Advanced System Strategies NFL/CFB

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  • ShivaBowl
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 03-09-10
    • 5133

    #316
    Originally posted by BaratoForYou
    Shiva,
    Are you talking about taking the over for second halfs on the games AI picks as overs?
    Right its something to keep your eye on let's say we are on a total of 70 halftime score is 20 second-half line is 31 1/2 now you only need 50 1/2 to cover.
    the luck
    Comment
    • ShivaBowl
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 03-09-10
      • 5133

      #317
      BaratoForYou,

      Here is an example, of when not to play the Over in the 2nd half.
      Thursday, October 11, 2012
      Pittsburgh
      Tennessee

      We were on the total of OVER 43 for the game.

      Half time score 26
      2nd half line 21
      43-26=17
      We only needed 17 points in the 2nd half, to hit the Over of 43 to win.
      Now, you would never wager on the Over of 21 in the 2nd half,
      because you only needed 17 points, to win.
      Okay?
      Comment
      • ShivaBowl
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 03-09-10
        • 5133

        #318
        College Football Artificial Intelligence
        Team Projected Points for 10/27/2012 (Week 9)
        2 Unit Plays
        Not Updated
        A/I Over the total plays.

        Oct 27 12:21 PM ET Ole Miss @ Arkansas
        Oct 27 3:30 PM ET Florida @ Georgia
        Oct 27 9:45 PM ET California @ Utah
        Oct 27 6:15 PM ET Washington State @ Stanford
        Oct 27 3:30 PM ET Akron @ Central Michigan

        A/I Under the total plays Week 9 CFB
        1.5 Unit
        Oct 27 12:00 PM ET Indiana @ Illinois
        Oct 27 3:30 PM ET Kent State @ Rutgers
        Oct 27 7:00 PM ET Baylor @ Iowa State

        A/I Plays Week 9 CFB
        1 Unit Plays
        A. St +3.5 WIN
        .5 Unit Plays
        Oct 25 7:30 PM ET Clemson –
        Oct 27 12:00 PM ET Indiana +
        Oct 27 12:21 PM ET Ole Miss +
        Oct 27 12:30 PM ET North Carolina –
        Oct 27 1:00 PM ET Southern Miss +
        Oct 27 3:30 PM New Mexico +
        Oct 27 3:30 PM ET North Texas +
        Oct 27 3:30 PM ET Georgia +
        Oct 27 3:30 PM ET UAB –
        Oct 27 3:30 PM ET Buffalo +
        Oct 27 3:30 PM ET Central Michigan –
        Oct 27 3:30 PM ET Rutgers –
        Oct 27 3:30 PM ET Ohio –
        Oct 27 7:00 PM ET Baylor +
        Oct 27 8:00 PM ET Nebraska –
        Oct 27 8:00 PM ET Oklahoma –
        Oct 27 9:45 PM ET California +
        Last edited by ShivaBowl; 10-25-12, 01:02 AM.
        Comment
        • BaratoForYou
          SBR Rookie
          • 10-11-12
          • 16

          #319
          Ahhh, Thnaks
          I got it.
          Comment
          • ShivaBowl
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 03-09-10
            • 5133

            #320
            College Football Artificial Intelligence
            Team Projected Points for 10/27/2012 (Week 9)
            2 Unit Plays

            Updated

            A/I Over the total plays.
            Oct 27 12:21 PM ET Ole Miss @ Arkansas 63 -130
            Oct 27 3:30 PM ET Florida @ Georgia 46 -130
            Oct 27 3:30 PM ET Akron @ Central Michigan 65 -140
            Oct 27 5:30 PM ET Ohio State @ Penn State 50-120
            Oct 27 6:15 PM ET Washington State @ Stanford 50 -120
            Oct 27 8:00 PM ET USF @ Marshall 68 -110
            Oct 27 8:00 PM ET Louisiana Tech @ New Mexico State 77 -120
            Oct 27 9:45 PM ET California @ Utah 44 -110

