Ohio State is -5.5 over Duke on Tuesday

[k13]

Means NOTHING.

Means OSU covers the original spread 60% + of the time and wins SU 80% + of the time.

That's about it.

[ShowMeZach]

Duke maybe young, but Kansas, Michigan St, and Michigan all fell to the Dukies baby!! Dick Vitale wins this game for Duke 78-74.

[Serbone]

Means OSU covers the original spread 60% + of the time and wins SU 80% + of the time.

That's about it.

On what planet?
A data base Sportsbook Spy says 79% are on Duke+ the pts.
So does that means, what?
OSU covers the original spread "___ %" of the time and wins SU "____ %" of the time.
Please advise, fill in the blanks.

[BigDan]

damn looks like i was wrong (sure it wont be the last time)...it just hit 8 everywhere across the board...

[k13]

you guys waiting to back duke @+ 8 will more than likely be waiting a long time, ive been wrong before but id be shocked if it ever hits 8, doubt it closes higher than 7 (possibly lower)..

+8 now

[Grits n' Gravy]

Took buckeyes early. Lang likes Duke. I'm happy. Like Virginia and Maryland as well.

When is Brock going to start his big 10 plays?

[LOCKNESSMONSTER]

is ohio -5.5 the play? thats what im locked in at

[BigDan]

+8 now

yes as you can see i already mentioned i was wrong, thank you..

[Serbone]

I got + 8.

[brooks85]

Means NOTHING.
Which data base? How many are there, LV, offshore? Did you average all of them? How?
What %?
-% of dollars? What if it is one LARGE wager from one heavy hitter?
- % of bets placed?
Do you trust the data? If so, why in the world do you trust it?
What will the FINAL %'s be 5 minutes before the game? At tip off?
ETC, ETC, ETC....

i cant bold it because you already did but its hilarious you think it means nothing, im sure the books love that you think that also.

[ShowMeZach]

If you got -5.5 on Ohio State then we can all win at 6

[LT Profits]

The deed is done.

Ohio State -4 -115 (First Half)

[LT Profits]

is ohio -5.5 the play? thats what im locked in at

I'm jealous.

[Darkside Magick]

still waiting for -8...miss it..was out and about

[3PtShooter]

got bucks -5.5 tempting to try middle with duke +8

[Serbone]

i cant bold it because you already did but its hilarious you think it means nothing, im sure the books love that you think that also.

One guy says 66% betting is on Duke.
Means nothing, yes.
Becasue there are plentiful different data sources, lots of issues, timing, reliability, % of $$ or % of bets, etc, etc.

[lonelynoob]

was going to roll ohio st but had to take duke at +8 ... just too much to give a vet team with perimeter very good perimeter shooting .... ohio st by 6 or less ....

[brooks85]

One guy says 66% betting is on Duke.
Means nothing, yes.
Becasue there are plentiful different data sources, lots of issues, timing, reliability, % of $$ or % of bets, etc, etc.

that may be so but it definitely means something or I would be broke for the past 3 years. No way i got lucky that many times.

[Serbone]

that may be so but it definitely means something or I would be broke for the past 3 years. No way i got lucky that many times.

First, what are you saying? That since 66% are on Duke, then OSU covers?

[brooks85]

consistently with the clear RLM shown, yes.

have you heard of reverse line movement?

[Ralphie1412]

guys guys guys....its over.

Samsncharge is on Duke and Duke moneyline. They wont even sniff the lead. Ohio St. by 10+

Thanks sam

[ZBOIZ]

guys guys guys....its over.

Samsncharge is on Duke and Duke moneyline. They wont even sniff the lead. Ohio St. by 10+

Thanks sam

Nooooooo

[lonelynoob]

i heard all the rlm talk last night .... from people taking the ny giants against the saints, 75% of the betting public on the saints, .... but yet the saints blow them out .... im not a veteran capper and still new to the game, and not trying to be a dick, but maybe sometimes isnt the public favorite just the right pick ...

[Ralphie1412]

Nooooooo

Ok Sammy and ZBOIZ are on Duke. Its pound time.

[InTheDrink]

consistently with the clear RLM shown, yes.

have you heard of reverse line movement?

At some point the line loses value. I think at 7.5/8 that's the time.

[brooks85]

there was no rlm in the game last night, in football you have to deal with key numbers. saints were -6.5 early in the week, i know because i had them.

[brooks85]

At some point the line loses value. I think at 7.5/8 that's the time.

i agree with a line losing or gaining value but that is my point in this case. Vegas is not in the business of giving away money.. bottom line. So if they are going to give the majority betting public more points, i want no part of that.

If someone has a "read" on this game, they could argue that.

Ive gone against RLM with favorites and its risky, doing it against dogs is just silly, long run the line is telling you what to do tonight.

[lonelynoob]

i hear what youre saying brooks, so basically taking the line movement variables into account, that if i fade the public questionable rlms i could win over 65% of my bets just using that strategy?

[LT Profits]

Means NOTHING.
Which data base? How many are there, LV, offshore? Did you average all of them? How?
What %?
-% of dollars? What if it is one LARGE wager from one heavy hitter?
- % of bets placed?
Do you trust the data? If so, why in the world do you trust it?
What will the FINAL %'s be 5 minutes before the game? At tip off?
ETC, ETC, ETC....

HUH? Are you new here? LOL It obviously means that sharps are on Ohio State and squares are on Duke. If I have to explain why, you probably shouldn't be betting. (hint: do a search on RLM). Now obviously, RLM isn't 100%, but better to be on the sharp side, so those that bet Ohio State early are on the right side. Those who waited until line crossed -7 probably lost their edge.

[LT Profits]

At some point the line loses value. I think at 7.5/8 that's the time.

I just said as much.

[brooks85]

well i have no idea what % but you will win and i dont blindly make any kind of play. RLM with the fact OSU is a veteran team, duke is playing their first real road game. Things like that add up to me and again, im no wizard but i haven't been losing.

[LT Profits]

First, what are you saying? That since 66% are on Duke, then OSU covers?

No, you have to combine the fact that 66% are on Duke and yet the line has risen.

[brooks85]

i dont like hearing that from LT, did you take duke +8 lt?


nvm just checked your thread

[lonelynoob]

thats the most rational reasoning i have ever heard .... so thanks !! and good luck tonight, hopefully the number hits the middle and we both hit tonight ...

[brooks85]

hell ill take a loss just as long as my buckeyes win but here is to a 6 or 7 pt victory