CK's Carjacking the NCAA Threads Leans for Thursday 1/29/09

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  • hockeytown11
    SBR MVP
    • 01-04-09
    • 1102

    #106
    puck plays for tonight

    Carolina ml-150
    Atlanta over 6
    ottawa +110
    Toronto +135
    Comment
    • peetlui
      SBR Sharp
      • 01-12-09
      • 469

      #107
      Originally posted by Dexter
      kinda thought i would be getting more than 1.5. but im done letting vegas get me off a game after my initial lean. i always felt the spurs would take this one outright anyway.

      Spurs seem alot more focused to me than the suns. I agree they win outright. Against good competition the suns can't hang. Who have they beaten lately...the hawks(who are struggling, playing inconsistently themselves) and the wizards(who we all know about)? That's not exactly a feather in one's cap.
      Comment
      • ploben
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 01-09-09
        • 527

        #108
        Originally posted by cocknocker
        ploben,

        Yes, it is strictly a 1st half wager in both college football and college basketball. As crazy as it sounds, it hits even better in the football than the basketball. And now that's scary.
        My question was that my book doesn't have any 1H ML but I guess I answered my own question. Other books must post 1H ML.
        Comment
        • Hanger
          SBR MVP
          • 01-25-09
          • 2115

          #109
          Like the

          Spurs 1.5(2.0 if you got it)

          Secret plays-have never followed, but I really like College of Charleston to blow out UNCGreen.

          Looking at the puck plays now..
          Comment
          • tdotcotez
            SBR High Roller
            • 12-11-08
            • 135

            #110
            Where in costa rica did you guys stay? I live on the pacific coast, and its true the sand is a bit darker some places, but you have to know the nice beaches. If you want the tropical look, you go to the Caribbean side, if you want sick waves and big game fishing, you go to the pacific side.

            This is where I live
            Comment
            • tdotcotez
              SBR High Roller
              • 12-11-08
              • 135

              #111
              ...
              Comment
              • 50lipa
                SBR Sharp
                • 01-18-09
                • 409

                #112
                CK's Best Vacation Location Thread Leans for Thursday 1/29/09
                Comment
                • 50lipa
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 01-18-09
                  • 409

                  #113
                  Did someone crunch the numbers on Cleveland st. 1H, does it hit under the required % for solobass's formula?
                  Comment
                  • hockeytown11
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-04-09
                    • 1102

                    #114
                    i can tell you this,u of d is terrible,just awful,I live near detroit so i see them a lot,they are super bad
                    Comment
                    • DevilDog
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 12-27-08
                      • 190

                      #115
                      Ck, how the hell do I communicate with you privately?
                      Comment
                      • Bezerk15
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 01-28-09
                        • 192

                        #116
                        Ottawa...

                        hockeytown...you had Ottawa two nights ago (the rough night we have discussed) - I've won some coin betting anything/everything against the Blues...is the bounce back game for Ottawa? Trying to tail you on one of these 4-0 puck nights!
                        Comment
                        • shoebox
                          Restricted User
                          • 11-26-08
                          • 5710

                          #117
                          Well last night got a little silly. So far im backing the magic and spurs. Im in on these secret plays later on hope they hold up for a play. Time to bounce back today, ill look at those plays nonsense, thx.
                          Comment
                          • Dexter
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 12-24-08
                            • 25829

                            #118
                            1/30-

                            the bulls have lost their last 4 su in sac, but the kings are in a very tough spot off of a 4 game east coast trip - and this will be their 3rd game in 4 nights. playing the better team in this spot, as the bulls finally get a win in sac.

                            -bulls
                            Comment
                            • hockeytown11
                              SBR MVP
                              • 01-04-09
                              • 1102

                              #119
                              talent wise Ottawa is superior to St. Louis,Ottawa is underachieving badly but getting plus money against an injured bad Blues team I am taking the shot and hoping Ottawa can return to last years form for a night,Carolina wont lose tonight either and Atlanta may score 6 themselves vs NYI
                              Comment
                              • Dexter
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 12-24-08
                                • 25829

                                #120
                                [quote=cocknocker;1461251]Man you are gonna love the baseball system I came up with![/quote]

                                in addition to first inn runs?
                                Comment
                                • lambogb
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 01-06-09
                                  • 278

                                  #121
                                  Originally posted by lambogb

                                  so the scret plays are:
                                  1) santa clara broncos
                                  2) college of charleston cougars

                                  correct?
                                  sry just wanna confrim b4 i lock it in
                                  Comment
                                  • shoebox
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 11-26-08
                                    • 5710

                                    #122
                                    You need to wait right before tipoff to lock in lam
                                    Comment
                                    • lambogb
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 01-06-09
                                      • 278

                                      #123
                                      orite will do
                                      Comment
                                      • maddogmadden86
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 11-08-08
                                        • 898

                                        #124
                                        tdcotez what is it you do in costa rica? i have always wanted to go there
                                        Comment
                                        • hockeytown11
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 01-04-09
                                          • 1102

                                          #125
                                          how do you add an avatar?
                                          Comment
                                          • Dexter
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 12-24-08
                                            • 25829

                                            #126
                                            wow, was thinking of playing the lakers tomorrow off of a su loss - but they are only 2-6 ats off a loss this year.