            A/I Under the total plays Week 9 CFB
            1.5 Unit Plays
            Oct 27 12:00 PM ET Indiana @ Illinois 59 -120
            Oct 27 3:30 PM ET Fresno State @ New Mexico 55 -110
            Oct 27 3:30 PM ET Kent State @ Rutgers 46 -110
            Oct 27 7:00 PM ET Baylor @ Iowa State 71 -130

            A/I Plays Week 9 CFB
            1 Unit Plays
            A. St +3.5 WIN
            Oct 25 7:30 PM ET Clemson – 11 -120
            .5 Unit Plays
            Oct 27 12:00 PM ET Kentucky + N/P If UK < + 13.5
            Oct 27 12:00 PM ET Indiana +
            Oct 27 12:21 PM ET Ole Miss +
            Oct 27 12:30 PM ET North Carolina –
            Oct 27 1:00 PM ET Southern Miss +
            Oct 27 3:30 PM ET Fresno State -
            Oct 27 3:30 PM ET North Texas +
            Oct 27 3:30 PM ET Georgia +
            Oct 27 3:30 PM ET UAB –
            Oct 27 3:30 PM ET Buffalo +
            Oct 27 3:30 PM ET Central Michigan –
            Oct 27 3:30 PM ET Rutgers –
            Oct 27 3:30 PM ET Ohio –
            Oct 27 7:00 PM ET Baylor +
            Oct 27 8:00 PM ET Nebraska –
            Oct 27 8:00 PM ET Oklahoma –
            Oct 27 9:45 PM ET California +
            Last edited by ShivaBowl; 10-26-12, 08:32 AM. Reason: Clemson to 1 unit
            Comment
            • ShivaBowl
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 03-09-10
              • 5133

              #321
              Pro Football Artificial Intelligence
              Team Projected Points for 10/28/2012 (Week 8)
              2.5 Unit


              Oct 25 8:20 PM ET
              Tampa Bay Buccaneers v Minnesota Vikings
              Game Total OVER 42 -130


              I may have a play, on the half time line.
              Comment
              • franklee168
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 03-06-11
                • 5544

                #322
                Thanks for the post Shiva!
                Comment
                • ShivaBowl
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 03-09-10
                  • 5133

                  #323
                  Does anyone have any ideal, what is going on with the Tampa Bay line?
                  It’s now down to +5 and that's not what I'm looking for,
                  on our over play tonight.
                  Thank you
                  Comment
                  • Degenregen
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 10-15-12
                    • 349

                    #324
                    I think most were leaning toward Tampa all week, just that they didn't pull trigger until last night. I think a lot were hoping to get them at +7, but when it started moving the other way everyone jumped before it got lower. I took them +7 -120 late afternoon.

                    Latest injury reports don't have a whole lot to say. AP is sore didn't practice Wedsnesday, but will play. My guess is that line will bounce back up to 6?

                    Thanks for the lines Shiva.
                    Comment
                    • ShivaBowl
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 03-09-10
                      • 5133

                      #325
                      Originally posted by Degenregen
                      I think most were leaning toward Tampa all week, just that they didn't pull trigger until last night. I think a lot were hoping to get them at +7, but when it started moving the other way everyone jumped before it got lower. I took them +7 -120 late afternoon.

                      Latest injury reports don't have a whole lot to say. AP is sore didn't practice Wedsnesday, but will play. My guess is that line will bounce back up to 6?

                      Thanks for the lines Shiva.
                      Thank you, those are my thoughts exactly.
                      The play is in so we are just going to run with it.
                      thanks bol
                      Comment
                      • Degenregen
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 10-15-12
                        • 349

                        #326
                        A/I Under Plays Week 9 CFB
                        1 Unit Plays, always buy half a point.

