Cowboys OVER 45
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Lucky1g
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 12-10-10
                                                                    • 5973

                                                                    #243
                                                                    preseason 7-2 78% +4.8units
                                                                    sides 4-1
                                                                    totals 3-1
                                                                    ***top rated plays 0-0 (2 unit)


                                                                    Regular Season 66-82-4 45% -25.6 Units

                                                                    sides 49-54-4
                                                                    totals 17-28

                                                                    ***top rated plays (2 units) 17-20
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Lucky1g
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 12-10-10
                                                                      • 5973

                                                                      #244
                                                                      Week 17, 2017!!! Best of luck. Hope I can finish strong. That's what I think I'm going to do with these 5. We shall see...happy new year sbr

                                                                      Bengals Pk (even)

                                                                      ***Top Rated***Jaguars+4.5

                                                                      ***Top Rated***Rams+6.5

                                                                      Cardinals & Rams UNDER 42 (-120)

                                                                      Lions ML (+160)
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Lucky1g
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 12-10-10
                                                                        • 5973

                                                                        #245
                                                                        Swinging for the fences in the regular season finale. Wish me luck. Here what I got late games



                                                                        ***Top Rated***Saints+7.5

                                                                        Giants+8

                                                                        Broncos PK




                                                                        Comment
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