NBA Daily Picks

[kobstopa]

Hmm, I got Conn -7 as fair.
Why do you like Atlanta?

it's a one game I rather stay away, & how on earth you get -7 like that?
ATL is mold into dark horse contender now with high confident & push for playoffs or a .500, a strong back court & decent forwards. CT is appeared to struggle with their shooting after a minor changed & opt to go younger by released DeMya Walker, I think they will win at home behind their defense, but will be a tough one.

[Bell Curves]

it's a one game I rather stay away, & how on earth you get -7 like that? ATL is mold into dark horse contender now with high confident & push for playoffs or a .500, a strong back court & decent forwards. CT is appeared to struggle with their shooting after a minor changed & opt to go younger by released DeMya Walker, I think they will win at home behind their defense, but will be a tough one.

I got -7 from power ratings. Atlanta is on a streak, but most of their wins came from the worst teams. Indiana was the only decent team that they beat. Not sure how they'll perform vs Conn at home though, should be thougher than the Indiana matchup.

[kobstopa]

________________________________
Minnesota at San Antonio
This will be a physical matchup between the top 2 in the west, SA had only 2 games went over in their last 10, while
Lynx will bring their strong interior rebounding and a 1-2 fast-break game on the road.


Min (-2.5)
Take under 161.5

________________________________
Los Angeles at Indiana
For the same reason to go over in LA's last game; they will take a lot of 3's & will not play any defense.
Indiana too can get caught in a shooting exhibition, & they can shoot a few 3's as Katie Douglas is a
one of the league leader and they're 41% accurate at home.

Take Over 151.5
________________________________

[big cheyo]

bol under seems to be hitting on the first game

[kobstopa]

________________________________
Minnesota at San Antonio
This will be a physical matchup between the top 2 in the west, SA had only 2 games went over in their last 10, while
Lynx will bring their strong interior rebounding and a 1-2 fast-break game on the road.


Min (-2.5)
Take under 161.5

________________________________
Los Angeles at Indiana
For the same reason to go over in LA's last game; they will take a lot of 3's & will not play any defense.
Indiana too can get caught in a shooting exhibition, & they can shoot a few 3's as Katie Douglas is a
one of the league leader and they're 41% accurate at home.

Take Over 151.5
________________________________

result 2/3
Minnesota 70, San Antonio 69
Connecticut 99, Atlanta 92
Indiana 98, Los Angeles 63

[Bell Curves]

Connecticut wins by 7.

[kobstopa]

Connecticut wins by 7.

Also, you mean 2/3 right?

u right, that's very lucky, now you know why I stay away from it, ATL did went crazy & CT some how responded with offense well late in 4th.

[Bell Curves]

u right, that's very lucky, now you know why I stay away from it, ATL did went crazy & CT some how responded with offense as well.

ATL made a small mistake at the end, and then WNBA-style fouling did the rest. I wonder what the win record would be if all you did was take 4-5 point favorites.

[kobstopa]

ATL made a small mistake at the end, and then WNBA-style fouling did the rest. I wonder what the win record would be if all you did was take 4-5 point favorites.

It's a good win and worked out for you, in the end fatigue had played a factor; ATL went heavy minutes with 7 players rotation. They've held Tina Charles to 10 pts, this is where alot of time CT would have loss,
on to the next one on Tuesday - til then.

[Bell Curves]

It's a good win and worked out for you, in the end fatigue had played a factor; ATL went heavy minutes with 7 players rotation. They've held Tina Charles to 10 pts, this is where alot of time CT would have loss, on to the next one on Tuesday - til then.

Tuesday is filled with rematches. I wonder how big the revenge factors will be.

[kobstopa]

Tuesday is filled with rematches. I wonder how big the revenge factors will be.

storm and dreams are looking good to cover at home,
over/under:

2 over's:
New York at Atlanta
Phoenix at Minnesota
1 x under =San Antonio at Seattle

[westbound17]

I want to bet on parlay by Tuesday, give me a good one Kobstopa like you always do. BOL to all of us!

[kobstopa]

I want to bet on parlay by Tuesday, give me a good one Kobstopa like you always do. BOL to all of us!

I'm still waiting for line to come out, we'll see.

[Bell Curves]

Wow, the NY/Atlanta line is fluctuating more than the ******* NASDAQ. Don't know what to make of this.

[shane500]

good luck tonight

[kobstopa]

_____________________________
New York at Atlanta
ATL will be tough at home as their offense is vastly improved & try to make a push above .500. Their core starters are playing great basketball together & had almost pull an upset against CT in their last road game. Against a 2nd tier teams in their eastern conference such as NY they will put an extra effort, put more pressure on the ball & play for a home court advantage basketball.

Under is 11-5-1 in NY last 17 Tue. games.

Atlanta (-4.5)
Take under 164.5
_____________________________
San Antonio at Seattle
SA has a decent road record 6-2 but for them to win one at Seattle is a mission impossible.
Storm is 6-1 at home, one single loss to Lynx, and will have a big boost with their offense and rebounding dominant here.
A low scoring affair is highly probable between these two teams, in their last game 73-55, Seattle held San Antonio to 27% FG while themselves shoot around 50% FG (their average home FG). Also SA could be without Danielle Adams again due to foot injuries.

