NBA Daily Picks

Bell Curves · 08-06-11, 09:31 PM

Favorites are starting to lose and games are going over again. I feel really lucky to be breaking even in the past week. Gotta cap even more carefully now; it seems that beating the closing line by multiple points is not enough.

kobstopa · 08-06-11, 09:55 PM

[ATTACH]31038[/ATTACH]

Bell Curves · 08-06-11, 11:09 PM

Wow, I got similar lines for all except I have Seattle Total at 152 and Chicago as a 2 point dog. Chicago and NY's performances are really volatile; they could have a really good game or they could just breakdown.

kobstopa · 08-07-11, 02:14 AM

Originally posted by Bell Curves

Wow, I got similar lines for all except I have Seattle Total at 152 and Chicago as a 2 point dog. Chicago and NY's performances are really volatile; they could have a really good game or they could just breakdown.

Seattle Total at 152 LOOKED LIKE a good price,
I think psychological factor is big in this league; at home you play in your own comfortable and familiar facility, point/rebound variant swing is by factor of 10

Bell Curves · 08-07-11, 12:38 PM

Originally posted by kobstopa

Seattle Total at 152 LOOKED LIKE a good price, I think psychological factor is big in this league; at home you play in your own comfortable and familiar facility, point/rebound variant swing is by factor of 10

Sorry, I meant I capped it at 152 not bet. And I can't believe I passed up on Minnesota -2.5, never thought it would climb to -7.

kobstopa · 08-07-11, 05:27 PM

just like that ATL flip the switch and played D, with Seattle I can understand

Bell Curves · 08-07-11, 05:40 PM

Woohoo, Phoenix covers 1Q for an easy win.

Wow, sick last second steal. Too bad Phoenix can't cover for game.

Bell Curves · 08-07-11, 07:40 PM

0-3 on the last three game plays where I beat closing line, hope you did well tonight.

At least Stankovic is back.

kobstopa · 08-07-11, 07:51 PM

Originally posted by Bell Curves

0-3 on the last three game plays where I beat closing line, hope you did well tonight.

At least Stankovic is back.

i sense the month of August is off to a bad start, mlb is still a good prospect so far.

Bell Curves · 08-07-11, 08:09 PM

Originally posted by kobstopa

i sense the month of August is off to a bad start, mlb is still a good prospect so far.

Yea MLB bets are doing pretty well, but WNBA bets not so much.
Chicago showed up today, I'm glad that I passed on that game. Sparks look very tempting right now, but I can't bring myself to bet them. Which side are you on?

kobstopa · 08-07-11, 08:34 PM

Originally posted by Bell Curves

Yea MLB bets are doing pretty well, but WNBA bets not so much.
Chicago showed up today, I'm glad that I passed on that game. Sparks look very tempting right now, but I can't bring myself to bet them. Which side are you on?

I bet on all my calls; today no call no bet on WNBA
had mlb
padre/pitt over 8.5 this one so obvious, padre's offense so hot
Laa/sea under 6.5 king felix/santana - another no brainer
nyy/bos - take josh backett to win

Bell Curves · 08-07-11, 09:39 PM

Haha LA covers, but I didn't make the bet. Was pretty sure Minn would lay an egg at the end; man I suck...

kobstopa · 08-08-11, 07:13 AM

2011 Stankovic Cup

Angola v New Zealand
Take Under 144.5 Points

Bell Curves · 08-08-11, 08:36 AM

Originally posted by kobstopa

2011 Stankovic Cup Angola v New Zealand Take Under 144.5 Points

A little bit of inverse movement, but I took U146. Have it capped at 135 though, so that's a little weird, but BOL.

Bell Curves · 08-08-11, 10:16 AM

Originally posted by kobstopa

2011 Stankovic Cup Angola v New Zealand Take Under 144.5 Points

Close Winner, 70-73.

kobstopa · 08-08-11, 06:45 PM

Originally posted by Bell Curves

Close Winner, 70-73.

nice, I watched the first half & went to sleep, but the pace was fast and furious, a few 3's dueling and went in.
to my surprised Kirk Penney is played; thought he committed with Madrid

kobstopa · 08-08-11, 10:13 PM

[ATTACH]31140[/ATTACH]

Bell Curves · 08-08-11, 11:15 PM

Aw man, why no Stankovic on Pinnacle yet? They are playing finals tomorrow.

kobstopa · 08-09-11, 01:19 AM

Originally posted by Bell Curves

Aw man, why no Stankovic on Pinnacle yet? They are playing finals tomorrow.

will be NZ all blacks vs Russia for Gold & Sil
China vs angola for 3rd - chinese have yet to win 1 on their home court-very embarrassing -this one I'll take
under 139

NZ vs Russia -looks like a high scoring game as both teams can shoot well but NZ far more polish with ball handling & good transition

kobstopa · 08-09-11, 01:42 AM

__________________________
San Antonio at Indiana
two defensive oriented teams, especially SA seems to force a low scoring even-though shoot first is their prefer
option.

Take under 146.5
__________________________
Atlanta at Washington
ATL still can dominate this lowly Mystics while their winning streak is come at an end of one
game.

Atlanta (-2.5)
__________________________
Chicago at Connecticut
Sky's poor road record 2-8 make it an obvious choice for CT to cover it
at home

Conn (-5.5)
__________________________
Seattle at New York
I'll be very surprise if Storm win here, but it can happen.

