John Morrison 2012-13 NBA Thread

[J.M. Disciple]

When is someone going to post the JM Traditional System for today.

Schedule is available for download for the entire season in Post # 107

[Wallco99]

Wallco, when you keep note of past plays, do you use something like SBR Spreadsheet?.

I used to record my plays on SBR Spreadsheet before, but it doesn't calculate the total profit/loss of the total plays, so i'm looking for a better one, with more of a win/loss/profit calculation.

Thanks.

I write all my own spreadsheets. Everything is color coded and does all my math. Just plug in teams, lines and W or L

[Brundle99]

I write all my own spreadsheets. Everything is color coded and does all my math. Just plug in teams, lines and W or L

Sounds good

[Wallco99]

Wallco NBA Chase 110
2012-13 System to date: 31-0 (fin. series)
System profit/loss: +31.00 units (fin. series)
Current open series: 0

v1 Plays
(A) 20-11
(B) 6-5
(C) 5-0
(D) 0-0


Games for (1/2/13):
#32 Memphis @ Boston (+3½) (A) (7:35 pm EST)


We will ALWAYS play the M/L on favorites and the point spread (-110) on dogs. There is no point buying in this system, with one exception, if your team is the favorite, and buying down to a (-½) point spread is cheaper than playing the M/L, then by all means, buy the points, otherwise, M/L on all favorites and point spread on dogs. All results will be based on this principle. All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team, and who is the favorite on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines. I will try to update my post as often as I can throughout the day, if the lines change. However, it is the individual bettor’s responsibility to get the appropriate line if it differs from the line in my post.
System rules and backtest can be found in post #219.

[stevex]

JM Traditional

1/2/2012

V2

1. Brooklyn Nets B Bet +10 @ Oklahoma City Thunder
Brooklyn Nets B Bet (with buying 3 points) +13 @ Oklahoma City Thunder

[MARCUS]

I play all units @ 100.00. I have a private book so I don't have to make deposits. I have a 25000 limit and never remotely got close to that. So I really don't play percentages. If my balance gets to a good enough number, I switch to 200.00 units. Make withdrawals every +10000.00.

..c'mon wallco,stack that'cheddar up...start fire'in 500$ bullet$..give yourself a 400% pay raise,that's what i call
a real happy new year..get off tha'porch,start hunt'in with tha'big dog'$ in tha'tall grass..

[Brundle99]

..c'mon wallco,stack that'cheddar up...start fire'in 500$ bullet$..give yourself a 400% pay raise,that's what i call
a real happy new year..get off tha'porch,start hunt'in with tha'big dog'$ in tha'tall grass..

[MARCUS]

Celtics going to play strong tonight after their recent losses and not to mention we got our boy Bradley making his season debut

..3 day's rest..we got u$ a home dog with'a bite...look..look..it'$ cummin down already...

[Wallco99]

..c'mon wallco,stack that'cheddar up...start fire'in 500$ bullet$..give yourself a 400% pay raise,that's what i call
a real happy new year..get off tha'porch,start hunt'in with tha'big dog'$ in tha'tall grass..

owekaythen

[Kev the Brit]

Celtics going to play strong tonight after their recent losses <snip>

Obviously not strong enough</snip>

[Wallco99]

Wallco NBA Chase 110
2012-13 System to date: 31-0 (fin. series)
System profit/loss: +31.00 units (fin. series)
Current open series: 1 (-1.10 units)

(1/2/13):
#32 Boston (+2½) (A) - Loss

v1 Plays
(A) 20-12
(B) 6-5
(C) 5-0
(D) 0-0



There are no system plays for (1/3/13)
#32 Resumes (B) on 1/4/13


We will ALWAYS play the M/L on favorites and the point spread (-110) on dogs. There is no point buying in this system, with one exception, if your team is the favorite, and buying down to a (-½) point spread is cheaper than playing the M/L, then by all means, buy the points, otherwise, M/L on all favorites and point spread on dogs. All results will be based on this principle. All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team, and who is the favorite on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines. I will try to update my post as often as I can throughout the day, if the lines change. However, it is the individual bettor’s responsibility to get the appropriate line if it differs from the line in my post.
System rules and backtest can be found in post #219.

[BCC585]

Obviously not strong enough</snip>

You'd think the celtics would get their sh*t together after basically being blown out with their recent losses. The team's not the same anymore apparently

[MARCUS]

You'd think the celtics would get their sh*t together after basically being blown out with their recent losses. The team's not the same anymore apparently

...they did ok the 1st and 4th 1/4..they'll bounce back..they connect on 2 3's and 1 foul shot we cash..next time!

[MARCUS]

owekaythen

.. wallco what happened 2 your pal chilidog?

[Brundle99]

Chilidog still seems to be around, posting in other places but not here.

He was doing a few system tests last time i talked to him, hope he's doing well.

He's the one that introduced me to the Labby :0).

[Brundle99]

Anyone know why there is only two teams playing today?.

[Kelloggs]

Since you chose not to read any of the previous post and want the answer to be given to you here it is:
the reason its called the 7/5 system is because you bet 1.1 and 2.31

1800 posts in the thread not easy to find the one, but thanks for repeating what I wrote.

[BCC585]

Usually two Thursday games are televised on TNT

Anyone know why there is only two teams playing today?.

[thes0vereign]

Is this a 2 game chase where the stakes are 1,10 and 2,31 ?

With the 7/5 system, bet 1 is to win 7 units (My unit is currently $10, so I would bet $77 to win $70) and if that bet loses, you make bet 2 to win the 7.7u you just lost PLUS 5 more units (I would bet to win $77+50 =$127). If the second bet loses, the series is over.

[CrazyCarl]

Some talks that NHL could start this month. Would you start up your NHL thread on a shortened season Wallco?

