John Morrison 2012-13 NBA Thread

[knugen]

Ouch, some 7/5 winner soon would be nice

[cape07]

I lost more than half my BR, we need a drink. Cheers bro.

Yes we do!

[Wallco99]

Wallco NBA Chase 110
2012-13 System to date: 42-1 (fin. series)
System profit/loss: +6.09 units (fin. series)
Current open series: 2 (-3.00 units)

(1/23/13):
#44 L.A. Lakers (+4) (A) - Loss
#45 Portland (M/L) (A) - Win

v1 Plays
(A) 25-20
(B) 10-8
(C) 7-1
(D) 0-1
Losses: HOU (-35.91 u)


Games for (1/24/13):
#43 N.Y. Knicks @ Boston (+1) (B) (8:00 pm EST)
#44 Resumes (B) on 1/25/13
#46 Toronto @ Orlando (M/L) (A) (7:05 pm EST)



We will ALWAYS play the M/L on favorites and the point spread (-110) on dogs. The team underlined and highlighted blue is the play. There is no point buying in this system, with one exception, if your team is the favorite, and buying down to a (-½) point spread is cheaper than playing the M/L, then by all means, buy the points, otherwise, M/L on all favorites and point spread on dogs. All results will be based on this principle. All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team, and who is the favorite on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines. I will try to update my post as often as I can throughout the day, if the lines change. However, it is the individual bettor’s responsibility to get the appropriate line if it differs from the line in my post.
System rules and backtest can be found in post #219.

[BAMAsharp]

Guys we won the Houston E bet. 80 units to win 1, boy are we sharp. Now we have alakers c 22 units to win 1, we are sharp again! Hey risking 100 units to win 2, we really are sharp. All we need to do now is add a wallco deluxe -800 favorite on the moneyline. Lucky a unit represents one penny for you tards.

You guys must look past Kenny....he's still very upset that his Mother has a bigger d*ck than he does.

[alexknyc]

You guys must look past Kenny....he's still very upset that his Mother has a bigger d*ck than he does.

There's really no need to bring Kenny's mother into this.

I'm sure she's a very nice lady who must be immensely disappointed with how he's turned out.

[cape07]

there's really no need to bring kenny's mother into this.

I'm sure she's a very nice lady who must be immensely disappointed with how he's turned out.

looool!!!!

[allidoiswin89]

Wallco, I believe u answered this before but refresh my memory. Have u done this backtest for college ball? I have been hitting at a high rate thus far. Betting on a lot of small conferences but that's how I make my money anyways

[thelimit0310]

7/5 Plays JAN 23

LA Lakers +3.5 vs Memphis - Bet 2

7/5 Plays JAN 24

No Plays

Results: -2.02
Bet 1: 14-12
Bet 2: 6-6
Utah 11/2
Portland 11/25
Boston 12/14
Houston 1/9
Minnesota 1/9
LA Lakers 1/20

Next official posting will be on January 26 (1/26)

Have a Question about 7/5?
Click here for your Answer

[MARCUS]

..i never buy 3 pnts...or bet on the lakers.

[stevex]

I never buy 3 points either and labby. Notice how the beginning of the year started off so strong with all of those A Bets winning constantly. Hell I think even JM bragged about it in one of his e-mails. Variance was eventually going to kick us in the ass at some point with some C bet loses. Bet within your means fellas, money management is the key.

[parlay100]

Everyone get off Kenny's mom............




Cause I just did.!!

[ChiLLx]

Despite the 6 early losses the 7/5 is only down about 2 units or so, recovery should be coming soon

[BuckeyeKaptn]

Wallco, I believe u answered this before but refresh my memory. Have u done this backtest for college ball? I have been hitting at a high rate thus far. Betting on a lot of small conferences but that's how I make my money anyways

The SCRF?

http://www.predictem.com/forums/college-basketball/40093-scrf-system.html

[Kev the Brit]

Ok, so I did some quick math and extrapolation of the 7/5 system based on how it has performed so far this year:

Total JM series: 92
JM 7/5 series: 26(28.2%)
Bet 1 Wins: 14
Bet 2 Wins: 6
Losses: 6
Total earnings: 128 units
Total losses: 129.9 units
Overall total: -1.9 units

Using these percentages, the rest of the season would look as follows:

Total JM series: 75
JM 7/5 series: 21(28%)
Bet 1 Wins: 11
Bet 2 Wins: 5
Losses: 5
Total earnings: 102 units
Total losses: 108.25 units
Overall total(2nd half): -6.25 units
Season total: -8.15 units

...snip...

