Lucky1's NFL 2016 thread

Lucky1g · 09-22-16, 09:26 PM

I have my weekend card pretty much finalized...but this one I want to get down on tonight. There's always situational and statistical trends that can apply to both teams in a contest. The RLM with a consensus of 70%+ bets on cards is sure sign that this is what I think it is. A home dog backed into a corner. Public perception is way down onthe bills after first two games. Just got destroyed on national TV...I like what I'm hearing out of the locker room this week after the coaching change. Sounds like this team rally wants to make things right with first W of the season. So, West coast favorite traveling to desperate east coast doggy with extra prep time. Huge Situational advantage for Buffalo. Will the line continue to drop through the 4? I don't know but I wouldn't be surprised if it settles on a 3 Sunday morning..as always best of luck. Back Sunday

***top rated***Bills+4

Terps1993 · 09-25-16, 10:50 AM

Any other plays today?

Lucky1g · 09-25-16, 11:12 AM

Yes more action coming. Finalizing. Will post soon

Lucky1g · 09-25-16, 11:37 AM

Redskins & Giants UNDER 47

Titans+2

Lucky1g · 09-25-16, 01:18 PM

Chiefs-3

chargers & colts OVER 51

SNF
Bears+7 -120

Lucky1g · 09-25-16, 02:37 PM

Late addition

colts ML-120

final

Lucky1g · 09-26-16, 03:25 PM

Yuck. Grinding through it..yesterday easy hit on top rated play was highlight of otherwise lousy day. 3-4 -.4 on day..

Updated

Preseason 7-2 78% +4.8units
sides 4-1
totals 3-1
***top rated plays 0-0 (2 unit)
Buffalo bills games 1-0

Regular Season 11-13 46% +0.8 units
sides 9-7
totals 2-6
***top rated plays (2 units) 4-0
"Circle the Wagon" plays (buffalo bills only) 1-1

Lucky1g · 09-26-16, 03:29 PM

Trump Takes it to crooked Hillary tonight.

MNF
Falcons+3 -120

Let's Make America Great Again Folks

AlCar G. · 09-26-16, 04:23 PM

Originally posted by Lucky1g

Trump Takes it to crooked Hillary tonight.

MNF
Falcons+3 -120

Let's Make America Great Again Folks

I knew you and I were a lot alike...lol. Let's hope.

AlCar G. · 09-26-16, 04:23 PM

Good luck tonight BTW!!!

Renegades · 09-26-16, 05:15 PM

Amen to that. If that was you or I involved in that email scandal, we would have been prosecuted months ago

Lucky1g · 09-26-16, 10:31 PM

Updated

Preseason 7-2 78% +4.8units
sides 4-1
totals 3-1
***top rated plays 0-0 (2 unit)
Buffalo bills games 1-0

Regular Season 12-13 48% +1.8 units
sides 10-7
totals 2-6
***top rated plays (2 units) 4-0
"Circle the Wagon" plays (buffalo bills only) 1-1

Lucky1g · 09-29-16, 04:43 AM

August and September in the rear view now. Plenty of season ahead. Slow but profitable start for me.

All football nfl & NCAAF : 39-33 54.2% +5.4 units

top rated 5-2 71%
top rated dating back to start of 2015 season 31-21 60%

SEAHAWKHARRY · 09-29-16, 08:28 AM

Great job so far lucky

Lucky1g · 09-29-16, 06:38 PM

Home opener in cincy. Wont need to buy the hook IMO. Not sure how anyone can have money on the fish in this one but the line is certainly begging for it. But hey, it's the NFL, maybe dolphins wipeout teasers and parlays everywhere and win outright. 1 unit play tonight. 31-17 final

bengals-7.5

Lucky1g · 09-30-16, 05:36 AM

TNF Winner.

Updated

Preseason 7-2 78% +4.8units
sides 4-1
totals 3-1
***top rated plays 0-0 (2 unit)
Buffalo bills games 1-0

Regular Season 13-13 50% +2.8 units
sides 11-7
totals 2-6
***top rated plays (2 units) 4-0
"Circle the Wagon" plays (buffalo bills only) 1-1

mkracier · 09-30-16, 02:13 PM

Winner as always by the best poster on SBR. Cheers and let's get them this weekend.

POOLSIDE · 09-30-16, 02:29 PM

Originally posted by Lucky1g

Home opener in cincy. Wont need to buy the hook IMO. Not sure how anyone can have money on the fish in this one but the line is certainly begging for it. But hey, it's the NFL, maybe dolphins wipeout teasers and parlays everywhere and win outright. 1 unit play tonight. 31-17 final

bengals-7.5

Good win but wasn't the home opener.

Lucky1g · 10-01-16, 05:59 AM

Poolside. Thx for setting the record straight on the bengals schedule.
Best of luck with your bets

Lucky1g · 10-01-16, 06:01 AM

Sunday

Bears+3.5

Bills+7.5

Houston & Tennesee UNDER 40.5

Lucky1g · 10-01-16, 06:05 AM

Will be close game but in the end bucs win outright or flat out lose ATS in this one...Won't need the points. Love this situation for Bucs. 2 unit ML play to win 2.8

***Top Rated***Buccaneers ML+140

Lucky1g · 10-01-16, 08:57 PM

Well...that MIGHT be IT...but I am STILL digesting a couple other lines/situations I really want to bet. Will see how I feel tmrw. These 4 are VERY solid IMHO. Would be real cool to start 5-0 with my top rated plays in here. BIG Jameis Winston fan tmrw lol. He has shown really good stuff so far for a 2nd yr QB. I watched him in preseason week 3. The kid has the IT factor. A few favorable situational trends I like plus it seems to be a very contrarian pick based on huge public/mush love on Denver. I think the Broncos lose ATS for he first time this year and Mr Winston excels tmrw in front of the home crowd for the outright upset.

