Bookie Not Changing Lines

AmpleGamble · 11-09-12, 12:03 PM

In addition to this, there are several of his college lines that are 4-5+ points off every week

Easy-Rider 66 · 11-09-12, 12:54 PM

You are getting value if you play those games where the line is off. You would probably do OK in the long run. Would definitely play Detroit/Dallas if I had those lines that you posted.

fishmonger · 11-09-12, 01:07 PM

Would bet ALL the bad lines the were 2 points off or more.

esulima · 11-09-12, 01:12 PM

Originally posted by AmpleGamble

In addition to this, there are several of his college lines that are 4-5+ points off every week

what college games he have that r off ?

AmpleGamble · 11-09-12, 01:25 PM

These are the most notable: Most are only 2-3 points off this week it looks like..

Stanford +1
Northwestern +13
Virginia +3
North Carolina -5.5
OK State -7.5
Oklahoma -19
Clemson -27.5
Memphis +1.5
Utah +2

esulima · 11-09-12, 01:27 PM

Originally posted by AmpleGamble

I've got a question that I hope some of you may have an answer to. There's a local bookie I can bet through that NEVER changes his lines, and often times has a bad line to begin with altogether.

My question is, if I would 'blindly' bet on every team in which the line I can get is way more favorable to any other book, would I be expected to win in the long run? I've posted the NFL lines that I can get from him this weekend below...

These are the two that are underdogs according to him, but favorites elsewhere
Detroit: +2.5 on his site, -1 most other places
Dallas: +4.5 on his site, -1 most

These are the other lines he has

Denver: -3
Tampa: -2.5
Miami: -4.5
New England: -9.5
Baltimore: -6
New York Giants: -6
New Orleans Pick
Seattle: -5.5
San Fran: -11
Pit: -11

Any and all input would be greatly appreciated!

he mite be real sharp too seems like he wants u on dallas and minn did he have lines like this last week who was he favoring? what college games is he favoring too

esulima · 11-09-12, 01:29 PM

Originally posted by AmpleGamble

These are the most notable: Most are only 2-3 points off this week it looks like..

Stanford +1
Northwestern +13
Virginia +3
North Carolina -5.5
OK State -7.5
Oklahoma -19
Clemson -27.5
Memphis +1.5
Utah +2

do they stay the same at game time too? he mite be a real sharp bookie wanting u too bet the other way

esulima · 11-09-12, 01:32 PM

whats he have louville and nebraska ?

Stack-N-Chips · 11-09-12, 01:41 PM

I use 3 dif locals.. and all three have diff lines through out the week.
I even had one local that let me give him the line.. i cant use him anymore cuz I made him go broke 2 weeks ago.. hahaha

esulima · 11-09-12, 01:47 PM

Originally posted by Stack-N-Chips

I use 3 dif locals.. and all three have diff lines through out the week.
I even had one local that let me give him the line.. i cant use him anymore cuz I made him go broke 2 weeks ago.. hahaha

who u like this weekend?

AmpleGamble · 11-09-12, 02:07 PM

Yes, once the lines are opened they NEVER change. It's the same every week - he opens his line and never adjusts it, regardless of what every other book does. For instance, I got the Texans at + points vs the Jets a few weeks back.

esulima · 11-09-12, 03:23 PM

Originally posted by AmpleGamble

Yes, once the lines are opened they NEVER change. It's the same every week - he opens his line and never adjusts it, regardless of what every other book does. For instance, I got the Texans at + points vs the Jets a few weeks back.

did u ever follow the lines he has bumped up or down?

thefastship · 11-09-12, 04:27 PM

1. introduce me to your bookie.. lol

2. Jump on Dallas asap.

3. I rarely play 2 side/ 6 pt teasers ,but him not changing the lines will cross you over key numbers often... You can break his ass.