Take under 145.5
__________________________
Tulsa at Los Angeles
If LA can beat one team in the league, then Tulsa will be the chosen one. Since defense is not their choice of weapon
,we should see LA to take a lot of 3's & few nothing but nets. Since the weather is nicer & the food is taste better we should see
Tulsa have no trouble fit in LA's shopping scene & keep up with scoring pace.

Tulsa (+11.5)
Take Over 151.5
__________________________

hoop22 · 08-09-11, 05:52 AM

good luck

kobstopa · 08-09-11, 07:15 AM

NZ vs Russia
I think NZ will take it down this one.
The kiwi has a long bad history against Russia, Kirk Penney should drill a few 3's & rally for gold this time.

Take NZ to win
Take over 145.5

kobstopa · 08-09-11, 07:25 AM

Originally posted by hoop22

good luck

Tx. U 2

Bell Curves · 08-09-11, 08:00 AM

Originally posted by kobstopa

NZ vs Russia I think NZ will take it down this one. The kiwi has a long bad history against Russia, Kirk Penney should drill a few 3's & rally for gold this time. Take NZ to win Take over 145.5

Where were you able to get the lines? China/Angola under is basically free money unless the line is 120 or something.

kobstopa · 08-09-11, 09:15 AM

Originally posted by Bell Curves

Where were you able to get the lines? China/Angola under is basically free money unless the line is 120 or something.

Angola vs China result:
64 54 Angola

the line was Angola -4.5/129

I took NZ +0.5/ over 145.4 a double header for 3.5 to one.
good luck to me, I am watching it right now, 34 -37 NZ lead at half

kobstopa · 08-09-11, 09:29 AM

make it 36 45 Kiwi is winning at half time

Bell Curves · 08-09-11, 09:35 AM

Haha maybe these lines are too soft, so Pinnacle didn't put them up. GL Kob, I couldn't take any action on either game.

kobstopa · 08-09-11, 10:37 AM

Originally posted by kobstopa

nz vs russia
i think nz will take it down this one.
The kiwi has a long bad history against russia, kirk penney should drill a few 3's & rally for gold this time.

Take nz to win

Take over 145.5

80-77 nz, kirk penney did came through by carry his team on his back literary, the Russian closed the gap to 2 points with about 2 minutes to go.

Bell Curves · 08-09-11, 12:15 PM

Congrats on the win. Do you cap International Friendlies? I see something good from the Serbia/Croatia match.

Ingram$ · 08-09-11, 01:26 PM

I enjoy reading your write ups.

Bell Curves · 08-09-11, 02:46 PM

Ok, is it normal in international basketball for every hard touch to be called a foul?

Edit: Pushed the Serbia/Crotia U151 bet because they went crazy from 3 point range in the last two minutes.

kobstopa · 08-09-11, 06:44 PM

Originally posted by Bell Curves

Congrats on the win. Do you cap International Friendlies? I see something good from the Serbia/Croatia match. I got a separate thread 4 it

http://forum.sbrforum.com/nba-basketball-handicapping/1196680-eurobasket-men-2011-a.html

Originally posted by Ingram$

I enjoy reading your write ups.

tx u

Bell Curves · 08-09-11, 08:15 PM

No plays for you in WNBA today?

I took SA/Ind U149.5.
Game had 48 fouls and 59 free throw attempts and ended up with 149 points. I was shitting bricks near the end until SA finally stopped fouling when they were down by 13 in the last 22 seconds.
Lesson learned: Do not sweat the WNBA

kobstopa · 08-10-11, 01:26 AM

Originally posted by Bell Curves

No plays for you in WNBA today? I took SA/Ind U149.5. Game had 48 fouls and 59 free throw attempts and ended up with 149 points. I was shitting bricks near the end until SA finally stopped fouling when they were down by 13 in the last 22 seconds. Lesson learned: Do not sweat the WNBA

I had something something. Bos/Min killed my biggest 3 ways parlay - it's all down to last picked Bos/over 8.5 but the result is Bos/7,
anyway the rest of the result is below

kobstopa · 08-10-11, 01:31 AM

Originally posted by kobstopa

__________________________
San Antonio at Indiana
Take under 146.5

__________________________
Atlanta at Washington
ATL still can dominate this lowly Mystics while their winning streak is come at an end of one
game.

Atlanta (-2.5)

__________________________
Chicago at Connecticut
Sky's poor road record 2-8 make it an obvious choice for CT to cover it
at home

Conn (-5.5)

__________________________
Seattle at New York
I'll be very surprise if Storm win here, but it can happen.
Take under 145.5

__________________________
Tulsa at Los Angeles
If LA can beat one team in the league, then Tulsa will be the chosen one. Since defense is not their choice of weapon
,we should see LA to take a lot of 3's & few nothing but nets. Since the weather is nicer & the food is taste better we should see
Tulsa have no trouble fit in LA's shopping scene & keep up with scoring pace.
Tulsa (+11.5)
Take Over 151.5

__________________________

Indiana 81, San Antonio 68
Atlanta 72, Washington 70
Connecticut 69, Chicago 58
New York 58, Seattle 56
Phoenix 85, Minnesota 80
Los Angeles 71, Tulsa 66

4/6 today