LTA's NBA Plays

[Love The Action]

You're just like sweetjones55, it's almost eerie. You wanna go tout don't you? Well best of luck buddy. To each his own.

What an odd comment. You are way off base. Why are you attacking me like this out of nowhere?

The write-ups are very similar. Both in-depth, both make mention of line movement.

There's so many people that post their bullshit 20x plays on here without any reasoning whatsoever. I post my writeups because I believe in my model and my situational analysis and I'm not afraid to take a stand on a game by providing the reasons why.

Would you rather I not post writeups? I started posting my plays last year with writeups in order to spur discussion and to support my play. I was hoping SBR was a place that I could learn and help others learn. This is only my second year sports investing full time and I take it serious. I have invested a ton of time in my modeling and was hoping SBR could help refine my skills. As it turned out, by posting my plays with writeups I have improved both my discipline and how I approach my investments.

What is your point about the line movement? Line movement is a part of qualitative analysis so of course I am going to mention how the line moves. In addition to wins and losses, I also measure my ability as a winning investor based on the value between the number I wager and the closing number because I agree with Pinny about what distinguishes a winning player from a losing player. http://www.pinnaclesports.com/online...y/basic/sharps

It's just obvious to me that you have a bigger picture in mind here. I honestly think you are a fraud

I don't know where you are getting this tout shit from. I have an advanced degree, a full time career and my sole goal is to take care of my wife and new baby. I have never once exhibited any of the signs of a wannabee tout. Ask anyone who has followed my threads, including guys like Dexter, NoCoin, LB, Red, etc. I employ strict money management, use a base 1x wager with rare multiple unit plays and keep an honest record. I don't make bail out plays, I don't chase, I don't bullshit. I am anything but a fraud and I take great offense to your comment.

[Love The Action]

Unfortunately, I think LTA has a hard time ignoring these flamers, wish we could/would. Responding to this BS takes his time away from capping...

one guys opinion here

Nothing that goes on here affects my capping. This is all cyberspace bullshit. Nothing that happens on SBR even matters. However, I will not allow anyone to launch a cowardly, unwarranted and irresponsible attack on my character without a response.

[Love The Action]

NBA 2011-2012 Regular Season 2/5/2012 Recap

0 - 1 = -1.2x

NBA 2011-2012 Season

63 - 49 = +14.55x

Back to the grind.

[Sixla]

I appreciate what ive learned so far from u LTA, anticipating your plays for tomorrow!

[t-wizzle]

What an odd comment. You are way off base. Why are you attacking me like this out of nowhere?



There's so many people that post their bullshit 20x plays on here without any reasoning whatsoever. I post my writeups because I believe in my model and my situational analysis and I'm not afraid to take a stand on a game by providing the reasons why.

Would you rather I not post writeups? I started posting my plays last year with writeups in order to spur discussion and to support my play. I was hoping SBR was a place that I could learn and help others learn. This is only my second year sports investing full time and I take it serious. I have invested a ton of time in my modeling and was hoping SBR could help refine my skills. As it turned out, by posting my plays with writeups I have improved both my discipline and how I approach my investments.

What is your point about the line movement? Line movement is a part of qualitative analysis so of course I am going to mention how the line moves. In addition to wins and losses, I also measure my ability as a winning investor based on the value between the number I wager and the closing number because I agree with Pinny about what distinguishes a winning player from a losing player. http://www.pinnaclesports.com/online...y/basic/sharps



I don't know where you are getting this tout shit from. I have an advanced degree, a full time career and my sole goal is to take care of my wife and new baby. I have never once exhibited any of the signs of a wannabee tout. Ask anyone who has followed my threads, including guys like Dexter, NoCoin, LB, Red, etc. I employ strict money management, use a base 1x wager with rare multiple unit plays and keep an honest record. I don't make bail out plays, I don't chase, I don't bullshit. I am anything but a fraud and I take great offense to your comment.

Your style is unique to you as it should be. Most touts emphasize the importance of money management.

I have no problem with how you make your plays. To me it just looks like you're trying to build a group of followers and get some attention. I've seen this scenario play out before, it's very familiar to this forum.

[br33ze]

Your style is unique to you as it should be. Most touts emphasize the importance of money management.

I have no problem with how you make your plays. To me it just looks like you're trying to build a group of followers and get some attention. I've seen this scenario play out before, it's very familiar to this forum.

