70% system 2010-2011

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  • Welt446+
    SBR High Roller
    • 12-04-09
    • 185

    #456
    02/28/11

    Looks like the Bulls are a play up to -9
    Comment
    • cancan
      SBR High Roller
      • 12-11-10
      • 128

      #457
      Bol , I will be following you, lets make some money
      Comment
      • barts185
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 12-13-09
        • 815

        #458
        record update

        Definite plays 20-24
        12/06 UTA -9 (10+) loss
        12/07 DET +7.5 (fade HOU at -1 or worse) loss
        12/10 NYK -3 (10+) win
        12/11 CLE +8 (fade HOU at -1 or worse) loss - not injury, but numerous lineup changes
        12/12 NOR -1 (10+) loss
        12/12 LAL -9 (10+) loss
        12/12 SAS -7.5 (10+) win
        12/12 ORL -7.5 (10+) win
        12/13 DAL -7.5 (10+) loss
        12/14 ATL -4 (10+) loss
        12/15 SAS -9 (10+) loss
        12/15 DAL -6.5 (10+) loss
        12/17 NYK +5 (fade of MIA at -1 or worse) loss
        12/17 DAL -7 (10+) win
        12/18 SAS -9.5 (10+) loss Line moved to double digits with Rudy Gay suspension.
        12/22 UTA -6 (10+) loss Raja Bell's 4th game back, but only 6 days, played well last game
        12/28 BOS -4.5 (10+) win Shaq's 4th game back, Rondo's 5th missed game, both over a week.
        12/29 NOR +3 (fade of LAL at -1 or worse) loss Line not orginally there, but with move, became eligible.
        12/30 NYK +7.5 (fade of ORL at -1 or worse) loss, but as noted in the thread, didn't play since ORL is a different team.
        01/07 SAS -4.5 (10+) loss Parker questionable with cold-like symptoms but played.
        01/07 CHI +0 (10+) loss Noah has been out long enough to no longer be considered.
        01/09 NOR +5 (fade of DEN at -1 or worse) win
        01/10 CHI -9.5 (10+) win Noah has been out long enough to no longer be considered.
        01/11 SAS -6 (10+) win
        01/12 NOR +4 (fade of ORL at -1 or less) win
        01/12 MIA -8 (10+) loss
        01/16 LAL -6 (10+) loss
        01/17 UTA -4.5 (10+) loss
        01/17 CHA +5 (fade of PHI -1 or worse) win
        01/19 UTA -6 (10+) loss
        01/19 IND +4.5 (fade of GSW -1 or worse) win
        01/21 SAS -8.5 (10+) win (possible push at -9)
        01/24 SAS -5 (10+) win
        01/26 OKC -5 (10+) loss
        01/29 SAS -8 (10+) win
        01/29 NOR -6 (10+) loss
        01/31 DAL -9.5 (10+) win
        02/02 CHI -1.5 (10+) win
        02/08 SAS -6.5 (10+) win
        02/11 SAS -3 (10+) loss
        02/12 OKC -4 (10+) loss
        02/14 SAS -8 (10+) win
        02/15 OKC -9 (10+) win
        All Star Break
        02/28 CHI -7.5 (10+) win




        Possible plays 10-6
        12/08 NOR -9.5 (10+) win - David West missed 1 game due to flu, 2nd game back.
        12/08 OKC -5 (10+) win - Kevin Durant missed 2 games due to knee, 3rd game back, played well in the 2 games he's been back.
        12/09 DAL -9.5 (10+) win - line moved down to -9.5, Tyson Chandler first game back after missing 1 game with flu.
        12/19 ATL +4 (10+) loss Joe Johnson 2nd game back after surgery, played well in first game back.
        12/28 - not counted as actual play NYK +10 (fade of MIA -1 or worse) win - Since +10 was really only available for a short time at a couple of books, and most books opened 9.5 and moved to 8.5, not counting it in the definite plays, putting it here to make sure no one thinks it was overlooked.
        12/29 OKC (10+) win line moved from -10 to -8.5, Krstc 3rd game back.
        01/04 CHI-9 (10+) win - Noah has been out, Gibson still was having issues from concussion
        01/05 DEN -2.5 (10+) loss Anthony 3rd game back from personal leave.
        01/07 BOS -9 (10+) win Garnett's 4th missed game out since 12/31.
        01/12 DAL +1.5 (10+) loss Both Nowitzki and Chandler have been out for over a week.
        01/14 BOS -8.5 (10+) loss lot of injuries, but starting 5 of R. Allen / G. Davis / S. O'Neal / P. Pierce / R. Rondo have been in place since 01/02
        01/14 MIL +4.5 (fade of PHI at -1 or worse) win Bogut questionable (played), Gooden 2nd game back, didn't start 1st game back, played 10 minutes. Gooden didn't start, played 22 minutes.
        01/17 ATL -9.5 (10+) loss lineup changes / Williams has been out for 7 games, CHI is 5-2
        01/22 DAL -4.5 (10+) loss Nowitzki hasn't looked good / Pavlovic has played in 6 games, and started the last 2
        01/24 CHI -7.5 (10+) win Boozer second game back, had a double double his first game back.
        02/13 BOS +3 (fade of MIA -1 or worse) win