                        Tracking the SHIVA Filter: Play Under & Pass if spread goes outside of 15-20. (4-1 YTD)
                        Oct 27 3:30 PM ET Boise State @ Wyoming 51.5

                        Tracking the AI dog filter: Play Under & Pass if spread goes outside of 10-25 (3-2 YTD)
                        Oct 27 12:00 PM ET Kentucky @ Missouri 49
                        Oct 27 12:00 PM ET Tennessee @ South Carolina 57
                        Oct 27 3:00 PM ET Memphis @ Southern Methodist 49.5
                        Oct 27 3:30 PM ET Eastern Michigan @ Bowling Green 51.5
                        Oct 27 8:30 PM ET Mississippi State @ Alabama 47.5

                        BOL!
                        Last edited by Degenregen; 10-25-12, 11:19 PM. Reason: And BOL
                        Comment
                        • Degenregen
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 10-15-12
                          • 349

                          #327
                          Originally posted by ShivaBowl
                          Thank you, those are my thoughts exactly.
                          The play is in so we are just going to run with it.
                          thanks bol
                          Holy shit, ML below +200 now too. Hesitated at +265, should've taken that earlier. Really seems like there's more to it.
                          Comment
                          • ShivaBowl
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 03-09-10
                            • 5133

                            #328
                            No play on the second half total.
                            If these two teams can't score 13 points then I'm going to give it up.
                            Comment
                            • wizcodlifa
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 01-10-12
                              • 921

                              #329
                              there is so much to follow on here right now. can anyone post all of the plays so far? rather then multiple people posting different plays. please and thank you
                              Comment
                              • ShivaBowl
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 03-09-10
                                • 5133

                                #330
                                Originally posted by wizcodlifa
                                there is so much to follow on here right now. can anyone post all of the plays so far? rather then multiple people posting different plays. please and thank you
                                I know it's a confusing thread everyone that comes in here is confused.
                                But thanks for posting I do appreciate it, so please post again.
                                Thank you.
                                The dark side
                                Comment
                                • wizcodlifa
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 01-10-12
                                  • 921

                                  #331
                                  Originally posted by ShivaBowl
                                  I know it's a confusing thread everyone that comes in here is confused.
                                  But thanks for posting I do appreciate it, so please post again.
                                  Thank you.
                                  The dark side

                                  shiva think you could post all the plays for us. i really would appreciate it! im interested in helpin ya out as well if ya teach me all this
                                  Comment
                                  • ShivaBowl
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 03-09-10
                                    • 5133

                                    #332
                                    Originally posted by franklee168
                                    Thanks for the post Shiva!
                                    Originally posted by franklee168
                                    Thanks for the post Shiva!
                                    Your welcome franklee168, my only friend.
                                    Hey franklee, was there anything confusing about this post?

                                    Pro Football Artificial Intelligence
                                    Team Projected Points for 10/28/2012 (Week 8)
                                    2.5 Unit


                                    Oct 25 8:20 PM ET
                                    Tampa Bay Buccaneers v Minnesota Vikings
                                    Game Total OVER 42 -130


                                    Comment
                                    • ShivaBowl
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 03-09-10
                                      • 5133

                                      #333
                                      Originally posted by wizcodlifa
                                      shiva think you could post all the plays for us. i really would appreciate it! im interested in helpin ya out as well if ya teach me all this
                                      Here you go babe.

                                      Pro Football Artificial Intelligence
                                      Team Projected Points for 10/28/2012 (Week 8)
                                      2.5 Unit


                                      Oct 25 8:20 PM ET
                                      Tampa Bay Buccaneers v Minnesota Vikings
                                      Game Total OVER 42 -130


                                      NFL: Oct 28 1:00 PM ET
                                      Indianapolis Colts v Tennessee Titans
                                      Game Total OVER 45 -140


                                      NFL Oct 28 1:00 PM ET
                                      Atlanta Falcons v Philadelphia Eagles
                                      Game Total OVER 44 -120


