Tuesday leans

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  • No coincidences
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-18-10
    • 76300

    #36
    Kind of warming to Wofford now.
    Comment
    • HOT WINGS
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 01-29-10
      • 8055

      #37
      Originally posted by No coincidences
      I will also say this about Miami: they were -3 pre-market. SBRodds has the open at -1.5, but that's incorrect. So unless they get back to -3 or better, I'd be leery.
      Where you see it open at -3? Every book offshore and in vegas opened anywhere from pick em to -1.5 from what I see. I didnt see - 3 at any book.
      Comment
      • chinoloco212
        SBR MVP
        • 03-24-11
        • 1095

        #38
        Originally posted by No coincidences
        Kind of warming to Wofford now.

        me too
        Comment
        • No coincidences
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 01-18-10
          • 76300

          #39
          Originally posted by HOT WINGS
          Where you see it open at -3? Every book offshore and in vegas opened anywhere from pick em to -1.5 from what I see. I didnt see - 3 at any book.
          BetOnline.

          Also the Glantz-Culver line I'm fed, which comes at about 4 p.m. the day before games.
          Comment
          • BigDofBA
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 09-30-09
            • 19313

            #40
            Originally posted by No coincidences
            I will also say this about Miami: they were -3 pre-market. SBRodds has the open at -1.5, but that's incorrect. So unless they get back to -3 or better, I'd be leery.
            Miami opened at -2 at my book.

            On an neutral Floor I have Memphis -2. So I have Memphis -5 at home and +1 on the road. The line seems spot on.

            With that said, I'm playing Miami here. While I don't like playing home favorites that are -1 or -2, Miami is unranked and favored over a ranked team the public perceives as a lot better.

            I do not believe that Memphis is as good as people think they are. Miami should have won at Memphis last year. The game came down the final minute.

            I feel like Miami gets revenge tonight against an undisciplined Memphis team that will turn the ball over and miss free throws. As far as line movement goes, this isn't RLM. I think it's simply the average bettor taking Memphis because Memphis is ranked and the perceived better team.

            Last night Elon moved from -2 to +1. They covered.

            Arkansas State moved from +4.5 to +5.5. They covered.

            I could be totally wrong of course but I really like Miami.

            Be careful taking George Mason. They are not as good as last season.

            Whatever you guys play tonight GL. I'm trying to cut down on being an action junkie. And No Coin, for whatever it's worth, I'm against most of your leans. That's another reason I'm not playing many games. I could very well be wrong on a lot of these. Just bouncing ideas back and forth.

            Comment
            • No coincidences
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 01-18-10
              • 76300

              #41
              Originally posted by BigDofBA
              I could very well be wrong on a lot of these.
              So could I. I've had no lines move in my favor. Good night to take off.
              Comment
              • No coincidences
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 01-18-10
                • 76300

                #42
                Mason's at +10.5 with a 117.5 total.

                I would not touch this game now. Has all the makings of a blowout.
                Comment
                • No coincidences
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 01-18-10
                  • 76300

                  #43
                  Originally posted by No coincidences
                  LBSU's actually 14 now at The Greek. Yeah, that's looking like a pass.

                  As of now, I'd rank the leans:

                  1) George Mason +10 at Virginia
                  2) ECU +1 vs. UMass
                  3) James Madison +1.5 vs. Kent State
                  4) Iowa +8.5 at Northern Iowa
                  5) Long Beach State +14 at Kansas

                  I'd also consider Nova, Washington (based on Pinny) and maybe even Miami (Fla.), though my square gut still says Memphis.

                  I don't see any big-play worthy potential on today's board, but of course, they're out there. I just haven't done a good job finding them.
                  Only interested in ECU, JMU, Wofford and Nova.
                  Comment
                  • BigDofBA
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 09-30-09
                    • 19313

                    #44
                    Originally posted by No coincidences
                    So could I. I've had no lines move in my favor. Good night to take off.
                    Agreed.