        Tied record plays 0-1

        12/10 HOU +4 (HOU/MIL same record, ran both ways, fade of MIL at -1 or worse after line move to MIL -4) loss
        Comment
        • Welt446+
          SBR High Roller
          • 12-04-09
          • 185

          #459
          03/01/11

          Looks like Lakers -9.5 or better and Warriors +4 or better (the second falls into the tied record category)
          Comment
          • barts185
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 12-13-09
            • 815

            #460
            record update

            Definite plays 21-24
            12/06 UTA -9 (10+) loss
            12/07 DET +7.5 (fade HOU at -1 or worse) loss
            12/10 NYK -3 (10+) win
            12/11 CLE +8 (fade HOU at -1 or worse) loss - not injury, but numerous lineup changes
            12/12 NOR -1 (10+) loss
            12/12 LAL -9 (10+) loss
            12/12 SAS -7.5 (10+) win
            12/12 ORL -7.5 (10+) win
            12/13 DAL -7.5 (10+) loss
            12/14 ATL -4 (10+) loss
            12/15 SAS -9 (10+) loss
            12/15 DAL -6.5 (10+) loss
            12/17 NYK +5 (fade of MIA at -1 or worse) loss
            12/17 DAL -7 (10+) win
            12/18 SAS -9.5 (10+) loss Line moved to double digits with Rudy Gay suspension.
            12/22 UTA -6 (10+) loss Raja Bell's 4th game back, but only 6 days, played well last game
            12/28 BOS -4.5 (10+) win Shaq's 4th game back, Rondo's 5th missed game, both over a week.
            12/29 NOR +3 (fade of LAL at -1 or worse) loss Line not orginally there, but with move, became eligible.
            12/30 NYK +7.5 (fade of ORL at -1 or worse) loss, but as noted in the thread, didn't play since ORL is a different team.
            01/07 SAS -4.5 (10+) loss Parker questionable with cold-like symptoms but played.
            01/07 CHI +0 (10+) loss Noah has been out long enough to no longer be considered.
            01/09 NOR +5 (fade of DEN at -1 or worse) win
            01/10 CHI -9.5 (10+) win Noah has been out long enough to no longer be considered.
            01/11 SAS -6 (10+) win
            01/12 NOR +4 (fade of ORL at -1 or less) win
            01/12 MIA -8 (10+) loss
            01/16 LAL -6 (10+) loss
            01/17 UTA -4.5 (10+) loss
            01/17 CHA +5 (fade of PHI -1 or worse) win
            01/19 UTA -6 (10+) loss
            01/19 IND +4.5 (fade of GSW -1 or worse) win
            01/21 SAS -8.5 (10+) win (possible push at -9)
            01/24 SAS -5 (10+) win
            01/26 OKC -5 (10+) loss
            01/29 SAS -8 (10+) win
            01/29 NOR -6 (10+) loss
            01/31 DAL -9.5 (10+) win
            02/02 CHI -1.5 (10+) win
            02/08 SAS -6.5 (10+) win
            02/11 SAS -3 (10+) loss
            02/12 OKC -4 (10+) loss
            02/14 SAS -8 (10+) win
            02/15 OKC -9 (10+) win
            All Star Break
            02/28 CHI -7.5 (10+) win
            03/01 LAL -9 (10+) win