<snip>The system has excellent backtesting results so you just gotta keep the faith and grind it out.

This season the A Bets (particularly V1) have been winning by far more often than previous years. This has led to a reduction in the number of 7/5 series. You stated 28.2% of JM series have become 7/5 series so far. A typical year that woud actually read 40% (60% of A Bets win). So, I believe the rest of the season will move towards 40% and will perhaps get to 30-35%. This would be approx 26 x 7/5 series. I could agree to 1/4th of 7/5 series losing, so we should expect 21 wins (min 105, max 147, prob 125 ish) and 6 more losses (-120).

I anticipate either a neutral or small profit season.

I agree that we should keep the faith and grind it out.

Its the Chase 110 that's killing us....</snip>

[njb5572]

Its the Chase 110 that's killing us....

Wallco NBA Chase 110
2012-13 System to date: 42-1 (fin. series)
System profit/loss: +6.09 units (fin. series)

[Wallco99]

Wallco NBA Chase 110
2012-13 System to date: 42-1 (fin. series)
System profit/loss: +6.09 units (fin. series)
Current open series: 2 (-3.00 units)

(1/23/13):
#44 L.A. Lakers (+4) (A) - Loss
#45 Portland (M/L) (A) - Win

v1 Plays
(A) 25-20
(B) 10-8
(C) 7-1
(D) 0-1
Losses: HOU (-35.91 u)


Games for (1/24/13):
#43 N.Y. Knicks @ Boston (+1) (B) (8:00 pm EST)
#44 Resumes (B) on 1/25/13
#46 Toronto @ Orlando (M/L) (A) (7:05 pm EST)


We will ALWAYS play the M/L on favorites and the point spread (-110) on dogs. The team underlined and highlighted blue is the play. There is no point buying in this system, with one exception, if your team is the favorite, and buying down to a (-½) point spread is cheaper than playing the M/L, then by all means, buy the points, otherwise, M/L on all favorites and point spread on dogs. All results will be based on this principle. All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team, and who is the favorite on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines. I will try to update my post as often as I can throughout the day, if the lines change. However, it is the individual bettor’s responsibility to get the appropriate line if it differs from the line in my post.
System rules and backtest can be found in post #219.

[Wallco99]

Wallco, I believe u answered this before but refresh my memory. Have u done this backtest for college ball? I have been hitting at a high rate thus far. Betting on a lot of small conferences but that's how I make my money anyways

No I haven't. Way too many teams for me.

[Wallco99]

This season the A Bets (particularly V1) have been winning by far more often than previous years. This has led to a reduction in the number of 7/5 series. You stated 28.2% of JM series have become 7/5 series so far. A typical year that woud actually read 40% (60% of A Bets win). So, I believe the rest of the season will move towards 40% and will perhaps get to 30-35%. This would be approx 26 x 7/5 series. I could agree to 1/4th of 7/5 series losing, so we should expect 21 wins (min 105, max 147, prob 125 ish) and 6 more losses (-120).

I anticipate either a neutral or small profit season.

I agree that we should keep the faith and grind it out.

Its the Chase 110 that's killing us....</SNIP>

Chase 110 is in the positive, doesn't sound like a killer to me.

[adidas-b 88]

Chase 110 is in the positive, doesn't sound like a killer to me.

Indeed....

[CrazyCarl]

Reminds me of that guy who said 7/5 was killing his bankroll when 7/5 was up at the time.

[Kev the Brit]

Its the Chase 110 that's killing us....

Sorry, Wallco and others, I shouldn't have written that. It was factually incorrect.

Rgds
Kev

[Riceboi]

Reminds me of that guy who said 7/5 was killing his bankroll when 7/5 was up at the time.

It was me and it was true to me because I did a nono and increased my unit size right before some losses hit. It's not the system's fault, but my statement was true.

But now the system is barely green so I hope good times are ahead. I'm glad I skipped that lakers C bet.

[KennyM10]

Guys keep your heads up, you have only lost 80 units between Houston and the lakers in two weeks! Great system

[Riceboi]

Guys keep your heads up, you have only lost 80 units between Houston and the lakers in two weeks! Great system

[KennyM10]

Samrock67 seeing you are only down 44 units following this mess you are now considered a " sharp" everyone else is down almost 100 units! Maybe you would be interested in buying this system from wallco. He calls it the burial system as everyone playing has been buried.

[KennyM10]

I lost more than half my BR, we need a drink. Cheers bro.