Obviously you have a problem with how he makes his plays. Us "followers", most of us at least, are those that do not have the time nor the expertise that LTA has to offer to us on a nightly basis. Why would anyone waste the time and effort to do such in depth write ups and research unless they wanted to help those who are less knowledgeable and want to make a bit of coin. I can personally say that I am up a great deal of $$$ and I have no one to thank but LTA.

Keep up the good work LTA. There are many of us out here who appreciate all the time and effort you put in on a nightly basis.

[Sport_Fish]

Your style is unique to you as it should be. Most touts emphasize the importance of money management.

I have no problem with how you make your plays. To me it just looks like you're trying to build a group of followers and get some attention. I've seen this scenario play out before, it's very familiar to this forum.

wtf is this shit...who the hell cares? Bottom line is we have a winning capper willing to give out free analysis and picks - why is it so hard for internet douchebags to digest this. Its FREE information - and it sure as hell is valuable if someone is putting in hours of research and sharing for free. Nothing in life comes free, so when u get people willing to share, just fkn accept it. Its RARE. Dosent mean u have to follow or agree with his style, it just means u dont start b/s on these threads - this specific or any other capper here.

But yeah this also is very familiar to this forum, a capper starts winning - accumulates haters on his/her thread. Happened with SJ55, BW, Dad, etc and now this thread.

[br33ze]

Haters gonna hate, ballers gonna ball. Just the way life works.

[adrenalinerush]

Fvcking amazing! Hey, if LTA is trying to build a following by winning a bunch of people money, then I'm coming along for the ride! Keep winning me money LTA, you tout-wannabe.

[Roto97]

I have no problem with how you make your plays. To me it just looks like you're trying to build a group of followers and get some attention. I've seen this scenario play out before, it's very familiar to this forum.

So what? What difference does it make? Results are how most folks judged anyway. And even in losses I have felt LTA's analysis has been mostly spot on, but just bad beats.

Its FREE information - and it sure as hell is valuable if someone is putting in hours of research and sharing for free. Nothing in life comes free, so when u get people willing to share, just fkn accept it.

Like Sport Fish says, he does the research and puts in time. I have seen some of the other posters just putting up picks, no reasons why. I am actually, more leery of these guys trying to start some service after a run.

[aussieH]

Hey t-pizzle.


Lets go lta been following since you started.

[Redscot]

Did you see the end of the Nova/Pittsburgh game today Red?

If not, look up the play by play. Laughable.

Not only did I see it bro, I had Nova +8 . You know I am just having fun with you when I throw you out as the conspiracy guru , who knows, maybe the jokes on me .

[Redscot]

What's your thoughts on the OK City/Portland game tonight LTA? I am kinda surprised how drastically the total has dropped. They put up 196 early in the season at an 88 pace, and they both play in the 93 range. Portland really pushes it at home averaging 104/game. Both had days off yesterday........I'd imagine both have this game circled as a potential playoff obstacle, perhaps the thought of a playoff type intensity has the total dropping?

[Love The Action]

Your style is unique to you as it should be. Most touts emphasize the importance of money management.

I have no problem with how you make your plays. To me it just looks like you're trying to build a group of followers and get some attention. I've seen this scenario play out before, it's very familiar to this forum.

So because I have a thread with writeups, you think I want to be a tout?

So is everyone that has a thread trying to build up a following to go tout or just me?

Or is it just people that have a thread and provides writeups?

I am told that you follow LB, does that mean he is a tout wannabe because he has a following?

You have attacked my character multiple times now with absolutely no evidence at all to support your allegations. Well here are the FACTS. In the first post of all my threads I tell people NOT to blindly tail me and that I am NOT a tout. I would prefer that I have less noob followers and more people that have experience check out my threads so they can constructively criticize my plays thereby allowing me to improve my skills. I dont want or ask people to follow. I tell everyone here over and over that they should use my threads merely as a reference for their own capping and not to tail. In addition, I have told everyone here that my threads should be kept free of touts. Finally, I get multiple pm's per week asking me to post my plays on twitter, but I continually refuse because that seems like too much work. If I wanted to be a tout, I would be doing the opposite of all those things.

See, those are what people call FACTS. Before you make yourself look like a jealous fool and question someone else's character, you should at least have some FACTS to support your position. Instead you have decided to disrespect me without any basis in fact, which simply makes you look like nothing more than a jealous and petty little hater.

I am now done with this issue. This is waste of my time. Why dont we make a little wager since you are so confident I am going to be a tout? Lets each put $1K or whatever amount you want in escrow. If I go tout by a certain date - and you can pick the date - you get the money and I leave sbr. However, if I don't go tout, I get the money and you leave sbr. Since you are clearly someone who disrespects people without any facts to support your position, lets see how strongly you really believe your BS. Either put up or shut up. Your choice....