            Possible plays 10-6
            12/08 NOR -9.5 (10+) win - David West missed 1 game due to flu, 2nd game back.
            12/08 OKC -5 (10+) win - Kevin Durant missed 2 games due to knee, 3rd game back, played well in the 2 games he's been back.
            12/09 DAL -9.5 (10+) win - line moved down to -9.5, Tyson Chandler first game back after missing 1 game with flu.
            12/19 ATL +4 (10+) loss Joe Johnson 2nd game back after surgery, played well in first game back.
            12/28 - not counted as actual play NYK +10 (fade of MIA -1 or worse) win - Since +10 was really only available for a short time at a couple of books, and most books opened 9.5 and moved to 8.5, not counting it in the definite plays, putting it here to make sure no one thinks it was overlooked.
            12/29 OKC (10+) win line moved from -10 to -8.5, Krstc 3rd game back.
            01/04 CHI-9 (10+) win - Noah has been out, Gibson still was having issues from concussion
            01/05 DEN -2.5 (10+) loss Anthony 3rd game back from personal leave.
            01/07 BOS -9 (10+) win Garnett's 4th missed game out since 12/31.
            01/12 DAL +1.5 (10+) loss Both Nowitzki and Chandler have been out for over a week.
            01/14 BOS -8.5 (10+) loss lot of injuries, but starting 5 of R. Allen / G. Davis / S. O'Neal / P. Pierce / R. Rondo have been in place since 01/02
            01/14 MIL +4.5 (fade of PHI at -1 or worse) win Bogut questionable (played), Gooden 2nd game back, didn't start 1st game back, played 10 minutes. Gooden didn't start, played 22 minutes.
            01/17 ATL -9.5 (10+) loss lineup changes / Williams has been out for 7 games, CHI is 5-2
            01/22 DAL -4.5 (10+) loss Nowitzki hasn't looked good / Pavlovic has played in 6 games, and started the last 2
            01/24 CHI -7.5 (10+) win Boozer second game back, had a double double his first game back.
            02/13 BOS +3 (fade of MIA -1 or worse) win





            Tied record plays 0-2

            12/10 HOU +4 (HOU/MIL same record, ran both ways, fade of MIL at -1 or worse after line move to MIL -4) loss
            03/01 GSW +6 loss
            Comment
            • barts185
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 12-13-09
              • 815

              #461
              Looks like no plays today.

              ATL qualifies math-wise, but Josh Smith is out.
              SAS back to back.
              Comment
              • Welt446+
                SBR High Roller
                • 12-04-09
                • 185

                #462
                Thanks on the Josh Smith info
                Comment
                • barts185
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 12-13-09
                  • 815

                  #463
                  Originally posted by Welt446+
                  Thanks on the Josh Smith info
                  I was feeling good about passing the game at halftime. Oh, well.
                  Comment
                  • barts185
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 12-13-09
                    • 815

                    #464
                    03/03

                    As usual, nothing for Thursday's games.
                    Comment
                    • jubuck757
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 03-03-11
                      • 686

                      #465
                      You guys need to come up with a new strategy too many losses on definite winssss... Lol miami is defitinet tonight bet big win big is my motto.
                      Comment
                      • barts185
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 12-13-09
                        • 815

                        #466
                        Originally posted by jubuck757
                        You guys need to come up with a new strategy too many losses on definite winssss... Lol miami is defitinet tonight bet big win big is my motto.

                        Thanks for that winner, and your amazing insight.
                        Comment
                        • barts185
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 12-13-09
                          • 815

                          #467
                          I don't think there are any plays for 03/04. If anyone thinks there is one, please post it.
                          Comment
                          • barts185
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 12-13-09
                            • 815

                            #468
                            03/05

                            Denver qualifies math-wise, but are they the same team after the trades? Also Gallinari out.

                            Some that are close to being fades, but without getting into anything else, the team that is close to qualifying is on back-to-back, so wouldn't be plays even if they qualify math-wise.
                            Comment
                            • Welt446+
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 12-04-09
                              • 185

                              #469
                              03/06

                              Bulls +5 qualifies I believe - however, dogs have not been doing well in the system




                              I would not count the last Denver team personally - traded starters and whatnot
                              Comment
                              • barts185
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 12-13-09
                                • 815

                                #470
                                I'm not going to count Denver.