                                      NFL: Oct 29 8:30 PM
                                      San Francisco 49ers v Arizona Cardinals
                                      Game Total OVER 37 –120
                                      Comment
                                      • wizcodlifa
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 01-10-12
                                        • 921

                                        #334
                                        thank you. what about the college plays?
                                        Comment
                                        • ShivaBowl
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 03-09-10
                                          • 5133

                                          #335
                                          Originally posted by wizcodlifa
                                          thank you. what about the college plays?
                                          I don't know I'll look at the thread again but I really do think it looks pretty clean.
                                          I only have a few people posting plays and your getting all the information game times, lines, and so on.


                                          Please try to remember that we are putting in hours of our time every week to come up with these play's Because we are applying filters to the AI system


                                          If you don't have 10 + hours a week, then I don't think the systems will work for you.


                                          CFB plays post #320
                                          Comment
                                          • wizcodlifa
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 01-10-12
                                            • 921

                                            #336
                                            hey shiva. i wasnt telling you to do it. or saying what your doing was wrong. i was just asking for a favor to put all the plays on one post. but if theres a conflict then its no big deal. was just simply askin. trust me i respect what your doing here
                                            Comment
                                            • ShivaBowl
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 03-09-10
                                              • 5133

                                              #337
                                              Originally posted by wizcodlifa
                                              hey shiva. i wasnt telling you to do it. or saying what your doing was wrong. i was just asking for a favor to put all the plays on one post. but if theres a conflict then its no big deal. was just simply askin. trust me i respect what your doing here
                                              I don't have any problems with you.I appreciate your post have a good night take care
                                              Comment
                                              • franklee168
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 03-06-11
                                                • 5544

                                                #338
                                                Originally posted by ShivaBowl
                                                Your welcome franklee168, my only friend.
                                                Hey franklee, was there anything confusing about this post?

                                                Pro Football Artificial Intelligence
                                                Team Projected Points for 10/28/2012 (Week 8)
                                                2.5 Unit


                                                Oct 25 8:20 PM ET
                                                Tampa Bay Buccaneers v Minnesota Vikings
                                                Game Total OVER 42 -130


                                                If someone as dense as me understands it, I've got to say it's pretty straight. Thanks again. And for the record with no disrespect to anyone else helping you, I am only going to follow what you post.
                                                Comment
                                                • Degenregen
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 10-15-12
                                                  • 349

                                                  #339
                                                  Shiva, I think you are doing damn near a perfect job, thank you, I appreciate that. Guys the least you can do is scroll through the posts and read them, then you will know what's going on but you should also comment on the plays etc. The man already works his ass off to get the plays in on time, and from my count he hasn't missed a week.

                                                  Shiva is posting the plays he has always posted. This is a thread, the man himself wants more comments. I am posting more plays with the filter Shiva taught us. Not to make more clutter, but to add to the thread and give us more plays so hopefully we can make more penetrating $$. MORE PENETRATING $$$ I SAY. Thank you.
                                                  Last edited by Degenregen; 10-26-12, 01:46 AM.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • chinoloco
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 10-10-10
                                                    • 286

                                                    #340
                                                    Thank you Shiva for all your hard work.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Romanov
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 10-08-10
                                                      • 4137

                                                      #341
                                                      Boys,

                                                      Gotta remember Shiva is just a guy posting a thread, he is not a service and you are not paying him for anything. Consider it a favor. Thanks for the winner last night Shiva.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • sportsfan834
                                                        SBR Rookie
                                                        • 10-13-12
                                                        • 12

                                                        #342
                                                        all of you guys Shiva, Tommygunn, Degenregen are doing a great job thank you!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • ShivaBowl
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 03-09-10
                                                          • 5133

                                                          #343
                                                          A/I Plays Went 2-0 yesterday
                                                          +$350.00
                                                          No A/I Plays today.


