EP36's 2nd Half Formula Plays

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  • EaglesPhan36
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 12-06-06
    • 71662

    #1821
    2.11.13
    [2nd Half] William & Mary-Northeastern Under 69.5 [-110]
    Comment
    • steveq
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 11-22-12
      • 661

      #1822
      how was your get away??
      Comment
      • EaglesPhan36
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 12-06-06
        • 71662

        #1823
        Was enjoyable. This pick however is not with both teams lighting it up.
        Comment
        • steveq
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 11-22-12
          • 661

          #1824
          ineed delaware they are getting it taken to them
          Comment
          • EaglesPhan36
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 12-06-06
            • 71662

            #1825
            Was all jump shooting. But they all were going in from deep and it still barely got over in the end only because of fouling. Barf.
            Comment
            • steveq
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 11-22-12
              • 661

              #1826
              making a game ogf it up 1
              Comment
              • steveq
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 11-22-12
                • 661

                #1827
                what ur take on kansa in the 2nd??
                Comment
                • steveq
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 11-22-12
                  • 661

                  #1828
                  i have ark pb m/l
                  Comment
                  • EaglesPhan36
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 12-06-06
                    • 71662

                    #1829
                    Boring night with very little to pick from. Hopefully more tomorrow will offer chances to play, but trying to be very selective with these - as selective as I've been all season with trying to find the absolute best to try.

                    Updated Record: 173-141-7 [+15.77]
                    Comment
                    • micase
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 01-21-13
                      • 157

                      #1830
                      Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                      Boring night with very little to pick from. Hopefully more tomorrow will offer chances to play, but trying to be very selective with these - as selective as I've been all season with trying to find the absolute best to try.

                      Updated Record: 173-141-7 [+15.77]
                      Do you look at the margin between teams when using your formula? Just some food for thought, but I found over the last few seasons that margins of 0-14 have had an average 8.35-9.5 points more scored in the second half, 15-19 point margin 7.5 points more, 20-24 points 6.6 points more, 25-29 3.75 points more and with a 30+ point margin 1.65 less points were scored in the second half.

                      I've also noticed from the games on espn that i've watched that two good (ranked) teams seem to score a lot more points in the final few minutes of games that are close than two poorer quality teams.
                      Comment
                      • EaglesPhan36
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 12-06-06
                        • 71662

                        #1831
                        If you've got a large sample size, I'll take your word for it on those stats - but I think each game is its own entity. Generally I try to pick competitive games where the pace/possessions from the 1st half should translate to a fairly accurate depiction of the 2nd half. Certainly some blowouts have better potential for unders, but again I have seen plenty of of blowouts where points continue to pump out.
                        Comment
                        • EaglesPhan36
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 12-06-06
                          • 71662

                          #1832
                          2.12.13
                          [2nd Half] Wright State-Valpo Over 67.5 [-110]
                          Comment
                          • BoutDemCowboys
                            SBR MVP
                            • 10-28-11
                            • 1897

                            #1833
                            Lookin at Nova?
                            Comment
                            • EaglesPhan36
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 12-06-06
                              • 71662

                              #1834
                              God damn it. 67 f-ing points. Needed 13 in 4:00 and of course ... fukk.
                              Comment
                              • EaglesPhan36
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 12-06-06
                                • 71662

                                #1835
                                Michigan State Team Total Over 33.5 [-110]
                                Comment
                                • EaglesPhan36
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 12-06-06
                                  • 71662

                                  #1836
                                  1-1. Still quite pissed with the 1st play.

