2012-13 NCAA hoop picks

[No coincidences]

Tonight all his predictions comparef to game lines are within a point or 2

Let me guess: all of the totals are as well. Coincidence?

[ebbearsfb1]

Within 2 to 4 points

Ucla was like plus 8 right?


Ive noticed if kenpom has a total of lets say 137.. and books have 130.. to then take the under as something is a miss from kenpom..


Same with a side last night he had zona by 13 when they were plus 7.5


What do you think?

[No coincidences]

Within 2 to 4 points

Ucla was like plus 8 right?


Ive noticed if kenpom has a total of lets say 137.. and books have 130.. to then take the under as something is a miss from kenpom..


Same with a side last night he had zona by 13 when they were plus 7.5


What do you think?

It'd probably yield pretty good results long term.

Not perfect of course, but the discrepancies I'm sure are worth noting.

[ebbearsfb1]

Yeah its the first year. Im using kenpom.. I might start tracking the differences and see what it comes up with..

I think 5 or more points would be a good distance

[No coincidences]

Manhattan +3 (3.3U to win 3)
Manhattan +130 (1U to win 1.3)

Market just took a dump on this play, with Pinny leading the way. Not good. I can actually buy out without losing anything, but I'm going to let it ride.

[blackeyeshamus]

Beamon out?

[blackeyeshamus]

F@#k. I'm on the jaspers at 3 and 4. Don't know.

[blackeyeshamus]

Line dipped back in favor of jaspers prior to tip... No f@#kin clue, dudes.

[No coincidences]

Line dipped back in favor of jaspers prior to tip... No f@#kin clue, dudes.

Who knows. They look like dogshit so far. But hey, at least we killed the closer.

[blackeyeshamus]

Yeah, I'm watching on ESPNU at the house. When the jaspers pushed back there toward the end of the half...well, that is a glimpse of the team I hoped to invest in, you know?

[blackeyeshamus]

2h essentially a pick em.

[ebbearsfb1]

coin

do you use sportsinsight at all?

[No coincidences]

2h essentially a pick em.

Like I said, at least we killed the closer. I beat it by 24 cents and they lose by double digits. Makes a ton of sense.

[SilverTongueFox]

Shaq & Howard shoot FTs better than Manhattan. 8 makes 20 attempts. Turrible (Barkley voice).

[blackeyeshamus]

Like I said, at least we killed the closer. I beat it by 24 cents and they lose by double digits. Makes a ton of sense.

it is my opinion that I'm jinxing your thread, no coincidences...
in fact, I'm staying outta the board for a spell. I'm gonna be a pro lurker
until my luck changes. wishing you the best. peace and chickengrease.

[No coincidences]

it is my opinion that I'm jinxing your thread, no coincidences...
in fact, I'm staying outta the board for a spell. I'm gonna be a pro lurker
until my luck changes. wishing you the best. peace and chickengrease.

It's not you man. Trust me.

[ebbearsfb1]

No Coin for tomorrow

ken pom has

zaga by 24 books have them -19... fade the zaga 4.5 pt difference play the dons

columbia by 12 books have them -7. fade columbia 5 pt difference play cornell


florida by 26 books got mississippi state +20 ..6 pt difference playing state


north dakota state winning by 4, they are +2, 6 pt difference play south dakota state


siu edwardsville winning by 12, they are -7 5 pt swing play tennsseee martin



the plays are just hunches off what we spoke of early...


interesting to see how they do.. went thru out all games took all games with a 5 or 6 pt difference, one with a 4.5

[No coincidences]

No Coin for tomorrow

ken pom has

zaga by 24 books have them -19... fade the zaga 4.5 pt difference play the dons

columbia by 12 books have them -7. fade columbia 5 pt difference play cornell


florida by 26 books got mississippi state +20 ..6 pt difference playing state


north dakota state winning by 4, they are +2, 6 pt difference play south dakota state


siu edwardsville winning by 12, they are -7 5 pt swing play tennsseee martin



the plays are just hunches off what we spoke of early...


interesting to see how they do.. went thru out all games took all games with a 5 or 6 pt difference, one with a 4.5

Good luck ebb.

