Knew Charlotte would quit and SA would quit. Knew Knicks would not quit as much but only a lean unfortunately. Because it is Friday, system says bet entire board. Remember... do not worry about points or half points... simply request the best number from your bookie.
Washington best 1/3 lean
Raptors best number
Raptors ml best
Indiana best (extra lean, like hamburger)
Cavs best
Cavs ml best
Brooklyn best
Houston best
Houston ml (1/4 lean)
New Orleans (half lean) best or 2nd best
OKC best
Orlando best
Phx best
Denver best
OK guys I am off to Stardust then maybe get an escort at el cortez
Knew Charlotte would quit and SA would quit. Knew Knicks would not quit as much but only a lean unfortunately. Because it is Friday, system says bet entire board. Remember... do not worry about points or half points... simply request the best number from your bookie.
Washington best 1/3 lean
Raptors best number
Raptors ml best
Indiana best (extra lean, like hamburger)
Cavs best
Cavs ml best
Brooklyn best
Houston best
Houston ml (1/4 lean)
New Orleans (half lean) best or 2nd best
OKC best
Orlando best
Phx best
Denver best
OK guys I am off to Stardust then maybe get an escort at el cortez
Nice night.
Comment
mathdotcom
SBR Posting Legend
03-24-08
11689
#390
Yes I chose teams that would not quit
My system infallible
No more plays
Too valuable to share my amazing system with you subhumans
Already gave away too much valuable info
Comment
billysink
Restricted User
03-29-09
5172
#391
Originally posted by mathdotcom
Yes I chose teams that would not quit
My system infallible
No more plays
Too valuable to share my amazing system with you subhumans
Already gave away too much valuable info
A guy as fukkin dumb as you Mathy with eyes four area codes apart and a nose like a fukkin continent probably should refrain from labelling anyone as sub anything.
Comment
Mikeyanks23
SBR MVP
11-30-10
4517
#392
Originally posted by billysink
A guy as fukkin dumb as you Mathy with eyes four area codes apart and a nose like a fukkin continent probably should refrain from labelling anyone as sub anything.
Comment
Smoke
SBR Aristocracy
10-09-09
48111
#393
Originally posted by Mikeyanks23
Comment
Parligod
SBR Sharp
09-28-09
403
#394
Not to take this thread off track or anything, but nice pick on Cincy thursday night.
Comment
wantitall4moi
SBR MVP
04-17-10
3063
#395
Originally posted by wantitall4moi
Well it started out having some potential but lost out the last 3 games. so ended up being a negative week, not horrible but still a loser.
Cinci minus best
Chi plus best
Chi ML
NYG (lean) Car(lean)
TB (lean) Pitt(lean) Det (lean) Min ML
Min plus best
Sea minus best
KC ML
Indy plus best
Jets (lean)
This week has a lot of shared numbers so some will be dependent upon some outcomes. Cinci/Phi; Sea/Buff; Jets/Tenn all share the same number. The times that number has come up this year every team was a road favorite. So that gives us Cinci and Sea for right now. Will Jets be favored by Monday? Maybe, but is betting the road team the 'right' play? Probably.
NYG/ATL; Car/SD; TB/NO; Pitt/Dal; Det/AZ Also share the same number. The same number that Hou/NE had last night, but also the same number Cle/Oak; Cin/SD; AZ/Jets shared two weeks ago, and many teams have shared going back a few weeks. The predominant results are still road teams with that number despite what happened last night. But basically only good enough for a lean 'grade'. I will try to look for another pattern in them going back a few more weeks but for now the teams listed are leans at best, will update if I find anything relevant.
Anyway because so many numbers are shared it picks the board again basically.
Updated records:
ATS 45-33-2
ATS leans 16-9
MLs 14-12
ML leans 6-13.
OK so I went back over the shared numbers and have some revisions....
Giants (lean) unchanged Best number either spread or ML
Dallas (lean) Opposite side of original post... Best number either spread or ML
Car (No Play) no play on this one now
TB Plus best, not a lean now
Arizona Opposite side Plus best not a lean now
Basically that number is strongest to the dog, thats why Dallas and Giants are leans because they are technically dogs but not that large. Car no play, number is a cusp return.
Sea still a play with another example added after the Cinci win. Jets still road dog so at best a lean.
Bears are a unique number right now, Can get +1 +123 or ML +120, that is obvious, in this cases you double up on the +1 +123. If you see a ML of +130 or more you then take that and look for a +3 with vig -115 or less, and go with the original suggestion. But discretionary on how people feel about what something is 'worth'.
Minn very similar, +1 is +125 or more, and the ML is +130. So discretionary there as well, might move to a better number with 'worse' vig and a better ML closer to kick off so have to watch and take the best you see. Ideally guys got +3 -110 and are looking for the best ML which is the +130 right now despite the spread taking a small drop.
KC is the obvious "weak" side here as it has been nothing but Oakland money all week. But you might get +3.5 -110 before all is said and done, Or you can take +3 +110 or whatever. So another discretionary play. IMO KC has a chance to win SU, but both teams are playing like shit so youre gambling on a garbage game here.
Indy plus best still.
Probably wont update before kick off so this will more than likely get buried before then, but numbers arent going to change a ton I wouldnt imagine, except those -1 games (we have the + 1 side) will go to -3 with major vig since theyre basically teaser blocking with them right now.
Comment
wantitall4moi
SBR MVP
04-17-10
3063
#396
OOOps dont know why I didnt have it on the original but ...