                                I don't get CHI as a play. With CHI at .700 and MIA at .694 (0.693548387097 if you prefer), and a line of MIA -5, I get the value on CHI to be 2.3

                                700 -694 = 6
                                6/20 = .3
                                -3 road = -2.7
                                +5 line = +2.3

                                So, negative to positive, but have not tracked that this year.

                                For dogs, just looking down the list, I get dogs at 4-5, but they have done better recently, winning the most recent 4 games.
                                Comment
                                • barts185
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 12-13-09
                                  • 815

                                  #471
                                  NOR qualifies math-wise, but inj issues. Ariza missed last game, is doubtful for today. West is expected to play.



                                  If the line moves to 7.5, GSW would qualify as a fade of PHI.

                                  No injuries on GSW, but Udoh has replaced Biedrins as a starter. This will be the third game Udoh starts.
                                  Comment
                                  • barts185
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 12-13-09
                                    • 815

                                    #472
                                    Bottom line for 03/06

                                    As of now, I don't think there are any plays.
                                    Comment
                                    • Welt446+
                                      SBR High Roller
                                      • 12-04-09
                                      • 185

                                      #473
                                      You are indeed correct about Chicago. Thank you
                                      Comment
                                      • barts185
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 12-13-09
                                        • 815

                                        #474
                                        Originally posted by Welt446+
                                        You are indeed correct about Chicago. Thank you
                                        I hope you saw my message too late and played them.
                                        Comment
                                        • cancan
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 12-11-10
                                          • 128

                                          #475
                                          thank you for today plays.
                                          Comment
                                          • barts185
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 12-13-09
                                            • 815

                                            #476
                                            03/07

                                            UTA qualifies math-wise, but has as many injury questions as confirmed players.

                                            R. BellD. HarrisA. JeffersonA. KirilenkoP. Millsap

                                            have started the last 4 games, but even 2 of those are questionable today.


                                            DAL is on back to back, so don't have to get into their issues.


                                            So looks like no plays.
                                            Comment
                                            • barts185
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 12-13-09
                                              • 815

                                              #477
                                              03/08

                                              Maybe ATL?
                                              Hinrich - 4th game back
                                              Smith - 2nd game back after missing 2.
                                              Trade implications?

                                              ATL would be a fade of the Lakers, the math would make them a play at +4 or better. Open to input on whether or not they should be a play.
                                              Comment
                                              • barts185
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 12-13-09
                                                • 815

                                                #478
                                                03/09


                                                I guess this is basically done at this point, doesn't look like anyone is interested.

                                                I can post the math, but most days I won't be able to go into the issues.


                                                Today is a day you needed to check the lines if you are using the spreadsheet.

                                                Possibilities

                                                BOS


                                                CHA - trade / Jackson out for 2 games, I think he's due back tonight


                                                SAS dd line
                                                Comment
                                                • Welt446+
                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                  • 12-04-09
                                                  • 185

                                                  #479
                                                  The Celtics have been without Shaq for 26 games and they are 19-6 without him which is almost exactly the same percentage as their season long record. Whether it counts on the system or not, I think it's a good play.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • barts185
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 12-13-09
                                                    • 815

                                                    #480
                                                    Okay, so BOS -9.

                                                    I think Shaq has been out long enough to discount him. I was more concerned about them trading Perkins, but he's been injured anyway. Also, a number of secondary players are out or questionable. Arroyo, Rondo's backup, will supposedly be in action in his first game with BOS.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • cancan
                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                      • 12-11-10
                                                      • 128

                                                      #481
                                                      I bet Boston ML -500. F U C ...., boston!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • barts185
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 12-13-09
                                                        • 815