                    Honestly, I like UMass, Virginia, Miami, JMU, and Kansas.

                    I never like all favorites like that especially when they are -1 or -2. I could see my self losing the majoirty or breaking even which means I lose juice. I like the plays I just have a bad feeling. Normally when I have a bad feeling, things don't go well. It's almost like when you make a bigger than normal bet and then right before the game the line starts moving against you. You know it's an automatic loser and it always is.

                    I feel like teams like LBSU and George Mason would be trendy dog plays for the public. Those usually don't work out well and the line is moving against those teams as well.
                    Comment
                    • No coincidences
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 01-18-10
                      • 76300

                      #45
                      Originally posted by BigDofBA
                      Agreed.

                      Honestly, I like UMass, Virginia, Miami, JMU, and Kansas.

                      I never like all favorites like that especially when they are -1 or -2. I could see my self losing the majoirty or breaking even which means I lose juice. I like the plays I just have a bad feeling. Normally when I have a bad feeling, things don't go well. It's almost like when you make a bigger than normal bet and then right before the game the line starts moving against you. You know it's an automatic loser and it always is.
                      Yep.
                      Comment
                      • ebelisle22
                        SBR MVP
                        • 10-27-11
                        • 4726

                        #46
                        james madison +1?????No.
                        Comment
                        • PAULYPOKER
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 12-06-08
                          • 36581

                          #47
                          Miami is up to -2.5 coin!!!!!
                          Comment
                          • ebbearsfb1
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 12-07-08
                            • 18815

                            #48
                            Makings of a blowout for virginia and george mason I don't see it coin slot
                            Comment
                            • pacocn
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 07-05-10
                              • 12934

                              #49
                              Nc Wofford line just went up to + 3
                              thoughts?
                              Comment
                              • pacocn
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 07-05-10
                                • 12934

                                #50
                                line says it all Miami on the ML
                                Comment
                                • No coincidences
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 01-18-10
                                  • 76300

                                  #51
                                  Originally posted by ebbearsfb1
                                  Makings of a blowout for virginia and george mason I don't see it coin slot
                                  We'll see. You typically don't see a side that high with a total that low.

                                  I took Nova +8 and Wofford +3 small. Going to test the waters again tonight just because I'm an action junkie.
                                  Comment
                                  • No coincidences
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 01-18-10
                                    • 76300

                                    #52
                                    Originally posted by pacocn
                                    line says it all Miami on the ML
                                    Yes and no.

                                    Again, this line opened at -3 for Miami. It was immediately pounded down to -1.5. Had it moved to -3.5, I'd be convinced. Anything less than -3 and I'm not sold.
                                    Comment
                                    • No coincidences
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 01-18-10
                                      • 76300

                                      #53
                                      Originally posted by pacocn
                                      Nc Wofford line just went up to + 3
                                      thoughts?
                                      I bit. I kind of think Tulane is fool's gold with their record. We'll see.
                                      Comment
                                      • No coincidences
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 01-18-10
                                        • 76300

                                        #54
                                        Nova dropped to 7 at The Greek and stayed at 8 at Bodog. That's enough for me, even though it did open at 5.

                                        Missouri is very good, and I don't think Nova wins this game. I just believe the 8 is too much on a neutral court. Then again, last time I said that about Mizzou, they beat Cal by like 200.
                                        Comment
                                        • PAULYPOKER
                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                          • 12-06-08
                                          • 36581

                                          #55
                                          Originally posted by No coincidences
                                          Yes and no. Again, this line opened at -3 for Miami. It was immediately pounded down to -1.5. Had it moved to -3.5, I'd be convinced. Anything less than -3 and I'm not sold.
                                          Where did this line open up at -3??
                                          Coin I think you were seeing things cause it opened at -1.5 Vegas and offshore.............
                                          Comment
                                          • PAULYPOKER
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 12-06-08
                                            • 36581

                                            #56
                                            You musta been looking at the Miami Dolphins line.......
                                            Comment
                                            • No coincidences
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 01-18-10
                                              • 76300

                                              #57
                                              Originally posted by PAULYPOKER
                                              Where did this line open up at -3??
                                              Coin I think you were seeing things cause it opened at -1.5 Vegas and offshore.............
                                              BetOnline. I saw it with my own two eyes.

