LTA's NBA Plays

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  • Love The Action
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 11-08-10
    • 10952

    #4656
    Originally posted by apurvaas
    LTA, any thought on Hus OKC over 200.5? Line dropped from 203.5 to 200.5 and looks like reaching 201 again...
    You read my mind...jumped on it at 200. Good luck!
    Comment
    • Love The Action
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 11-08-10
      • 10952

      #4657
      Originally posted by Trivial
      Hi LTA and the gang. I am back now. NFL season is over and My health issues are coming near to an end which is awesome.

      Getting lonely with no NFL so going to get back into NBA even if I cannot stand to watch the game.

      From what I gather, some games are better left unwatched. :-)

      BOL tonight everyone. I am on the Hawks -1.5 with ya.

      Glad to hear all is well. Good luck triv
      Comment
      • mikea33
        SBR MVP
        • 11-14-11
        • 2149

        #4658
        Lta i know its prime NBA. But will you be doing a MLB thread?
        Comment
        • apurvaas
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 01-09-12
          • 586

          #4659
          Originally posted by Love The Action
          You read my mind...jumped on it at 200. Good luck!
          BOL to us bud...
          Comment
          • jordanchu93
            SBR Rookie
            • 02-15-12
            • 19

            #4660
            Originally posted by NOREGRETS
            No. Roll with it. If it moves to -2 or more, just look at it as you getting a good number. You must be a rookie? Gambling is not for the weak hearted. Roll with it and good luck. I grabbed it at -2 earlier, then the number went back to -1.5. I think this is a smart play.
            Hey, yeah i'm new to the gambling stuff, I normally only bet on UK football as its a sport i'm familiar with, even then its dodgy. I have started gambling with a few NBA and NHL games but only doing ML.
            Comment
            • BigBurk
              SBR MVP
              • 02-25-11
              • 3785

              #4661
              Hawks to -1.
              Comment
              • Trivial
                SBR MVP
                • 11-22-09
                • 1328

                #4662
                Originally posted by Love The Action
                Glad to hear all is well. Good luck triv
                Thanks LTA.
                Comment
                • Speedy88
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 03-19-11
                  • 11717

                  #4663
                  Couple questions for you LTA.

                  Why did the HOU total drop from 203 to 200?

                  And why is ATL moving from -2 to -1 yet the public is pounding them. I agree that it is a great spot for ATL, but I think PHX wants it just as much as ATL does after blowing that big lead to GS a couple of nights ago, and then getting blown out by Denver.

                  Good luck on the picks, I'm definitely going to be on the over 200 OKC/HOU.
                  Comment
                  • m3junkie
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 02-18-11
                    • 211

                    #4664
                    good luck today, love the okc
                    Comment
                    • BrewCrew1
                      SBR Rookie
                      • 04-24-11
                      • 27

                      #4665
                      Bol lta
                      Comment
                      • alamo
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 02-21-09
                        • 7131

                        #4666
                        Is that the full card for the day LT?
                        Comment
                        • Love The Action
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 11-08-10
                          • 10952

                          #4667
                          Originally posted by mikea33
                          Lta i know its prime NBA. But will you be doing a MLB thread?
                          Ofcourse....this is my MLB thread

                          Sports betting and handicapping forum: discuss picks, odds, and predictions for upcoming games and results on latest bets.
                          Comment
                          • Love The Action
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 11-08-10
                            • 10952

                            #4668
                            Originally posted by alamo
                            Is that the full card for the day LT?
                            Still have a few remaining leans I'm mulling over....GL
                            Comment
                            • mikea33
                              SBR MVP
                              • 11-14-11
                              • 2149

                              #4669
                              Looking forward to the season. Let's grind the NBA out first!!!

                              What else ya got?
                              Comment
                              • Love The Action
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 11-08-10
                                • 10952

                                #4670
                                Originally posted by Speedy88
                                Couple questions for you LTA.

                                Why did the HOU total drop from 203 to 200?

                                And why is ATL moving from -2 to -1 yet the public is pounding them. I agree that it is a great spot for ATL, but I think PHX wants it just as much as ATL does after blowing that big lead to GS a couple of nights ago, and then getting blown out by Denver.

                                Good luck on the picks, I'm definitely going to be on the over 200 OKC/HOU.
                                The question is where they will close. As you learn more about the NBA, you will experience the rubberbound effect of line movement where a total opens at 203, drops to 200 and then closes at 204. NBA totals are markets are very volatile for a number of reasons that I don't have time to detail.

                                With the Suns game, I think there is a lot of Suns love over the resting of Nash and Hill last night and the idea that such rest will miraculously make them a better team than they have shown to date. I guess we'll find out in a few hours, but I tend to think if Atlanta brings their A-game, they should win and cover. This is primarily a quantitative play for me as my model loves Atlanta tonight and I think there are enough qualitative factors to support that play.

                                Is there "sharp" money on Phoenix? Sure. But there's also "sharp" money on Atlanta and I agree with Hawks backers in this one.