                                                          Comp Selection from Sportrends, for 10/26/2012
                                                          Take Air Force over Nevada NO PLAY if AFA < +3.5
                                                          Comment
                                                          • BaratoForYou
                                                            SBR Rookie
                                                            • 10-11-12
                                                            • 16

                                                            #344
                                                            Thanks Shiva
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Tommygunn
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 02-26-09
                                                              • 669

                                                              #345
                                                              It payed yesterday and has been pretty good so far, I'll post and track Shiva. Start record from yesterday.

                                                              NCAA Free Plays 1-0 +1 unit

                                                              Complimentary Selection for 10/27/2012
                                                              Take Illinois over Indiana NO PLAY if > -2
                                                              Comment
                                                              • ShivaBowl
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 03-09-10
                                                                • 5133

                                                                #346
                                                                Originally posted by ShivaBowl
                                                                College Football Artificial Intelligence
                                                                Team Projected Points for 10/27/2012 (Week 9)
                                                                2 Unit Plays

                                                                Last updated

                                                                A/I Over the total plays.
                                                                Oct 27 12:21 PM ET Ole Miss @ Arkansas 63 -130 OUT
                                                                Oct 27 3:30 PM ET Florida @ Georgia 46 -130 OUT
                                                                Oct 27 3:30 PM ET Akron @ Central Michigan 65 -140 OUT
                                                                Oct 27 5:30 PM ET Ohio State @ Penn State 50-120 OUT
                                                                Oct 27 6:15 PM ET Washington State @ Stanford 50 -120
                                                                Oct 27 8:00 PM ET USF @ Marshall 68 -110
                                                                Oct 27 8:00 PM ET Louisiana Tech @ New Mexico State 77 -120
                                                                Oct 27 9:45 PM ET California @ Utah 44 -110

                                                                A/I Under the total plays Week 9 CFB
                                                                1.5 Unit Plays
                                                                Oct 27 12:00 PM ET Indiana @ Illinois 59 -120
                                                                Oct 27 3:30 PM ET Fresno State @ New Mexico 55 -110
                                                                Oct 27 3:30 PM ET Kent State @ Rutgers 46 -110
                                                                Oct 27 7:00 PM ET Baylor @ Iowa State 71 -130

                                                                A/I Plays Week 9 CFB
                                                                1 Unit Plays
                                                                A. St +3.5 WIN
                                                                Oct 25 7:30 PM ET Clemson – 11 -120 WIN
                                                                .5 Unit Plays
                                                                Oct 27 12:00 PM ET Kentucky + 14.5
                                                                Oct 27 12:00 PM ET Indiana + 2.5
                                                                Oct 27 12:21 PM ET Ole Miss + OUT
                                                                Oct 27 12:30 PM ET North Carolina – 7
                                                                Oct 27 1:00 PM ET Southern Miss +3.5
                                                                Oct 27 3:30 PM ET Fresno State - OUT
                                                                Oct 27 3:30 PM ET North Texas + 3.5
                                                                Oct 27 3:30 PM ET Georgia + OUT
                                                                Oct 27 3:30 PM ET UAB – 4
                                                                Oct 27 3:30 PM ET Buffalo +7.5
                                                                Oct 27 3:30 PM ET Central Michigan –7
                                                                Oct 27 3:30 PM ET Rutgers –13
                                                                Oct 27 3:30 PM ET Ohio – 6
                                                                Oct 27 7:00 PM ET Baylor + 2.5
                                                                Oct 27 8:00 PM ET Nebraska – M/L
                                                                Oct 27 8:00 PM ET Oklahoma – 13
                                                                Oct 27 9:45 PM ET California +1.5
                                                                Originally posted by ShivaBowl

                                                                Comp Selection from Sportrends, for 10/26/2012
                                                                Take Air Force over Nevada NO PLAY if AFA < +3.5WIN
                                                                xxx
                                                                Comment
                                                                • ShivaBowl
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 03-09-10
                                                                  • 5133

                                                                  #347
                                                                  Originally posted by Degenregen
                                                                  A/I Under Plays Week 9 CFB
                                                                  1 Unit Plays, always buy half a point.