                                            dont forget about the cavs though - if they lose my money tonight, i will get it back tomorrow with them. we all know the numbers with that squad off a su loss.
                                            Comment
                                            • schaapattack
                                              Restricted User
                                              • 12-23-08
                                              • 1007

                                              #127
                                              Be carefull with clemson cheesehead004..the machine is on va tech.
                                              Comment
                                              • tdotcotez
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 12-11-08
                                                • 135

                                                #128
                                                IT work.... security systems, wireless hotspots, phone systems, home ent setups.... Sportsbetting....


                                                look at bitches
                                                Comment
                                                • Devon
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 11-25-08
                                                  • 371

                                                  #129
                                                  howdy all! Just crunched the numbers for that dude's system and Cleveland St is a play.

                                                  The ml is greater than -1800, game spread larger than -15.5, 1st half spread larger than -8.5 and the percentage is 25% when you do the first half ml over game ml, so less than the required 32% or less.

                                                  So play Cle St first half, if it fails then martingale it.

                                                  Still waiting on first half ml on Loyla/Santa clara and Greensboro/Charlston,
                                                  Comment
                                                  • maddogmadden86
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 11-08-08
                                                    • 898

                                                    #130
                                                    solobass you stole my thunder i have been working on that system not as exact and mathmatical as yours but, first halves is the way to go and i like to play teams that are down by 10 or more after the first in the second, it nearly always hits around teh percentage you posted, congrats on making a much better write up then i could have to describe it lol, Devon with u on cleveland st too and waiting for the lines for those as well
                                                    Comment
                                                    • zackattack
                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                      • 11-06-08
                                                      • 218

                                                      #131
                                                      Originally posted by Devon
                                                      howdy all! Just crunched the numbers for that dude's system and Cleveland St is a play.

                                                      The ml is greater than -1800, game spread larger than -15.5, 1st half spread larger than -8.5 and the percentage is 25% when you do the first half ml over game ml, so less than the required 32% or less.

                                                      So play Cle St first half, if it fails then martingale it.

                                                      Still waiting on first half ml on Loyla/Santa clara and Greensboro/Charlston,
                                                      i got a first half moneyline of -600.........did you? and if you did isn't that 33.3 %?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Hanger
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 01-25-09
                                                        • 2115

                                                        #132
                                                        Originally posted by zackattack
                                                        i got a first half moneyline of -600.........did you? and if you did isn't that 33.3 %?

                                                        ML for the game is -2000. 1h is -600. Percentage is 30%. So in the theory, Cleveland state 1h is a play.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • zackattack
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 11-06-08
                                                          • 218

                                                          #133
                                                          devon and i both have game moneyline of -1800.........the greek is -1800
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Hanger
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 01-25-09
                                                            • 2115

                                                            #134
                                                            Greek now showing -1500 GAME -550 1st half=36 %

                                                            Spread down to 14.5
                                                            Comment
                                                            • zackattack
                                                              SBR High Roller
                                                              • 11-06-08
                                                              • 218

                                                              #135
                                                              might have to wait on this one
                                                              Comment
                                                              • LUNT101
                                                                Restricted User
                                                                • 03-12-07
                                                                • 919

                                                                #136
                                                                Yeah, its 1500 and 550 now. Thats under an 1800 ML as well as 550/1500=36.67%, which is OVER 32%.

                                                                Cleveland St. NO PLAY
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Hanger
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 01-25-09
                                                                  • 2115

                                                                  #137
                                                                  Something like this will have to wait till a few minutes before tip it seems.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Devon
                                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                                    • 11-25-08
                                                                    • 371

                                                                    #138
                                                                    Hmmm, massive movement against Cleveland St in the last 15 minutes. That's why the numbers don't match up now.

                                                                    Spread at TheGreek is now around -14, big drop and below key number. So no play i guess.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • RoagBettor
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 01-20-09
                                                                      • 8355

                                                                      #139
                                                                      Cleveland State -8 1st Half on Bookmaker now
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Hanger
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 01-25-09
                                                                        • 2115

                                                                        #140
                                                                        For something like this to work, do you generally have to run the numbers right before tip? Fluctuations all day are goign to change the numbers, just wondering here. I know for the SP, guys are saying do it before tip to decide if its a play or not.
                                                                        Comment
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