                                Good luck Speedy
                                Comment
                                • mikea33
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 11-14-11
                                  • 2149

                                  #4671
                                  The sharps lose plenty sometimes guys.
                                  Comment
                                  • mikea33
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 11-14-11
                                    • 2149

                                    #4672
                                    LTA Aldrige out for Portland tonight. Key impact player
                                    Comment
                                    • Speedy88
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 03-19-11
                                      • 11717

                                      #4673
                                      Originally posted by Love The Action
                                      The question is where they will close. As you learn more about the NBA, you will experience the rubberbound effect of line movement where a total opens at 203, drops to 200 and then closes at 204. NBA totals are markets are very volatile for a number of reasons that I don't have time to detail. With the Suns game, I think there is a lot of Suns love over the resting of Nash and Hill last night and the idea that such rest will miraculously make them a better team than they have shown to date. I guess we'll find out in a few hours, but I tend to think if Atlanta brings their A-game, they should win and cover. This is primarily a quantitative play for me as my model loves Atlanta tonight and I think there are enough qualitative factors to support that play. Is there "sharp" money on Phoenix? Sure. But there's also "sharp" money on Atlanta and I agree with Hawks backers in this one. Good luck Speedy
                                      Thanks for the input. Yeah I'm not too familiar with totals because I rarely play them and rarely look at line movement on totals. But it sounds like totals really bounce around a lot from what your saying. Good luck to you as well.
                                      Comment
                                      • chief42
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 01-06-10
                                        • 315

                                        #4674
                                        LTA, would you still grab the total of 201 on the over for the OKC/Houston game? I want to pull the trigger just want to get your thoughts before I make a decision. Thanks for all of your hard work you put into this thread each and every day!
                                        Comment
                                        • Redscot
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 05-16-11
                                          • 2571

                                          #4675
                                          Originally posted by chief42
                                          LTA, would you still grab the total of 201 on the over for the OKC/Houston game? I want to pull the trigger just want to get your thoughts before I make a decision. Thanks for all of your hard work you put into this thread each and every day!
                                          Have this game set at 205 giving us 5 points of value. Based on the foregoing, I am roling with the over for 1x. Good luck.

                                          Not speaking for LTA here but those are his words from the play he posted. You are still getting 4 points of value from his perspective.....the rest is on you. GL

                                          Nice job LTA, keep up the grind, as always appreciate you efforts bro .

                                          Comment
                                          • Catchn_Picks
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 09-02-11
                                            • 2984

                                            #4676
                                            BOL LTA and all!
                                            Comment
                                            • Catchn_Picks
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 09-02-11
                                              • 2984

                                              #4677
                                              Has anyone seen an OKC player sighting yet?
                                              Comment
                                              • Hw101
                                                SBR Hustler
                                                • 02-08-12
                                                • 80

                                                #4678
                                                Last few days places a ml bet on underdogs last night was wash. Win. Tonight bobcats little fun thing I do
                                                Comment
                                                • Roto97
                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                  • 01-30-12
                                                  • 166

                                                  #4679
                                                  Originally posted by Catchn_Picks
                                                  Has anyone seen an OKC player sighting yet?

                                                  Still sitting on the bench in Utah maybe.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • jordanchu93
                                                    SBR Rookie
                                                    • 02-15-12
                                                    • 19

                                                    #4680
                                                    Hmmmm over 200 for OKC doesn't look to good (n)
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Roto97
                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                      • 01-30-12
                                                      • 166

                                                      #4681
                                                      Originally posted by jordanchu93
                                                      Hmmmm over 200 for OKC doesn't look to good (n)
                                                      Only second quarter.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • alamo
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 02-21-09
                                                        • 7131

                                                        #4682
                                                        Originally posted by jordanchu93
                                                        Hmmmm over 200 for OKC doesn't look to good (n)
                                                        I love your positivity with your third post on the forum. Now SCRAM.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • jordanchu93
                                                          SBR Rookie
                                                          • 02-15-12
                                                          • 19

                                                          #4683
                                                          Originally posted by Roto97
                                                          Only second quarter.
                                                          Going into 3rd Quarter, but yeah I just don't think they'll net enough by the end. Hope they prove me wrong
                                                          Comment
                                                          • jordanchu93
                                                            SBR Rookie
                                                            • 02-15-12
                                                            • 19

                                                            #4684
                                                            Originally posted by alamo
                                                            I love your positivity with your third post on the forum. Now SCRAM.
                                                            Sorry for being negative! I do hope they turn around and net more want them to prove me wrong
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Kurtz
                                                              SBR High Roller
                                                              • 02-04-12
                                                              • 182

                                                              #4685
                                                              Originally posted by alamo

                                                              I love your positivity with your third post on the forum. Now SCRAM.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • I am Happy
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 02-11-10
                                                                • 597

                                                                #4686
                                                                3rd q should come out with some fireworks offensively for both... Okc doesn't worry me hitting the 100+ spot we need
                                                                Comment
                                                                • mikea33
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 11-14-11
                                                                  • 2149

                                                                  #4687
                                                                  we dont like negativity......especially without a explanation . i think it hits guys, thunder went nuts in 2nd....rockets in 1st.....but both teams that werent going nuts were ice cold. so let them hit a good % it should hit.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • jordanchu93
                                                                    SBR Rookie
                                                                    • 02-15-12
                                                                    • 19

                                                                    #4688
                                                                    Originally posted by mikea33
                                                                    we dont like negativity......especially without a explanation . i think it hits guys, thunder went nuts in 2nd....rockets in 1st.....but both teams that werent going nuts were ice cold. so let them hit a good % it should hit.
                                                                    I'll be honest with you, I can't give an explanation as i'm not watching any games because i'm at work, i'm only going off the score that i've got on my phone..... Sorry
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • That Guy
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 01-13-12
                                                                      • 973

                                                                      #4689
                                                                      If they both get their sh1t together in the second half we could see 60pts plus per quarter.. Still in the game!
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Donkeys2012
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 01-11-12
                                                                        • 2771

                                                                        #4690
                                                                        Yea I feel better about the OKC over then I do about POS ATL. Wish I woulda bought out of that bet as I didnt like the line movement.
                                                                        Comment
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