I guarantee that the Heat win Game 3

[bleek88]

demens pwned goatie

[t-wizzle]

Looking for some attention goat milk? I like how people "guarantee" things that they have no control over.

Whatever, we're on the same side again. Dallas may start strong but even so the Heat will stay poised and grind it out.

[OpiateBank]

This one will be like the others. DETERMINED IN THE LAST 3 MINUTES. Dallas falters a bit in the first quarter like always when they have to much rest. Historically, the winner of game 3 when tied 1-1 has won the finals. Lets not forget the profetic words of Donald Trump in 06. Marc Cuban is a looser. As long as he owns the Mavericks they will never win a championship. Maybee this is the best piece of info for goatmilks case

[raiders32]

I hope the Mavs win, but expect the Heat will.

[No coincidences]

when i am wrong my writeups are usually wrong because I anticipated something that wasn't implemented as i thought it would be.

I love this place.

This line from Goat should be the SBR gambling mantra.

[Jackie Moon]

Its gonna be crazy. Mavs have to much momentum and the home fans go nuts after 3's

[rufflesmuncher]

man thats such a tuff call but goodluck

[JACK MATZ]

Thanks Breast Milk....
I will be betting Dallas now.
Thanks!

[h3da]

Game 2 was a wake up call for Heats.. Just like the way they lost to Bulls.. After losing one game.. They never turned back..

[Goat Milk]

LOL all the experts chiming in and yet no one can provide any kind of analysis because they know they will get picked apart

[demens]

LOL all the experts chiming in and yet no one can provide any kind of analysis because they know they will get picked apart

mommy mommy, the other kids dont wanna play with me.

[fly fisher]

i am going with the heat ML. Some say the public is all over the heat ML but line dropped for Dallas from -3 to -2.5, and ML from -152 to -136. I am sticking with my Heat ML play at +125. Thanks for the write up goat.

[MrXYZ]

This one will be like the others. DETERMINED IN THE LAST 3 MINUTES. Dallas falters a bit in the first quarter like always when they have to much rest. Historically, the winner of game 3 when tied 1-1 has won the finals. Lets not forget the profetic words of Donald Trump in 06. Marc Cuban is a looser. As long as he owns the Mavericks they will never win a championship. Maybee this is the best piece of info for goatmilks case

Agree with it being decided in the final 3 minutes. Look at Game 2. If Miami had sunk any of their shots during the Mavs' run it would've broken the momentum & they might have held on. I think the key play was the loose ball that led to Dirk's fast break lay up.

Good luck everyone.

[Pocket Passer]

Home court will be huge for Dallas

[RoagBettor]

Goat Milk provides his insight on the games in a very informative manner. Try and find any writeup this long/knowledgable on SBR from any capper. Yes, he has been wrong a bunch of times but nobody wins them all. At least he has the guts to keep posting his plays/insight. He deserves some respect for that.

And what do you want him to do when he loses. Go on the thread and cry about it? Good cappers do exactly what you said he'd do, they forget about it and pretend it never happened. It helps you stay even keel and not get emotional.

Nice post SJ, truer words were never spoken.

Good luck on your play Goat.

[politicin]

LOL I like SJ, but that post is horrible. Goat isn't respectable by any stretch of the word. He's a degen loser.

[jpot34]

Analysis don't mean shit when the game is going to be rigged! Wake up Goat.

[HustleGetPaid]

Win or lose Goat always post an informative point of view. You win some, you lose some. Take the info and use it to your advantage whether you tail or fade...

Let's Go Heat!!!

[politicin]

LOL Goat wins like 2 percent of his wagers though. A little bit different than win some/lose some.

[HustleGetPaid]

I'm talking betting in general, not Goat's record...

[tshizzle]

I love guarantees...that basically means the opposite will happen. Count on dallas to win game 3.

[JR007]

Goat: i went back andre- read....your post......this is good for X's and O's......but
what does this mean..."game 3 is a starters..game.......benches are very IMPORTANT in ALL games...what happens if one team outscores the other teams bench by 10 or 12 points ???......you say nothing about team defense(outside of Miami forth quarter).......... foul shooting...very little...and then you are comparing these teams ..to the Lakers/Celtics last year?????...you said nothing about Bibby......who WAS a factor.....did Miller hit any shots ?????....do not think so
open looks are only good if you "hit" the shots"......so you want Stevenson to guard Wade....instead of Kidd.....who are you going to take out of the game Terry ????.....cannot go small for any length of time with barrea ...what about Dallas defense shutting down Miami' during the last 6 minutes...give Dallas some credit....not to much in your writeup.....

this is not informative this is one-sided

guess you did not watch the same game i did....