                                                        #482
                                                        record update

                                                        Definite plays 21-25
                                                        12/06 UTA -9 (10+) loss
                                                        12/07 DET +7.5 (fade HOU at -1 or worse) loss
                                                        12/10 NYK -3 (10+) win
                                                        12/11 CLE +8 (fade HOU at -1 or worse) loss - not injury, but numerous lineup changes
                                                        12/12 NOR -1 (10+) loss
                                                        12/12 LAL -9 (10+) loss
                                                        12/12 SAS -7.5 (10+) win
                                                        12/12 ORL -7.5 (10+) win
                                                        12/13 DAL -7.5 (10+) loss
                                                        12/14 ATL -4 (10+) loss
                                                        12/15 SAS -9 (10+) loss
                                                        12/15 DAL -6.5 (10+) loss
                                                        12/17 NYK +5 (fade of MIA at -1 or worse) loss
                                                        12/17 DAL -7 (10+) win
                                                        12/18 SAS -9.5 (10+) loss Line moved to double digits with Rudy Gay suspension.
                                                        12/22 UTA -6 (10+) loss Raja Bell's 4th game back, but only 6 days, played well last game
                                                        12/28 BOS -4.5 (10+) win Shaq's 4th game back, Rondo's 5th missed game, both over a week.
                                                        12/29 NOR +3 (fade of LAL at -1 or worse) loss Line not orginally there, but with move, became eligible.
                                                        12/30 NYK +7.5 (fade of ORL at -1 or worse) loss, but as noted in the thread, didn't play since ORL is a different team.
                                                        01/07 SAS -4.5 (10+) loss Parker questionable with cold-like symptoms but played.
                                                        01/07 CHI +0 (10+) loss Noah has been out long enough to no longer be considered.
                                                        01/09 NOR +5 (fade of DEN at -1 or worse) win
                                                        01/10 CHI -9.5 (10+) win Noah has been out long enough to no longer be considered.
                                                        01/11 SAS -6 (10+) win
                                                        01/12 NOR +4 (fade of ORL at -1 or less) win
                                                        01/12 MIA -8 (10+) loss
                                                        01/16 LAL -6 (10+) loss
                                                        01/17 UTA -4.5 (10+) loss
                                                        01/17 CHA +5 (fade of PHI -1 or worse) win
                                                        01/19 UTA -6 (10+) loss
                                                        01/19 IND +4.5 (fade of GSW -1 or worse) win
                                                        01/21 SAS -8.5 (10+) win (possible push at -9)
                                                        01/24 SAS -5 (10+) win
                                                        01/26 OKC -5 (10+) loss
                                                        01/29 SAS -8 (10+) win
                                                        01/29 NOR -6 (10+) loss
                                                        01/31 DAL -9.5 (10+) win
                                                        02/02 CHI -1.5 (10+) win
                                                        02/08 SAS -6.5 (10+) win
                                                        02/11 SAS -3 (10+) loss
                                                        02/12 OKC -4 (10+) loss
                                                        02/14 SAS -8 (10+) win
                                                        02/15 OKC -9 (10+) win
                                                        All Star Break
                                                        02/28 CHI -7.5 (10+) win
                                                        03/01 LAL -9 (10+) win
                                                        03/09 BOS -9 (10+) loss Perkins trade / secondary issues, but not starters.





                                                        Possible plays 10-6
                                                        12/08 NOR -9.5 (10+) win - David West missed 1 game due to flu, 2nd game back.
                                                        12/08 OKC -5 (10+) win - Kevin Durant missed 2 games due to knee, 3rd game back, played well in the 2 games he's been back.
                                                        12/09 DAL -9.5 (10+) win - line moved down to -9.5, Tyson Chandler first game back after missing 1 game with flu.
                                                        12/19 ATL +4 (10+) loss Joe Johnson 2nd game back after surgery, played well in first game back.
                                                        12/28 - not counted as actual play NYK +10 (fade of MIA -1 or worse) win - Since +10 was really only available for a short time at a couple of books, and most books opened 9.5 and moved to 8.5, not counting it in the definite plays, putting it here to make sure no one thinks it was overlooked.
                                                        12/29 OKC (10+) win line moved from -10 to -8.5, Krstc 3rd game back.
                                                        01/04 CHI-9 (10+) win - Noah has been out, Gibson still was having issues from concussion
                                                        01/05 DEN -2.5 (10+) loss Anthony 3rd game back from personal leave.
                                                        01/07 BOS -9 (10+) win Garnett's 4th missed game out since 12/31.
                                                        01/12 DAL +1.5 (10+) loss Both Nowitzki and Chandler have been out for over a week.
                                                        01/14 BOS -8.5 (10+) loss lot of injuries, but starting 5 of R. Allen / G. Davis / S. O'Neal / P. Pierce / R. Rondo have been in place since 01/02
                                                        01/14 MIL +4.5 (fade of PHI at -1 or worse) win Bogut questionable (played), Gooden 2nd game back, didn't start 1st game back, played 10 minutes. Gooden didn't start, played 22 minutes.
                                                        01/17 ATL -9.5 (10+) loss lineup changes / Williams has been out for 7 games, CHI is 5-2
                                                        01/22 DAL -4.5 (10+) loss Nowitzki hasn't looked good / Pavlovic has played in 6 games, and started the last 2
                                                        01/24 CHI -7.5 (10+) win Boozer second game back, had a double double his first game back.
                                                        02/13 BOS +3 (fade of MIA -1 or worse) win