[Redscot]

Would also be interested on your Nets/Bulls thoughts....1) line seems a little high to me, Deron gets up for marquee pg match-ups 2) the last game between these 2 was played at a snails pace yet they put up 205 , thanks to a combined 53% shooting. I was leaning under here myself, but now see the line has already moved down.

[Love The Action]

What's your thoughts on the OK City/Portland game tonight LTA? I am kinda surprised how drastically the total has dropped. They put up 196 early in the season at an 88 pace, and they both play in the 93 range. Portland really pushes it at home averaging 104/game. Both had days off yesterday........I'd imagine both have this game circled as a potential playoff obstacle, perhaps the thought of a playoff type intensity has the total dropping?

Not sure yet on that one. Looks to me like sharpies are trying to middle this one between 198 and 194. As soon as it drops to to the key number of 194, it will start to move back up towards 198. I strongly doubt this ever gets under 194. I have to look at that one a little more though. Good luck buddy.

I was a bit surprised that you changed your Super Bowl play yesterday at the last minute. Why did you do that, I thought you really liked the Giants as well? Did you get spooked because all of the the "SBR Sharps" were getting on the Pats? To me, that was the Giants game all the way because of the strength of their defensive line and that is what proved to be the difference. Wanted to cash that one with ya

[Love The Action]

Would also be interested on your Nets/Bulls thoughts....1) line seems a little high to me, Deron gets up for marquee pg match-ups 2) the last game between these 2 was played at a snails pace yet they put up 205 , thanks to a combined 53% shooting. I was leaning under here myself, but now see the line has already moved down.

Nets do not play any defense (worst in the league) and the Bulls have been a great over bet recently. Not too sure about that one either....

[Redscot]

Not sure yet on that one. Looks to me like sharpies are trying to middle this one between 198 and 194. As soon as it drops to to the key number of 194, it will start to move back up towards 198. I strongly doubt this ever gets under 194. I have to look at that one a little more though. Good luck buddy.

I was a bit surprised that you changed your Super Bowl play yesterday at the last minute. Why did you do that, I thought you really liked the Giants as well? Did you get spooked because all of the the "SBR Sharps" were getting on the Pats? To me, that was the Giants game all the way because of the strength of their defensive line and that is what proved to be the difference. Wanted to cash that one with ya

SBR sharps, isn't that like Jumbo Shrimp, an oxymoron . Actually leaned Pat's all along if you check the thread.....I DID change off the teaser in which I liked the Giants getting 9 though (which would have lost anyway not going over). End of the day glad you Donnie and Triv all cashed, it was a small wager, as I wanted to be able to enjoy the game. Thought the game was pretty vanilla overall despite being so close. Just hoops now until baseball rolls around.......let's do it bro

[Redscot]

Thought I'd share this from basketball prospectus:

To start things off, we discussed a hot topic in Portland I touched on last week: Do some teams play better on the road than at home, even after accounting for the typical home-court advantage? In the podcast, the main bit of evidence I utilize is that there is little year-to-year correlation between adjusted home-court advantage, as well as that over the four years for which I have data, this values largely converge toward zero. Here are the complete four-year rankings:

Team HCA DEN 4.3 UTA 4.0 GSW 2.2 CHA 1.5 POR 1.4 IND 1.4 TOR 1.0 CLE 0.7 SAC 0.5 PHX 0.4 WAS 0.4 HOU 0.2 MIL 0.2 CHI -0.1 ORL -0.2 ATL -0.2 SAS -0.3 NOH -0.3 LAC -0.6 MEM -0.8 DAL -0.9 OKC -0.9 PHI -0.9 LAL -1.2 DET -1.2 NJN -1.3 MIN -1.5 NYK -1.9 MIA -2.0 BOS -2.4

Boston really surprised. Obviously Utah and Denver fall off the scale due to their altitude advantage.
Bottom line you are talking about max 1 bucket difference it makes aside from the high altitude exceptions.
</pre>

[killersweet]

Nothing that goes on here affects my capping. This is all cyberspace bullshit. Nothing that happens on SBR even matters. However, I will not allow anyone to launch a cowardly, unwarranted and irresponsible attack on my character without a response.

I think most of the people on SBR now know you LTA and what kind of guy you are. You have one of the cleanest threads in SBR. That shows something. There will be few people trying to troll, but that comes with the territory. Anyways, we appreciate your work man. Good luck with your plays

[pacocn]

Lta, keep up the good work, you are the man!!!
How did the new haircut go over w/ the wife and
boy? In all seriousness, don't waste a minute of thought
on the haters, i would rather you spend that time capping.