Under is 8-1-1 in SA last 10 overall.
Under is 9-4 in SEA last 13 home games.

Seattle (-4.5)
Take under 146.5

_____________________________

[Bell Curves]

I like Seattle -4.5 especially with Adams out, but why hasn't Seattle under moved much -- it's only dropped one point since opening?

[kobstopa]

I like Seattle -4.5 especially with Adams out, but why hasn't Seattle under moved much -- it's only dropped one point since opening?

I think people still like SA's 6-2 on the road & sitting 2nd in the west, whilst Storm is 4th & still without LJ.

[Bell Curves]

I think people still like SA's 6-2 on the road & sitting 2nd in the west, whilst Storm is 4th & still without LJ.

Sorry if you misunderstood, I was talking about the Total Points bet, not Seattle ATS.

[ManBearPig]

This is an interesting thread how have I missed this? Anyways, I was just going over this game and noticed something I thought was interesting about SEA. Each total at home has gone the way of the 1H total. So if the 1H was under it went under...over it's gone over.

Doesn't mean a whole lot but another thing I saw. The average 1H line for the games that have gone over is around 71...the avg for the games that went under was around 75. I'm expecting tomorrow's to be around 70 seeing how they dropped a whopping 128pts! I liked the under too, but probably won't play it.

[kobstopa]

Sorry if you misunderstood, I was talking about the Total Points bet, not Seattle ATS.

I think it will move around closer to the game when the public's bet is coming in, Seattle had shown better offensive & execution, went over the last 2 on the road, but this is rare. At home they will pressure the ball more & SA played the same style, in their last 10 only once went over, included 5 games on the road; I think average FG about 48% for Storm, 30% for SA.

[kobstopa]

This is an interesting thread how have I missed this? Anyways, I was just going over this game and noticed something I thought was interesting about SEA. Each total at home has gone the way of the 1H total. So if the 1H was under it went under...over it's gone over.

Doesn't mean a whole lot but another thing I saw. The average 1H line for the games that have gone over is around 71...the avg for the games that went under was around 75. I'm expecting tomorrow's to be around 70 seeing how they dropped a whopping 128pts! I liked the under too, but probably won't play it.

your observation is correct in most basketball games how the initial game play out its dictate and set the tone for the rest of the game, especially a defensive oriented team. SA and Storm are two quality teams, when facing each others they will not take it likely, they will bring in their A game as it will be tough. Like their last game at home, Seattle will prepare themselves well as they know time is running out & they need to win, protect home court at all cost.

[kobstopa]

Stankovic Cup
Russia vs China at HAINING, China
The Stankovic Cup will feature Australia, Russia, Angola, and host China. The four national teams will collide in a single round-robin format in which the top two teams will advance to the finals, while the third and fourth placers will face each other in the battle-for-third match.

Washington Wizards' Yi Jianlian will join his national team with a limited minutes with 7 others pro.
Russian teams consisted of Anatoly Kashirov, Igor Smygin, and Peter Gubanov are up and coming players but good enough to beat
Australian team with a decent roster with NBL players.

Projection: Russ 78 China 66

Take Russian to win
Take Russia +4.5
Take Under 148.5 Points

[kobstopa]

Stankovic Cup
Russia vs China at HAINING, China
The Stankovic Cup will feature Australia, Russia, Angola, and host China. The four national teams will collide in a single round-robin format in which the top two teams will advance to the finals, while the third and fourth placers will face each other in the battle-for-third match.

Washington Wizards' Yi Jianlian will join his national team with a limited minutes with 7 others pro.
Russian teams consisted of Anatoly Kashirov, Igor Smygin, and Peter Gubanov are up and coming players but good enough to beat
Australian team with a decent roster with NBL players.

Projection: Russ 78 China 66

Take Russian to win
Take Russia +4.5
Take Under 148.5 Points

result Russ 67 China 52

Take Russian to win
Take Russia +4.5
Take Under 148.5 Points

[Bell Curves]

result Russ 67 China 52 Take Russian to win Take Russia +4.5 Take Under 148.5 Points

Haha nice picks, was leaning China for some reason, good thing I slept through the whole thing.

[kobstopa]

Haha nice picks, was leaning China for some reason, good thing I slept through the whole thing.

