Heavy Favorites experiment..$100 to $1,000

[ChiLLx]

Attempt #2 - Bet #7 :
Dayton Flyers over George Washington Colonials @ -440
$428.00 to win $97.27

This just seemed too good of a bet to not take. I was looking into a couple, but this one was the most logical and intriguing to me, and it's not at a bad price. The Flyers are 13-2 at home compared to george Washington's 2-11 record on the road. Dayton is is also 4 games better in the conference. Dayton is actually one of the highest scoring teams in the nation and I don't think the Colonials have enough offense to keep up with them. Dayton should win this game fairly easily.

Good luck tonight, guys.

I was looking hard at this one too, now let's get it.

[FreddDS]

My sportsbook is offering Dayton at -600. Ouch! Would you take Dayton 1st half ML?

[areyoukiddingme]

Duggly... stop playing afternoon games. Some of us have jobs and can't tail your winners!
Haha, good luck tonight with Dayton. On it with you!

[brigade125]

You are making the line move mcduggly...i got it at -490...

[swordsandtequila]

You are making the line move mcduggly...i got it at -490...

Yeah, me too. Cut it out!

[dsk0057]

First attempt first winner for me!!! I am excited. Onto your next play !!! GL everyone!!!

[jolmscheid]

I like what you got rolling mcdug...so do you really just look at home and away records, past matchups, etc for the plays? Would like to do something like this, but I would need some sort of parameter to pick the plays...would appreciate any insight!

[RL75]

Dayton just clobbered GW the other day, I watched most of the game it wasn't ever really very close. 8+ points most of the way. As far as halftime goes (someone mentioned the halftime bet) Dayton is 4-1 in their last 5 first halves, GW is 1-5 in their last 6.

[mcduggly]

My sportsbook is offering Dayton at -600. Ouch! Would you take Dayton 1st half ML?

Sorry I'm a little late, but yes, I would. RL75 also just added some great stats to back that up as well.

[mcduggly]

I like what you got rolling mcdug...so do you really just look at home and away records, past matchups, etc for the plays? Would like to do something like this, but I would need some sort of parameter to pick the plays...would appreciate any insight!

I look at a lot of factors, but home and visiting records are definitely a large portion of the criteria. You gotta look at who won where, if teams played round their season average for better measuring, any injuries that could cause a disadvantage, a lot of stuff. You also gotta take into consideration events such as a coach coming back from a leave of absence (Jim Calhoun), because teams will elevate their play for him (has been backed-up by historical statistics), or a team trying to fight for a spot in the NCAA tourny that might be on or near the bubble. Senior days and back-to-backs also play into effect. You just have to look for motivational factors and advantages for teams basically. There's just too much, and I feel like I am rambling, so I will stop there haha. If you have any other questions, just let me know, I'll try to help you out.

With that said, let's go Flyers!

[mcduggly]

Damn, I was going to make play #7 Bethune-Cook in the first half, and I should have done it. They're up 10 in the closing minute.

[rochestertitans]

parlyed 2 or 3 together,, took me 3 days.

[rochestertitans]

here http://forum.sbrforum.com/players-ta...-me-50-3k.html click that its a link to thread

[mcduggly]

Dayton up 14 at half.

Looking good so far.

[RL75]

Yeah easy 1h win for Dayton - I took that one due to the lower vig. Good luck to you guys the rest of the way.

[mcduggly]

Yeah easy 1h win for Dayton - I took that one due to the lower vig. Good luck to you guys the rest of the way.

Yea I was thinking about doing that too, but I didn't want to try 3 first halves in a row, too risky. Good hit though, you going to try to add onto your streak with something else tonight?

[RL75]

If Weber St. is still trailing at halftime that one looks interesting. Although I got burned last night with a similar theory. in the game @Portland State Weber was trailing by 7 at half and won by 7.

South Dakota St and Montana look good but both of those games are juiced to hell.