[MARCUS]

Anyone know why there is only two teams playing today?.

..4 teams..tnt will resume on the 10th,not competing with the duck$ killing k state.

[Brundle99]

Some talks that NHL could start this month. Would you start up your NHL thread on a shortened season Wallco?

I thought I had missed the NHL, but turns out there is a lockout.

Wallco has his NHL Gold thread, I'm sure he'll get it up and running when there's some action.

[Wallco99]

.. wallco what happened 2 your pal chilidog?

Who is that?

[Wallco99]

Some talks that NHL could start this month. Would you start up your NHL thread on a shortened season Wallco?

Probably, but for a much lower unit amount.

[Brundle99]

..4 teams..tnt will resume on the 10th,not competing with the duck$ killing k state.

I meant 2 games, sorry.

[cubfan2121]

I chose not to be an ahole and letting you have it for being lazy and not reading through 1800+ post like everyone else around here (even though you probably just needed to skim over the first few pages to find what you were looking for)
the fact that you have to be spoon fed makes me believe that you shouldn't be making sports wagers in the first place. You strike me as the type that when you lose your bankroll you piss, moan and point your finger at everyone involved instead of doing research. So quit asking mommy to wipe your nose, read the entire thread word for word, make your own decision on how much to bet

1800 posts in the thread not easy to find the one, but thanks for repeating what I wrote.

[Wallco99]

Wallco NBA Chase 110
2012-13 System to date: 31-0 (fin. series)
System profit/loss: +31.00 units (fin. series)
Current open series: 1 (-1.10 units)

v1 Plays
(A) 20-12
(B) 6-5
(C) 5-0
(D) 0-0


Games for (1/4/13):
#32 Indiana @ Boston (M/L) (B) (8:05 pm EST)


We will ALWAYS play the M/L on favorites and the point spread (-110) on dogs. There is no point buying in this system, with one exception, if your team is the favorite, and buying down to a (-½) point spread is cheaper than playing the M/L, then by all means, buy the points, otherwise, M/L on all favorites and point spread on dogs. All results will be based on this principle. All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team, and who is the favorite on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines. I will try to update my post as often as I can throughout the day, if the lines change. However, it is the individual bettor’s responsibility to get the appropriate line if it differs from the line in my post.
System rules and backtest can be found in post #219.

[Kelloggs]

You strike me as the type that when you lose your bankroll you piss, moan and point your finger at everyone involved instead of doing research.

You are awsome, thx. bro.

[MARCUS]

You are awsome, thx. bro.

..mom use 2 say "kill'em with kindness".

[Brundle99]

I hope Boston get their act together today!

[TwoCats]

I hope Boston get their act together today!

Hopefully their manager has read Wallco's post above pointing out to them that this is a B bet that they are supposed to win for us! Betus have them at spread of <label for="ctl00_C_ConstructorLines1_GameLines 2_repHeaders_ctl00_repLines_ctl02_chkBet VisitorSpread" id="ctl00_C_ConstructorLines1_GameLines2 _repHeaders_ctl00_repLines_ctl02_lblBetV isitorSpread">-2 1/2, moneyline of -145. </label><label for="ctl00_C_ConstructorLines1_GameLines 2_repHeaders_ctl00_repLines_ctl02_chkBet VisitorMoneyline" id="ctl00_C_ConstructorLines1_GameLines2 _repHeaders_ctl00_repLines_ctl02_lblVisi torMoneyline"></label>

[Wallco99]

Wallco NBA Chase 110
2012-13 System to date: 31-0 (fin. series)
System profit/loss: +31.00 units (fin. series)
Current open series: 1 (-1.10 units)

v1 Plays
(A) 20-12
(B) 6-5
(C) 5-0
(D) 0-0


Games for (1/4/13):
#32 Indiana @ Boston (M/L) (B) (8:05 pm EST)


We will ALWAYS play the M/L on favorites and the point spread (-110) on dogs. There is no point buying in this system, with one exception, if your team is the favorite, and buying down to a (-½) point spread is cheaper than playing the M/L, then by all means, buy the points, otherwise, M/L on all favorites and point spread on dogs. All results will be based on this principle. All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team, and who is the favorite on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines. I will try to update my post as often as I can throughout the day, if the lines change. However, it is the individual bettor’s responsibility to get the appropriate line if it differs from the line in my post.
System rules and backtest can be found in post #219.

[thefonzo]

I browsed through most of the thread but didn't find the answer to this question: Has anyone ever backtested the Chase110 system using the 7/5 on the A and B bets?

I did a quick, rough backtest assuming all losses were at -110 odds (I know this is not realistic since there are some ML bets), and every year in which Chase 110 showed profit, my backtest showed substantially more profit. On the two years that were losers, my backtest lost a slightly higher number of units.

Now to do an accurate test, we would need the exact odds for all of those A and B bet losses, because the ML losses will no doubt shrink the profit margin. Has this been done by anyone?

[Brundle99]

Did anyone see that Boston player fall over the seats, and kick a computer monitor off the table trying to get back on the court

Least he isn't injured!

[CrazyCarl]

I browsed through most of the thread but didn't find the answer to this question: Has anyone ever backtested the Chase110 system using the 7/5 on the A and B bets?

I did a quick, rough backtest assuming all losses were at -110 odds (I know this is not realistic since there are some ML bets), and every year in which Chase 110 showed profit, my backtest showed substantially more profit. On the two years that were losers, my backtest lost a slightly higher number of units.

Now to do an accurate test, we would need the exact odds for all of those A and B bet losses, because the ML losses will no doubt shrink the profit margin. Has this been done by anyone?

From a glance, the B game is Chase 110's weakest game in the series, so a 7/5 approach for A-B doesn't make much sense (betting highest amount on B game), just my opinion.