                                                        Tied record plays 0-2

                                                        12/10 HOU +4 (HOU/MIL same record, ran both ways, fade of MIL at -1 or worse after line move to MIL -4) loss
                                                        03/01 GSW +6 loss
                                                        Comment
                                                        • barts185
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 12-13-09
                                                          • 815

                                                          #483
                                                          03/10

                                                          Looks like MIA is a play as a fade of the Lakers.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • barts185
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 12-13-09
                                                            • 815

                                                            #484
                                                            record update

                                                            Definite plays 22-25
                                                            12/06 UTA -9 (10+) loss
                                                            12/07 DET +7.5 (fade HOU at -1 or worse) loss
                                                            12/10 NYK -3 (10+) win
                                                            12/11 CLE +8 (fade HOU at -1 or worse) loss - not injury, but numerous lineup changes
                                                            12/12 NOR -1 (10+) loss
                                                            12/12 LAL -9 (10+) loss
                                                            12/12 SAS -7.5 (10+) win
                                                            12/12 ORL -7.5 (10+) win
                                                            12/13 DAL -7.5 (10+) loss
                                                            12/14 ATL -4 (10+) loss
                                                            12/15 SAS -9 (10+) loss
                                                            12/15 DAL -6.5 (10+) loss
                                                            12/17 NYK +5 (fade of MIA at -1 or worse) loss
                                                            12/17 DAL -7 (10+) win
                                                            12/18 SAS -9.5 (10+) loss Line moved to double digits with Rudy Gay suspension.
                                                            12/22 UTA -6 (10+) loss Raja Bell's 4th game back, but only 6 days, played well last game
                                                            12/28 BOS -4.5 (10+) win Shaq's 4th game back, Rondo's 5th missed game, both over a week.
                                                            12/29 NOR +3 (fade of LAL at -1 or worse) loss Line not orginally there, but with move, became eligible.
                                                            12/30 NYK +7.5 (fade of ORL at -1 or worse) loss, but as noted in the thread, didn't play since ORL is a different team.
                                                            01/07 SAS -4.5 (10+) loss Parker questionable with cold-like symptoms but played.
                                                            01/07 CHI +0 (10+) loss Noah has been out long enough to no longer be considered.
                                                            01/09 NOR +5 (fade of DEN at -1 or worse) win
                                                            01/10 CHI -9.5 (10+) win Noah has been out long enough to no longer be considered.
                                                            01/11 SAS -6 (10+) win
                                                            01/12 NOR +4 (fade of ORL at -1 or less) win
                                                            01/12 MIA -8 (10+) loss
                                                            01/16 LAL -6 (10+) loss
                                                            01/17 UTA -4.5 (10+) loss
                                                            01/17 CHA +5 (fade of PHI -1 or worse) win
                                                            01/19 UTA -6 (10+) loss
                                                            01/19 IND +4.5 (fade of GSW -1 or worse) win
                                                            01/21 SAS -8.5 (10+) win (possible push at -9)
                                                            01/24 SAS -5 (10+) win
                                                            01/26 OKC -5 (10+) loss
                                                            01/29 SAS -8 (10+) win
                                                            01/29 NOR -6 (10+) loss
                                                            01/31 DAL -9.5 (10+) win
                                                            02/02 CHI -1.5 (10+) win
                                                            02/08 SAS -6.5 (10+) win
                                                            02/11 SAS -3 (10+) loss
                                                            02/12 OKC -4 (10+) loss
                                                            02/14 SAS -8 (10+) win
                                                            02/15 OKC -9 (10+) win
                                                            All Star Break
                                                            02/28 CHI -7.5 (10+) win
                                                            03/01 LAL -9 (10+) win
                                                            03/09 BOS -9 (10+) loss Perkins trade / secondary issues, but not starters.
                                                            03/10 MIA +2 (fade of LAL) win