Good luck

Lucky1g · 10-02-16, 10:50 AM

Bills+7.5 against pats 3rd string QB. I hope Edelman gets to play. Line down to 3 now. Go bills

Lucky1g · 10-02-16, 02:50 PM

Additions

Saints & Chargers UNDER 54

Lucky1g · 10-03-16, 06:03 PM

Wrong on the bucs. Bad Sunday. 2-3 -2.2units. Updated

Preseason 7-2 78% +4.8units
sides 4-1
totals 3-1
***top rated plays 0-0 (2 unit)
Buffalo bills games 1-0

(Wtf?I hit 60% on NFL totals last year...2-8????)

Regular Season 15-16-1 49% +0.6 units
sides 13-8
totals 2-8
***top rated plays (2 units) 4-1
"Circle the Wagon" plays (buffalo bills only) 2-1

Lucky1g · 10-03-16, 06:09 PM

No, this is not chasing yesterday's top rated loss. I am selective and will continue to be with 2 unit bets. I like this matchup a lot and the Gmen warrant a top rated label tonight. Also think I finally hit a totals play. We shall see...best of luck with your action tonight

Giants & Vikings OVER 42 -120

***Top Rated***Giants+4

Lucky1g · 10-06-16, 03:35 PM

Not having good regular season football campaign to this point. Way below par for me. Will it turn around? I like to think so but who the hell knows. I'll keep capping and posting my bets. Good thing is I'm due for decent win streak. We'll see what happens. Tough grind so far. Especially Monday night. That wasn't easy to stomach.

Preseason 7-2 78% +4.8units
sides 4-1
totals 3-1
***top rated plays 0-0 (2 unit)
Buffalo bills games 1-0

(Wtf?I hit 60% on NFL totals last year...2-9????)

Regular Season 15-18-1 46% -2.7 Units
sides 13-9
totals 2-9
***top rated plays (2 units) 4-2
"Circle the Wagon" plays (buffalo bills only) 2-1

Lucky1g · 10-06-16, 03:37 PM

I'm doing it, playing the total tonight. Call me crazy. I see this one going over. Goodluck with your action

Cardinals & 49ers OVER 43

mkracier · 10-06-16, 04:49 PM

Love this play, there are a lot of good plays shaping up on the card for Sunday- looking forward to seeing your action. You will make it all back easily Lucky!

hey buddy · 10-06-16, 05:27 PM

I like the play. Public is in love with the under but I see the total going into the high 40s at least. GL

Lucky1g · 10-07-16, 06:06 AM

FINALLY the right side of a totals play lol. TNF Winner. Updated

Preseason 7-2 78% +4.8units
sides 4-1
totals 3-1
***top rated plays 0-0 (2 unit)
Buffalo bills games 1-0

Regular Season 16-18-1 48% -1.7 Units
sides 13-9
totals 3-9
***top rated plays (2 units) 4-2
"Circle the Wagon" plays (buffalo bills only) 2-1

Lucky1g · 10-08-16, 10:22 PM

Sunday

Texans+7

Jets+8

***Top Rated***Browns+11
(betting against the hoody with the return of his hall of fame QB with a serious chip on there shoulders on there home turf after getting shut out last week...crazy right? Well that viewpoint is Definitley publics perception for this matchup. The winless brownies have been playing better and I think hungry to make a statement and get there first win. Crowell is running the ball effectively as lead back and the emergence of T.Pryor as a threat helps. I think Brady actually struggles a bit to get his offense into rhythm. Maybe Brady even commits a costly Turnover..Pats offense wi Brady has thrived on timing patterns and getting the ball out quick to possesion receivers...the brownies can hang around against a somewhat rusty Brady. I'm going to go against the grain and say this one stays close with NE pulling out the win)

Colts-4 -130

Falcons & Broncos UNDER 46.5

Lucky1g · 10-10-16, 12:20 PM

Well. 3 straight top rated losers

Yesterday did not go my way. 2-3 -2.4...In fact, The first 5 weeks of season have not gone my way

Preseason 7-2 78% +4.8units
sides 4-1
totals 3-1
***top rated plays 0-0 (2 unit)
Buffalo bills games 1-0

Regular Season 18-21-1 46% -4.1 Units
sides 14-12-1
totals 4-9
***top rated plays (2 units) 4-3
"Circle the Wagon" plays (buffalo bills only) 2-1

Lucky1g · 10-10-16, 12:25 PM

All 2016 football wagers still puts me at +2.8 units which is a nice spot to be in considering I haven't gone on any kind of roll yet...just playing 50/50 ball. Will keep rolling and keep capping best I know how. Confident I'll finish plus units on the year

hey buddy · 10-10-16, 04:56 PM

No doubt you will bounce back. Hang in there