Someone please give me a reason why this line looks like this against Tampa. Top ranked passing offense coming off of a BYE against the 2nd worst pass defense. What am I missing here? I feel like its a trap.
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It's a trapComment -
Thats how I feel as well, but its awfully hard to not go with this one. Im of the opinion that its a trap and NO loses, or that this is the last week of getting any value out of New OrleansComment -
saints d is terrible,,what would you expect a terrible defensive team to be laying on the road? tb has better run gm, better d, and at home..no reason this line should be any different as while i agree saints will get theirs through the air you talking about a team that cant stop anyone so good chance it comes down to who has the ball last...Comment -
All valid points.. Im just surprised that the line moved from -2.5 to a pickem. I would think the public would have been hammering New Orleans at -2.5... So why the movement?Originally posted by 2daBankComment -
i dont see it at pk,,,im no line expert but id imagine if book dropping to -1 or pick it probably cause they have took as much teaser action on tb as they would like? that or maybe graham health still in question? im sure majority are on saints but im also sure there enough ppl that see value on the + money side of this gm, i think it coinflip so obviously +120 or so on the home team a decent price imo...i dont stress to much on line movement public/sharp/square/trap type shit,, i just cap gm to best of my ability and bet accordingly, ill leave that other stuff to the "super sharps" around here as to me stressing on that stuff just give you gray hair...Originally posted by SD500Comment -
So, just for the heck of it. If you had to bet it, who do you like? Assuming its at a pickem.Originally posted by 2daBankComment -
At a PK u take the Saints. At +3 u take the Bucs; assuming -110 or less. At anything else the number is gone. Good luck!Comment -
i wouldnt play it at pick'em....id imagine that it ends up back at saints-2ish on sunday and i prob consider playing tb ml if it around +120 and teasing them up over a td, but i have no interest in the 2 or whatever it gonna close at...certainly understand why you would like saints and where it sits now if you like'em play'em ....Originally posted by SD500Comment -
Tampa beat them last year when Saints were "good" and Tampa "sucked".
Why can't they beat them again?Comment -
Originally posted by k13
Of course they could... but do you remember what the line was last year when Tampa beat New Orleans? Was it a pickem? Probably not... I just want to hear what people think about the line and why it suddenly went from -2.5 to a pickem. I would think that the general public would be hammering New Orleans even at 2.5.Comment -
Was like -6, went down to -4, ~80% on SaintsOriginally posted by SD500
Saints were 4-1 and considered one of the best teams at the time so obviously line was a bit higher.Comment -
Graham officially OUT.... ill be on tampa tomorrowComment -
trap game, the bucs play the saints tough and the saints dont match up well with themComment -
If you have to think about it too hard then the line is right.Comment -
OVER is the playComment -
this is a pickem its not a track, both teams are not very good on defense but have good offense but if we had to rely on offense and forget defense saints by far. saints or NO PLAY
saints might have worst defense in nfl but cant trust bucaneers to put up the points for the OVER,
saints or fadeComment