                                  Updated Record: 174-142-7 [+15.67]
                                  Comment
                                  • EaglesPhan36
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 12-06-06
                                    • 71662

                                    #1837
                                    2.13.13
                                    [2nd Half] E.Michigan-Akron Over 62.5 [-110]

                                    Comment
                                    • 339955
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 07-20-12
                                      • 198

                                      #1838
                                      wow what is going to happen i bet the other side of your play.......!##$@!!
                                      Comment
                                      • EaglesPhan36
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 12-06-06
                                        • 71662

                                        #1839
                                        Houston-UTEP Over 73.5 [-110]
                                        Comment
                                        • EaglesPhan36
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 12-06-06
                                          • 71662

                                          #1840
                                          Auburn-Arkansas Over 74.5 [-110]
                                          Comment
                                          • EaglesPhan36
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 12-06-06
                                            • 71662

                                            #1841
                                            Colorado State-San Diego State Over 71 [-110]
                                            Comment
                                            • 339955
                                              Restricted User
                                              • 07-20-12
                                              • 198

                                              #1842
                                              lot of money going onto over 71.5 right now who is it??
                                              Comment
                                              • 339955
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 07-20-12
                                                • 198

                                                #1843
                                                damn phan how much money did you really need your runners to put on this 2nd half over?
                                                Comment
                                                • EaglesPhan36
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 12-06-06
                                                  • 71662

                                                  #1844
                                                  Long Beach State-Fullerton State Over 84.5 [-110]

                                                  Comment
                                                  • OhMyEli
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 07-17-12
                                                    • 1164

                                                    #1845
                                                    LBST over would have hit if CSF couldve made a shot earlier on. Going to have to sweat this one out but a big lead does not bode well. So frustrating!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • EaglesPhan36
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 12-06-06
                                                      • 71662

                                                      #1846
                                                      Miffed at these losses tonight. Fullerton usually one of the most reliable 2nd half scoring teams along with Iona. Terrible shooting. Houston game was the one that was the swing game tonight. UTEP scores five pts in the last six minutes after the pace, etc. was going along swimmingly. That one kind of sucked the life out of the night to me. Oh well, I'll hope these two dumb fukks just keep chucking up shots.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • OhMyEli
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 07-17-12
                                                        • 1164

                                                        #1847
                                                        Killed, CSF played penetrating terribly, couldnt make a shot. They score 5 points over a 7 minute span and that kills it. All we need is about 14-15 over 7 minutes and we're good, instead they shit the bed on a good bet really.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • EaglesPhan36
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 12-06-06
                                                          • 71662

                                                          #1848
                                                          Meh. Seems to be the case with a lot of these lately. #s look good, but the shooting slumps come of the overs and the hot shooting comes for the unders. OT for unders. Missing overs by a point. Just no following these of late. Just hoping to get steadier in the right direction for the rest of the month going into March.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • tigerw1
                                                            SBR High Roller
                                                            • 12-21-12
                                                            • 210

                                                            #1849
                                                            I am hoping you can win but i dont think your system has nothing more than good luck and bad luck. You are getting closer and closer to losing money
                                                            Comment
                                                            • EaglesPhan36
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 12-06-06
                                                              • 71662

                                                              #1850
                                                              As always, you're a rain of sunshine covered in dog shit.

                                                              Updated Record: 176-145-7 [+14.37]
                                                              Comment
                                                              • EaglesPhan36
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 12-06-06
                                                                • 71662

                                                                #1851
                                                                2.14.13
                                                                [2nd Half] FAU-W.Kentucky Over 69.5 [-110]

                                                                Comment
                                                                • EaglesPhan36
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 12-06-06
                                                                  • 71662

                                                                  #1852
                                                                  Loyola(MD)-Canisius Over 71 [-110]
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • EaglesPhan36
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 12-06-06
                                                                    • 71662

                                                                    #1853
                                                                    Won't be back till the 9:00pm ET tip half times, gotta go hit the grocery store up for some grubbage.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • PhillyUnionCC
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 10-01-11
                                                                      • 985

                                                                      #1854
                                                                      Good thing. Cause this western Kentucky 2nd half is going under if they keep taking these awful shots
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • PhillyUnionCC
                                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                                        • 10-01-11
                                                                        • 985

                                                                        #1855
                                                                        Just realized you said grubbage hahaha. That's awesome
                                                                        Comment
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