what do you know byu lost it in the second half
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2-2 so far today, down juice. 4 leans for tonight, will probably only make 1 play:
Arizona -6 (7:30ET)
San Francisco +1.5 (10:00ET)
San Jose St -2 (10:00ET)
Long Beach St -11.5 (10:30ET)
Lean San Fran and Long Beach the heaviest.Comment -
I like houston and San Fran good luck on the playsComment -
He won balco but wasbet way down 3/5 I think not worth itComment -
kansas/kansas st under 143 1x
west vir 1x +5
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pitt -10 .5xComment -
Bean u think 11 is a play on pitt?Comment -
S. Illi +3.5 3x
Bama -13 3x
San Fran +2 5x
N. Colorado ml 3x
Montana ml 3x
Santa Clara ml 2x
Boise St -5 2xComment -
Like the Boise play Buck. Experienced team, I've won betting them a few times this year.Comment -
Ya I like em think they win by 9 or 10Comment -
UC Davis went from -1 to -4 vs UC Irvine.....Comment -
Adding:
2U San Francisco 1H +.5 (-105)
Will be playing San Fran for the game as well, just figuring out exactly how many units.Comment -
Balco u know wat happened to hanger gl bosComment -
tim bradley wins by dec even 5x
under 11.5 +250 2x
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strike force parley diaz and gracie 1xComment -
Adding:
2U San Francisco +1.5
Thanks Buck. Today has been a frustrating day so far. Majority of my leans hit but I sit 2-2 with locked in plays. A buddy of mine talked me into playing Portland +6 (crazy 2nd half) so that helps a little. GL with the your pending plays as well.Comment -
Theres a gracie in strikeforce bean?Comment -
Thats a shame he was best college bball capper ive come across... But bean sonny ayo close secondComment -
I could not disagree with you Buck. Damn N.Colorado threw the game away with 5 seconds left!
I can see Hornets winning the 2nd half with Evans having 3 early PF...Comment -
BOL on your plays todayComment -
thanks dixan i need some good luck after yesterday !!!! well i was due for a real bad day and it happened but today is a new day !we need some tunes !!!doesn't have to be rap if some guys don't like it i like all types of music so feel free to throw up some tunes of you tube and let's get some hot ladies posted up to !
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well i think boston is banged up but they have perk back and game 7 is still in there heads +3 and the celtics looks good to me !Comment -
need 2 real good college plays today, i got dayton as my first, cant decide on a second, got any college plays that you love today? ive been considering st.johns or drake, what you think?Comment -
how do you like iona -4.5 and s-hall -4.5
both pass the i ball test
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Of no-names and schedules
Basketball fans love the big name teams. Duke, UConn, North Carolina, Arizona. But you’ll notice successful handicappers don’t always give out top plays on the most recognizable schools. That’s because there’s value all over the board when wagering on college hoops, and it’s not always on the marquee teams.
This is in stark contrast to what happens during the college basketball season. There are dozens of games each day and even up to 70-85 games on a college basketball Saturday. With so many games, it’s much more difficult for linemakers to make accurate numbers on every game. There will be mistakes and soft lines, which are the handicapper's best friend.
And sometimes you may not even recognize the schools or conferences. One week I released my Southern Conference Game of the Year on Davidson. It was a great spot for a play on the visitors and – in my judgment – a very bad number. Davidson had a well-balanced team that matched up fairly well with a good Georgia Southern squad. I looked at a line of about one or two points, but Davidson was a plus-8 1/2 road ‘dog.
This brings into play the importance of examining a team’s schedule carefully. Davidson had a losing record in part because of its tough schedule, playing Texas Tech, North Carolina, Georgetown, Seton Hall and Duke – all but one on the road! The stats may have suggested that Davidson gives up a lot of points, but this was deceptive because of this awfully difficult schedule.
The game was an easy cover, as Davidson outrebounded Georgia Southern 39-28, trailed by two at the half on the way to a 62-60 defeat, but an easy cover. Davidson might have even won the game if they hadn’t missed nine free throws. Still, my clients and I didn’t need them to win – just cover the +8 1/2-points.
The moral is: Don’t ignore small, no-name schools and examine schedules carefully. Wins and losses, straight up and against the spread, are found when you read between the lines.
Conference play
This is when the second season for handicappers begins. Once college basketball conference play goes into full swing, it allows bettors to gauge statistics and match-ups.