That was the easiest picks ever !!, knowing China was defeated by Angola, Jin was due for a limited minutes
Russia defeated a quality Australian Boomer, they were aggressive and shoot really well, they got height and physical.
interesting to see the lines are like for
August 3, 2011

• Russia VS Angola
• China VS Australia

I hope they have Aussie underdog

from August 6 to 9, will also feature Russia, Angola, and China, while Australia will be replaced by FIBA Oceania rival New Zealand which is a strange format, but look out for these Kiwi; they will have a pure scorer in Kirk Penny

[Bell Curves]

That was the easiest picks ever !!, knowing China was defeated by Angola, Jin was due for a limited minutes Russia defeated a quality Australian Boomer, they were aggressive and shoot really well, they got height and physical. interesting to see the lines are like for August 3, 2011

• Russia VS Angola
• China VS Australia

I hope they have Aussie underdog from August 6 to 9, will also feature Russia, Angola, and China, while Australia will be replaced by FIBA Oceania rival New Zealand which is a strange format, but look out for these Kiwi; they will have a pure scorer in Kirk Penny

Do you have a link to these teams' stats? Also, do power ratings work with these guys. It's been working pretty well with WNBA so far.

[big cheyo]

nice hit on the international diddnt see them they were too early

[kobstopa]

Do you have a link to these teams' stats? Also, do power ratings work with these guys. It's been working pretty well with WNBA so far.

googling, & go with what I know already

[kobstopa]

nice hit on the international diddnt see them they were too early

tx, I didt see it either til almost last minute or about 2-3 hours to game time

[kobstopa]

_____________________________
New York at Atlanta

Atlanta (-4.5)
Take under 164.5
75 85 NY
_____________________________
San Antonio at Seattle
SA has a decent road record 6-2 but for them to win one at Seattle is a mission impossible.
Storm is 6-1 at home, one single loss to Lynx, and will have a big boost with their offense and rebounding dominant here.
A low scoring affair is highly probable between these two teams, in their last game 73-55, Seattle held San Antonio to 27% FG while themselves shoot around 50% FG (their average home FG). Also SA could be without Danielle Adams again due to foot injuries.

Under is 8-1-1 in SA last 10 overall.
Under is 9-4 in SEA last 13 home games.

Seattle (-4.5)
Take under 146.5
78 64 storm
_____________________________[/quote]
result: 3/4

[kobstopa]

Sun at Sparks
Poor defense and bad turns over had hurt LA and own a hugh marginal loss. But they sure can shot
with an average 8 x '3s made per game, also around 48% FG per game. Unlike LA, CT earns their production from
inside fouls, pressure the ball and force turns, go for easy transition baskets.


Prediction Sun 83 Sparks 72

Take Connecticut -2.5

[kobstopa]

____________________
China v Australia
It will be a 0-3 for china, I don't know how much national pride
is on the line here but the Aussie will be tough to over come. This
team doesn't have any NBA players but consisted of core players from
the Boomer national teams and NBL players

Australian Boomers – 2011 Stankovic Cup Team
Peter Crawford, Townsville Crocodiles
Matthew Dellavedova, St Mary’s College, USA
Anthony Drmic, AIS
Adam Gibson, Gold Coast Blaze
Hugh Greenwood, AIS
Luke Nevill, Triumph Lyubertsy, Russia
Luke Schenscher, Townsville Crocodiles
Nate Tomlinson, University of Colorado, USA
Cameron Tragardh, Melbourne Tigers
Jesse Wagstaff, Perth Wildcats
Stephen Weigh, Adelaide 36ers
Mark Worthington, Gold Coast Blaze

Prediction: China 61 Australia 79

Take Australia -8.5
Take Under 142.5

____________________
Russia v Angola
Russian are dominant inside and out with their game
Prediction: Russia 74 Angola 59

Take under 147.5

____________________

[aunty jack]

nice work with the stankovic cup picks.

the australian media has completely shunned this tournament. in fact, i didn't even know our national team was competing until i read your thread (and twitter links).

then again, it is the middle of football season here... and pigskin abounds.

[kobstopa]

____________________
China v Australia
It will be a 0-3 for china, I don't know how much national pride
is on the line here but the Aussie will be tough to over come. This
team doesn't have any NBA players but consisted of core players from
the Boomer national teams and NBL players

Australian Boomers – 2011 Stankovic Cup Team
Peter Crawford, Townsville Crocodiles
Matthew Dellavedova, St Mary’s College, USA
Anthony Drmic, AIS
Adam Gibson, Gold Coast Blaze
Hugh Greenwood, AIS
Luke Nevill, Triumph Lyubertsy, Russia
Luke Schenscher, Townsville Crocodiles
Nate Tomlinson, University of Colorado, USA
Cameron Tragardh, Melbourne Tigers
Jesse Wagstaff, Perth Wildcats
Stephen Weigh, Adelaide 36ers
Mark Worthington, Gold Coast Blaze

Prediction: China 61 Australia 79

Take Australia -8.5
Take Under 142.5
[ATTACH]30866[/ATTACH]
____________________
Russia v Angola
Russian are dominant inside and out with their game
Prediction: Russia 74 Angola 59

Take under 147.5
Russia 53 Angola 60
____________________

result 2/3, damn it, Aussie played great but loss ATS by 2 points, the Chinese went big minutes with Yi and he was hot from mid range. The Stadium packed & gave them a good home crowd. The official heavily favor home team, the Australian would have won by 20 points if it wasn't for so many bad calls; a very physical game, full court press played by the chinese on every possession, crazy stuff.