[Sixla]

Not sure what u guys think but Portland and Orlando at home being slight dogs seem like something to look into.

[karajohn13]

I think most of the people on SBR now know you LTA and what kind of guy you are. You have one of the cleanest threads in SBR. That shows something. There will be few people trying to troll, but that comes with the territory. Anyways, we appreciate your work man. Good luck with your plays

Totally agree. I am European, loving basketball but I'm not so into NBA "things", neither I blindly follow whoever making some successful picks. But we all have to admit that LTA is making a great job, and each of his plays is "professionally" stated. Keep up the good work man, wish you could make some good plays for the Euroleague too

[BigBurk]

Not sure what u guys think but Portland and Orlando at home being slight dogs seem like something to look into.

I'm on Portland +1 (you can get +1½ atm) for 1.5 units. Seems a nice shot with Portland 11-1 at home and playing well vs good contestants.

[Love The Action]

SBR sharps, isn't that like Jumbo Shrimp, an oxymoron . Actually leaned Pat's all along if you check the thread.....I DID change off the teaser in which I liked the Giants getting 9 though (which would have lost anyway not going over). End of the day glad you Donnie and Triv all cashed, it was a small wager, as I wanted to be able to enjoy the game. Thought the game was pretty vanilla overall despite being so close. Just hoops now until baseball rolls around.......let's do it bro

Lol...just messing with you. Thought you were on the giants. It was a lower scoring game than I thought....pretty vanilla like you say....

Mlb right around the corner

[Kalibongo]

Lol...just messing with you. Thought you were on the giants. It was a lower scoring game than I thought....pretty vanilla like you say....

Mlb right around the corner

LTA did you get my PM?

[BigBurk]

Lol...just messing with you. Thought you were on the giants. It was a lower scoring game than I thought....pretty vanilla like you say....

Mlb right around the corner

What is your YTD of the previous MLB season LTA? Since I don't know a thing about it

[Kalibongo]

LTA did you get my PM?

Thank you for enlightening me.

[Redscot]

What is your YTD of the previous MLB season LTA? Since I don't know a thing about it

He finished + 38 regular season and +5 playoffs. I have a good feeling this season may top that, so much to chose from on a daily basis, and I think it was the month of July where he suffered a string of ridiculously bad beats.

[Redscot]

I'm on Portland +1 (you can get +1½ atm) for 1.5 units. Seems a nice shot with Portland 11-1 at home and playing well vs good contestants.

Very excited about this game BigBurk, should be a real interesting measuring stick for these two squads.....Would have loved to have caught this one at 194 but was out and missed it. Portland getting points seems like a solid play as well, gl

[ram1502]

I'm likin the under in the spurs/Grizz game and the over in the rockets/nuggs game...thoughts?

[Redscot]

I'm likin the under in the spurs/Grizz game and the over in the rockets/nuggs game...thoughts?

What would worry me a little in the Spurs under is the fact that they come in rested and Memphis looked sluggish yesterday BEFORE traveling, they are on the last game of 4 in 5 nights. I would think Pop will have his team pushing the pace and hoping to capitalize on the fatigued Grizlees. They went zone for a while yesterday against the Celts (somewhat to preserve their legs IMO) and the rotation out of that zone was horrible,something that can only be corrected with a day off and some practice time.

[ram1502]

What would worry me a little in the Spurs under is the fact that they come in rested and Memphis looked sluggish yesterday BEFORE traveling, they are on the last game of 4 in 5 nights. I would think Pop will have his team pushing the pace and hoping to capitalize on the fatigued Grizlees. They went zone for a while yesterday against the Celts (somewhat to preserve their legs IMO) and the rotation out of that zone was horrible,something that can only be corrected with a day off and some practice time.

The main reason I was looking more into it is because Memphis averages over 100 ppg @ home. The fact that they are favored while playing their 4th in 5 nights says a lot. That tells me the books expect the Grizz to control the tempo...I don't expect them to get to 100 or near it actually. This line should be in the 190-195 range IMO, therefore the line says it all.

[Looking4Winners]

Brother Of Knicks’ Amar’e Stoudemire Dies In Florida Car Crash --

http://www.nydailynews.com/sports/basketball/knicks/amare-stoudemire-brother-hazell-killed-crash-article-1.1017871

[Sixla]

ive always used sbr to follow live odds, is there a better site to use?