LTA's NBA Plays

[m11chen]

Just a pathetic display by two teams that have no idea how to win.

Jackson please don't call timeouts just before your team is about to score. That is not good.

This just took the dumbest coaching move of the year crown from Jason Garrett calling TO to ice his own kicker.

[Bull_Shark]

Nothing goes over 200 in this putrid league this season, nothing

[Washington4skins]

Wow OVER 101.5 probably won't hit either.

Really made us sweat that one, shocked it actually hit.

[Roto97]

Nothing goes over 200 in this putrid league this season, nothing

Actually, the Miami game today went over 200.

[Catchn_Picks]

Somehow the second half over 101 is now in a sweat... lovely

I truly thought it was locked.

[NYSportsGuy210]

Really made us sweat that one, shocked it actually hit.

I'll take GSW to cover second half and OVER 101.5 second half.

[Bull_Shark]

Warriors ft's suns miss game over

[alamo]

When you have dudley,Frye and Grampa Nash shooting 2/16 combined from 3pt land as well as Spotty Dick 5/20 for FG's you can kiss any over goodnight

[Catchn_Picks]

Congrats second halfers...good play.

On to tomorrow.

GL

[NYSportsGuy210]

Channing Frye is useless.

[81_84]

When you have dudley,Frye and Grampa Nash shooting 2/16 combined from 3pt land as well as Spotty Dick 5/20 for FG's you can kiss any over goodnight

Spot on analysis

ESPN should hire you.

[alamo]

Spot on analysis ESPN should hire you.

Put my CV in but they told me they told me there's no vacancies as they are preparing to take Mark Jackson back.

[Holtgetsback]

Tough pick

[Love The Action]

NBA 2011-2012 Regular Season 2/13/2012 Recap

1 - 1 = -0.1x

NBA 2011-2012 Season

69 - 60 = +8.15x

Just not catching any breaks right now. Yesterday we lost two games by a combined 3 points and last night was just as bad. However, the two plays on sunday that lost - the grizzlies over and warriors over - were not great plays because I got beat by the closer and we would have been "lucky" to win those games. However, last night we beat the closer by 2.5 points and the total closed exactly where my model predicted at 205.5. That was a great long term play that just didnt cash. Why Marc Jackson is calling timeouts with half the 4th quarter left and a two man fast break advantage is beyond me. We were on pace to cash with five minutes left in the game, but that timeout killed all scoring momentum and GS didn't score again for 4 minutes. Consequently, our easy winner with the Heat was wasted. Nevertheless, I feel great about where we are at right now as its about time to go on a little heater. We have been treading water for over a week now and losing some close games. Variance should be back in our favor and these bad beats should start going our way. Lets hope that is tonight as I might have three 2x or more plays. Tonights card has the potential to make for a huge night as there are 3 plays my model has identified as having multiple units worth of value and we might just have our first card of the year with three mulltiple unit plays (probably all 2x or more as long as I can get the numbers I am looking for. Onto tonight as this could be a very pivotal card for our seasonal profit goal. Good luck

[brucethebear]

NBA 2011-2012 Regular Season 2/13/2012 Recap

[/B] Tonights card has the potential to make for a huge night as there are 3 plays my model has identified as having multiple units worth of value and we might just have our first card of the year with three mulltiple unit plays (probably all 2x or more as long as I can get the numbers I am looking for. Onto tonight as this could be a very pivotal card for our seasonal profit goal.

[Love The Action]

NBA 2011-2012 Regular Season 2/14/2012

Play #1

Heat/Pacers under (199) 2x (Locked)

Leaving for work, no time for a writeup. I have this game set at 194 and the msjority of all bets will be on the over. However, I expect sharp money to keep this total below 200 and I think 199 is a great number. Miami was not forced to play its starters for more than 30 minutes last night and defense will be key. Indy knows they can't beat the heat in a shootout and I expect them to slow the pace and control the ball. Both teams are top ten defensively in DEFF and in the paint. In the last game earlier in the year, this total closed at 197 and went way over, yet the books are not really making an adjustment for the over here. If we get favorable ref assignments, I may add to this play. I have this game set at 194 which is nice value for a game that I expect most to like the over. Based on the foregoing, I am jumping on this now for 2x on the under now for 2x abd may add more later. Good luck.

[m11chen]

NBA 2011-2012 Regular Season 2/14/2012

Play #1

Heat/Pacers under (199) 2x (Locked)

I really like this play. Last time they played (albeit earlier in the year, but every team remembers every game with the Heat), the Pacers got run out of the building 83-118. Last game they played, the Nuggets beat them running and gunning and Lawson went up and down the floor scoring 25+. They know they can't play that style with teams because Hibbert and West just aren't great transition big men. They except in the post and in the half-court pick 'n roll or pick 'n pop. They're going to want to slow this down to a crawl and force the Heat into half-court ball. Under is the play.

[Love The Action]

NBA 2011-2012 Regular Season 2/14/2012

Play #1

Heat/Pacers under (199) 2x (Locked)

Leaving for work, no time for a writeup. I have this game set at 194 and the msjority of all bets will be on the over. However, I expect sharp money to keep this total below 200 and I think 199 is a great number. Miami was not forced to play its starters for more than 30 minutes last night and defense will be key. Indy knows they can't beat the heat in a shootout and I expect them to slow the pace and control the ball. Both teams are top ten defensively in DEFF and in the paint. In the last game earlier in the year, this total closed at 197 and went way over, yet the books are not really making an adjustment for the over here. If we get favorable ref assignments, I may add to this play. I have this game set at 194 which is nice value for a game that I expect most to like the over. Based on the foregoing, I am jumping on this now for 2x on the under now for 2x abd may add more later. Good luck.