Do not worry you will be risking 21 units to win 1 again before you know it. Or just ride one of wallcos -800 ml losers and maybe you can reload even faster.Time to wake up the last five or six of you on the thread. If even one of you is not air betting get the bleep out!The funny part wallco was going to try to get people to buy his mess.

[cambertos]

Do not worry you will be risking 21 units to win 1 again before you know it. Or just ride one of wallcos -800 ml losers and maybe you can reload even faster.Time to wake up the last five or six of you on the thread. If even one of you is not air betting get the bleep out!The funny part wallco was going to try to get people to buy his mess.

penetrate off dude, why do you come on here to force feed us your shit? I'm going to force feed you my chode soon braaah.

[cambertos]

penetrate off dude, why do you come on here to force feed us your shit? I'm going to force feed you my chode soon braaah.

Bang! Kenny pm me your details, you're so cool the way you type tough shit on here, I want to be near you

[Wallco99]

Wallco NBA Chase 110
2012-13 System to date: 42-1 (fin. series)
System profit/loss: +6.09 units (fin. series)
Current open series: 3 (-8.52 units)

(1/24/13):
#43 Boston (+1) (B) - Loss
#46 Orlando (M/L) (A) - Loss

v1 Plays
(A) 25-21
(B) 10-9
(C) 7-1
(D) 0-1
Losses: HOU (-35.91 u)



Games for (1/25/13):
#43 Boston (+5) @ Atlanta (C) (7:35 pm EST)
#44 Utah @ L.A. Lakers (M/L) (B) (10:35 pm EST)
#46 Resumes (B) on 1/27/13


We will ALWAYS play the M/L on favorites and the point spread (-110) on dogs. The team underlined and highlighted blue is the play. There is no point buying in this system, with one exception, if your team is the favorite, and buying down to a (-½) point spread is cheaper than playing the M/L, then by all means, buy the points, otherwise, M/L on all favorites and point spread on dogs. All results will be based on this principle. All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team, and who is the favorite on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines. I will try to update my post as often as I can throughout the day, if the lines change. However, it is the individual bettor’s responsibility to get the appropriate line if it differs from the line in my post.
System rules and backtest can be found in post #219.

[samrock67]

Samrock67 seeing you are only down 44 units following this mess you are now considered a " sharp" everyone else is down almost 100 units! Maybe you would be interested in buying this system from wallco. He calls it the burial system as everyone playing has been buried.

Now, I noticed you post a lot in this thread, but honestly all i see is "I'm a whiny little b*tch who has nothing better to do but be a negative nancy in every thread on SBR."

GFY

[kdavis]

I finally clicked on KennyM10 and checked out all the latest posts' he has made. Funny thing is that I could not find one single play that he has posted. All of his post are bashing other peoples threads after they run into a dry spell. Imagine that. C'mon Kenny, lets see some of your picks.

[Wallco99]

Wallco NBA Chase 110
2012-13 System to date: 42-1 (fin. series)
System profit/loss: +6.09 units (fin. series)
Current open series: 3 (-8.52 units)

(1/24/13):
#43 Boston (+1) (B) - Loss
#46 Orlando (M/L) (A) - Loss

v1 Plays
(A) 25-21
(B) 10-9
(C) 7-1
(D) 0-1
Losses: HOU (-35.91 u)



Games for (1/25/13):
#43 Boston (+5) @ Atlanta (C) (7:35 pm EST)
#44 Utah @ L.A. Lakers (M/L) (B) (10:35 pm EST)
#46 Resumes (B) on 1/27/13


We will ALWAYS play the M/L on favorites and the point spread (-110) on dogs. The team underlined and highlighted blue is the play. There is no point buying in this system, with one exception, if your team is the favorite, and buying down to a (-½) point spread is cheaper than playing the M/L, then by all means, buy the points, otherwise, M/L on all favorites and point spread on dogs. All results will be based on this principle. All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team, and who is the favorite on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines. I will try to update my post as often as I can throughout the day, if the lines change. However, it is the individual bettor’s responsibility to get the appropriate line if it differs from the line in my post.
System rules and backtest can be found in post #219.

[J.M. Disciple]

Not sure if someone posted already, but we do have an (A) bet today on GSW.

Good Luck

[KennyM10]

NICE!!! 21 units lost for me today so far..... Good times!

Noooo! You will be fine. Just thinkthe 80 units lost just means at winning one unit a game, 80 more wins and you are even. See not so bad

[cape07]

Noooo! You will be fine. Just thinkthe 80 units lost just means at winning one unit a game, 80 more wins and you are even. See not so bad

Dude, find something else to do... Shave your b*lls or something