Baltimore ML
Balt plus best, it will be painted 3 just depends on the vig. More or less an insurance play in case Den wins a real close one due to a missed 2 pt conversion or something.
Luckily Baltimore ML is doing nothing but going up since every sucker on the planet best Denver like they do the Lakers.
Comment
mathdotcom
SBR Posting Legend
03-24-08
11689
#397
Originally posted by wantitall4moi
Bears are a unique number right now, Can get +1 +123 or ML +120, that is obvious,
What fukkin planet do you live on
Comment
wantitall4moi
SBR MVP
04-17-10
3063
#398
Originally posted by mathdotcom
What fukkin planet do you live on
you continue to show how out of touch you are with sports betting. Why dont you go bug some other boards with your make believe nonsense and leave the actual gambling to gamblers.
Comment
mathdotcom
SBR Posting Legend
03-24-08
11689
#399
Hey maybe you could have gotten +3 +175?
Comment
wantitall4moi
SBR MVP
04-17-10
3063
#400
ATS 4-3
ATS Lean 0-1 (dallas pending)
ML 1-2
Overall
ATS 49-36
ATS Leans 16-10
ML 15-14
ML lean 6-13
Comment
wantitall4moi
SBR MVP
04-17-10
3063
#401
After a couple weeks of so-so results with a lot of shared numbers which have been splitting for the most part we have a lot of 'strong' numbers this week.
I did a few tweaks and hopefully it fine tunes these latest results with stuff we saw earlier in the year.
ATL minus best. opened -3 now -4 you know the drill.
Green Bay minus best
Oak plus best
Oak ML(Lean) only a lean because its DD and Oak, but system number is 80% SU winner
Buf
Buff ML
Dal minus best, another game with weird lines and vig discretionary
Jets minus best (lean) Phi plus best (lean) Minn ML
Minn plus best
Cle (lean) NYG watch line
AZ plus best
AZ ML
S.F. watch line
It picks a lot of games but it also has very strong numbers this week. Hopefully the tweaking helped a little bit.
I think it has a strong week, but watch who is resting whom and who is fighting and who is just playing it out. But the line reflects those cases most of the time, but the moves are generally inflated because every wannabe 'sharp' plays them blindly.
Comment
wantitall4moi
SBR MVP
04-17-10
3063
#402
Actually thought tonight might get back to -3 again but it is coming back up again now.
Comment
wantitall4moi
SBR MVP
04-17-10
3063
#403
Not a lot of changes either way.
GB has dropped some, but 12.5 to 10.5 is almost meaningless in terms of win/loss differential. Might get to 10 maybe even a 9.5 at some smaller books.
Oak took a bit of action, ML has also dropped. But I suspect 350 will be available if you are really feeling froggy.
Buff is as high as they have been suspect they might inch up even more +200 right now maybe +210 sometime before KO.
Dallas still hasnt moved off teaser shield numbers. but expect to pay -2 -110, or somewhere there abouts.
Minn been on and off teaser shield number. ML has been up and down also. +305 now was +340 for a little bit earlier in the week. +8 -110 I would suspect will be where it settles eventually, unless it is cheaper to buy at a book still hanging -9 with whatever crazy vig they have on it.
Even though GIants now -1 theyre better than they were early. Theyre -1 -108 or ML -114. They might get to ML +100 maybe have to keep track of that one. It a late game so a lot of time still.
Arizona should do nothing but rise for awhile, watch to see where it peaks. 6.5 now at a few places, I doubt it hits 7 without unreal vig anyway. But ML might gain a bit, 235 now 265 wont be out of the question, I suspect bears are the teaser key team today.
SF late late bail out game so a lot of time there, but SF is +1 +107 or +112 ML. But I suspect it goes up a lot more than that. 5 dimes has them +2.5 +100. So for guys that love to buy to 3 I am sure you can get it relativity cheap there if they allow it. I dont advocate it but some guys do it.
Comment
wantitall4moi
SBR MVP
04-17-10
3063
#404
Not a lot of games this week, which might be a good thing considering how it has been performing the past month.
Car plus best (lean) Atl minus best
Cle plus best
Cle ML (lean) SD (If a fav, should be)
Pats minus best
KC plus best (lean) AZ plus best (lean)
Comment
Dfjay9
SBR MVP
12-04-08
1576
#405
Got an update? Any accounting for teams that have nothing to play for?
Comment
wantitall4moi
SBR MVP
04-17-10
3063
#406
Originally posted by Dfjay9
Got an update? Any accounting for teams that have nothing to play for?
not really, only 4 picks and 4 leans.
Lines havent done a lot. Lines too big and a lot of people are broke accounts for that I suppose.
Only flyer maybe worth taking was Car ML for +200/205, but it is like 175 now so it lost a lot.
Comment
wantitall4moi
SBR MVP
04-17-10
3063
#407
Took a beating the last couple weeks.
Final tally for the season:
54-42 ATS
19-16 ATS leans
16-16 MLs
6-15 ML leans
Comment
Kindred
SBR MVP
09-09-08
2903
#408
wanti I need a good reasonably priced hooker in the nyc/nj area asap, unlike your spread bets price does matter in this situation cheap but not nasty, hook me up
Comment
darkhat
SBR Hall of Famer
08-18-10
5723
#409
let's keep the system going.....a lot of new guys need to learn a thing or two.
the deathstar known as wantitall4moi is approaching........