Play #2

Hawks/Lakers under (178) 2x (Locked)

I have this game set at 174.5 as these defenses match up well with the opposing offenses and both should play a slow pace. Will try to get you a detailed writeup before the game, but I am expecting a slow paced, half-court battle. Based on the foregoing, I am rolling with the under for 2x. Good luck.

[Hw101]

Love the heat under will play Ty lta

[Love The Action]

If you guys like the lakers under, you may want to wait. I think it will probably go back to 179, but I won't have time for watching the lines and I like this play at any number better than 177. I wont be around today, so good luck!

[pacocn]

Lta, good luck and lets get em.

[Sixla]

I'm liking the Under's LTA. Lakers just dropped to 177.5

[Catchn_Picks]

It should be a Partyyyyyyy LTA.

Got down at U 98 on Indy/Mia...couldn't find 199 anywhere...nice line tho. 98.5 lines are around.

Got down at U 78 for LAL/At...5 D just dropped to 77.5 so LTA followers get it now if you can.

The Indy/Mia under is a stand out imo. According to my power ratings I have Mia as the top rated offense and Indy as the top rated defense in the league. A semi rested Indy at home will try to beat Miami the only way they can with a half court offense and a slow down defense. Really good set up for us with a shockingly high total.

BOL to all. Tonight is the night!

[Love The Action]

NBA 2011-2012 Regular Season 2/14/2012

Play #1

Heat/Pacers under (199) 2x (Locked)

Leaving for work, no time for a writeup. I have this game set at 194 and the msjority of all bets will be on the over. However, I expect sharp money to keep this total below 200 and I think 199 is a great number. Miami was not forced to play its starters for more than 30 minutes last night and defense will be key. Indy knows they can't beat the heat in a shootout and I expect them to slow the pace and control the ball. Both teams are top ten defensively in DEFF and in the paint. In the last game earlier in the year, this total closed at 197 and went way over, yet the books are not really making an adjustment for the over here. If we get favorable ref assignments, I may add to this play. I have this game set at 194 which is nice value for a game that I expect most to like the over. Based on the foregoing, I am jumping on this now for 2x on the under now for 2x abd may add more later. Good luck.

Play #2

Hawks/Lakers under (178) 2x (Locked)

I have this game set at 174.5 as these defenses match up well with the opposing offenses and both should play a slow pace. Will try to get you a detailed writeup before the game, but I am expecting a slow paced, half-court battle. Based on the foregoing, I am rolling with the under for 2x. Good luck.

Play #3

Jazz/Thunder over (200) 1x (Locked)

The jass rested their starters last night in that poor performance against the hornets. I expect a bounceback performance from utah tonight as they are highly motivated after losing to okc last week. Both teams are excellent offensively in the paint and in transition, which are both weaknesses of the respective defenses. I expect a fast pace with both teams giving max effort which results in a high scoring game. I have this game set at 204 giving us some nice value. Based on the foregoing, I am rolling with the over for 1x. Good luck.

[CHAZ]

Play #2

Hawks/Lakers under (178) 2x (Locked)

I have this game set at 174.5 as these defenses match up well with the opposing offenses and both should play a slow pace. Will try to get you a detailed writeup before the game, but I am expecting a slow paced, half-court battle. Based on the foregoing, I am rolling with the under for 2x. Good luck.

Such a low number, but both these teams are very slow evolving offenses, both like to setup and both play strong defense. I like the under and the LAKERS tonight.

89 - 80 is my prediction

Goodluck LTA

[Sixla]

Atlanta leads the league in OPPG on the road giving up only 89.3 ppg and LA is has one of the best Defenses at home only giving up an avg of 85.2. Loving this play LTA

[m11chen]

On the same page as LTA today. I already locked in Lakers under before I saw this and now feel even better about it.

[Love The Action]

Just checking in. We have favorable ref assignments for all 3 plays so far. I may add 1x or 0.50x to plays #1 and #2 if I can get a similar number to 199 and 178 respectively. I also have a few more leans that I may play later today. A busy workday awaits, but I will try to check back in at some point. Good luck.

[Washington4skins]

Hello lta, I've been reading your thread for awhile and I've finally started feeling comfortable enough to contribute. Firstly, I want to thank you for creating such a collegial atmosphere. I've learned so much from simply reading your posts (the money I've won is nice too). Now that the flattery out of the way I'll start participating in the daily discussions. Let's make some money!

[bleedtoledo]

First half for heat/Pacer 102½..

[jimmy007oc]

First half for heat/Pacer 102½..

I'll wait until Heat 2nd half. I might get better number than 199 I like your play today LTA. Good luck !!

[SlickRick1382]

Any thoughts on the Kings getting 11.5 vs a Roseless Chicago? I don't trust the Kings especially away from home but just seems like a lot. Just worried that the team is to Jekyll an Hyde. Beats the Blazers, Warriors and Thunder but loses by 14 to the Suns ...

[jimmy007oc]

it's 199 now

[bleedtoledo]

After some fluctuation that moved in LTA's favor, all totals are currently at the # he played them.

[YouHave2outs]

i am tailing all 3 today LTA. i love them all. bol to all the followers!