[Dexter]

what the hell is a kenpom? new iphone app or something?

[No coincidences]

what the hell is a kenpom? new iphone app or something?

Ken Pomeroy's power ratings. He predicts scores of games based on advanced stats.

[Dexter]

Ken Pomeroy's power ratings. He predicts scores of games based on advanced stats.

i see - was looking him up after i read....how do you know that oddsmakers use his projections as a guide? i have never heard of this and do read a few sites like vegasinsider, covers etc on a daily basis...

ps: ucla let down city tomorrow

[No coincidences]

i see - was looking him up after i read....how do you know that oddsmakers use his projections as a guide? i have never heard of this and do read a few sites like vegasinsider, covers etc on a daily basis...

ps: ucla let down city tomorrow

It's pretty obvious if you go through both the sides and totals on games compared to his projections (which are already out before Vegas sets their lines for a given day).

I agree re: UCLA, but it's tough to fade them right now. Muhammad makes a huge difference with that team. Arizona State is starting to regress back to the norm too.

[Dexter]

i dont see their recent losses as a regression....vs arz they were 7pt dogs and vs oregon 8pt dogs (covered)....they seem very very live to me. i still only went 1u cause i dont trust my natural capping in college (see wisc milw tonight)...

keep grinding pal....even if you get this sport back to -40ish...you're making it up in other sports. cant win every sport. you play the same ones i do regularly...

[No coincidences]

i dont see their recent losses as a regression....vs arz they were 7pt dogs and vs oregon 8pt dogs (covered)....they seem very very live to me. i still only went 1u cause i dont trust my natural capping in college (see wisc milw tonight)...

keep grinding pal....even if you get this sport back to -40ish...you're making it up in other sports. cant win every sport. you play the same ones i do regularly...

Thanks Dex. We'll see what happens. Never been in a hole this deep.

I played Arizona State vs. Arizona. They were awful. Not sure if I can go to that well again.

[No coincidences]

Saturday's leans:

Northern Iowa +1 at Indiana State
Iowa State -3.5 vs. Kansas State
Oklahoma +14 at Kansas
San Diego State -4.5 vs. New Mexico
Tulsa +5.5 vs. Southern Miss
Western Illinois +2 at Oakland
Kent State +3 vs. Ohio

[Louisvillekid1]

Really like Iowa st and no Iowa, strong lean towards sdst(but line is sharp as can be)

done like western ill, that was my squad for a while but don't trust them in that tough environment @ Oakland

[No coincidences]

Iowa State -190 (5.7U to win 3)
Iowa State -4 (3.3U to win 3)
Northern Iowa +1 (6.6U to win 6)

[No coincidences]

Northern Iowa +1 (6.6U to win 6)

Unreal.

Again.

Oklahoma +12.5 (5.5U to win 5)
Oklahoma +770 (.5U to win 3.85)
San Diego State -3.5 (2.2U to win 2)
San Diego State ML -170 (3.4U to win 2)
Tulsa +6.5 (2.2U to win 2)

[No coincidences]

Oklahoma +12.5[/B] (5.5U to win 5)

I give up.

Seriously, this is a joke.

[No coincidences]

Temple +6.5 (4.4U to win 4)
Kent State +2 1H (3.3U to win 3)

[No coincidences]

Xavier +6 (4.4U to win 4)

[No coincidences]

Washington +7.5 (1.1U to win 1)

[No coincidences]

Tennessee State +4 (2.2U to win 2)

[No coincidences]

7-5, -0.9U today

If anyone can find a way to finish in the red from the games I picked, it's me. I felt like I should've had a monster day -- instead it's a bust. Again.

A UNI cover instead of a push and an Oklahoma cover instead of last-second loss and I'm up huge.

[No coincidences]

Tennessee State +4 (2.2U to win 2)

73-69 with 30 seconds left and they lose by 9 somehow.