                                                            Possible plays 10-6
                                                            12/08 NOR -9.5 (10+) win - David West missed 1 game due to flu, 2nd game back.
                                                            12/08 OKC -5 (10+) win - Kevin Durant missed 2 games due to knee, 3rd game back, played well in the 2 games he's been back.
                                                            12/09 DAL -9.5 (10+) win - line moved down to -9.5, Tyson Chandler first game back after missing 1 game with flu.
                                                            12/19 ATL +4 (10+) loss Joe Johnson 2nd game back after surgery, played well in first game back.
                                                            12/28 - not counted as actual play NYK +10 (fade of MIA -1 or worse) win - Since +10 was really only available for a short time at a couple of books, and most books opened 9.5 and moved to 8.5, not counting it in the definite plays, putting it here to make sure no one thinks it was overlooked.
                                                            12/29 OKC (10+) win line moved from -10 to -8.5, Krstc 3rd game back.
                                                            01/04 CHI-9 (10+) win - Noah has been out, Gibson still was having issues from concussion
                                                            01/05 DEN -2.5 (10+) loss Anthony 3rd game back from personal leave.
                                                            01/07 BOS -9 (10+) win Garnett's 4th missed game out since 12/31.
                                                            01/12 DAL +1.5 (10+) loss Both Nowitzki and Chandler have been out for over a week.
                                                            01/14 BOS -8.5 (10+) loss lot of injuries, but starting 5 of R. Allen / G. Davis / S. O'Neal / P. Pierce / R. Rondo have been in place since 01/02
                                                            01/14 MIL +4.5 (fade of PHI at -1 or worse) win Bogut questionable (played), Gooden 2nd game back, didn't start 1st game back, played 10 minutes. Gooden didn't start, played 22 minutes.
                                                            01/17 ATL -9.5 (10+) loss lineup changes / Williams has been out for 7 games, CHI is 5-2
                                                            01/22 DAL -4.5 (10+) loss Nowitzki hasn't looked good / Pavlovic has played in 6 games, and started the last 2
                                                            01/24 CHI -7.5 (10+) win Boozer second game back, had a double double his first game back.
                                                            02/13 BOS +3 (fade of MIA -1 or worse) win





                                                            Tied record plays 0-2

                                                            12/10 HOU +4 (HOU/MIL same record, ran both ways, fade of MIL at -1 or worse after line move to MIL -4) loss
                                                            03/01 GSW +6 loss
                                                            Comment
                                                            • barts185
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 12-13-09
                                                              • 815

                                                              #485
                                                              03/11

                                                              Possibles:


                                                              NJN as a fade of LAC but starter issues

                                                              SAS dd line

                                                              UTA but starter issues


                                                              So, I don't think there are any plays.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • barts185
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 12-13-09
                                                                • 815

                                                                #486
                                                                Thanks Nismo and bigugly

                                                                03/12

                                                                Only 2 possible plays, both of which get filtered out before I get into any injury issues.

                                                                SAS are on back to back

                                                                ATL/POR have the same record. Both are on back to back so it doesn't matter.


                                                                So, no plays.

                                                                Good Luck,
                                                                Bart
                                                                Comment
                                                                • cancan
                                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                                  • 12-11-10
                                                                  • 128

                                                                  #487
                                                                  Good luck everyone on your bets!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • barts185
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 12-13-09
                                                                    • 815

                                                                    #488
                                                                    03/13

                                                                    OKC -9.5 Trade changes, starters have been

                                                                    K. DurantS. IbakaN. MohammedT. SefoloshaR. Westbrook

                                                                    for 6 games.

                                                                    Still one game with no line.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • barts185
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 12-13-09
                                                                      • 815

                                                                      #489
                                                                      03/13

                                                                      Final report - repeating information in last post so that everything is in one post.

                                                                      3 possible plays

                                                                      OKC -9.5 Trade changes, starters have been

                                                                      K. DurantS. IbakaN. MohammedT. SefoloshaR. Westbrook

                                                                      for 6 games.


                                                                      PHO as a fade of ORL, but injury issues


                                                                      BOS line has moved down. At -9 or less they become a play. As I've said previously, secondary issues and I don't like what the Perkins trade said in terms of their chances at a title, but it's a play.



                                                                      Good Luck,
                                                                      Bart
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • bigugly
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 01-04-08
                                                                        • 1329

                                                                        #490
                                                                        Looks like Boston was the only play.
                                                                        Comment
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