                                              Plus, again, the Glantz-Culver line feed I get at about 4 p.m. the day before games had Miami -3 as well.

                                              Doc's Sports talks about the Opening Line in sports betting including the Glantz-Culver Line.
                                              Comment
                                              • BigDofBA
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 09-30-09
                                                • 19313

                                                #58
                                                Sweet Umass is already up 14 and Virginia is up 11. Glad Im still not playing me leans.
                                                Comment
                                                • PAULYPOKER
                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                  • 12-06-08
                                                  • 36581

                                                  #59
                                                  12/05 01:32 pm+3 -110-3 -110

                                                  Apparently they fukked up.......
                                                  Comment
                                                  • ebbearsfb1
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 12-07-08
                                                    • 18815

                                                    #60
                                                    george mason is trash...


                                                    11 turnovers...
                                                    virginia sshooting 65%...


                                                    one thing stays the same.. paul hewitt still cant coach
                                                    Comment
                                                    • JR007
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 02-21-10
                                                      • 5279

                                                      #61
                                                      Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                      Nova dropped to 7 at The Greek and stayed at 8 at Bodog. That's enough for me, even though it did open at 5.

                                                      Missouri is very good, and I don't think Nova wins this game. I just believe the 8 is too much on a neutral court. Then again, last time I said that about Mizzou, they beat Cal by like 200.
                                                      agree, nova was the play
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Sawsi
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 01-29-10
                                                        • 182

                                                        #62
                                                        As an avid follower of Marquette basketball, I'd stay away from this one. It will be close, though. Id say Marquette by 4.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • BigDofBA
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 09-30-09
                                                          • 19313

                                                          #63
                                                          Originally posted by Sawsi
                                                          As an avid follower of Marquette basketball, I'd stay away from this one. It will be close, though. Id say Marquette by 4.
                                                          Thanks for the info.

                                                          I like this thread people are trying to help each other for once.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • JR007
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 02-21-10
                                                            • 5279

                                                            #64
                                                            wash, played 3 of their last 4 on the road,
                                                            Comment
                                                            • ebbearsfb1
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 12-07-08
                                                              • 18815

                                                              #65
                                                              as bad as mason played lucky its an 11 point game
                                                              Comment
                                                              • BigDofBA
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 09-30-09
                                                                • 19313

                                                                #66
                                                                Well, I'm glad James Madison decided to quit playing after leading at the half.

                                                                Comment
                                                                • testertips
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 11-06-09
                                                                  • 1468

                                                                  #67
                                                                  some shitty playing tonight... not even worth the entertainment value
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • BigDofBA
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 09-30-09
                                                                    • 19313

                                                                    #68
                                                                    Originally posted by testertips
                                                                    some shitty playing tonight... not even worth the entertainment value
                                                                    JMU was up like 39-32 and Kent St. is currently on a 33-10 run.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • lonelynoob
                                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                                      • 11-20-11
                                                                      • 359

                                                                      #69
                                                                      great info guys, any leans tonight on pacific -2.5 vs hawaii --- hawaii playing well their last few games but they are a horrible road team ( 4-24 ) LAST 28, pacific lost by 5 in hawaii 2 weeks ago, so a little revenge too ... im leaning pacific ..
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • ebbearsfb1
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 12-07-08
                                                                        • 18815

                                                                        #70
                                                                        I think virginia wins by 12 or 13... gmu backers lose. Virginia 2nd half lose
                                                                        Comment
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