Many teams schedule a string of non-conference cupcake games early in the season in order to run up big scores and easy victories. However, they could then falter quickly as they step up in competition during January and February conference play. Virginia and Hofstra come to mind this past season - two teams that got off to strong starts but struggled as the competition got better.
Other times, teams schedule difficult non-conference games early in the season - and sometimes take serious beatings - to toughen them up for conference action. Jon Chaney’s Temple Owls have done this often over the last decade. It’s essential for handicappers to utilize power ratings and carefully check records versus quality opponents.
Another factor to take into account when ‘capping conference play is that teams will play each other more than once. It’s important to look back on any recent meetings and see what took place. If one team blew out another, look at the box score to see why. And ask questions. Did one team dominate the glass? Or did the opponent simply have a bad shooting game?
This can mean the rematch will be equally one-sided, or it could mean the team that lost badly is out for revenge. Looking back at past years helps as well. You can find a trend where each team rolls over another on its home court, which happened for several years with ACC rivals Duke and Maryland. Or you might find that one team has the other’s number and consistently gets the cover whether they’re at home or at the other team’s place.
Check conference standings, too. Conference games likely have greater importance for teams that can’t afford any more losses. In addition, you can find teams that have already fallen out of the conference race, which means they might begin packing it in, especially on the road against stronger conference foes.
Conference play offers a more level playing field than the early season. For those with an eye for it, the "second season" can assist an astute handicapper with more angles than earlier non-conference action.
Tourney tips
Many times during the season and even in some conference tournament games, you can find teams that are less interested in wanting to play hard. That is, they know they’re going to get hammered or they’ve slumped so badly down the stretch that they realize they have no shot at going anywhere in tournament play.
In short, they’ve given up on the season or on a particular game where they are a big underdog and know their season is over. This is far less likely in late March, however, as good teams keep winning and are motivated to play all out.
Road play: It’s important to check home/road play for college hoop teams. This is also something to keep up on from the Sweet 16 on. Some teams have a noticeable weakness on the road, such as poor road defense, or they consistently fail to cover when away from home. Most college tournament games this time of year are neutral courts, but it can be helpful to check both teams’ road play when analyzing individual match-ups to get a sense of how they play away from home.
Non-conference competition: Some helpful sports wagering web sites have this broken down in easy-to-read columns. On the other hand, you must take this a step further, too - examine next who those non-conference games were against. If they were against all small-school teams with poor records, then it’s not as helpful as if they played against top-notch non-conference opponents. Illinois faced Gonzaga, Cincinnati, Georgetown, Wake Forest and at Arkansas last year and whipped them all by double digits.
Location: Sometimes teams luck out by getting placed in a tourney bracket that is close to home. North Carolina, for instance, opened the tourney last year playing in Charlotte against Oakland (Mich.) and Iowa State, two teams that traveled a long way. The Tar Heels won by 28 and 27 points, respectively. A close location can mean more fans in the stands cheering for a particular team, giving it a slight edge.
Their role as a ‘dog?: Check how some teams fared as an underdog during the season. Two teams that have already been knocked out of tournament play are Cincinnati and Mississippi State, clubs that combined to go 1-9 SU, 3-7 ATS as a ‘dog this season. When the pressure is on against top-notch teams, some clubs simply can’t step it up.
History: Has this team been here before? Some teams are new to the Sweet 16 and beyond. Check their recent history. Is this a surprise team that came out of nowhere to get this far? Does their starting five have any experience at all in late March tournament play? Digging into various details can help turn a profit during March Madness.Comment -
uri or providence/hall overComment -
still looking fellasComment -
Manhattan +1 -110 for 1st Half 2x
Iona -2½ -110 for 1st Half 2xLETS GET ITComment -
what up bean, buck, ayo , and slimes whats goodie
LETS GET ITComment -
I like that article bean I also got raped yesterday no matter its a new day ill start by tailing both ur plays sonnyComment -
prov vs s.hall over 152 3x~alright with halls return of hazzell and providence's inability to win on the road i can't figure which side i would be on ?well the over has shot up from 146 to 153 and still climbing jump on last 3 games from these teams have all been over and last year's game was 109 to 106 they both don't play much defense and they shoot lights out!Comment -
bad day for me as well, went down -6 units...MMA salvaged my horrible day though.Comment
