LTA's NBA Plays

**XGamer** · 03-28-12, 07:37 PM

Originally posted by Pick'nParlays

WOW THEY FINALLY MISSED A 3 EFFIN CHI

Yeah we need that

!

**burchfield** · 03-28-12, 07:47 PM

I put one of largest bets of my life on Bulls Team Score OVER 92.5.. Really hope bulls win 101 to 70 that way we all win

**Catchn_Picks** · 03-28-12, 07:49 PM

Really strange...I don't normally play second halves but I looked at the total. I'm seeing 88.5 for the half. Say what? Maybe I'm brain dead but doesn't it tell you that the books are begging you to bet the over for the half?

They are shooting for a 184 final total but 96 points have already been scored. I think it is going to be an under second half...the question is will it be under enough?

**Catchn_Picks** · 03-28-12, 07:50 PM

Originally posted by burchfield

I put one of largest bets of my life on Bulls Team Score OVER 92.5.. Really hope bulls win 101 to 70 that way we all win

You got a great head start...gl

**dmitean** · 03-28-12, 08:03 PM

[QUOTE=Love The Action;14273388]Fair enough as to those team trends you like to follow......but it is a ridiculous statement to say the only way you lose is bad luck. If you get beat by the closer and this one ends over 198 or so, then you made a bad play and it has nothing to do with luck. Its very possible to make a +ev play that loses, but one of the main factors is beating the closer. If you bet under 196 and this closes above that, then it was not a +ev play on the under regardless of past results. Lets see where the closer ends up before we start saying the only way the under loses is luck. GL[/Of course if the result will be 112-107, it probably will be hard to claim bad luck. I meant just overall feeling of mine that it's a very good on paper bet that shouldn't lose. Good luck!

**Catchn_Picks** · 03-28-12, 08:05 PM

185 pace mid way through the 3rd quarter...this has now got a real chance.

**XGamer** · 03-28-12, 08:09 PM

Can't they stop with this 3 points thing

**mikea33** · 03-28-12, 08:12 PM

holy shit. deng single handedly gave over backers a legit shot in what should be an easy under cash.

**Catchn_Picks** · 03-28-12, 08:12 PM

Atlanta doing their part for the under...Chicago on the road without Rose should be a dead under...but with them up big on the road, it should play for Chicago to slow down the game and play not to lose...could be good.

**mikea33** · 03-28-12, 08:15 PM

by easy, i mean that celtic hawks game easy...........this is a snails pace for nba its been all halfcourt and jumpshooting like LTA had said it would be.

**mikea33** · 03-28-12, 08:18 PM

just reflecting on the game.........id be interested in sseeing the shooting charts. Almost all the made FGs ive seeen were jumpshots.minimal layups around the hoop

**Catchn_Picks** · 03-28-12, 08:30 PM

Wow...shutdown city babyyyyyy!

**mikea33** · 03-28-12, 08:36 PM

anybody see dengs shooting chart? he is becoming a great player. all his shots were from 15+ feet. out

**mikea33** · 03-28-12, 08:45 PM

"in comes the human celebratory cigar"

coming from a celtics fan......that broadcaster said the funniest thing ive heard in a while.

**absolutkaos** · 03-28-12, 08:48 PM

**XGamer** · 03-28-12, 08:50 PM

I need air, can't even breath within the last 2 minutes of the game.

**Speedy88** · 03-28-12, 08:51 PM

CHI/ATL Under

**underal** · 03-28-12, 08:52 PM

cash it. lets get the second one too

**XGamer** · 03-28-12, 08:55 PM

one down, one to go

**dlunc3** · 03-28-12, 08:56 PM

Originally posted by Love The Action

I never said im not playing sides, I just said I am laying off side plays which are based primarily on traditional fatigue angles since they have not been cashing over the last month. I will still make side plays that are value plays as identified by my mode and just track the situational fatigue leans I traditionally play.

I am passing all the way around on the knicks game as the knick injury situation provides for too many variables to calculate an accurate fair number. Good luck on whatever you decide.

ended up laying off...thanks for the insight

**renacho** · 03-28-12, 08:58 PM

Good Call LTA on the Bulls/Hawks under!! I feel a good run coming to close the season and to start for playoffs. BOL to all!

**swordsandtequila** · 03-28-12, 09:01 PM

**burchfield** · 03-28-12, 09:09 PM

Originally posted by burchfield

I put one of largest bets of my life on Bulls Team Score OVER 92.5.. Really hope bulls win 101 to 70 that way we all win

WE ALL WIN !!!!!! I love it when a plan comes together. What was LTA's late play. Might tail it

**Love The Action** · 03-28-12, 09:33 PM

Line movement in the Suns/Clips game screams under but I'm sticking with the over. I know all the trends say under, but I think 194 is too much value to pass up on two offensive-oriented teams who I think play faster than they have in the previous two games. Past results are not necessarily predictive of future results, so I think we finally see a high scoring game between these teams. We shall see. Good luck.

**Love The Action** · 03-28-12, 09:34 PM

Can I get a status on Delonte West and Brendan Haywood. I see both are questionable and I know what Rotoworld says. But I've also heard both were targeting the Heat game for a return....I have a feeling they play.

**blackgolden** · 03-28-12, 09:35 PM

lets rolling

**mikea33** · 03-28-12, 09:38 PM

ever check out SB Nation's blog of teams.
Interesting articles, some guys know there stuff, mostly analytical. But they must watch all the games.
Reason I say is they have a lot of people close to situations and are on top of injuries before a lot of other third party sites.

**Les_Nuts** · 03-28-12, 09:42 PM

Read a report on espn yesterday which suggested both were targeting a return vs heat but still both unlikely to play, Haywood with a better chance to dress. I'm guessing you lean the under in this game?

**imaricer86** · 03-28-12, 09:58 PM

lta should i take the under mia/dal game 189? really like that play

**Catchn_Picks** · 03-28-12, 10:05 PM

Good first quarter for over bettors.

**alamo** · 03-28-12, 10:17 PM

Its early here but the pace is a major source for concern. Both teams shooting very well but I dont see them both maintaining 50% +

Clips are really slowing this down to a crawl. They are 12/24 which is outstanding but 24 shots only and we've 15mins played suggests this one is going to be a slow paced game. Lets hope both teams stay hot to keep us in with a chance,

**alamo** · 03-28-12, 10:25 PM

Suns yet to score a FG in the 2q and the Clips have managed two and were half way thru it. This one is in serious trouble.

**CheeseHead** · 03-28-12, 10:25 PM

Both teams shitting the bed in the 2nd quarter.

**Catchn_Picks** · 03-28-12, 10:25 PM

we gotta pep this thing up...geez

**mikea33** · 03-28-12, 10:28 PM

wowww