[ChiLLx]

Damn, I was going to make play #7 Bethune-Cook in the first half, and I should have done it. They're up 10 in the closing minute.

I parlayed BC and Dayton tonight

[mcduggly]

If Weber St. is still trailing at halftime that one looks interesting. Although I got burned last night with a similar theory. in the game @Portland State Weber was trailing by 7 at half and won by 7.

South Dakota St and Montana look good but both of those games are juiced to hell.

Did you end up taking Weber State?

[RL75]

I'm going to parlay South Dakota St and Montana. $43.89 to win 16.89.

[mcduggly]

I parlayed BC and Dayton tonight

I would have too, but I am not parlaying any games in this system just to minimize risk.


Good hit!

[RL75]

Did you end up taking Weber State?

I did not, looks like it's going down to the wire, tied for 2h with 7 minutes left. The play that was tempting was Portland +6.5 for 2h but I didn't do that either.

[mcduggly]

Bet #1 - Vermont over Northwestern - $100 to win $33.33 - WIN
Bet #2 - Davidson over Elon First Half - $133.33 to win $28.07 -WIN
Bet #3 - Denver University over South Alabama - $161.40 to win $34.34 -WIN
Bet #4 - Chicago Bulls and Indiana Pacers Under 199 - $195.74 to win $48.94 -WIN
Bet #5 - Connecticut Huskies over DePaul Blue Demons 1st Half - $244.68 to win $78.93 - WIN
Bet #6 - North Carolina Central over Maryland Eastern Shore 1st Half - $323.61 to win $104.39 - WIN
Bet #7 - Dayton Flyers over George Washington Colonials - $428.00 to win $97.27 - WIN

Dayton took control of the game early, had a 14-point lead at half, and never looked back, eventually winning 67-50 in another laugher.

I think I have the next play ready and will post it in 5 minutes.

[TripleDDD]

Been away for a while and now checking back in. Good stuff mcduggly! I will be tailing your next play

[mcduggly]

Attempt #2 - Bet #8 :
Montana over Eastern Washington First Half @ -380
$525.27 to win $138.23

These two teams played a little over a month ago and Montana won the first quarter 40-27. Montana has a high-powered offense, and I don't think Eastern Washington has the weapons to keep up in the scoring column. Montana is also 15-1 against conference opponents, and Eastern Washington is only 8-8. Hopefully Montana continues their conference dominance and gives us win number 8 tonight to cap-off a great day.

Best of luck to everybody tonight.

[BigB333]

i cant get 1st half money lines for that game at bet365 hurting

[mcduggly]

i cant get 1st half money lines for that game at bet365 hurting

Go get a 5dimes account!

[swordsandtequila]

Missed some of your early posts in this attempt, mcduggly, so went maverick and cashed a small 5 game parlay. Starting fresh with this game. Get 'er dun!

[dsk0057]

Tailing you on this one too. If we have a winner here, will we have another bet during night time? Plz let me know duggly!!!

[mcduggly]

Tailing you on this one too. If we have a winner here, will we have another bet during night time? Plz let me know duggly!!!

I say if the first half ends with us a winner, and the margin of victory is within 5 points, then I will probably bet the second half. If the margin of victory is more than 5, then I will wait until tomorrow to post the next play.

[mcduggly]

Missed some of your early posts in this attempt, mcduggly, so went maverick and cashed a small 5 game parlay. Starting fresh with this game. Get 'er dun!

That's what I like to hear! Good job.

[RL75]

Going to take a miracle for me...SDSU is down 10 at the under 16. I thought with it practically being a home game it was a good bet.

[Beavis169]

Fark i hate living in Aus. I slept the **** in and missed all your plays.

[RL75]

These clowns from South Dakota State can't make a wide open 3 to save their lives. Good job avoiding this one guys, wish I had .

[mcduggly]

These clowns from South Dakota State can't make a wide open 3 to save their lives. Good job avoiding this one guys, wish I had .

Montana is going to be close, too.