                                                                  Tracking the SHIVA Filter: Play Under & Pass if spread goes outside of 15-20. (4-1 YTD)
                                                                  Oct 27 3:30 PM ET Boise State @ Wyoming 51.5

                                                                  Tracking the AI dog filter: Play Under & Pass if spread goes outside of 10-25 (3-2 YTD)
                                                                  Oct 27 12:00 PM ET Kentucky @ Missouri 49
                                                                  Oct 27 12:00 PM ET Tennessee @ South Carolina 57
                                                                  Oct 27 3:00 PM ET Memphis @ Southern Methodist 49.5
                                                                  Oct 27 3:30 PM ET Eastern Michigan @ Bowling Green 51.5
                                                                  Oct 27 8:30 PM ET Mississippi State @ Alabama 47.5

                                                                  BOL!
                                                                  All SET ?
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Tommygunn
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 02-26-09
                                                                    • 669

                                                                    #348
                                                                    You bet thanks Shiva, now lets make some paper
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • ShivaBowl
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 03-09-10
                                                                      • 5133

                                                                      #349
                                                                      Originally posted by Degenregen;16518834[B
                                                                      ][/B]A/I Under Plays Week 9 CFB
                                                                      1 Unit Plays, always buy half a point.

                                                                      Tracking the SHIVA Filter: Play Under & Pass if spread goes outside of 15-20. (4-1 YTD)
                                                                      Oct 27 3:30 PM ET Boise State @ Wyoming 51.5

                                                                      Tracking the AI dog filter: Play Under & Pass if spread goes outside of 10-25 (3-2 YTD)
                                                                      Oct 27 12:00 PM ET Kentucky @ Missouri 49
                                                                      Oct 27 12:00 PM ET Tennessee @ South Carolina 57
                                                                      Oct 27 3:00 PM ET Memphis @ Southern Methodist 49.5
                                                                      Oct 27 3:30 PM ET Eastern Michigan @ Bowling Green 51.5
                                                                      Oct 27 8:30 PM ET Mississippi State @ Alabama 47.5
                                                                      BOL!

                                                                      Hey guys, I completely missed this post and its on me.
                                                                      I'll take full responsibility for not updating.
                                                                      I know it's late, but there's nothing I can do about it now.

                                                                      Also the pass on –15 is not set in stone, other filters come in play.
                                                                      But on game day, when the lines are so tight, we need to make them a play or not.
                                                                      Take Care

                                                                      It should read like this, sorry degenregen

                                                                      A/I Under Plays Week 9 CFB
                                                                      1 Unit Plays, always buy half a point.

                                                                      Tracking the SHIVA Filter: Play Under & Pass if spread goes outside of 15-20. (4-1 YTD)
                                                                      Oct 27 3:30 PM ET Boise State @ Wyoming 51.5
                                                                      Oct 27 12:00 PM ET Kentucky @ Missouri 49
                                                                      Oct 27 12:00 PM ET Tennessee @ South Carolina 57
                                                                      Oct 27 3:30 PM ET Eastern Michigan @ Bowling Green 51.5

                                                                      Tracking the AI dog filter: Play Under & Pass if spread goes outside of 20-30 (3-2 YTD)
                                                                      Oct 27 3:00 PM ET Memphis @ Southern Methodist 49.5
                                                                      Oct 27 8:30 PM ET Mississippi State @ Alabama 47.5
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • ShivaBowl
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 03-09-10
                                                                        • 5133

                                                                        #350
                                                                        Adding, A/I Over Play

                                                                        Oct 27 3:30 PM ET USC @ Arizona
                                                                        USC v Arizona
                                                                        Game Total OVER 66 -130
                                                                        Comment
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