2013 NFL System - JM and Modified

[on3]

Correction, no play in Denver game. Posted wrong line.

[on3]

NO/TB -- no play

[on3]

Most likely, sea/sf under 2h.

[BuckeyeKaptn]

Sea/Sf Under 20.5

[on3]

Under 20.5 is a play

[J.M. Disciple]

Only got 20.0, should of waited maybe... Didn't want it to drop lower! Hopefully stays under or at least a push for me.

[ken23lau]

horrible week....

[J.M. Disciple]

horrible week....

Looking closer at this system and its "horrible week" I think it will bounce back. Problem is we really dont know cause of a limited back test, which I am not complaining about because I now the time and research it takes to do a proper back test. I believe as buck mentioned, I think totals are a more consistent than spreads. When I think of spreads and how they are suppose to be 50/50, I think in that case the game should be closer to the spread long run. There for, we should be fading the spreads in some of these blowouts, but that is just theory. Gotta stick to whats been tested until proven other wise.

[on3]

1-6 on the week, brings the middle record to 4-8 so far for the season.

[on3]

system record: 0-0
mod system record: 0-0
units: +0

week 4 potential plays (lost 2 SU and 2 ATS/lost 1 SU and 1 ATS (MOD)):

cleveland
jacksonville
ny giants
washington
carolina

week 5 potential plays (lost 1 SU and 1 ATS):

dallas
philly
detroit
st louis
san fran
indianapolis

[on3]

side note regarding a post on last year's thread. the "AA" games are the games that are 1 week before becoming official. on the above post, those would be the week 4 potential plays, except you would play them on week 3. last year, those games went 31-18-3 ATS. "AA" bets are for TRACKING PURPOSES ONLY. they have not been backtested. BUT you can use it as a tool in your capping.

[on3]

most likely no play in the MNF game if PIT scores here.

[J.M. Disciple]

Someone want to do the math real quick, looks like KC will be a play 2nd half.

[BuckeyeKaptn]

waiting for the lines

[BuckeyeKaptn]

No plays...KC +5.5 O/U 24.5

It's up in the cloud

[J.M. Disciple]

Thanks buck

[BuckeyeKaptn]

I'm watching this 2nd half system in college....tonights game was Under, and won.

[J.M. Disciple]

I'm watching this 2nd half system in college....tonights game was Under, and won.

I was already on whole game under, was able to double down

[Brundle99]

Any JM only plays for today?

[on3]

Plays:

Dal/STL -- DAL PK
GB/Cin -- no play
SD/Ten -- no play
Cle/Min -- CLE +4 and over 21.5
TB/NE -- no play
Ari/NO -- no play
Det/Wash -- no play
NYG/Car -- CAR +3
Hou/Bal -- no play

[ken23lau]

Plays:

Dal/STL -- DAL PK
GB/Cin --
SD/Ten --
Cle/Min --
TB/NE --
Ari/NO --
Det/Wash --
NYG/Car --
Hou/Bal --

What type of play is DAL PK for?

[on3]

thats it for the AM games

[on3]

Bears and the over fir Sunday night

[on3]

middle system goes 5-1, record for the season is 9-9

[on3]

system record: 0-0
mod system record: 0-0
units: +0
*the rules say play favorites on the ML. i will be posting the spreads and ML for favorites


week 4 plays ALL to win 1 unit (lost 3 SU and 3 ATS/lost 2 SU and 2 ATS (MOD)):

Jacksonville +8.5
NY Giants +4
Pittsburgh PK
Washington -3 (ML -160)

week 5 potential plays (lost 2 SU and 2 ATS/lost 1 SU and 1 ATS (MOD)):

philly
st louis
san fran
houston

week 6 potential plays (lost 1 SU and 1 ATS):

arizona
minnesota
tampa bay
houston
green bay
atlanta
buffalo

[analyzer]

Looking forward to next week! Let the system begin!

[hoescj01]

on3, could you explain which of the potential plays are the "AA" plays this week?
thank you

[on3]

on3, could you explain which of the potential plays are the "AA" plays this week?
thank you

the week 5 potential plays are 'AA', those plays went 1-4 last week. like i said, this is a testing phase only for those plays.

[bisturis]

How do we know the difference between the JM plays and the MOD plays in your posting?

Thanks.

[on3]

Denver -7 2h

[on3]

How do we know the difference between the JM plays and the MOD plays in your posting?

Thanks.

I will indicate when there is a MOD play

[hoescj01]

thanks for your effort on3. Looking forward to a prosperous season.

[Jaymac]

On3....

For your nfl halftime system, do you use the opening or closing original game line when comparing it to the halftime line?

Thanks for all your work.

[on3]

On3....

For your nfl halftime system, do you use the opening or closing original game line when comparing it to the halftime line?

Thanks for all your work.

closing line

[on3]

I won't be able to post halftime today, ill be driving. Can someone else post? Thanks in advance.