[7secondsOrLess]

lmao look how this clown talks

[JR007]

Dallas takes terry out.....and have no( PERIMETER) scoring...takes kidd out..so no one runs the point....leaves both in...where are you going to put stevenson ......might as well take out dirk......and hand the game to miami

DALLAS IS A VERY GOOD DEFENSIVE TEAM

Carlisle.....very good coach as well

[FEARtheSPEAR24]

Goat: i went back andre- read....your post......this is good for X's and O's......but
what does this mean..."game 3 is a starters..game.......benches are very IMPORTANT in ALL games...what happens if one team outscores the other teams bench by 10 or 12 points ???......you say nothing about team defense(outside of Miami forth quarter).......... foul shooting...very little...and then you are comparing these teams ..to the Lakers/Celtics last year?????...you said nothing about Bibby......who WAS a factor.....did Miller hit any shots ?????....do not think so
open looks are only good if you "hit" the shots"......so you want Stevenson to guard Wade....instead of Kidd.....who are you going to take out of the game Terry ????.....cannot go small for any length of time with barrea ...what about Dallas defense shutting down Miami' during the last 6 minutes...give Dallas some credit....not to much in your writeup.....

this is not informative this is one-sided

guess you did not watch the same game i did....

definantly the most "informative" thing I've read from this post.

[Goat Milk]

Goat: i went back andre- read....your post......this is good for X's and O's......but
what does this mean..."game 3 is a starters..game.......benches are very IMPORTANT in ALL games...what happens if one team outscores the other teams bench by 10 or 12 points ???......you say nothing about team defense(outside of Miami forth quarter).......... foul shooting...very little...and then you are comparing these teams ..to the Lakers/Celtics last year?????...you said nothing about Bibby......who WAS a factor.....did Miller hit any shots ?????....do not think so
open looks are only good if you "hit" the shots"......so you want Stevenson to guard Wade....instead of Kidd.....who are you going to take out of the game Terry ????.....cannot go small for any length of time with barrea ...what about Dallas defense shutting down Miami' during the last 6 minutes...give Dallas some credit....not to much in your writeup.....

this is not informative this is one-sided

guess you did not watch the same game i did....

1. I mentioned Bibby so that shows you didn't read it.

2. You need to play Stevenson more minutes because Kidd and Terry are defense liabilities.

3. Benches are important but they don't decide game 3, I've been watching the finals for over 2 decades now and its been this way.

4. My whole writeup is about defense..................

5. This writeup is not biased at all. I speak many times of Carlisle being the much better coach, Dirk getting anything he wants, Bosh's terrible play as I predicted, etc. I call the matchups how I see them.

6. I will probably take Dallas in game 4.

[Goat Milk]

I locked this in this morning during the Federer match.

Risking $400 to win $480 on Miami +120 ML (Betonline)

Risking $400 to win $440 on Miami +110 (Local line)

[alta]

Home court will be huge for Dallas

How the refs call the game will have more of an impact than the Dallas fans.
In my opinion, in the NBA Finals, home court only becomes big in a closeout game.

[canepole]

goat you had better change your pick to mavs

[Goat Milk]

goat you had better change your pick to mavs

If anyone had a careful thought out analysis to post, then I would consider going smaller perhaps on the Heat, but when people post these 1 liners "Mavs will dominate the 3 point line. The crowd will help the bench big time tonight."

I'm not gonna take the Mavs without reading a page long writeup. Good luck bro

[JR007]

You mentioned bibby...i stand corrected

WE SHALL SEE WHATBOTH TEAMS BENCHES DO TONIGHT

[Goat Milk]

You mentioned bibby...i stand corrected

WE SHALL SEE WHATBOTH TEAMS BENCHES DO TONIGHT

we actually will see who wins the game. both benches will contribute but its a starters game, meaning you won't see 40 points from Miamis bench or Dallas's bench. As cliche as you might think it sounds, this game is about the Big 3, and the Big 3 in Dallas (Terry (i consider him a starter), Dirk, and Kidd). Miami is going to come out smothering the perimeter on the defensive end. If Jason Kidd doesn't find a way to penetrate that Miami defense and find open shooters I don't see Dirk's offense being enough to carry the Mavs tonight.

[No coincidences]

If anyone had a careful thought out analysis to post, then I would consider going smaller perhaps on the Heat, but when people post these 1 liners "Mavs will dominate the 3 point line. The crowd will help the bench big time tonight."

I'm not gonna take the Mavs without reading a page long writeup. Good luck bro

As opposed to comparing this to the Lakers/Celtics series as a reason to make a wager?

[southpaw74]

For having "basketball knowledge" you sure can't pick winners.

[JR007]

Good points goat